The Register · 2024
The Ledger
62 countries or areas are projected to have negative total population change in 2024. The table is ordered by annual loss.
Source wpp2024 · formula negative-total-change-sum-v1
| Place | Annual change | Population | TFR | Stage | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | -3,175,283 | 1.42bn | 1.01 | Shrinkage | 2021 |
| Russian Federation | -770,316 | 144.82m | 1.46 | Shrinkage | 1991 |
| Japan | -636,276 | 123.75m | 1.22 | Shrinkage | 2009 |
| Poland | -345,074 | 38.54m | 1.30 | Shrinkage | 2023 |
| Germany | -286,642 | 84.55m | 1.45 | Shrinkage | 2024 |
| Italy | -184,548 | 59.34m | 1.21 | Shrinkage | 2014 |
| Greece | -177,409 | 10.05m | 1.34 | Shrinkage | 2010 |
| Czechia | -111,390 | 10.74m | 1.46 | Shrinkage | 2023 |
| Romania | -105,500 | 19.02m | 1.71 | Shrinkage | 1991 |
| China, Taiwan Province of China | -100,652 | 23.21m | 0.86 | Shrinkage | 2019 |
| Belarus | -58,404 | 9.06m | 1.22 | Shrinkage | 1993 |
| Nepal | -45,791 | 29.65m | 1.96 | Shrinkage | 2067 |
| Serbia | -44,236 | 6.74m | 1.50 | Shrinkage | 1987 |
| Thailand | -42,394 | 71.67m | 1.20 | Shrinkage | 2022 |
| Cuba | -41,620 | 10.98m | 1.45 | Shrinkage | 2012 |
| Bulgaria | -41,067 | 6.76m | 1.75 | Shrinkage | 1988 |
| Republic of Korea | -40,992 | 51.72m | 0.73 | Shrinkage | 2020 |
| Republic of Moldova | -36,911 | 3.03m | 1.73 | Shrinkage | 1991 |
| China, Hong Kong SAR | -36,337 | 7.41m | 0.73 | Shrinkage | 2020 |
| Croatia | -28,020 | 3.88m | 1.47 | Shrinkage | 1990 |
| Hungary | -27,175 | 9.68m | 1.49 | Shrinkage | 1980 |
| Slovakia | -25,627 | 5.51m | 1.56 | Shrinkage | 2023 |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | -22,854 | 3.16m | 1.49 | Shrinkage | 1991 |
| Armenia | -21,195 | 2.97m | 1.72 | Shrinkage | 1991 |
| Albania | -19,793 | 2.79m | 1.34 | Shrinkage | 1991 |
| Latvia | -15,643 | 1.87m | 1.34 | Shrinkage | 1989 |
| Lithuania | -15,407 | 2.86m | 1.21 | Shrinkage | 1991 |
| Estonia | -13,360 | 1.36m | 1.36 | Shrinkage | 1990 |
| Kosovo (under UNSC res. 1244) | -12,262 | 1.68m | 1.54 | Shrinkage | 1997 |
| Portugal | -10,717 | 10.43m | 1.51 | Shrinkage | 2010 |
| Spain | -10,577 | 47.91m | 1.22 | Shrinkage | 2023 |
| North Macedonia | -9,006 | 1.82m | 1.47 | Shrinkage | 2005 |
| Austria | -7,884 | 9.12m | 1.32 | Shrinkage | 2023 |
| Puerto Rico | -3,658 | 3.24m | 0.94 | Shrinkage | 2001 |
| Martinique | -2,763 | 343.2k | 1.99 | Shrinkage | 1999 |
| Mauritius | -2,696 | 1.27m | 1.23 | Shrinkage | 2015 |
| Montenegro | -1,913 | 638.5k | 1.80 | Shrinkage | 2024 |
| Uruguay | -1,783 | 3.39m | 1.40 | Shrinkage | 2020 |
| Guadeloupe | -1,300 | 375.1k | 2.07 | Shrinkage | 1999 |
| Jamaica | -1,294 | 2.84m | 1.35 | Shrinkage | 2023 |
| Saint Martin (French part) | -1,286 | 26.1k | 2.67 | Shrinkage | 2014 |
| Marshall Islands | -1,268 | 37.5k | 2.86 | Shrinkage | 2010 |
| Slovenia | -1,055 | 2.12m | 1.58 | Shrinkage | 2024 |
| United States Virgin Islands | -796 | 84.9k | 2.08 | Shrinkage | 2000 |
| Northern Mariana Islands | -781 | 44.3k | 2.32 | Shrinkage | 2000 |
| American Samoa | -752 | 46.8k | 2.27 | Shrinkage | 2002 |
| Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | -700 | 100.6k | 1.76 | Shrinkage | 2000 |
| Cook Islands | -476 | 13.7k | 2.02 | Shrinkage | 1971 |
| Tonga | -407 | 104.2k | 3.10 | Shrinkage | 2100 |
| Georgia | -338 | 3.81m | 1.80 | Shrinkage | 1988 |
| Dominica | -296 | 66.2k | 1.48 | Shrinkage | 1980 |
| Monaco | -292 | 38.6k | 2.10 | Shrinkage | 2100 |
| Tuvalu | -163 | 9.6k | 3.17 | Shrinkage | 2100 |
| Greenland | -87 | 55.8k | 1.93 | Shrinkage | 2005 |
| Wallis and Futuna Islands | -85 | 11.3k | 1.41 | Shrinkage | 2003 |
| Bermuda | -71 | 64.6k | 1.41 | Shrinkage | 2022 |
| Saint Pierre and Miquelon | -52 | 5.6k | 1.27 | Shrinkage | 1995 |
| San Marino | -52 | 33.6k | 1.16 | Shrinkage | 2020 |
| Saint Helena | -43 | 5.2k | 1.64 | Shrinkage | 1987 |
| Montserrat | -32 | 4.4k | 1.45 | Shrinkage | 1950 |
| Isle of Man | -25 | 84.2k | 1.54 | Shrinkage | 2011 |
| Palau | -23 | 17.7k | 1.88 | Shrinkage | 2004 |