headcount.earth -6,544,849

Homo sapiens; growth slowing toward a projected peak

Register Annex reserved
Specimen · CHN

China

Asia · Eastern Asia

China is recorded at 1.42bn people in 2024, with total annual change of -3,175,283 under the WPP medium variant.

PLATE 156 · CHN

China

CHN · CN
SHRINKING
population 1.42bn
annual change -3,175,283
natural change -2,856,292
fertility 1.01
migrant share 0.1%

Shrinkage · peak 2021 · generated 2026-06-26

IMS 2024 · foreign citizens · stock 1.64m

parity_check POP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1 · IMS 2024 Rev.2024 CC BY 3.0 IGO where matched · World Bank WDI CC BY 4.0

Share specimen card
population decomposition

2024

Population identity: births minus deaths plus net migration equals total change within the Record tolerance.

Population decomposition for China in 2024
Births 8,822,056
Deaths -11,678,348
Natural change -2,856,292
Net migration -318,992
Total change -3,175,283
time anchors

-785,953,165

Change from 2024 to the WPP medium-variant 2100 endpoint.

Time anchors for China
This year -3,175,283
Since peak -7,115,989 since 2021
Projected 2100 633.37m
Vanishing Point

2471

Current-rate extrapolation, not a forecast; WPP medium-variant projections remain the page baseline.

migrant share

0.1%

foreign citizens; working-age share is not published in IMS 2024.

PROVISIONAL

Latest reported

No reviewed Layer 2 dispatch is attached to this country record.

population pyramid

Observed / 2050 / 2100

WPP single-age population by sex, rendered as 5-year pyramid bands from the 101-bin canonical arrays.

Observed 2023 1.42bn

China 2023 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 236.00m, ages 15-64 982.93m, ages 65+ 203.66m.

0-14
236.00m
15-64
982.93m
65+
203.66m
2050 2050 1.26bn

China 2050 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 125.32m, ages 15-64 745.29m, ages 65+ 389.68m.

0-14
125.32m
15-64
745.29m
65+
389.68m
2100 2100 633.37m

China 2100 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 49.63m, ages 15-64 293.48m, ages 65+ 290.26m.

0-14
49.63m
15-64
293.48m
65+
290.26m
stage

Shrinkage

Stage since 1960.

crossover

1960

First year deaths exceed births, if reached in the series.

working-age support

4.73

Potential support ratio: ages 15-64 per person aged 65+. Working-age peak: 2015.

source

POP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1

Generated 2026-06-26. Last observed year: 2023.

Selected annual series preview · WPP 2024 medium variant
Year Population Change Births Deaths TFR
2024 1.42bn -3,175,283 8.82m 11.68m 1.01
2030 1.40bn -4,254,746 8.36m 12.42m 1.06
2050 1.26bn -10,326,437 7.37m 17.53m 1.18
2080 870.25m -12,925,850 4.49m 17.30m 1.29
2100 633.37m -10,633,395 3.10m 13.66m 1.34