Homo sapiens; growth slowing toward a projected peak
The species total is projected to keep rising toward 10.29bn around 2084. Inside that still-growing total, 62 countries or areas are already projected to lose population in 2024.
source UN WPP 2024 POP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1World population is projected to keep growing toward a peak of 10.29bn around 2084, then decline slowly under the WPP medium variant.
Running sum, interpolated from the 2024 WPP medium-variant population change across 62 countries or areas already projected to shrink.
Every country or area already in outright decline, ranked by annual loss.
62 shrinking Open The Ledger 02Low-fertility countries reduced to current-rate and replacement-line ratios.
two rate views Open Vanishing Point 03The Great Deflation board, from slowing fertility to sustained shrinkage.
6 stages Open Stages 04The replacement line across every country and area in the register.
2.1 line Open Fertility 05The migrant-stock layer and the natural decline it can soften or deepen.
IMS 2024 Open Migration 06A source-backed tile grid of decline, peak timing, and growth.
237 tiles Open Map 07Put two to four country records side by side on the same source footing.
2-4 countries Open Compare 08Layer 2 provisional signals, quarantined from canonical data until reviewed.
provisional Open DispatchesValues are total population change, not natural change alone. Migration can soften or deepen the movement recorded here.
Open The LedgerThe card carries the status stamp, observed/projection split, stage marker, peak year, and source revision.
Japan observed 2023 population pyramid, grouped into five broad age bands from WPP single-age male and female arrays.