headcount.earth -6,544,849

Homo sapiens; growth slowing toward a projected peak

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Specimen · POL

Poland

Europe · Eastern Europe

Poland is recorded at 38.54m people in 2024, with total annual change of -345,074 under the WPP medium variant.

PLATE 616 · POL

Poland

POL · PL
SHRINKING
population 38.54m
annual change -345,074
natural change -107,006
fertility 1.30
migrant share 4.5%

Shrinkage · peak 2023 · generated 2026-06-26

IMS 2024 · foreign-born · stock 1.74m

parity_check POP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1 · IMS 2024 Rev.2024 CC BY 3.0 IGO where matched · World Bank WDI CC BY 4.0

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population decomposition

2024

Population identity: births minus deaths plus net migration equals total change within the Record tolerance.

Population decomposition for Poland in 2024
Births 309,612
Deaths -416,618
Natural change -107,006
Net migration -238,062
Total change -345,074
time anchors

-19,209,362

Change from 2024 to the WPP medium-variant 2100 endpoint.

Time anchors for Poland
This year -345,074
Since peak -223,643 since 2023
Projected 2100 19.33m
Vanishing Point

2136

Current-rate extrapolation, not a forecast; WPP medium-variant projections remain the page baseline.

migrant share

4.5%

foreign-born; working-age share is not published in IMS 2024.

PROVISIONAL

Latest reported

No reviewed Layer 2 dispatch is attached to this country record.

population pyramid

Observed / 2050 / 2100

WPP single-age population by sex, rendered as 5-year pyramid bands from the 101-bin canonical arrays.

Observed 2023 38.76m

Poland 2023 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 5.85m, ages 15-64 25.33m, ages 65+ 7.58m.

0-14
5.85m
15-64
25.33m
65+
7.58m
2050 2050 32.81m

Poland 2050 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 3.78m, ages 15-64 18.60m, ages 65+ 10.43m.

0-14
3.78m
15-64
18.60m
65+
10.43m
2100 2100 19.33m

Poland 2100 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 1.98m, ages 15-64 9.79m, ages 65+ 7.55m.

0-14
1.98m
15-64
9.79m
65+
7.55m
stage

Shrinkage

Stage since 1995.

crossover

2002

First year deaths exceed births, if reached in the series.

working-age support

3.23

Potential support ratio: ages 15-64 per person aged 65+. Working-age peak: 2010.

source

POP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1

Generated 2026-06-26. Last observed year: 2023.

Selected annual series preview · WPP 2024 medium variant
Year Population Change Births Deaths TFR
2024 38.54m -345,074 309.6k 416.6k 1.30
2030 37.20m -176,623 258.9k 429.6k 1.33
2050 32.81m -250,687 234.7k 481.0k 1.40
2080 24.04m -287,488 163.1k 448.4k 1.46
2100 19.33m -201,153 123.6k 323.7k 1.49