Homo sapiens; growth slowing toward a projected peak
Oceania · Polynesia
Tonga is recorded at 104.2k people in 2024, with total annual change of -407 under the WPP medium variant.
Tonga observed 2023 population pyramid, grouped into five broad age bands from WPP single-age male and female arrays.
Population identity: births minus deaths plus net migration equals total change within the Record tolerance.
| Births | 2,400 |
|---|---|
| Deaths | -671 |
| Natural change | +1,729 |
| Net migration | -2,149 |
| Total change | -407 |
Change from 2024 to the WPP medium-variant 2100 endpoint.
| This year | -407 |
|---|---|
| Since peak | -13,696 since 2100 |
| Projected 2100 | 117.9k |
Current-rate extrapolation, not a forecast; WPP medium-variant projections remain the page baseline.
foreign-born; working-age share is not published in IMS 2024.
No reviewed Layer 2 dispatch is attached to this country record.
WPP single-age population by sex, rendered as 5-year pyramid bands from the 101-bin canonical arrays.
Tonga 2023 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 37.3k, ages 15-64 60.4k, ages 65+ 6.9k.
Tonga 2050 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 30.2k, ages 15-64 63.8k, ages 65+ 11.2k.
Tonga 2100 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 20.6k, ages 15-64 72.1k, ages 65+ 25.2k.
Stage since 1983.
First year deaths exceed births, if reached in the series.
Potential support ratio: ages 15-64 per person aged 65+. Working-age peak: 2071.
Generated 2026-06-26. Last observed year: 2023.
| Year | Population | Change | Births | Deaths | TFR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 104.2k | -407 | 2.4k | 671 | 3.10 |
| 2030 | 102.1k | -164 | 2.3k | 674 | 2.91 |
| 2050 | 105.2k | 235 | 2.0k | 726 | 2.45 |
| 2080 | 114.8k | 329 | 1.6k | 805 | 2.07 |
| 2100 | 117.9k | -15 | 1.4k | 1.2k | 1.93 |