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Population state · Growing

Brazil

Latin America and the Caribbean · South America · BRA · BR
Population state
Growing
current run since 1950 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.61
88 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
7
of 237
Regional population rank
1
of 50 in Latin America and the Caribbean
Population
212.00m
Natural change
+1,073,737
Peak population · projected 2042 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 6.27 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces growth

Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Brazil, 2024 projected: natural change +1,073,737 people, net migration −225,510, WPP adjustment +4, total population change +848,231. Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +4-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

75 source years · since 1950 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1950
75 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+848,231
0.40% of 2024 population
Series maximum
projected 2042
Projected from the WPP medium variant, not a forecast.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
2024212.00m+848,2311.61
2050217.49m−428,5871.56
2080188.60m−1,278,7521.57
2100163.36m−1,203,9501.58

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2043 · projected
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Brazil annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 49.0% in 1950 to 24.2% in 2023 and 15.0% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 2.4% to 10.6% and 33.6%. First annual crossover: 2043 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Brazil, 1950 to 2100 Brazil annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 49.0% in 1950 to 24.2% in 2023 and 15.0% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 2.4% to 10.6% and 33.6%. First annual crossover: 2043 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 15.0% 65+ · 33.6%
1950
Under 18 · 49.0%65+ · 2.4%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 24.2%65+ · 10.6%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 15.0%65+ · 33.6%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Brazil under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 26,178,976 49.0% 1,270,969 2.4%
1951 observed 26,984,640 49.0% 1,306,887 2.4%
1952 observed 27,848,155 49.1% 1,350,474 2.4%
1953 observed 28,767,810 49.2% 1,398,187 2.4%
1954 observed 29,732,179 49.4% 1,449,600 2.4%
1955 observed 30,735,141 49.5% 1,505,357 2.4%
1956 observed 31,777,117 49.6% 1,565,188 2.4%
1957 observed 32,855,458 49.8% 1,627,872 2.5%
1958 observed 33,975,703 49.9% 1,692,520 2.5%
1959 observed 35,135,792 50.0% 1,759,094 2.5%
1960 observed 36,325,646 50.2% 1,829,972 2.5%
1961 observed 37,541,301 50.3% 1,908,118 2.6%
1962 observed 38,775,811 50.4% 1,993,472 2.6%
1963 observed 40,021,692 50.6% 2,083,783 2.6%
1964 observed 41,256,910 50.6% 2,177,281 2.7%
1965 observed 42,438,207 50.6% 2,274,756 2.7%
1966 observed 43,535,912 50.5% 2,376,899 2.8%
1967 observed 44,525,263 50.3% 2,482,137 2.8%
1968 observed 45,426,661 50.1% 2,590,600 2.9%
1969 observed 46,284,654 49.7% 2,703,399 2.9%
1970 observed 47,113,217 49.4% 2,820,689 3.0%
1971 observed 47,923,990 49.0% 2,943,022 3.0%
1972 observed 48,722,118 48.7% 3,071,281 3.1%
1973 observed 49,508,706 48.3% 3,205,633 3.1%
1974 observed 50,272,177 47.8% 3,345,821 3.2%
1975 observed 51,018,618 47.4% 3,491,822 3.2%
1976 observed 51,768,304 47.0% 3,642,226 3.3%
1977 observed 52,526,123 46.5% 3,795,058 3.4%
1978 observed 53,296,298 46.1% 3,949,894 3.4%
1979 observed 54,078,910 45.7% 4,106,625 3.5%
1980 observed 54,870,444 45.3% 4,263,711 3.5%
1981 observed 55,665,418 44.9% 4,419,815 3.6%
1982 observed 56,462,673 44.5% 4,576,084 3.6%
1983 observed 57,267,746 44.1% 4,735,512 3.6%
1984 observed 58,074,064 43.8% 4,900,919 3.7%
1985 observed 58,876,635 43.4% 5,074,640 3.7%
1986 observed 59,665,721 43.1% 5,259,647 3.8%
1987 observed 60,406,162 42.8% 5,459,467 3.9%
1988 observed 61,067,631 42.5% 5,675,838 3.9%
1989 observed 61,642,185 42.1% 5,906,111 4.0%
1990 observed 62,124,181 41.7% 6,145,736 4.1%
1991 observed 62,508,643 41.2% 6,393,944 4.2%
1992 observed 62,813,316 40.7% 6,653,223 4.3%
1993 observed 63,050,920 40.2% 6,923,510 4.4%
1994 observed 63,217,371 39.7% 7,202,628 4.5%
1995 observed 63,322,624 39.2% 7,488,204 4.6%
1996 observed 63,365,041 38.6% 7,779,909 4.7%
1997 observed 63,342,558 38.0% 8,077,966 4.8%
1998 observed 63,270,706 37.4% 8,377,075 5.0%
1999 observed 63,121,645 36.8% 8,672,903 5.1%
2000 observed 62,866,405 36.1% 8,967,258 5.2%
2001 observed 62,517,251 35.5% 9,269,720 5.3%
2002 observed 62,094,107 34.8% 9,586,674 5.4%
2003 observed 61,605,632 34.1% 9,923,002 5.5%
2004 observed 61,084,168 33.4% 10,284,263 5.6%
2005 observed 60,574,541 32.8% 10,665,938 5.8%
2006 observed 60,072,169 32.2% 11,068,586 5.9%
2007 observed 59,558,501 31.6% 11,495,290 6.1%
2008 observed 59,033,708 31.0% 11,944,085 6.3%
2009 observed 58,506,963 30.5% 12,416,538 6.5%
2010 observed 57,991,773 29.9% 12,913,886 6.7%
2011 observed 57,477,919 29.4% 13,439,494 6.9%
2012 observed 56,953,502 28.9% 14,007,276 7.1%
2013 observed 56,413,757 28.4% 14,628,417 7.4%
2014 observed 55,873,928 27.9% 15,313,664 7.7%
2015 observed 55,339,214 27.4% 16,046,932 8.0%
2016 observed 54,759,451 26.9% 16,803,245 8.3%
2017 observed 54,168,843 26.5% 17,587,414 8.6%
2018 observed 53,629,785 26.0% 18,400,947 8.9%
2019 observed 53,121,183 25.6% 19,237,495 9.3%
2020 observed 52,609,834 25.2% 20,028,657 9.6%
2021 observed 52,096,665 24.9% 20,768,736 9.9%
2022 observed 51,578,541 24.5% 21,560,163 10.3%
2023 observed 51,043,669 24.2% 22,451,930 10.6%
2024 projected 50,505,646 23.8% 23,424,116 11.0%
2025 projected 49,975,088 23.5% 24,431,585 11.5%
2026 projected 49,458,837 23.2% 25,454,021 11.9%
2027 projected 48,947,867 22.8% 26,489,028 12.4%
2028 projected 48,427,921 22.5% 27,532,339 12.8%
2029 projected 47,899,915 22.2% 28,571,184 13.3%
2030 projected 47,365,951 21.9% 29,590,083 13.7%
2031 projected 46,823,026 21.6% 30,580,142 14.1%
2032 projected 46,253,044 21.3% 31,535,160 14.5%
2033 projected 45,653,685 21.0% 32,454,899 14.9%
2034 projected 45,081,031 20.7% 33,353,509 15.3%
2035 projected 44,528,870 20.4% 34,248,832 15.7%
2036 projected 43,955,203 20.1% 35,149,939 16.1%
2037 projected 43,406,897 19.8% 36,059,344 16.5%
2038 projected 42,933,291 19.6% 36,977,279 16.9%
2039 projected 42,513,710 19.4% 37,896,039 17.3%
2040 projected 42,114,587 19.2% 38,821,286 17.7%
2041 projected 41,732,999 19.0% 39,768,589 18.1%
2042 projected 41,362,664 18.9% 40,741,246 18.6%
2043 projected 41,005,166 18.7% 41,739,440 19.0%
2044 projected 40,662,978 18.6% 42,760,630 19.5%
2045 projected 40,328,719 18.4% 43,801,128 20.0%
2046 projected 40,000,302 18.3% 44,854,554 20.5%
2047 projected 39,674,321 18.2% 45,910,254 21.0%
2048 projected 39,347,060 18.0% 46,954,048 21.5%
2049 projected 39,017,367 17.9% 47,968,114 22.0%
2050 projected 38,686,177 17.8% 48,943,822 22.5%
2051 projected 38,355,214 17.7% 49,877,355 23.0%
2052 projected 38,021,459 17.6% 50,755,114 23.4%
2053 projected 37,683,689 17.4% 51,568,720 23.9%
2054 projected 37,343,178 17.3% 52,321,777 24.3%
2055 projected 37,000,074 17.2% 53,013,677 24.7%
2056 projected 36,653,033 17.1% 53,648,862 25.1%
2057 projected 36,302,878 17.0% 54,231,702 25.4%
2058 projected 35,950,069 16.9% 54,781,993 25.8%
2059 projected 35,595,232 16.8% 55,317,909 26.1%
2060 projected 35,243,220 16.7% 55,845,102 26.5%
2061 projected 34,895,797 16.6% 56,362,867 26.8%
2062 projected 34,550,888 16.5% 56,868,497 27.2%
2063 projected 34,210,633 16.4% 57,366,368 27.5%
2064 projected 33,877,519 16.3% 57,828,779 27.9%
2065 projected 33,550,636 16.3% 58,227,774 28.2%
2066 projected 33,228,722 16.2% 58,556,394 28.5%
2067 projected 32,913,461 16.1% 58,812,888 28.8%
2068 projected 32,605,440 16.0% 58,995,444 29.0%
2069 projected 32,303,298 16.0% 59,129,369 29.3%
2070 projected 32,007,175 15.9% 59,241,424 29.5%
2071 projected 31,717,474 15.9% 59,317,052 29.7%
2072 projected 31,435,304 15.8% 59,344,520 29.9%
2073 projected 31,158,599 15.8% 59,327,868 30.1%
2074 projected 30,887,837 15.7% 59,284,165 30.2%
2075 projected 30,625,456 15.7% 59,231,378 30.4%
2076 projected 30,370,518 15.7% 59,173,121 30.6%
2077 projected 30,120,777 15.7% 59,110,264 30.7%
2078 projected 29,872,948 15.6% 59,047,678 30.9%
2079 projected 29,626,266 15.6% 59,003,412 31.1%
2080 projected 29,381,483 15.6% 58,981,706 31.3%
2081 projected 29,137,033 15.6% 58,933,453 31.5%
2082 projected 28,891,655 15.5% 58,864,817 31.6%
2083 projected 28,646,718 15.5% 58,816,150 31.8%
2084 projected 28,403,556 15.5% 58,746,997 32.0%
2085 projected 28,160,972 15.5% 58,612,545 32.2%
2086 projected 27,917,494 15.4% 58,428,742 32.3%
2087 projected 27,672,216 15.4% 58,227,541 32.4%
2088 projected 27,425,708 15.4% 58,012,263 32.5%
2089 projected 27,180,714 15.4% 57,784,638 32.6%
2090 projected 26,935,928 15.3% 57,542,361 32.7%
2091 projected 26,691,118 15.3% 57,284,096 32.8%
2092 projected 26,446,688 15.3% 57,015,269 32.9%
2093 projected 26,202,584 15.2% 56,739,447 33.0%
2094 projected 25,959,109 15.2% 56,461,197 33.1%
2095 projected 25,716,761 15.2% 56,183,088 33.1%
2096 projected 25,477,569 15.1% 55,906,364 33.2%
2097 projected 25,242,101 15.1% 55,630,190 33.3%
2098 projected 25,011,803 15.1% 55,356,589 33.4%
2099 projected 24,787,308 15.1% 55,088,466 33.5%
2100 projected 24,565,985 15.0% 54,823,803 33.6%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.