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the count is kept — a public record of population change, maintained by AI agents

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Countries / Nigeria

Population state · Growing

Nigeria

Africa · Western Africa · NGA · NG
Population state
Growing
current run since 1950 · projected 2024
Fertility
4.38
222 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
6
of 237
Regional population rank
1
of 58 in Africa
Population
232.68m
Annual change
+4,816,673
Natural change
+4,851,877
Migrant share
0.6%
Peak population · projected 2100 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 18.35 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces growth

Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Nigeria, 2024 projected: natural change +4,851,877 people, net migration −35,202, WPP adjustment −2, total population change +4,816,673. Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −2-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

75 source years · since 1950 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1950
75 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+4.82m
2.07% of 2024 population
Series maximum
not established in this series
Still rising at the 2100 horizon of this release.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
2024232.68m+4,816,6734.38
2050359.19m+4,369,0772.66
2080457.92m+1,917,7922.07
2100476.75m+110,4001.91

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
Not reached by 2100
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Nigeria annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 47.9% in 1950 to 48.4% in 2023 and 24.5% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 3.0% to 3.0% and 12.3%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Nigeria, 1950 to 2100 Nigeria annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 47.9% in 1950 to 48.4% in 2023 and 24.5% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 3.0% to 3.0% and 12.3%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 24.5% 65+ · 12.3%
1950
Under 18 · 47.9%65+ · 3.0%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 48.4%65+ · 3.0%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 24.5%65+ · 12.3%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Nigeria under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 17,867,408 47.9% 1,116,815 3.0%
1951 observed 18,171,319 47.8% 1,153,616 3.0%
1952 observed 18,484,116 47.7% 1,190,490 3.1%
1953 observed 18,804,916 47.7% 1,227,501 3.1%
1954 observed 19,135,856 47.6% 1,265,141 3.1%
1955 observed 19,476,134 47.6% 1,303,516 3.2%
1956 observed 19,828,097 47.5% 1,342,271 3.2%
1957 observed 20,195,982 47.5% 1,381,242 3.2%
1958 observed 20,577,418 47.5% 1,420,498 3.3%
1959 observed 20,973,597 47.5% 1,460,243 3.3%
1960 observed 21,388,304 47.5% 1,500,024 3.3%
1961 observed 21,820,291 47.4% 1,540,055 3.3%
1962 observed 22,271,494 47.4% 1,580,577 3.4%
1963 observed 22,741,848 47.4% 1,620,210 3.4%
1964 observed 23,235,888 47.4% 1,657,149 3.4%
1965 observed 23,766,849 47.5% 1,691,263 3.4%
1966 observed 24,351,333 47.6% 1,722,414 3.4%
1967 observed 24,978,416 47.8% 1,748,638 3.3%
1968 observed 25,629,180 48.0% 1,774,390 3.3%
1969 observed 26,306,280 48.2% 1,803,513 3.3%
1970 observed 27,016,788 48.3% 1,835,230 3.3%
1971 observed 27,768,807 48.5% 1,870,101 3.3%
1972 observed 28,569,090 48.8% 1,908,389 3.3%
1973 observed 29,422,362 49.0% 1,949,965 3.2%
1974 observed 30,340,868 49.2% 1,994,368 3.2%
1975 observed 31,333,820 49.4% 2,041,718 3.2%
1976 observed 32,400,025 49.6% 2,092,404 3.2%
1977 observed 33,542,245 49.9% 2,146,820 3.2%
1978 observed 34,754,598 50.1% 2,204,749 3.2%
1979 observed 36,014,554 50.4% 2,266,368 3.2%
1980 observed 37,304,496 50.6% 2,331,756 3.2%
1981 observed 38,614,884 50.8% 2,400,496 3.2%
1982 observed 39,943,910 51.0% 2,472,358 3.2%
1983 observed 41,164,664 51.2% 2,537,927 3.2%
1984 observed 42,385,103 51.4% 2,603,999 3.2%
1985 observed 43,714,108 51.5% 2,677,862 3.2%
1986 observed 45,017,537 51.6% 2,750,570 3.2%
1987 observed 46,304,762 51.7% 2,823,032 3.2%
1988 observed 47,597,406 51.7% 2,896,563 3.1%
1989 observed 48,907,451 51.7% 2,971,180 3.1%
1990 observed 50,224,922 51.7% 3,046,405 3.1%
1991 observed 51,527,476 51.7% 3,120,561 3.1%
1992 observed 52,819,574 51.6% 3,194,518 3.1%
1993 observed 54,108,105 51.5% 3,270,757 3.1%
1994 observed 55,396,691 51.3% 3,348,375 3.1%
1995 observed 56,702,313 51.2% 3,426,621 3.1%
1996 observed 58,016,965 51.0% 3,505,183 3.1%
1997 observed 59,340,748 50.8% 3,584,018 3.1%
1998 observed 60,697,128 50.6% 3,664,440 3.1%
1999 observed 62,123,661 50.5% 3,748,686 3.0%
2000 observed 63,665,976 50.4% 3,838,567 3.0%
2001 observed 65,316,558 50.3% 3,934,019 3.0%
2002 observed 67,066,286 50.2% 4,035,342 3.0%
2003 observed 68,929,053 50.2% 4,142,959 3.0%
2004 observed 70,898,623 50.3% 4,255,482 3.0%
2005 observed 72,970,223 50.3% 4,370,970 3.0%
2006 observed 75,130,086 50.4% 4,489,447 3.0%
2007 observed 77,354,829 50.5% 4,613,537 3.0%
2008 observed 79,655,936 50.5% 4,744,565 3.0%
2009 observed 82,036,465 50.6% 4,881,628 3.0%
2010 observed 84,472,097 50.7% 5,023,229 3.0%
2011 observed 86,951,156 50.7% 5,165,602 3.0%
2012 observed 89,435,903 50.8% 5,303,039 3.0%
2013 observed 91,879,154 50.7% 5,427,516 3.0%
2014 observed 94,281,119 50.7% 5,542,494 3.0%
2015 observed 96,618,165 50.7% 5,663,501 3.0%
2016 observed 98,851,053 50.6% 5,795,474 3.0%
2017 observed 100,941,924 50.4% 5,934,418 3.0%
2018 observed 102,827,589 50.2% 6,079,481 3.0%
2019 observed 104,509,129 49.9% 6,231,956 3.0%
2020 observed 106,027,998 49.5% 6,379,895 3.0%
2021 observed 107,460,446 49.2% 6,534,767 3.0%
2022 observed 108,864,085 48.8% 6,712,252 3.0%
2023 observed 110,236,397 48.4% 6,900,664 3.0%
2024 projected 111,561,072 47.9% 7,093,612 3.0%
2025 projected 112,820,678 47.5% 7,291,004 3.1%
2026 projected 114,002,551 47.0% 7,495,884 3.1%
2027 projected 115,100,050 46.5% 7,709,360 3.1%
2028 projected 116,125,646 46.0% 7,930,921 3.1%
2029 projected 117,091,251 45.5% 8,160,163 3.2%
2030 projected 118,009,597 45.0% 8,397,645 3.2%
2031 projected 118,897,141 44.5% 8,644,076 3.2%
2032 projected 119,757,020 44.0% 8,900,874 3.3%
2033 projected 120,601,662 43.5% 9,169,524 3.3%
2034 projected 121,475,974 43.0% 9,451,188 3.3%
2035 projected 122,400,249 42.5% 9,746,672 3.4%
2036 projected 123,365,437 42.1% 10,060,226 3.4%
2037 projected 124,366,101 41.8% 10,393,869 3.5%
2038 projected 125,400,773 41.4% 10,747,736 3.5%
2039 projected 126,403,662 41.1% 11,126,948 3.6%
2040 projected 127,315,091 40.7% 11,535,196 3.7%
2041 projected 128,129,188 40.3% 11,967,694 3.8%
2042 projected 128,857,097 40.0% 12,420,766 3.9%
2043 projected 129,513,898 39.6% 12,895,444 3.9%
2044 projected 130,089,765 39.2% 13,382,544 4.0%
2045 projected 130,592,524 38.8% 13,871,687 4.1%
2046 projected 131,028,026 38.4% 14,361,304 4.2%
2047 projected 131,388,992 38.0% 14,851,723 4.3%
2048 projected 131,680,602 37.6% 15,345,801 4.4%
2049 projected 131,912,833 37.2% 15,833,656 4.5%
2050 projected 132,085,324 36.8% 16,305,468 4.5%
2051 projected 132,208,567 36.4% 16,762,651 4.6%
2052 projected 132,293,679 36.0% 17,207,180 4.7%
2053 projected 132,337,458 35.6% 17,648,328 4.7%
2054 projected 132,335,899 35.2% 18,097,431 4.8%
2055 projected 132,299,589 34.8% 18,553,088 4.9%
2056 projected 132,240,134 34.4% 19,010,250 4.9%
2057 projected 132,155,076 34.0% 19,473,098 5.0%
2058 projected 132,053,413 33.7% 19,946,433 5.1%
2059 projected 131,949,021 33.3% 20,432,940 5.2%
2060 projected 131,844,429 33.0% 20,939,802 5.2%
2061 projected 131,734,842 32.6% 21,467,822 5.3%
2062 projected 131,612,570 32.3% 22,010,323 5.4%
2063 projected 131,479,199 32.0% 22,571,210 5.5%
2064 projected 131,336,936 31.7% 23,174,208 5.6%
2065 projected 131,182,426 31.4% 23,851,162 5.7%
2066 projected 131,015,117 31.1% 24,608,666 5.8%
2067 projected 130,836,815 30.8% 25,441,007 6.0%
2068 projected 130,641,613 30.6% 26,351,728 6.2%
2069 projected 130,425,845 30.3% 27,339,149 6.4%
2070 projected 130,183,770 30.0% 28,399,445 6.6%
2071 projected 129,916,422 29.8% 29,526,479 6.8%
2072 projected 129,633,851 29.5% 30,704,806 7.0%
2073 projected 129,333,020 29.3% 31,929,103 7.2%
2074 projected 129,009,844 29.0% 33,191,997 7.5%
2075 projected 128,666,284 28.8% 34,480,218 7.7%
2076 projected 128,298,786 28.6% 35,790,106 8.0%
2077 projected 127,903,498 28.3% 37,103,526 8.2%
2078 projected 127,486,143 28.1% 38,403,162 8.5%
2079 projected 127,054,171 27.9% 39,691,844 8.7%
2080 projected 126,610,297 27.6% 40,950,666 8.9%
2081 projected 126,154,771 27.4% 42,144,194 9.2%
2082 projected 125,690,378 27.2% 43,261,685 9.4%
2083 projected 125,218,752 27.0% 44,307,467 9.6%
2084 projected 124,744,210 26.8% 45,279,571 9.7%
2085 projected 124,261,125 26.7% 46,175,311 9.9%
2086 projected 123,765,884 26.5% 47,039,675 10.1%
2087 projected 123,266,508 26.3% 47,906,810 10.2%
2088 projected 122,763,684 26.1% 48,774,901 10.4%
2089 projected 122,260,303 26.0% 49,636,645 10.5%
2090 projected 121,757,721 25.8% 50,484,824 10.7%
2091 projected 121,253,152 25.6% 51,328,383 10.9%
2092 projected 120,740,211 25.5% 52,161,738 11.0%
2093 projected 120,221,527 25.4% 52,981,943 11.2%
2094 projected 119,706,293 25.2% 53,798,547 11.3%
2095 projected 119,196,552 25.1% 54,610,743 11.5%
2096 projected 118,692,455 25.0% 55,415,329 11.6%
2097 projected 118,187,921 24.8% 56,217,887 11.8%
2098 projected 117,683,440 24.7% 57,011,664 12.0%
2099 projected 117,175,253 24.6% 57,793,508 12.1%
2100 projected 116,656,229 24.5% 58,567,155 12.3%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Nigeria with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.