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Countries / Aruba

Population state · Growing

Aruba

Latin America and the Caribbean · Caribbean · ABW · AW
SMALL POPULATION · Full population counts are shown; ratios with unstable small bases are suppressed.
Population state
Growing
current run since 2021 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.61
87 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
197
of 237
Regional population rank
35
of 50 in Latin America and the Caribbean
Population
108,066
Annual change
+113
small absolute movement
Natural change
−32
Migrant share
68.0%
Peak population · projected 2026 Deaths exceed births · since 2023 Working-age peak · 2017 Support ratio · 3.88 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reverses decline

Positive net migration is large enough to reverse natural decline.

Aruba, 2024 projected: natural change −32 people, net migration +141, WPP adjustment +4, total population change +113. Positive net migration is large enough to reverse natural decline.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +4-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

4 source years · since 2021 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 2021
4 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+113
0.10% of 2024 population
Series maximum
projected 2026
Projected from the WPP medium variant, not a forecast.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
2024108,066+1131.61
2050100,002−5641.62
208084,939−4361.63
210075,169−4911.64

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2028 · projected
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Aruba annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 46.5% in 1950 to 21.1% in 2023 and 15.5% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 5.6% to 16.4% and 31.9%. First annual crossover: 2028 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Aruba, 1950 to 2100 Aruba annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 46.5% in 1950 to 21.1% in 2023 and 15.5% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 5.6% to 16.4% and 31.9%. First annual crossover: 2028 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 15.5% 65+ · 31.9%
1950
Under 18 · 46.5%65+ · 5.6%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 21.1%65+ · 16.4%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 15.5%65+ · 31.9%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Aruba under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 19,866 46.5% 2,389 5.6%
1951 observed 20,629 47.0% 2,180 5.0%
1952 observed 21,418 47.6% 2,003 4.4%
1953 observed 22,214 48.0% 1,861 4.0%
1954 observed 22,999 48.4% 1,742 3.7%
1955 observed 23,759 48.7% 1,652 3.4%
1956 observed 24,486 48.9% 1,588 3.2%
1957 observed 25,176 49.0% 1,553 3.0%
1958 observed 25,841 49.1% 1,543 2.9%
1959 observed 26,468 49.0% 1,548 2.9%
1960 observed 26,848 48.9% 1,570 2.9%
1961 observed 27,030 48.6% 1,596 2.9%
1962 observed 27,220 48.3% 1,637 2.9%
1963 observed 27,349 48.0% 1,680 2.9%
1964 observed 27,435 47.6% 1,739 3.0%
1965 observed 27,473 47.2% 1,817 3.1%
1966 observed 27,404 46.7% 1,900 3.2%
1967 observed 27,221 46.1% 1,997 3.4%
1968 observed 26,992 45.7% 2,111 3.6%
1969 observed 26,763 45.3% 2,237 3.8%
1970 observed 26,534 45.0% 2,376 4.0%
1971 observed 26,284 44.7% 2,506 4.3%
1972 observed 25,967 44.1% 2,652 4.5%
1973 observed 25,620 43.1% 2,812 4.7%
1974 observed 25,283 42.1% 2,981 5.0%
1975 observed 24,907 41.0% 3,147 5.2%
1976 observed 24,323 39.7% 3,309 5.4%
1977 observed 23,595 38.4% 3,472 5.6%
1978 observed 22,927 37.2% 3,616 5.9%
1979 observed 22,325 36.1% 3,732 6.0%
1980 observed 21,779 35.1% 3,832 6.2%
1981 observed 21,321 34.2% 3,963 6.4%
1982 observed 20,880 33.3% 4,131 6.6%
1983 observed 20,472 32.4% 4,298 6.8%
1984 observed 20,122 31.7% 4,416 7.0%
1985 observed 19,694 30.9% 4,514 7.1%
1986 observed 19,119 30.0% 4,599 7.2%
1987 observed 18,469 29.1% 4,687 7.4%
1988 observed 17,899 28.3% 4,782 7.6%
1989 observed 17,831 28.1% 4,783 7.5%
1990 observed 18,690 29.0% 4,652 7.2%
1991 observed 20,601 31.0% 4,409 6.6%
1992 observed 22,067 32.0% 4,307 6.3%
1993 observed 22,628 31.8% 4,418 6.2%
1994 observed 23,223 31.6% 4,579 6.2%
1995 observed 23,550 31.0% 4,766 6.3%
1996 observed 23,638 30.1% 4,970 6.3%
1997 observed 23,799 29.3% 5,206 6.4%
1998 observed 24,028 28.7% 5,466 6.5%
1999 observed 24,317 28.1% 5,730 6.6%
2000 observed 24,648 27.8% 6,019 6.8%
2001 observed 24,821 27.5% 6,338 7.0%
2002 observed 24,795 27.1% 6,663 7.3%
2003 observed 24,736 26.8% 6,970 7.6%
2004 observed 24,656 26.5% 7,314 7.8%
2005 observed 24,606 26.1% 7,660 8.1%
2006 observed 24,655 25.8% 8,011 8.4%
2007 observed 24,817 25.7% 8,347 8.6%
2008 observed 25,063 25.6% 8,703 8.9%
2009 observed 25,328 25.6% 9,093 9.2%
2010 observed 25,347 25.3% 9,499 9.5%
2011 observed 24,971 24.7% 9,949 9.9%
2012 observed 24,477 24.1% 10,440 10.3%
2013 observed 24,097 23.5% 10,972 10.7%
2014 observed 23,849 23.1% 11,529 11.2%
2015 observed 23,749 22.8% 12,123 11.6%
2016 observed 23,761 22.6% 12,769 12.2%
2017 observed 23,846 22.6% 13,445 12.7%
2018 observed 23,937 22.5% 14,169 13.3%
2019 observed 23,986 22.4% 14,930 13.9%
2020 observed 23,836 22.2% 15,654 14.6%
2021 observed 23,516 21.9% 16,268 15.1%
2022 observed 23,155 21.5% 16,923 15.7%
2023 observed 22,743 21.1% 17,664 16.4%
2024 projected 22,355 20.7% 18,432 17.1%
2025 projected 21,997 20.3% 19,207 17.8%
2026 projected 21,640 20.0% 19,976 18.5%
2027 projected 21,294 19.7% 20,735 19.2%
2028 projected 20,945 19.4% 21,465 19.9%
2029 projected 20,592 19.1% 22,166 20.5%
2030 projected 20,233 18.8% 22,818 21.2%
2031 projected 19,875 18.5% 23,396 21.7%
2032 projected 19,537 18.2% 23,917 22.3%
2033 projected 19,230 17.9% 24,377 22.7%
2034 projected 18,976 17.7% 24,763 23.2%
2035 projected 18,779 17.6% 25,097 23.5%
2036 projected 18,645 17.5% 25,364 23.8%
2037 projected 18,565 17.5% 25,573 24.1%
2038 projected 18,523 17.5% 25,725 24.3%
2039 projected 18,501 17.6% 25,843 24.5%
2040 projected 18,511 17.6% 25,902 24.7%
2041 projected 18,532 17.7% 25,940 24.8%
2042 projected 18,557 17.8% 25,936 24.9%
2043 projected 18,576 17.9% 25,916 25.0%
2044 projected 18,578 18.0% 25,863 25.1%
2045 projected 18,562 18.1% 25,790 25.1%
2046 projected 18,528 18.1% 25,677 25.1%
2047 projected 18,476 18.2% 25,560 25.1%
2048 projected 18,406 18.2% 25,429 25.1%
2049 projected 18,313 18.2% 25,290 25.1%
2050 projected 18,204 18.2% 25,158 25.2%
2051 projected 18,067 18.2% 25,026 25.2%
2052 projected 17,909 18.1% 24,908 25.2%
2053 projected 17,731 18.1% 24,811 25.3%
2054 projected 17,539 18.0% 24,716 25.3%
2055 projected 17,332 17.9% 24,634 25.4%
2056 projected 17,127 17.8% 24,560 25.5%
2057 projected 16,907 17.6% 24,473 25.5%
2058 projected 16,675 17.5% 24,384 25.6%
2059 projected 16,439 17.3% 24,280 25.6%
2060 projected 16,202 17.2% 24,144 25.6%
2061 projected 15,971 17.1% 23,988 25.6%
2062 projected 15,754 16.9% 23,822 25.6%
2063 projected 15,542 16.8% 23,672 25.6%
2064 projected 15,355 16.7% 23,560 25.6%
2065 projected 15,181 16.6% 23,519 25.7%
2066 projected 15,031 16.5% 23,541 25.8%
2067 projected 14,900 16.4% 23,650 26.1%
2068 projected 14,786 16.4% 23,803 26.4%
2069 projected 14,685 16.4% 23,994 26.8%
2070 projected 14,601 16.4% 24,192 27.1%
2071 projected 14,533 16.4% 24,378 27.5%
2072 projected 14,480 16.4% 24,535 27.8%
2073 projected 14,430 16.4% 24,696 28.1%
2074 projected 14,379 16.4% 24,845 28.4%
2075 projected 14,331 16.5% 24,999 28.7%
2076 projected 14,283 16.5% 25,168 29.0%
2077 projected 14,231 16.5% 25,350 29.4%
2078 projected 14,173 16.5% 25,532 29.8%
2079 projected 14,105 16.5% 25,701 30.1%
2080 projected 14,028 16.5% 25,847 30.4%
2081 projected 13,944 16.5% 25,956 30.7%
2082 projected 13,851 16.5% 26,017 31.0%
2083 projected 13,747 16.4% 26,018 31.1%
2084 projected 13,626 16.4% 25,971 31.2%
2085 projected 13,499 16.3% 25,895 31.3%
2086 projected 13,370 16.3% 25,796 31.4%
2087 projected 13,234 16.2% 25,676 31.4%
2088 projected 13,097 16.1% 25,555 31.5%
2089 projected 12,954 16.0% 25,418 31.5%
2090 projected 12,810 16.0% 25,272 31.5%
2091 projected 12,668 15.9% 25,133 31.5%
2092 projected 12,526 15.8% 24,991 31.5%
2093 projected 12,393 15.7% 24,857 31.6%
2094 projected 12,266 15.7% 24,719 31.6%
2095 projected 12,144 15.6% 24,581 31.6%
2096 projected 12,028 15.6% 24,438 31.7%
2097 projected 11,923 15.5% 24,307 31.7%
2098 projected 11,826 15.5% 24,174 31.7%
2099 projected 11,735 15.5% 24,052 31.8%
2100 projected 11,657 15.5% 23,945 31.9%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
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SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.