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Countries / Niue

Population state · Growing

Niue

Oceania · Polynesia · NIU · NU

Niue's population reached its series maximum in 1967. The current run began in 2024.

SMALL POPULATION · Full population counts are shown; ratios with unstable small bases are suppressed.
Population state
Growing
current run since 2024 · projected 2024
Fertility
2.49
156 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
236
of 237
Regional population rank
23
of 23 in Oceania
Population
1,819
Annual change
+7
small absolute movement
Natural change
−2
Migrant share
32.3%
Peak population · 1967 Deaths exceed births · since 2020 Working-age peak · 1951 Support ratio · suppressed
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reverses decline

Positive net migration is large enough to reverse natural decline.

Niue, 2024 projected: natural change −2 people, net migration +10, WPP adjustment −1, total population change +7. Positive net migration is large enough to reverse natural decline.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −1-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

1 source years · since 2024 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 2024
1 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+7
0.38% of 2024 population
Series maximum
projected 1967
Projected from the WPP medium variant, not a forecast.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
20241,819+72.49
20501,966+82.01
20802,279+131.80
21002,393+31.75

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
Not reached by 2100
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Niue annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 46.3% in 1950 to 28.6% in 2023 and 20.3% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 4.6% to 15.8% and 19.9%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Niue, 1950 to 2100 Niue annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 46.3% in 1950 to 28.6% in 2023 and 20.3% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 4.6% to 15.8% and 19.9%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 20.3% 65+ · 19.9%
1950
Under 18 · 46.3%65+ · 4.6%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 28.6%65+ · 15.8%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 20.3%65+ · 19.9%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Niue under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 2,081 46.3% 208 4.6%
1951 observed 2,100 46.2% 212 4.7%
1952 observed 2,126 46.6% 204 4.5%
1953 observed 2,174 47.5% 209 4.6%
1954 observed 2,215 48.2% 210 4.6%
1955 observed 2,254 48.7% 218 4.7%
1956 observed 2,293 49.2% 223 4.8%
1957 observed 2,343 49.7% 225 4.8%
1958 observed 2,395 50.2% 235 4.9%
1959 observed 2,453 51.1% 236 4.9%
1960 observed 2,502 51.8% 231 4.8%
1961 observed 2,549 52.6% 231 4.8%
1962 observed 2,625 53.3% 235 4.8%
1963 observed 2,708 53.8% 240 4.8%
1964 observed 2,776 54.2% 240 4.7%
1965 observed 2,824 54.3% 243 4.7%
1966 observed 2,835 54.1% 246 4.7%
1967 observed 2,844 54.3% 251 4.8%
1968 observed 2,854 54.7% 257 4.9%
1969 observed 2,860 55.4% 252 4.9%
1970 observed 2,856 55.9% 243 4.8%
1971 observed 2,833 56.3% 240 4.8%
1972 observed 2,737 55.9% 238 4.9%
1973 observed 2,599 55.4% 233 5.0%
1974 observed 2,444 54.6% 239 5.3%
1975 observed 2,286 54.0% 246 5.8%
1976 observed 2,134 53.4% 249 6.2%
1977 observed 2,021 52.6% 248 6.5%
1978 observed 1,944 51.9% 240 6.4%
1979 observed 1,849 50.7% 232 6.4%
1980 observed 1,755 49.6% 229 6.5%
1981 observed 1,643 48.4% 220 6.5%
1982 observed 1,529 47.1% 219 6.7%
1983 observed 1,422 45.8% 225 7.2%
1984 observed 1,329 45.0% 222 7.5%
1985 observed 1,246 44.8% 219 7.9%
1986 observed 1,173 44.5% 214 8.1%
1987 observed 1,126 43.9% 210 8.2%
1988 observed 1,081 42.6% 207 8.2%
1989 observed 1,037 41.2% 206 8.2%
1990 observed 991 40.0% 205 8.3%
1991 observed 955 38.9% 208 8.5%
1992 observed 925 38.3% 205 8.5%
1993 observed 892 37.5% 206 8.7%
1994 observed 866 37.0% 202 8.6%
1995 observed 843 36.6% 198 8.6%
1996 observed 821 36.3% 199 8.8%
1997 observed 797 36.0% 198 8.9%
1998 observed 751 34.7% 198 9.1%
1999 observed 709 33.6% 193 9.1%
2000 observed 672 32.8% 187 9.1%
2001 observed 649 32.6% 180 9.0%
2002 observed 620 32.1% 175 9.0%
2003 observed 602 31.6% 184 9.6%
2004 observed 579 31.1% 193 10.4%
2005 observed 565 31.0% 197 10.8%
2006 observed 560 31.1% 208 11.5%
2007 observed 557 31.2% 216 12.1%
2008 observed 549 30.9% 216 12.1%
2009 observed 547 30.7% 221 12.4%
2010 observed 539 30.5% 221 12.5%
2011 observed 540 30.8% 217 12.4%
2012 observed 544 30.9% 217 12.3%
2013 observed 539 30.6% 217 12.3%
2014 observed 543 30.7% 220 12.4%
2015 observed 543 30.7% 221 12.5%
2016 observed 545 30.6% 229 12.9%
2017 observed 542 30.4% 235 13.2%
2018 observed 536 30.0% 242 13.5%
2019 observed 529 29.6% 249 13.9%
2020 observed 529 29.5% 255 14.2%
2021 observed 527 29.0% 276 15.2%
2022 observed 523 28.7% 286 15.7%
2023 observed 520 28.6% 287 15.8%
2024 projected 515 28.3% 296 16.3%
2025 projected 508 27.8% 309 16.9%
2026 projected 503 27.6% 311 17.1%
2027 projected 496 27.2% 310 17.0%
2028 projected 487 26.6% 317 17.3%
2029 projected 479 26.0% 319 17.3%
2030 projected 476 25.8% 318 17.2%
2031 projected 476 25.8% 307 16.6%
2032 projected 478 25.9% 304 16.4%
2033 projected 483 26.1% 300 16.2%
2034 projected 490 26.3% 292 15.7%
2035 projected 498 26.6% 285 15.2%
2036 projected 506 27.0% 282 15.0%
2037 projected 514 27.3% 286 15.2%
2038 projected 523 27.6% 288 15.2%
2039 projected 532 28.0% 281 14.8%
2040 projected 541 28.3% 280 14.7%
2041 projected 549 28.6% 285 14.8%
2042 projected 557 28.9% 290 15.0%
2043 projected 564 29.2% 286 14.8%
2044 projected 568 29.4% 281 14.6%
2045 projected 570 29.4% 285 14.7%
2046 projected 571 29.3% 288 14.8%
2047 projected 571 29.2% 276 14.1%
2048 projected 567 29.0% 270 13.8%
2049 projected 563 28.7% 269 13.7%
2050 projected 559 28.5% 269 13.7%
2051 projected 553 28.1% 269 13.7%
2052 projected 547 27.6% 272 13.7%
2053 projected 540 27.2% 267 13.4%
2054 projected 533 26.7% 262 13.1%
2055 projected 527 26.3% 259 12.9%
2056 projected 521 25.9% 257 12.8%
2057 projected 516 25.6% 252 12.5%
2058 projected 510 25.2% 250 12.3%
2059 projected 505 24.9% 240 11.8%
2060 projected 501 24.6% 243 11.9%
2061 projected 497 24.3% 245 12.0%
2062 projected 495 24.0% 250 12.1%
2063 projected 494 23.9% 248 12.0%
2064 projected 494 23.7% 251 12.0%
2065 projected 496 23.7% 251 12.0%
2066 projected 497 23.6% 253 12.0%
2067 projected 501 23.7% 252 11.9%
2068 projected 504 23.7% 259 12.2%
2069 projected 506 23.6% 266 12.4%
2070 projected 510 23.6% 277 12.8%
2071 projected 513 23.7% 287 13.2%
2072 projected 517 23.7% 299 13.7%
2073 projected 521 23.8% 311 14.2%
2074 projected 525 23.9% 320 14.6%
2075 projected 529 23.9% 336 15.2%
2076 projected 530 23.8% 354 15.9%
2077 projected 531 23.7% 368 16.4%
2078 projected 530 23.6% 373 16.6%
2079 projected 530 23.4% 383 16.9%
2080 projected 529 23.3% 390 17.1%
2081 projected 529 23.1% 396 17.3%
2082 projected 525 22.9% 399 17.4%
2083 projected 519 22.6% 400 17.4%
2084 projected 517 22.4% 404 17.5%
2085 projected 511 22.1% 405 17.5%
2086 projected 506 21.8% 407 17.5%
2087 projected 502 21.6% 409 17.6%
2088 projected 499 21.4% 414 17.8%
2089 projected 496 21.2% 418 17.9%
2090 projected 492 21.0% 421 17.9%
2091 projected 491 20.8% 424 18.0%
2092 projected 490 20.8% 427 18.1%
2093 projected 492 20.8% 426 18.0%
2094 projected 490 20.6% 432 18.2%
2095 projected 488 20.5% 440 18.5%
2096 projected 487 20.5% 441 18.6%
2097 projected 486 20.4% 453 19.0%
2098 projected 486 20.4% 456 19.1%
2099 projected 486 20.3% 465 19.5%
2100 projected 486 20.3% 476 19.9%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Niue with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.