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Population state · Growing

Holy See

Europe · Southern Europe · VAT · VA
SMALL POPULATION · Full population counts are shown; ratios with unstable small bases are suppressed.
Population state
Growing
current run since 2024 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.00
9 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
237
of 237
Regional population rank
50
of 50 in Europe
Annual change
+9
small absolute movement
Peak population · projected 2100 Deaths exceed births · since 1983 Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · suppressed
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reverses decline

Positive net migration is large enough to reverse natural decline.

Holy See, 2024 projected: natural change −11 people, net migration +18, WPP adjustment +2, total population change +9. Positive net migration is large enough to reverse natural decline.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +2-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

1 source years · since 2024 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 2024
1 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+9
1.81% of 2024 population
Series maximum
not established in this series
Still rising at the 2100 horizon of this release.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
2024496+91.00
2050714+130.99
20801,141+130.97
21001,361+40.97

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
1989 · observed
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Holy See annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 44.5% in 1950 to 7.5% in 2023 and 12.3% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 3.2% to 44.6% and 30.8%. First annual crossover: 1989 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Holy See, 1950 to 2100 Holy See annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 44.5% in 1950 to 7.5% in 2023 and 12.3% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 3.2% to 44.6% and 30.8%. First annual crossover: 1989 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 12.3% 65+ · 30.8%
1950
Under 18 · 44.5%65+ · 3.2%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 7.5%65+ · 44.6%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 12.3%65+ · 30.8%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Holy See under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 390 44.5% 28 3.2%
1951 observed 379 42.9% 32 3.6%
1952 observed 366 41.2% 36 4.0%
1953 observed 352 39.3% 40 4.5%
1954 observed 339 37.6% 44 4.9%
1955 observed 325 35.7% 48 5.3%
1956 observed 311 34.0% 49 5.4%
1957 observed 296 32.3% 48 5.2%
1958 observed 282 30.7% 46 5.0%
1959 observed 268 29.1% 46 5.0%
1960 observed 254 27.7% 43 4.7%
1961 observed 239 26.0% 42 4.6%
1962 observed 223 24.3% 42 4.6%
1963 observed 207 22.5% 42 4.6%
1964 observed 189 20.5% 46 5.0%
1965 observed 163 18.5% 52 5.9%
1966 observed 135 16.1% 56 6.7%
1967 observed 121 14.9% 57 7.0%
1968 observed 118 15.3% 56 7.3%
1969 observed 116 15.4% 57 7.6%
1970 observed 115 15.4% 56 7.5%
1971 observed 114 15.4% 55 7.4%
1972 observed 114 15.5% 56 7.6%
1973 observed 114 15.5% 56 7.6%
1974 observed 114 15.6% 57 7.8%
1975 observed 113 15.4% 60 8.2%
1976 observed 113 15.4% 64 8.7%
1977 observed 113 15.3% 68 9.2%
1978 observed 113 15.3% 74 10.0%
1979 observed 113 15.2% 79 10.6%
1980 observed 113 15.2% 82 11.0%
1981 observed 113 15.2% 83 11.2%
1982 observed 112 15.1% 82 11.1%
1983 observed 111 15.1% 82 11.1%
1984 observed 110 15.0% 83 11.3%
1985 observed 109 14.9% 87 11.9%
1986 observed 108 14.8% 91 12.5%
1987 observed 107 14.7% 96 13.2%
1988 observed 105 14.4% 100 13.7%
1989 observed 103 14.2% 106 14.6%
1990 observed 101 13.9% 114 15.7%
1991 observed 99 13.6% 121 16.7%
1992 observed 97 13.4% 127 17.5%
1993 observed 95 13.2% 133 18.5%
1994 observed 93 13.0% 137 19.2%
1995 observed 91 12.9% 142 20.1%
1996 observed 89 12.7% 147 20.9%
1997 observed 87 12.4% 153 21.9%
1998 observed 85 12.1% 163 23.3%
1999 observed 83 11.9% 170 24.5%
2000 observed 80 11.6% 177 25.7%
2001 observed 77 11.3% 181 26.7%
2002 observed 74 11.1% 185 27.7%
2003 observed 71 10.7% 192 29.0%
2004 observed 68 10.3% 202 30.7%
2005 observed 66 10.0% 213 32.4%
2006 observed 65 9.9% 225 34.2%
2007 observed 63 9.7% 233 35.8%
2008 observed 61 9.5% 236 36.9%
2009 observed 59 9.4% 241 38.3%
2010 observed 57 9.2% 248 40.0%
2011 observed 55 9.0% 260 42.3%
2012 observed 53 8.8% 269 44.6%
2013 observed 51 8.7% 277 47.1%
2014 observed 49 8.4% 283 48.6%
2015 observed 46 8.0% 274 47.9%
2016 observed 44 7.8% 267 47.4%
2017 observed 43 7.7% 261 47.0%
2018 observed 42 7.7% 251 46.2%
2019 observed 41 7.7% 246 46.0%
2020 observed 40 7.6% 240 45.6%
2021 observed 39 7.6% 233 45.2%
2022 observed 38 7.5% 227 45.0%
2023 observed 37 7.5% 221 44.6%
2024 projected 41 8.2% 216 43.1%
2025 projected 44 8.8% 212 42.2%
2026 projected 52 10.2% 206 40.6%
2027 projected 68 13.0% 201 38.4%
2028 projected 69 13.1% 194 36.9%
2029 projected 70 13.3% 188 35.7%
2030 projected 71 13.5% 184 35.0%
2031 projected 72 13.7% 180 34.4%
2032 projected 72 13.6% 175 33.1%
2033 projected 72 13.5% 172 32.3%
2034 projected 72 13.5% 166 31.1%
2035 projected 72 13.4% 164 30.4%
2036 projected 72 13.3% 160 29.6%
2037 projected 72 13.4% 153 28.4%
2038 projected 72 13.2% 152 27.9%
2039 projected 76 13.6% 150 26.8%
2040 projected 84 14.5% 150 25.8%
2041 projected 93 15.5% 148 24.7%
2042 projected 98 15.9% 148 24.0%
2043 projected 101 16.1% 146 23.3%
2044 projected 102 16.0% 150 23.5%
2045 projected 103 15.9% 150 23.1%
2046 projected 105 15.8% 157 23.6%
2047 projected 105 15.6% 156 23.2%
2048 projected 105 15.3% 158 23.0%
2049 projected 107 15.3% 160 22.9%
2050 projected 107 14.9% 164 22.9%
2051 projected 108 14.8% 164 22.5%
2052 projected 108 14.6% 165 22.3%
2053 projected 115 15.1% 169 22.1%
2054 projected 118 15.2% 170 22.0%
2055 projected 125 15.8% 171 21.7%
2056 projected 128 16.0% 174 21.8%
2057 projected 130 16.0% 176 21.7%
2058 projected 131 16.0% 180 21.9%
2059 projected 133 16.0% 180 21.7%
2060 projected 135 15.9% 182 21.5%
2061 projected 136 15.7% 183 21.2%
2062 projected 137 15.6% 186 21.2%
2063 projected 137 15.3% 192 21.5%
2064 projected 138 15.2% 194 21.3%
2065 projected 139 15.1% 199 21.6%
2066 projected 140 14.9% 205 21.9%
2067 projected 141 14.8% 210 22.1%
2068 projected 141 14.7% 216 22.5%
2069 projected 141 14.4% 220 22.5%
2070 projected 141 14.1% 226 22.6%
2071 projected 144 14.1% 229 22.5%
2072 projected 148 14.2% 237 22.8%
2073 projected 150 14.2% 241 22.9%
2074 projected 153 14.3% 249 23.2%
2075 projected 156 14.4% 257 23.7%
2076 projected 159 14.5% 264 24.0%
2077 projected 161 14.5% 270 24.3%
2078 projected 161 14.4% 274 24.5%
2079 projected 162 14.3% 282 24.9%
2080 projected 163 14.3% 288 25.2%
2081 projected 164 14.2% 296 25.6%
2082 projected 164 14.1% 302 25.9%
2083 projected 166 14.0% 308 26.0%
2084 projected 166 13.8% 312 26.0%
2085 projected 166 13.7% 319 26.2%
2086 projected 166 13.5% 326 26.5%
2087 projected 167 13.5% 332 26.8%
2088 projected 167 13.3% 341 27.2%
2089 projected 167 13.2% 347 27.5%
2090 projected 168 13.1% 355 27.8%
2091 projected 168 13.0% 361 28.0%
2092 projected 168 12.9% 366 28.2%
2093 projected 168 12.8% 374 28.6%
2094 projected 168 12.8% 378 28.7%
2095 projected 168 12.7% 386 29.1%
2096 projected 168 12.6% 392 29.4%
2097 projected 168 12.5% 399 29.8%
2098 projected 168 12.5% 406 30.1%
2099 projected 168 12.4% 412 30.4%
2100 projected 168 12.3% 419 30.8%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.