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Countries / Marshall Islands

Population state · Sustained decline

Marshall Islands

Oceania · Micronesia · MHL · MH

Marshall Islands's population reached its series maximum in 2010. The current run began in 2011.

SMALL POPULATION · Full population counts are shown; ratios with unstable small bases are suppressed.
Population state
Sustained decline
current run since 2011 · projected 2024
Fertility
2.86
178 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
220
of 237
Regional population rank
16
of 23 in Oceania
Population
37,548
Annual change
−1,268
42nd-largest annual loss in the recordsmall absolute movement
Natural change
+486
Migrant share
8.8%
Peak population · 2010 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · 2007 Support ratio · suppressed
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reverses growth

Negative net migration is large enough to reverse natural growth.

Marshall Islands, 2024 projected: natural change +486 people, net migration −1,765, WPP adjustment +11, total population change −1,268. Negative net migration is large enough to reverse natural growth.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +11-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
SUSTAINED DECLINE · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Decline over time

14 source years · since 2011 Tied rank 12 of 29 by streak duration Duration, not severity
CARD 01 · ANNUAL TOTAL POPULATION CHANGE

Annual change through the streak

Each bar is one year’s total population change. View the same evidence as a share of that year’s population or as a count of people.

Births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments are included.
−3.38%
2011–2024 · 14 source years Loss rate is steeper than at the start
Annual change bar chart
Observed through 2023 2024 projected

One discrete bar for each source year from 2011 through 2024. The chart includes total population change from births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments; observed and projected rows are distinguished.

Annual total population change for Marshall Islands, 2011 to 2024
YearEvidencePercent of populationPeople
2011observed−0.63%−325
2012observed−1.27%−652
2013observed−1.63%−824
2014observed−1.90%−946
2015observed−2.14%−1,045
2016observed−2.39%−1,138
2017observed−2.63%−1,222
2018observed−2.80%−1,266
2019observed−2.93%−1,291
2020observed−3.07%−1,309
2021observed−3.31%−1,370
2022observed−3.02%−1,210
2023observed−3.32%−1,290
2024projected−3.38%−1,268
First year−0.63%
Least negative−0.63% · 2011
Most negative−3.38% · 2024
2024−3.38%
CARD 02 · LITERAL SERIES MAXIMUM

Population below peak

Peak population minus the 2024 population, shown in people and as a share of the peak.

27.9%
14,496 people below peak
Population from peak line chart
Observed through 2023 2024 projected Focused scale · peak = 100

Annual total population from the literal series maximum in 2010 through 2024, indexed so the peak equals 100. The focused scale shows the stock path while exact annual populations remain in the table.

Annual total population from the literal peak through 2024
YearEvidencePopulation
2010observed52,044
2011observed51,907
2012observed51,419
2013observed50,681
2014observed49,796
2015observed48,800
2016observed47,709
2017observed46,529
2018observed45,285
2019observed44,007
2020observed42,706
2021observed41,367
2022observed40,077
2023observed38,827
2024projected37,548
Peak population · 2010
52,044
2024 population
37,548

From 52,044 people in 2010 to 37,548 in 2024. The endpoint is projected; the peak year is the literal maximum in the WPP series.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaannual-total-change-rate-v1 · population-below-peak-v1 · population-from-peak-v1 · sustained-decline-streak-rank-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/sustained-decline-profile.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship; streak rank compares the 29 canonical sustained-decline members only.
Reference timeAnnual source rows from 2011 through 2024; estimates through 2023, then medium-variant projection.
UnitWhole people and annual total change as a percentage of same-year population; the population-path chart indexes the literal peak to 100 while retaining exact annual counts.
Evidence statusprojected 2024 endpoint; observed/projected status is retained for every chart row.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
202437,548−1,2682.86
205025,195−992.11
208024,715+271.82
210023,805−971.75

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
Not reached by 2100
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Marshall Islands annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 49.8% in 1950 to 42.3% in 2023 and 20.1% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 5.9% to 4.4% and 17.9%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Marshall Islands, 1950 to 2100 Marshall Islands annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 49.8% in 1950 to 42.3% in 2023 and 20.1% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 5.9% to 4.4% and 17.9%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 20.1% 65+ · 17.9%
1950
Under 18 · 49.8%65+ · 5.9%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 42.3%65+ · 4.4%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 20.1%65+ · 17.9%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Marshall Islands under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 6,471 49.8% 766 5.9%
1951 observed 6,569 50.1% 762 5.8%
1952 observed 6,635 50.2% 768 5.8%
1953 observed 6,673 50.1% 776 5.8%
1954 observed 6,690 50.0% 784 5.9%
1955 observed 6,708 49.7% 799 5.9%
1956 observed 6,731 49.6% 806 5.9%
1957 observed 6,741 49.4% 822 6.0%
1958 observed 6,846 49.6% 836 6.1%
1959 observed 7,142 50.3% 848 6.0%
1960 observed 7,541 51.3% 858 5.8%
1961 observed 7,927 52.1% 872 5.7%
1962 observed 8,305 52.7% 893 5.7%
1963 observed 8,674 53.2% 921 5.6%
1964 observed 9,013 53.5% 952 5.6%
1965 observed 9,329 53.6% 992 5.7%
1966 observed 9,607 53.6% 1,038 5.8%
1967 observed 9,940 53.3% 1,044 5.6%
1968 observed 10,468 52.7% 966 4.9%
1969 observed 11,072 52.0% 860 4.0%
1970 observed 11,641 51.7% 784 3.5%
1971 observed 12,226 52.3% 812 3.5%
1972 observed 12,806 53.4% 878 3.7%
1973 observed 13,324 54.2% 954 3.9%
1974 observed 13,808 54.6% 983 3.9%
1975 observed 14,316 54.8% 976 3.7%
1976 observed 14,842 54.9% 975 3.6%
1977 observed 15,393 55.2% 967 3.5%
1978 observed 15,977 55.4% 971 3.4%
1979 observed 16,592 55.8% 974 3.3%
1980 observed 17,270 56.1% 988 3.2%
1981 observed 18,062 56.4% 1,017 3.2%
1982 observed 18,907 56.6% 1,054 3.2%
1983 observed 19,744 56.7% 1,090 3.1%
1984 observed 20,574 56.7% 1,125 3.1%
1985 observed 21,427 56.7% 1,156 3.1%
1986 observed 22,300 56.8% 1,178 3.0%
1987 observed 23,198 56.8% 1,202 2.9%
1988 observed 24,060 56.9% 1,229 2.9%
1989 observed 24,757 56.8% 1,246 2.9%
1990 observed 25,279 56.6% 1,249 2.8%
1991 observed 25,668 56.3% 1,250 2.7%
1992 observed 25,901 55.8% 1,248 2.7%
1993 observed 25,998 55.2% 1,240 2.6%
1994 observed 26,015 54.5% 1,237 2.6%
1995 observed 25,969 53.8% 1,227 2.5%
1996 observed 25,865 53.0% 1,212 2.5%
1997 observed 25,710 52.2% 1,181 2.4%
1998 observed 25,522 51.3% 1,147 2.3%
1999 observed 25,365 50.5% 1,126 2.2%
2000 observed 25,263 49.8% 1,136 2.2%
2001 observed 25,102 49.1% 1,151 2.3%
2002 observed 24,849 48.3% 1,164 2.3%
2003 observed 24,539 47.5% 1,161 2.2%
2004 observed 24,217 46.8% 1,152 2.2%
2005 observed 23,935 46.1% 1,133 2.2%
2006 observed 23,703 45.6% 1,116 2.1%
2007 observed 23,517 45.2% 1,106 2.1%
2008 observed 23,385 44.9% 1,090 2.1%
2009 observed 23,369 44.9% 1,084 2.1%
2010 observed 23,527 45.2% 1,071 2.1%
2011 observed 23,588 45.4% 1,078 2.1%
2012 observed 23,288 45.3% 1,136 2.2%
2013 observed 22,754 44.9% 1,205 2.4%
2014 observed 22,128 44.4% 1,285 2.6%
2015 observed 21,422 43.9% 1,369 2.8%
2016 observed 20,665 43.3% 1,435 3.0%
2017 observed 19,888 42.7% 1,486 3.2%
2018 observed 19,108 42.2% 1,538 3.4%
2019 observed 18,390 41.8% 1,568 3.6%
2020 observed 17,729 41.5% 1,581 3.7%
2021 observed 17,240 41.7% 1,598 3.9%
2022 observed 16,862 42.1% 1,650 4.1%
2023 observed 16,417 42.3% 1,700 4.4%
2024 projected 15,836 42.2% 1,741 4.6%
2025 projected 15,165 41.8% 1,770 4.9%
2026 projected 14,487 41.3% 1,794 5.1%
2027 projected 13,827 40.7% 1,832 5.4%
2028 projected 13,178 40.0% 1,874 5.7%
2029 projected 12,564 39.2% 1,924 6.0%
2030 projected 12,009 38.5% 1,984 6.4%
2031 projected 11,511 37.8% 2,046 6.7%
2032 projected 11,079 37.2% 2,101 7.1%
2033 projected 10,688 36.7% 2,152 7.4%
2034 projected 10,328 36.1% 2,220 7.8%
2035 projected 10,001 35.5% 2,278 8.1%
2036 projected 9,715 35.0% 2,350 8.5%
2037 projected 9,445 34.5% 2,419 8.8%
2038 projected 9,189 33.9% 2,479 9.1%
2039 projected 8,974 33.4% 2,538 9.5%
2040 projected 8,823 33.2% 2,617 9.8%
2041 projected 8,729 33.1% 2,682 10.2%
2042 projected 8,696 33.2% 2,748 10.5%
2043 projected 8,692 33.4% 2,814 10.8%
2044 projected 8,704 33.6% 2,883 11.1%
2045 projected 8,707 33.8% 2,959 11.5%
2046 projected 8,712 34.0% 3,042 11.9%
2047 projected 8,702 34.1% 3,118 12.2%
2048 projected 8,674 34.1% 3,179 12.5%
2049 projected 8,622 34.1% 3,219 12.7%
2050 projected 8,557 34.0% 3,250 12.9%
2051 projected 8,466 33.8% 3,251 13.0%
2052 projected 8,360 33.5% 3,242 13.0%
2053 projected 8,237 33.1% 3,208 12.9%
2054 projected 8,096 32.7% 3,153 12.7%
2055 projected 7,940 32.2% 3,060 12.4%
2056 projected 7,772 31.6% 2,902 11.8%
2057 projected 7,609 31.1% 2,722 11.1%
2058 projected 7,438 30.5% 2,521 10.3%
2059 projected 7,278 29.9% 2,320 9.5%
2060 projected 7,107 29.2% 2,124 8.7%
2061 projected 6,966 28.7% 1,943 8.0%
2062 projected 6,818 28.2% 1,766 7.3%
2063 projected 6,689 27.7% 1,604 6.6%
2064 projected 6,589 27.3% 1,446 6.0%
2065 projected 6,489 26.8% 1,305 5.4%
2066 projected 6,414 26.5% 1,176 4.9%
2067 projected 6,354 26.2% 1,083 4.5%
2068 projected 6,299 26.0% 1,040 4.3%
2069 projected 6,261 25.8% 1,065 4.4%
2070 projected 6,227 25.6% 1,159 4.8%
2071 projected 6,199 25.4% 1,298 5.3%
2072 projected 6,171 25.3% 1,471 6.0%
2073 projected 6,153 25.2% 1,668 6.8%
2074 projected 6,129 25.0% 1,894 7.7%
2075 projected 6,106 24.9% 2,132 8.7%
2076 projected 6,085 24.8% 2,381 9.7%
2077 projected 6,049 24.6% 2,608 10.6%
2078 projected 6,015 24.4% 2,829 11.5%
2079 projected 5,979 24.2% 3,031 12.3%
2080 projected 5,926 24.0% 3,224 13.0%
2081 projected 5,874 23.7% 3,419 13.8%
2082 projected 5,813 23.5% 3,604 14.6%
2083 projected 5,752 23.2% 3,776 15.2%
2084 projected 5,684 23.0% 3,957 16.0%
2085 projected 5,609 22.7% 4,126 16.7%
2086 projected 5,535 22.4% 4,276 17.3%
2087 projected 5,463 22.1% 4,384 17.7%
2088 projected 5,384 21.8% 4,440 18.0%
2089 projected 5,314 21.6% 4,446 18.0%
2090 projected 5,242 21.3% 4,427 18.0%
2091 projected 5,171 21.1% 4,403 18.0%
2092 projected 5,111 20.9% 4,369 17.9%
2093 projected 5,052 20.7% 4,330 17.7%
2094 projected 4,999 20.6% 4,293 17.7%
2095 projected 4,951 20.4% 4,259 17.6%
2096 projected 4,904 20.3% 4,243 17.6%
2097 projected 4,867 20.2% 4,227 17.6%
2098 projected 4,834 20.2% 4,228 17.6%
2099 projected 4,806 20.1% 4,245 17.8%
2100 projected 4,777 20.1% 4,262 17.9%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Marshall Islands with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.