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Countries / Kazakhstan

Population state · Growing

Kazakhstan

Asia · Central Asia · KAZ · KZ
Population state
Growing
current run since 1999 · projected 2024
Fertility
2.98
179 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
64
of 237
Regional population rank
25
of 51 in Asia
Population
20.59m
Annual change
+256,726
Natural change
+264,082
Migrant share
10.1%
Peak population · projected 2100 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 7.16 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces growth

Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Kazakhstan, 2024 projected: natural change +264,082 people, net migration −7,368, WPP adjustment +12, total population change +256,726. Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +12-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

26 source years · since 1999 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1999
26 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+256,726
1.25% of 2024 population
Series maximum
not established in this series
Still rising at the 2100 horizon of this release.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
202420.59m+256,7262.98
205026.54m+214,5792.39
208031.53m+137,5072.06
210033.67m+69,0231.94

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2097 · projected
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Kazakhstan annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 40.0% in 1950 to 34.3% in 2023 and 21.1% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 6.5% to 8.3% and 22.2%. First annual crossover: 2097 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Kazakhstan, 1950 to 2100 Kazakhstan annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 40.0% in 1950 to 34.3% in 2023 and 21.1% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 6.5% to 8.3% and 22.2%. First annual crossover: 2097 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 21.1% 65+ · 22.2%
1950
Under 18 · 40.0%65+ · 6.5%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 34.3%65+ · 8.3%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 21.1%65+ · 22.2%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Kazakhstan under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 2,716,432 40.0% 438,806 6.5%
1951 observed 2,846,684 40.5% 450,090 6.4%
1952 observed 2,961,286 40.8% 463,039 6.4%
1953 observed 3,051,417 40.7% 475,923 6.3%
1954 observed 3,118,774 40.3% 486,179 6.3%
1955 observed 3,174,639 39.7% 493,068 6.2%
1956 observed 3,238,760 39.2% 497,007 6.0%
1957 observed 3,319,997 38.9% 498,054 5.8%
1958 observed 3,435,099 38.9% 497,226 5.6%
1959 observed 3,586,458 39.3% 496,473 5.4%
1960 observed 3,766,466 39.9% 496,502 5.3%
1961 observed 3,986,502 40.9% 497,101 5.1%
1962 observed 4,232,591 42.1% 498,530 5.0%
1963 observed 4,471,550 43.1% 501,430 4.8%
1964 observed 4,662,006 43.6% 506,841 4.7%
1965 observed 4,794,526 43.6% 515,078 4.7%
1966 observed 4,900,958 43.4% 526,273 4.7%
1967 observed 4,992,736 43.1% 540,737 4.7%
1968 observed 5,073,484 42.7% 557,448 4.7%
1969 observed 5,142,190 42.3% 574,511 4.7%
1970 observed 5,205,598 41.9% 591,415 4.8%
1971 observed 5,272,600 41.6% 607,768 4.8%
1972 observed 5,343,350 41.3% 623,319 4.8%
1973 observed 5,410,993 41.0% 639,171 4.8%
1974 observed 5,468,808 40.6% 656,956 4.9%
1975 observed 5,514,992 40.3% 676,852 4.9%
1976 observed 5,592,203 39.9% 713,678 5.1%
1977 observed 5,706,221 39.8% 766,773 5.3%
1978 observed 5,813,299 39.5% 817,440 5.6%
1979 observed 5,883,797 39.3% 967,465 6.5%
1980 observed 5,915,399 39.0% 1,090,700 7.2%
1981 observed 5,948,136 38.8% 1,082,812 7.1%
1982 observed 5,977,668 38.6% 1,070,683 6.9%
1983 observed 6,003,801 38.3% 1,056,712 6.7%
1984 observed 6,049,083 38.2% 1,043,506 6.6%
1985 observed 6,111,809 38.1% 1,032,471 6.4%
1986 observed 6,181,651 38.0% 1,011,849 6.2%
1987 observed 6,243,857 37.8% 983,368 5.9%
1988 observed 6,294,291 37.5% 962,549 5.7%
1989 observed 6,340,121 37.3% 963,873 5.7%
1990 observed 6,377,214 37.2% 983,999 5.7%
1991 observed 6,397,516 37.0% 1,009,604 5.8%
1992 observed 6,382,068 36.8% 1,039,709 6.0%
1993 observed 6,316,301 36.6% 1,068,963 6.2%
1994 observed 6,179,328 36.3% 1,089,322 6.4%
1995 observed 6,005,584 35.9% 1,098,333 6.6%
1996 observed 5,828,113 35.5% 1,094,923 6.7%
1997 observed 5,626,537 35.1% 1,076,322 6.7%
1998 observed 5,416,575 34.6% 1,047,713 6.7%
1999 observed 5,275,017 34.1% 1,031,137 6.7%
2000 observed 5,211,680 33.6% 1,037,552 6.7%
2001 observed 5,152,732 33.1% 1,060,321 6.8%
2002 observed 5,087,390 32.5% 1,096,657 7.0%
2003 observed 5,027,224 31.9% 1,136,271 7.2%
2004 observed 4,981,618 31.4% 1,169,514 7.4%
2005 observed 4,948,552 31.0% 1,193,010 7.5%
2006 observed 4,931,497 30.6% 1,203,763 7.5%
2007 observed 4,941,752 30.4% 1,195,065 7.4%
2008 observed 4,987,413 30.4% 1,162,531 7.1%
2009 observed 5,050,237 30.4% 1,122,218 6.8%
2010 observed 5,117,568 30.4% 1,095,109 6.5%
2011 observed 5,198,500 30.5% 1,088,682 6.4%
2012 observed 5,294,885 30.6% 1,103,981 6.4%
2013 observed 5,411,093 30.8% 1,134,759 6.5%
2014 observed 5,552,994 31.2% 1,175,341 6.6%
2015 observed 5,713,998 31.6% 1,222,756 6.8%
2016 observed 5,881,398 32.0% 1,274,382 6.9%
2017 observed 6,046,822 32.4% 1,328,710 7.1%
2018 observed 6,198,428 32.7% 1,382,421 7.3%
2019 observed 6,343,244 33.0% 1,436,952 7.5%
2020 observed 6,491,443 33.3% 1,490,144 7.6%
2021 observed 6,663,751 33.8% 1,535,388 7.8%
2022 observed 6,835,677 34.1% 1,599,845 8.0%
2023 observed 6,966,544 34.3% 1,689,056 8.3%
2024 projected 7,066,277 34.3% 1,781,923 8.7%
2025 projected 7,137,774 34.2% 1,876,502 9.0%
2026 projected 7,182,901 34.1% 1,969,538 9.3%
2027 projected 7,208,657 33.8% 2,059,787 9.7%
2028 projected 7,221,798 33.5% 2,146,569 10.0%
2029 projected 7,225,927 33.2% 2,231,403 10.2%
2030 projected 7,225,039 32.8% 2,313,943 10.5%
2031 projected 7,221,209 32.5% 2,391,804 10.8%
2032 projected 7,215,885 32.1% 2,465,209 11.0%
2033 projected 7,210,318 31.8% 2,534,968 11.2%
2034 projected 7,204,596 31.5% 2,602,058 11.4%
2035 projected 7,200,109 31.1% 2,667,474 11.5%
2036 projected 7,197,127 30.8% 2,732,244 11.7%
2037 projected 7,192,699 30.5% 2,796,820 11.9%
2038 projected 7,185,134 30.2% 2,861,017 12.0%
2039 projected 7,165,410 29.8% 2,924,654 12.2%
2040 projected 7,159,499 29.5% 2,987,653 12.3%
2041 projected 7,184,697 29.4% 3,049,478 12.5%
2042 projected 7,222,717 29.2% 3,109,811 12.6%
2043 projected 7,272,609 29.2% 3,169,282 12.7%
2044 projected 7,332,149 29.1% 3,229,103 12.8%
2045 projected 7,398,157 29.1% 3,290,729 13.0%
2046 projected 7,468,123 29.1% 3,355,193 13.1%
2047 projected 7,539,987 29.1% 3,423,364 13.2%
2048 projected 7,610,345 29.2% 3,496,269 13.4%
2049 projected 7,675,736 29.2% 3,574,740 13.6%
2050 projected 7,735,171 29.1% 3,659,426 13.8%
2051 projected 7,788,304 29.1% 3,750,101 14.0%
2052 projected 7,834,624 29.1% 3,845,337 14.3%
2053 projected 7,873,789 29.0% 3,942,603 14.5%
2054 projected 7,904,047 28.9% 4,038,972 14.8%
2055 projected 7,925,796 28.7% 4,131,701 15.0%
2056 projected 7,940,425 28.6% 4,217,698 15.2%
2057 projected 7,945,453 28.4% 4,294,101 15.4%
2058 projected 7,940,889 28.2% 4,359,418 15.5%
2059 projected 7,928,805 28.0% 4,413,127 15.6%
2060 projected 7,909,240 27.8% 4,454,240 15.6%
2061 projected 7,883,284 27.5% 4,481,834 15.6%
2062 projected 7,852,185 27.2% 4,496,368 15.6%
2063 projected 7,817,580 27.0% 4,500,561 15.5%
2064 projected 7,781,163 26.7% 4,497,759 15.4%
2065 projected 7,744,972 26.4% 4,491,311 15.3%
2066 projected 7,710,173 26.2% 4,484,575 15.2%
2067 projected 7,677,027 25.9% 4,480,669 15.1%
2068 projected 7,647,326 25.7% 4,483,380 15.1%
2069 projected 7,623,235 25.5% 4,496,067 15.0%
2070 projected 7,604,163 25.3% 4,520,730 15.0%
2071 projected 7,589,186 25.1% 4,559,563 15.1%
2072 projected 7,578,397 25.0% 4,614,502 15.2%
2073 projected 7,570,866 24.8% 4,685,286 15.4%
2074 projected 7,566,855 24.7% 4,768,539 15.6%
2075 projected 7,565,634 24.6% 4,860,590 15.8%
2076 projected 7,566,017 24.4% 4,958,898 16.0%
2077 projected 7,567,847 24.3% 5,061,396 16.3%
2078 projected 7,570,997 24.2% 5,167,623 16.5%
2079 projected 7,573,633 24.1% 5,277,770 16.8%
2080 projected 7,575,572 24.0% 5,391,511 17.1%
2081 projected 7,577,460 23.9% 5,508,681 17.4%
2082 projected 7,576,398 23.8% 5,628,511 17.7%
2083 projected 7,572,753 23.7% 5,751,539 18.0%
2084 projected 7,566,441 23.6% 5,880,184 18.3%
2085 projected 7,555,706 23.5% 6,015,779 18.7%
2086 projected 7,541,231 23.3% 6,167,141 19.1%
2087 projected 7,523,137 23.2% 6,311,624 19.5%
2088 projected 7,500,088 23.0% 6,432,903 19.8%
2089 projected 7,471,997 22.9% 6,546,069 20.0%
2090 projected 7,440,759 22.7% 6,651,576 20.3%
2091 projected 7,407,154 22.5% 6,750,055 20.5%
2092 projected 7,371,323 22.4% 6,842,975 20.8%
2093 projected 7,334,812 22.2% 6,931,127 21.0%
2094 projected 7,298,866 22.0% 7,015,267 21.2%
2095 projected 7,263,520 21.8% 7,096,801 21.3%
2096 projected 7,228,354 21.7% 7,176,259 21.5%
2097 projected 7,192,373 21.5% 7,253,999 21.7%
2098 projected 7,156,641 21.3% 7,330,869 21.9%
2099 projected 7,122,608 21.2% 7,407,210 22.0%
2100 projected 7,090,288 21.1% 7,483,244 22.2%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Kazakhstan with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.