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Population state · Growing

Chad

Africa · Middle Africa · TCD · TD
Population state
Growing
current run since 1985 · projected 2024
Fertility
6.03
237 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
65
of 237
Regional population rank
23
of 58 in Africa
Peak population · projected 2100 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 24.68 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Adds to growth

Positive net migration adds to natural growth.

Chad, 2024 projected: natural change +653,316 people, net migration +204,040, WPP adjustment +2, total population change +857,358. Positive net migration adds to natural growth.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +2-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

40 source years · since 1985 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1985
40 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+857,358
4.22% of 2024 population
Series maximum
not established in this series
Still rising at the 2100 horizon of this release.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
202420.30m+857,3586.03
205038.86m+776,2423.85
208060.33m+599,3762.64
210069.55m+318,3862.27

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
Not reached by 2100
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Chad annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 44.1% in 1950 to 53.5% in 2023 and 28.4% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 4.3% to 2.1% and 10.0%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Chad, 1950 to 2100 Chad annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 44.1% in 1950 to 53.5% in 2023 and 28.4% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 4.3% to 2.1% and 10.0%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 28.4% 65+ · 10.0%
1950
Under 18 · 44.1%65+ · 4.3%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 53.5%65+ · 2.1%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 28.4%65+ · 10.0%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Chad under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 1,114,278 44.1% 108,582 4.3%
1951 observed 1,141,654 44.4% 109,679 4.3%
1952 observed 1,169,389 44.7% 110,826 4.2%
1953 observed 1,197,865 45.0% 112,025 4.2%
1954 observed 1,227,075 45.2% 113,188 4.2%
1955 observed 1,257,004 45.5% 114,354 4.1%
1956 observed 1,287,864 45.7% 115,510 4.1%
1957 observed 1,319,946 45.9% 116,636 4.1%
1958 observed 1,353,356 46.2% 117,872 4.0%
1959 observed 1,387,966 46.4% 119,437 4.0%
1960 observed 1,423,607 46.7% 121,388 4.0%
1961 observed 1,460,138 46.9% 123,718 4.0%
1962 observed 1,497,492 47.2% 126,400 4.0%
1963 observed 1,535,854 47.4% 129,314 4.0%
1964 observed 1,575,442 47.6% 132,203 4.0%
1965 observed 1,616,446 47.9% 134,871 4.0%
1966 observed 1,659,077 48.2% 137,381 4.0%
1967 observed 1,700,741 48.5% 139,803 4.0%
1968 observed 1,740,803 48.6% 142,191 4.0%
1969 observed 1,782,512 48.8% 144,618 4.0%
1970 observed 1,827,109 49.0% 147,154 3.9%
1971 observed 1,874,102 49.2% 149,666 3.9%
1972 observed 1,926,647 49.5% 152,220 3.9%
1973 observed 1,984,365 49.8% 154,878 3.9%
1974 observed 2,042,829 50.1% 157,476 3.9%
1975 observed 2,101,574 50.4% 159,950 3.8%
1976 observed 2,160,593 50.8% 162,317 3.8%
1977 observed 2,219,841 51.2% 164,620 3.8%
1978 observed 2,279,220 51.7% 166,931 3.8%
1979 observed 2,341,242 52.0% 169,604 3.8%
1980 observed 2,390,889 52.9% 170,436 3.8%
1981 observed 2,436,507 53.9% 171,374 3.8%
1982 observed 2,513,592 53.0% 177,393 3.7%
1983 observed 2,603,340 52.3% 183,530 3.7%
1984 observed 2,674,055 53.0% 185,145 3.7%
1985 observed 2,740,956 53.8% 186,653 3.7%
1986 observed 2,823,195 53.8% 190,840 3.6%
1987 observed 2,916,286 53.6% 195,442 3.6%
1988 observed 3,015,939 53.6% 199,630 3.5%
1989 observed 3,121,857 53.6% 203,759 3.5%
1990 observed 3,225,690 53.9% 206,733 3.5%
1991 observed 3,339,600 53.8% 210,884 3.4%
1992 observed 3,467,469 53.6% 215,676 3.3%
1993 observed 3,586,510 54.1% 217,163 3.3%
1994 observed 3,706,549 54.6% 218,594 3.2%
1995 observed 3,851,599 54.3% 223,639 3.2%
1996 observed 4,008,872 54.1% 228,553 3.1%
1997 observed 4,164,945 54.3% 231,562 3.0%
1998 observed 4,326,552 54.5% 234,574 3.0%
1999 observed 4,500,348 54.7% 237,662 2.9%
2000 observed 4,684,143 55.0% 240,598 2.8%
2001 observed 4,865,006 55.3% 243,408 2.8%
2002 observed 5,043,752 55.3% 246,579 2.7%
2003 observed 5,238,710 55.2% 250,947 2.6%
2004 observed 5,455,632 55.0% 256,189 2.6%
2005 observed 5,676,135 55.0% 260,073 2.5%
2006 observed 5,894,166 55.1% 262,756 2.5%
2007 observed 6,113,510 55.2% 265,186 2.4%
2008 observed 6,338,513 55.2% 268,093 2.3%
2009 observed 6,572,094 55.3% 271,537 2.3%
2010 observed 6,808,095 55.3% 274,986 2.2%
2011 observed 7,046,801 55.2% 278,952 2.2%
2012 observed 7,296,035 55.2% 283,038 2.1%
2013 observed 7,557,376 55.2% 287,642 2.1%
2014 observed 7,819,425 55.1% 294,154 2.1%
2015 observed 8,074,029 55.1% 301,649 2.1%
2016 observed 8,329,887 55.1% 310,090 2.1%
2017 observed 8,591,564 55.0% 319,876 2.0%
2018 observed 8,859,364 54.8% 330,669 2.0%
2019 observed 9,131,164 54.7% 341,787 2.0%
2020 observed 9,411,015 54.6% 352,714 2.0%
2021 observed 9,705,426 54.4% 364,996 2.0%
2022 observed 10,005,921 54.2% 379,352 2.1%
2023 observed 10,344,386 53.5% 400,828 2.1%
2024 projected 10,719,474 52.8% 426,391 2.1%
2025 projected 11,060,096 52.7% 445,054 2.1%
2026 projected 11,365,155 52.7% 459,672 2.1%
2027 projected 11,676,647 52.7% 477,576 2.2%
2028 projected 11,993,086 52.5% 498,704 2.2%
2029 projected 12,303,973 52.3% 521,168 2.2%
2030 projected 12,608,260 52.1% 544,760 2.3%
2031 projected 12,907,813 51.8% 569,654 2.3%
2032 projected 13,201,936 51.6% 595,933 2.3%
2033 projected 13,487,811 51.3% 623,416 2.4%
2034 projected 13,768,948 51.0% 652,000 2.4%
2035 projected 14,045,839 50.7% 681,847 2.5%
2036 projected 14,318,493 50.4% 713,408 2.5%
2037 projected 14,582,908 50.1% 747,645 2.6%
2038 projected 14,837,770 49.7% 783,961 2.6%
2039 projected 15,085,427 49.3% 820,952 2.7%
2040 projected 15,318,359 48.9% 858,098 2.7%
2041 projected 15,539,159 48.5% 895,702 2.8%
2042 projected 15,741,481 48.0% 933,932 2.8%
2043 projected 15,922,081 47.5% 972,229 2.9%
2044 projected 16,099,254 47.0% 1,010,391 2.9%
2045 projected 16,281,638 46.5% 1,049,240 3.0%
2046 projected 16,467,497 46.0% 1,086,124 3.0%
2047 projected 16,652,165 45.6% 1,121,004 3.1%
2048 projected 16,838,564 45.1% 1,161,832 3.1%
2049 projected 17,023,662 44.7% 1,208,554 3.2%
2050 projected 17,207,031 44.3% 1,254,463 3.2%
2051 projected 17,392,106 43.9% 1,299,738 3.3%
2052 projected 17,576,121 43.5% 1,348,462 3.3%
2053 projected 17,758,329 43.1% 1,402,065 3.4%
2054 projected 17,936,933 42.7% 1,459,959 3.5%
2055 projected 18,112,731 42.4% 1,521,875 3.6%
2056 projected 18,284,826 42.0% 1,586,509 3.6%
2057 projected 18,450,445 41.6% 1,655,957 3.7%
2058 projected 18,610,344 41.3% 1,732,084 3.8%
2059 projected 18,766,309 40.9% 1,809,599 3.9%
2060 projected 18,916,864 40.6% 1,887,883 4.0%
2061 projected 19,056,161 40.2% 1,972,084 4.2%
2062 projected 19,183,290 39.9% 2,061,352 4.3%
2063 projected 19,300,581 39.5% 2,153,008 4.4%
2064 projected 19,410,089 39.1% 2,247,065 4.5%
2065 projected 19,509,574 38.7% 2,342,254 4.7%
2066 projected 19,599,216 38.4% 2,437,596 4.8%
2067 projected 19,677,052 38.0% 2,530,906 4.9%
2068 projected 19,744,104 37.6% 2,621,979 5.0%
2069 projected 19,806,022 37.3% 2,714,436 5.1%
2070 projected 19,861,309 36.9% 2,809,719 5.2%
2071 projected 19,912,101 36.5% 2,906,345 5.3%
2072 projected 19,960,218 36.2% 3,003,715 5.4%
2073 projected 20,003,326 35.8% 3,101,856 5.6%
2074 projected 20,039,681 35.4% 3,201,437 5.7%
2075 projected 20,072,574 35.1% 3,304,507 5.8%
2076 projected 20,102,857 34.8% 3,411,198 5.9%
2077 projected 20,129,589 34.4% 3,521,840 6.0%
2078 projected 20,155,035 34.1% 3,636,442 6.2%
2079 projected 20,178,337 33.8% 3,754,810 6.3%
2080 projected 20,197,333 33.5% 3,876,673 6.4%
2081 projected 20,214,606 33.2% 3,999,741 6.6%
2082 projected 20,226,903 32.9% 4,123,502 6.7%
2083 projected 20,235,969 32.6% 4,250,243 6.8%
2084 projected 20,245,907 32.3% 4,382,640 7.0%
2085 projected 20,253,637 32.1% 4,520,042 7.2%
2086 projected 20,256,216 31.8% 4,661,085 7.3%
2087 projected 20,253,032 31.5% 4,808,972 7.5%
2088 projected 20,243,660 31.3% 4,963,453 7.7%
2089 projected 20,229,629 31.0% 5,130,867 7.9%
2090 projected 20,214,390 30.8% 5,312,339 8.1%
2091 projected 20,192,452 30.5% 5,493,814 8.3%
2092 projected 20,163,600 30.3% 5,670,494 8.5%
2093 projected 20,129,680 30.0% 5,843,474 8.7%
2094 projected 20,087,749 29.8% 6,013,742 8.9%
2095 projected 20,040,775 29.6% 6,181,735 9.1%
2096 projected 19,993,536 29.3% 6,347,938 9.3%
2097 projected 19,946,783 29.1% 6,511,834 9.5%
2098 projected 19,892,899 28.9% 6,671,649 9.7%
2099 projected 19,831,943 28.6% 6,827,799 9.9%
2100 projected 19,771,657 28.4% 6,981,289 10.0%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.