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Population state · Growing

Somalia

Africa · Eastern Africa · SOM · SO
Population state
Growing
current run since 2012 · projected 2024
Fertility
6.01
236 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
68
of 237
Regional population rank
24
of 58 in Africa
Peak population · projected 2100 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 19.61 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Adds to growth

Positive net migration adds to natural growth.

Somalia, 2024 projected: natural change +619,790 people, net migration +26,859, WPP adjustment +1, total population change +646,650. Positive net migration adds to natural growth.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +1-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

13 source years · since 2012 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 2012
13 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+646,650
3.40% of 2024 population
Series maximum
not established in this series
Still rising at the 2100 horizon of this release.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
202419.01m+646,6506.01
205037.21m+744,2593.60
208058.38m+566,0132.51
210067.36m+285,9582.19

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
Not reached by 2100
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Somalia annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 47.2% in 1950 to 53.4% in 2023 and 27.6% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 2.6% to 2.6% and 10.8%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Somalia, 1950 to 2100 Somalia annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 47.2% in 1950 to 53.4% in 2023 and 27.6% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 2.6% to 2.6% and 10.8%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 27.6% 65+ · 10.8%
1950
Under 18 · 47.2%65+ · 2.6%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 53.4%65+ · 2.6%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 27.6%65+ · 10.8%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Somalia under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 1,043,903 47.2% 57,571 2.6%
1951 observed 1,083,219 47.6% 60,835 2.7%
1952 observed 1,121,923 47.9% 64,091 2.7%
1953 observed 1,159,960 48.3% 67,336 2.8%
1954 observed 1,197,449 48.5% 70,602 2.9%
1955 observed 1,234,557 48.8% 73,930 2.9%
1956 observed 1,271,970 49.0% 77,299 3.0%
1957 observed 1,310,982 49.2% 80,705 3.0%
1958 observed 1,351,587 49.4% 84,115 3.1%
1959 observed 1,394,046 49.7% 87,522 3.1%
1960 observed 1,438,868 50.0% 90,956 3.2%
1961 observed 1,485,295 50.3% 94,404 3.2%
1962 observed 1,532,948 50.6% 97,844 3.2%
1963 observed 1,581,373 50.8% 101,294 3.3%
1964 observed 1,630,114 51.1% 104,758 3.3%
1965 observed 1,679,073 51.2% 108,255 3.3%
1966 observed 1,728,437 51.4% 111,747 3.3%
1967 observed 1,777,513 51.5% 115,269 3.3%
1968 observed 1,823,400 51.4% 118,810 3.3%
1969 observed 1,867,491 51.3% 122,362 3.4%
1970 observed 1,913,526 51.2% 125,952 3.4%
1971 observed 1,960,921 51.1% 129,521 3.4%
1972 observed 2,010,071 51.0% 133,103 3.4%
1973 observed 2,061,994 51.0% 136,734 3.4%
1974 observed 2,113,733 50.9% 140,167 3.4%
1975 observed 2,165,014 50.9% 143,363 3.4%
1976 observed 2,218,319 50.8% 146,590 3.4%
1977 observed 2,278,243 50.8% 150,245 3.4%
1978 observed 2,448,788 50.9% 161,031 3.3%
1979 observed 2,775,840 50.9% 181,748 3.3%
1980 observed 3,029,783 51.0% 197,307 3.3%
1981 observed 3,061,231 51.2% 197,949 3.3%
1982 observed 3,081,118 51.3% 197,537 3.3%
1983 observed 3,190,985 51.5% 202,697 3.3%
1984 observed 3,320,546 51.7% 208,816 3.2%
1985 observed 3,469,740 51.8% 215,805 3.2%
1986 observed 3,629,321 52.0% 223,044 3.2%
1987 observed 3,776,069 52.2% 229,146 3.2%
1988 observed 3,799,018 52.5% 226,690 3.1%
1989 observed 3,758,570 52.8% 220,043 3.1%
1990 observed 3,763,547 53.1% 216,661 3.1%
1991 observed 3,621,302 53.1% 202,711 3.0%
1992 observed 3,431,808 52.8% 184,490 2.8%
1993 observed 3,528,395 52.8% 184,909 2.8%
1994 observed 3,727,301 53.0% 193,083 2.7%
1995 observed 3,879,811 53.3% 198,550 2.7%
1996 observed 4,036,823 53.4% 204,081 2.7%
1997 observed 4,192,826 53.6% 209,211 2.7%
1998 observed 4,381,193 53.7% 215,800 2.6%
1999 observed 4,572,358 53.8% 222,672 2.6%
2000 observed 4,768,269 53.9% 229,982 2.6%
2001 observed 4,970,959 54.0% 237,918 2.6%
2002 observed 5,169,202 54.1% 246,074 2.6%
2003 observed 5,371,485 54.2% 254,456 2.6%
2004 observed 5,580,649 54.3% 262,579 2.6%
2005 observed 5,785,317 54.4% 269,738 2.5%
2006 observed 5,974,075 54.4% 275,673 2.5%
2007 observed 6,177,827 54.6% 281,729 2.5%
2008 observed 6,391,657 54.8% 287,543 2.5%
2009 observed 6,594,606 55.1% 292,507 2.4%
2010 observed 6,786,549 55.3% 297,485 2.4%
2011 observed 6,807,807 55.1% 294,363 2.4%
2012 observed 6,828,188 54.8% 292,718 2.3%
2013 observed 7,037,373 54.7% 302,479 2.4%
2014 observed 7,283,378 54.6% 315,163 2.4%
2015 observed 7,526,381 54.5% 330,305 2.4%
2016 observed 7,808,072 54.4% 348,833 2.4%
2017 observed 8,097,629 54.3% 367,234 2.5%
2018 observed 8,364,782 54.1% 384,586 2.5%
2019 observed 8,656,402 54.0% 403,623 2.5%
2020 observed 8,970,285 53.9% 422,473 2.5%
2021 observed 9,285,671 53.8% 438,192 2.5%
2022 observed 9,543,023 53.6% 452,488 2.5%
2023 observed 9,807,251 53.4% 470,823 2.6%
2024 projected 10,119,926 53.2% 492,634 2.6%
2025 projected 10,424,981 53.0% 514,455 2.6%
2026 projected 10,734,229 52.9% 536,330 2.6%
2027 projected 11,050,084 52.7% 558,266 2.7%
2028 projected 11,372,832 52.6% 579,861 2.7%
2029 projected 11,696,031 52.6% 601,606 2.7%
2030 projected 11,995,783 52.3% 624,233 2.7%
2031 projected 12,267,560 52.0% 647,294 2.7%
2032 projected 12,527,048 51.6% 670,384 2.8%
2033 projected 12,778,008 51.3% 693,566 2.8%
2034 projected 13,026,344 50.9% 717,452 2.8%
2035 projected 13,275,653 50.5% 742,944 2.8%
2036 projected 13,517,733 50.0% 769,579 2.8%
2037 projected 13,750,198 49.6% 797,225 2.9%
2038 projected 13,975,104 49.1% 825,636 2.9%
2039 projected 14,193,012 48.7% 854,249 2.9%
2040 projected 14,408,516 48.2% 884,552 3.0%
2041 projected 14,615,546 47.7% 916,988 3.0%
2042 projected 14,806,957 47.2% 950,481 3.0%
2043 projected 14,988,639 46.8% 986,383 3.1%
2044 projected 15,166,594 46.3% 1,025,396 3.1%
2045 projected 15,342,637 45.8% 1,066,593 3.2%
2046 projected 15,518,037 45.3% 1,110,247 3.2%
2047 projected 15,693,463 44.8% 1,156,517 3.3%
2048 projected 15,867,744 44.4% 1,204,821 3.4%
2049 projected 16,035,719 44.0% 1,254,619 3.4%
2050 projected 16,200,801 43.5% 1,306,547 3.5%
2051 projected 16,365,364 43.1% 1,360,975 3.6%
2052 projected 16,524,124 42.7% 1,417,078 3.7%
2053 projected 16,678,507 42.3% 1,474,228 3.7%
2054 projected 16,834,160 41.9% 1,530,339 3.8%
2055 projected 16,990,260 41.4% 1,580,684 3.9%
2056 projected 17,140,331 41.0% 1,625,305 3.9%
2057 projected 17,281,793 40.6% 1,678,226 3.9%
2058 projected 17,413,312 40.2% 1,750,948 4.0%
2059 projected 17,546,528 39.8% 1,837,228 4.2%
2060 projected 17,685,708 39.4% 1,928,631 4.3%
2061 projected 17,814,522 39.0% 2,022,401 4.4%
2062 projected 17,930,670 38.7% 2,118,811 4.6%
2063 projected 18,040,787 38.3% 2,218,904 4.7%
2064 projected 18,147,001 38.0% 2,322,228 4.9%
2065 projected 18,248,266 37.6% 2,427,775 5.0%
2066 projected 18,338,275 37.2% 2,533,722 5.1%
2067 projected 18,416,692 36.8% 2,639,386 5.3%
2068 projected 18,485,683 36.5% 2,744,288 5.4%
2069 projected 18,547,943 36.1% 2,848,324 5.5%
2070 projected 18,609,615 35.8% 2,952,104 5.7%
2071 projected 18,668,932 35.4% 3,055,371 5.8%
2072 projected 18,721,504 35.1% 3,158,142 5.9%
2073 projected 18,769,632 34.7% 3,260,331 6.0%
2074 projected 18,815,684 34.4% 3,358,473 6.1%
2075 projected 18,849,622 34.1% 3,448,627 6.2%
2076 projected 18,873,126 33.7% 3,537,842 6.3%
2077 projected 18,899,962 33.4% 3,646,529 6.4%
2078 projected 18,927,316 33.1% 3,775,228 6.6%
2079 projected 18,950,966 32.8% 3,910,312 6.8%
2080 projected 18,967,525 32.5% 4,048,579 6.9%
2081 projected 18,970,327 32.2% 4,187,329 7.1%
2082 projected 18,973,663 31.9% 4,328,927 7.3%
2083 projected 18,983,348 31.6% 4,477,090 7.5%
2084 projected 18,990,891 31.4% 4,630,935 7.6%
2085 projected 18,999,924 31.1% 4,788,229 7.8%
2086 projected 19,007,259 30.8% 4,946,106 8.0%
2087 projected 19,003,892 30.6% 5,105,560 8.2%
2088 projected 18,990,214 30.3% 5,269,707 8.4%
2089 projected 18,970,003 30.1% 5,436,753 8.6%
2090 projected 18,951,786 29.8% 5,606,296 8.8%
2091 projected 18,936,181 29.6% 5,778,231 9.0%
2092 projected 18,913,985 29.4% 5,949,263 9.2%
2093 projected 18,886,544 29.1% 6,118,527 9.4%
2094 projected 18,856,370 28.9% 6,286,081 9.6%
2095 projected 18,823,029 28.7% 6,450,989 9.8%
2096 projected 18,788,163 28.5% 6,614,166 10.0%
2097 projected 18,748,310 28.2% 6,775,172 10.2%
2098 projected 18,703,583 28.0% 6,934,245 10.4%
2099 projected 18,661,151 27.8% 7,092,399 10.6%
2100 projected 18,614,188 27.6% 7,247,978 10.8%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.