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Countries / Jersey

Population state · Growing

Jersey

Europe · Northern Europe · JEY · JE
SMALL POPULATION · Full population counts are shown; ratios with unstable small bases are suppressed.
Population state
Growing
current run since 1950 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.37
39 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
199
of 237
Regional population rank
41
of 50 in Europe
Population
103,846
Annual change
+159
small absolute movement
Natural change
−294
Migrant share
—
no IMS 2024 entity match
Peak population · projected 2043 Deaths exceed births · since 2017 Working-age peak · 2023 Support ratio · 3.51 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reverses decline

Positive net migration is large enough to reverse natural decline.

Jersey, 2024 projected: natural change −294 people, net migration +450, WPP adjustment +3, total population change +159. Positive net migration is large enough to reverse natural decline.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +3-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

75 source years · since 1950 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1950
75 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+159
0.15% of 2024 population
Series maximum
projected 2043
Projected from the WPP medium variant, not a forecast.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
2024103,846+1591.37
2050104,766−1431.47
2080100,146−421.54
210099,810−141.56

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2021 · observed
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Jersey annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 24.0% in 1950 to 17.6% in 2023 and 16.2% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 12.4% to 18.7% and 30.4%. First annual crossover: 2021 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Jersey, 1950 to 2100 Jersey annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 24.0% in 1950 to 17.6% in 2023 and 16.2% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 12.4% to 18.7% and 30.4%. First annual crossover: 2021 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 16.2% 65+ · 30.4%
1950
Under 18 · 24.0%65+ · 12.4%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 17.6%65+ · 18.7%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 16.2%65+ · 30.4%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Jersey under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 13,698 24.0% 7,056 12.4%
1951 observed 14,006 24.1% 7,208 12.4%
1952 observed 14,285 24.3% 7,319 12.5%
1953 observed 14,505 24.4% 7,425 12.5%
1954 observed 14,638 24.4% 7,525 12.5%
1955 observed 14,685 24.2% 7,621 12.6%
1956 observed 14,660 24.0% 7,729 12.6%
1957 observed 14,618 23.7% 7,851 12.7%
1958 observed 14,597 23.4% 7,971 12.8%
1959 observed 14,635 23.2% 8,098 12.9%
1960 observed 14,743 23.2% 8,238 12.9%
1961 observed 15,073 23.4% 8,401 13.1%
1962 observed 15,604 24.0% 8,538 13.1%
1963 observed 16,116 24.6% 8,658 13.2%
1964 observed 16,453 24.8% 8,793 13.3%
1965 observed 16,570 24.8% 8,959 13.4%
1966 observed 16,603 24.6% 9,106 13.5%
1967 observed 16,590 24.3% 9,218 13.5%
1968 observed 16,557 24.1% 9,313 13.6%
1969 observed 16,553 23.9% 9,420 13.6%
1970 observed 16,589 23.8% 9,540 13.7%
1971 observed 16,867 24.0% 9,687 13.8%
1972 observed 17,268 24.2% 9,858 13.8%
1973 observed 17,484 24.1% 10,059 13.9%
1974 observed 17,460 23.7% 10,296 14.0%
1975 observed 17,239 23.1% 10,532 14.1%
1976 observed 17,053 22.7% 10,757 14.3%
1977 observed 17,010 22.5% 10,949 14.5%
1978 observed 16,933 22.3% 11,111 14.6%
1979 observed 16,804 22.0% 11,210 14.7%
1980 observed 16,630 21.7% 11,263 14.7%
1981 observed 16,480 21.4% 11,283 14.6%
1982 observed 16,342 21.0% 11,267 14.5%
1983 observed 16,135 20.5% 11,246 14.3%
1984 observed 15,859 19.9% 11,252 14.2%
1985 observed 15,589 19.4% 11,343 14.1%
1986 observed 15,543 19.1% 11,443 14.1%
1987 observed 15,638 19.1% 11,525 14.1%
1988 observed 15,627 18.9% 11,607 14.1%
1989 observed 15,563 18.7% 11,679 14.0%
1990 observed 15,586 18.5% 11,745 14.0%
1991 observed 15,792 18.6% 11,789 13.9%
1992 observed 16,101 18.9% 11,780 13.8%
1993 observed 16,364 19.1% 11,759 13.8%
1994 observed 16,573 19.3% 11,763 13.7%
1995 observed 16,741 19.5% 11,796 13.7%
1996 observed 16,986 19.7% 11,848 13.7%
1997 observed 17,332 20.0% 11,867 13.7%
1998 observed 17,563 20.2% 11,923 13.7%
1999 observed 17,672 20.2% 12,010 13.7%
2000 observed 17,689 20.1% 12,118 13.8%
2001 observed 17,797 20.1% 12,264 13.9%
2002 observed 18,055 20.2% 12,469 14.0%
2003 observed 18,299 20.3% 12,682 14.0%
2004 observed 18,516 20.3% 12,919 14.2%
2005 observed 18,653 20.2% 13,164 14.3%
2006 observed 18,673 20.0% 13,362 14.3%
2007 observed 18,656 19.8% 13,527 14.4%
2008 observed 18,607 19.6% 13,724 14.4%
2009 observed 18,531 19.3% 13,995 14.6%
2010 observed 18,464 19.0% 14,272 14.7%
2011 observed 18,529 18.9% 14,636 14.9%
2012 observed 18,753 19.0% 15,158 15.3%
2013 observed 19,009 19.1% 15,661 15.7%
2014 observed 19,220 19.1% 16,102 16.0%
2015 observed 19,237 19.0% 16,547 16.3%
2016 observed 19,100 18.8% 16,993 16.7%
2017 observed 18,958 18.6% 17,417 17.1%
2018 observed 18,850 18.4% 17,805 17.4%
2019 observed 18,756 18.2% 18,162 17.7%
2020 observed 18,657 18.1% 18,504 17.9%
2021 observed 18,563 18.0% 18,764 18.2%
2022 observed 18,433 17.8% 19,005 18.4%
2023 observed 18,284 17.6% 19,341 18.7%
2024 projected 18,157 17.5% 19,705 19.0%
2025 projected 18,030 17.3% 20,087 19.3%
2026 projected 17,869 17.2% 20,513 19.7%
2027 projected 17,716 17.0% 20,999 20.2%
2028 projected 17,552 16.8% 21,561 20.7%
2029 projected 17,349 16.6% 22,195 21.3%
2030 projected 17,114 16.4% 22,854 21.9%
2031 projected 16,914 16.2% 23,509 22.5%
2032 projected 16,775 16.0% 24,138 23.1%
2033 projected 16,658 15.9% 24,750 23.6%
2034 projected 16,533 15.8% 25,331 24.2%
2035 projected 16,454 15.7% 25,861 24.6%
2036 projected 16,395 15.6% 26,364 25.1%
2037 projected 16,382 15.6% 26,811 25.5%
2038 projected 16,407 15.6% 27,159 25.8%
2039 projected 16,441 15.6% 27,469 26.1%
2040 projected 16,494 15.7% 27,772 26.4%
2041 projected 16,554 15.7% 28,045 26.7%
2042 projected 16,621 15.8% 28,288 26.9%
2043 projected 16,681 15.9% 28,544 27.1%
2044 projected 16,753 15.9% 28,803 27.4%
2045 projected 16,818 16.0% 29,120 27.7%
2046 projected 16,883 16.1% 29,409 28.0%
2047 projected 16,936 16.1% 29,638 28.2%
2048 projected 16,985 16.2% 29,852 28.4%
2049 projected 17,028 16.2% 30,042 28.6%
2050 projected 17,051 16.3% 30,176 28.8%
2051 projected 17,057 16.3% 30,212 28.9%
2052 projected 17,050 16.3% 30,226 28.9%
2053 projected 17,032 16.3% 30,287 29.0%
2054 projected 17,001 16.3% 30,291 29.1%
2055 projected 16,958 16.3% 30,240 29.1%
2056 projected 16,901 16.3% 30,173 29.1%
2057 projected 16,829 16.3% 30,087 29.1%
2058 projected 16,758 16.2% 29,978 29.1%
2059 projected 16,680 16.2% 29,843 29.0%
2060 projected 16,590 16.2% 29,683 28.9%
2061 projected 16,520 16.1% 29,535 28.8%
2062 projected 16,439 16.1% 29,423 28.8%
2063 projected 16,370 16.0% 29,327 28.7%
2064 projected 16,317 16.0% 29,235 28.7%
2065 projected 16,261 16.0% 29,110 28.6%
2066 projected 16,221 16.0% 28,986 28.6%
2067 projected 16,198 16.0% 28,862 28.5%
2068 projected 16,181 16.0% 28,766 28.4%
2069 projected 16,173 16.0% 28,742 28.4%
2070 projected 16,177 16.0% 28,741 28.5%
2071 projected 16,192 16.1% 28,749 28.5%
2072 projected 16,210 16.1% 28,794 28.6%
2073 projected 16,235 16.1% 28,870 28.7%
2074 projected 16,259 16.2% 28,930 28.8%
2075 projected 16,294 16.2% 29,018 28.9%
2076 projected 16,330 16.3% 29,148 29.0%
2077 projected 16,370 16.3% 29,308 29.2%
2078 projected 16,392 16.4% 29,446 29.4%
2079 projected 16,425 16.4% 29,543 29.5%
2080 projected 16,447 16.4% 29,636 29.6%
2081 projected 16,468 16.4% 29,751 29.7%
2082 projected 16,487 16.5% 29,836 29.8%
2083 projected 16,496 16.5% 29,904 29.9%
2084 projected 16,497 16.5% 29,948 29.9%
2085 projected 16,486 16.5% 29,971 30.0%
2086 projected 16,478 16.5% 29,994 30.0%
2087 projected 16,454 16.5% 30,012 30.0%
2088 projected 16,445 16.4% 30,031 30.0%
2089 projected 16,420 16.4% 30,066 30.1%
2090 projected 16,393 16.4% 30,095 30.1%
2091 projected 16,365 16.4% 30,114 30.1%
2092 projected 16,338 16.3% 30,134 30.1%
2093 projected 16,306 16.3% 30,146 30.2%
2094 projected 16,272 16.3% 30,171 30.2%
2095 projected 16,244 16.3% 30,191 30.2%
2096 projected 16,217 16.2% 30,209 30.2%
2097 projected 16,193 16.2% 30,233 30.3%
2098 projected 16,172 16.2% 30,257 30.3%
2099 projected 16,157 16.2% 30,275 30.3%
2100 projected 16,140 16.2% 30,320 30.4%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Jersey with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.