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Countries / Bahamas

Population state · Growing

Bahamas

Latin America and the Caribbean · Caribbean · BHS · BS
SMALL POPULATION · Full population counts are shown; ratios with unstable small bases are suppressed.
Population state
Growing
current run since 1950 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.37
38 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
178
of 237
Regional population rank
27
of 50 in Latin America and the Caribbean
Population
401,283
Annual change
+1,834
small absolute movement
Natural change
+822
Migrant share
16.8%
Peak population · projected 2050 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 5.97 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Adds to growth

Positive net migration adds to natural growth.

Bahamas, 2024 projected: natural change +822 people, net migration +1,018, WPP adjustment −6, total population change +1,834. Positive net migration adds to natural growth.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −6-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

75 source years · since 1950 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1950
75 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+1,834
0.46% of 2024 population
Series maximum
projected 2050
Projected from the WPP medium variant, not a forecast.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
2024401,283+1,8341.37
2050424,265−241.41
2080405,966−9831.48
2100384,955−9781.51

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2040 · projected
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Bahamas annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 45.8% in 1950 to 22.6% in 2023 and 16.5% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 4.6% to 11.5% and 29.1%. First annual crossover: 2040 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Bahamas, 1950 to 2100 Bahamas annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 45.8% in 1950 to 22.6% in 2023 and 16.5% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 4.6% to 11.5% and 29.1%. First annual crossover: 2040 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 16.5% 65+ · 29.1%
1950
Under 18 · 45.8%65+ · 4.6%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 22.6%65+ · 11.5%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 16.5%65+ · 29.1%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Bahamas under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 38,197 45.8% 3,875 4.6%
1951 observed 38,967 46.1% 3,800 4.5%
1952 observed 39,973 46.4% 3,768 4.4%
1953 observed 41,231 46.7% 3,777 4.3%
1954 observed 42,701 47.0% 3,818 4.2%
1955 observed 44,346 47.2% 3,877 4.1%
1956 observed 46,150 47.3% 3,945 4.0%
1957 observed 48,090 47.4% 4,027 4.0%
1958 observed 50,167 47.3% 4,120 3.9%
1959 observed 52,413 47.3% 4,219 3.8%
1960 observed 54,895 47.2% 4,326 3.7%
1961 observed 57,638 47.2% 4,446 3.6%
1962 observed 60,408 47.0% 4,590 3.6%
1963 observed 63,156 46.8% 4,753 3.5%
1964 observed 65,890 46.6% 4,935 3.5%
1965 observed 68,628 46.4% 5,138 3.5%
1966 observed 71,570 46.2% 5,380 3.5%
1967 observed 74,713 46.0% 5,634 3.5%
1968 observed 78,037 45.9% 5,895 3.5%
1969 observed 81,373 45.7% 6,173 3.5%
1970 observed 84,342 45.6% 6,423 3.5%
1971 observed 86,868 45.5% 6,641 3.5%
1972 observed 89,126 45.5% 6,868 3.5%
1973 observed 91,124 45.4% 7,127 3.5%
1974 observed 92,860 45.2% 7,431 3.6%
1975 observed 94,356 45.0% 7,759 3.7%
1976 observed 95,642 44.6% 8,143 3.8%
1977 observed 96,680 44.1% 8,543 3.9%
1978 observed 97,427 43.5% 8,987 4.0%
1979 observed 97,874 42.9% 9,429 4.1%
1980 observed 98,039 42.2% 9,903 4.3%
1981 observed 97,952 41.4% 10,369 4.4%
1982 observed 97,652 40.6% 10,843 4.5%
1983 observed 97,245 39.7% 11,326 4.6%
1984 observed 96,795 38.9% 11,798 4.7%
1985 observed 96,347 38.1% 12,249 4.8%
1986 observed 95,951 37.3% 12,693 4.9%
1987 observed 95,682 36.5% 13,122 5.0%
1988 observed 95,593 35.9% 13,571 5.1%
1989 observed 95,717 35.3% 14,038 5.2%
1990 observed 96,038 34.8% 14,548 5.3%
1991 observed 96,560 34.4% 15,080 5.4%
1992 observed 97,563 34.1% 15,659 5.5%
1993 observed 98,906 33.9% 16,287 5.6%
1994 observed 100,138 33.8% 16,952 5.7%
1995 observed 101,281 33.6% 17,645 5.9%
1996 observed 102,398 33.4% 18,375 6.0%
1997 observed 103,446 33.3% 19,137 6.2%
1998 observed 104,402 33.1% 19,936 6.3%
1999 observed 105,155 32.9% 20,780 6.5%
2000 observed 105,715 32.6% 21,678 6.7%
2001 observed 106,081 32.4% 22,630 6.9%
2002 observed 106,284 32.1% 23,645 7.1%
2003 observed 106,429 31.7% 24,744 7.4%
2004 observed 106,513 31.3% 25,900 7.6%
2005 observed 106,516 31.0% 27,113 7.9%
2006 observed 106,515 30.6% 28,376 8.1%
2007 observed 106,520 30.1% 29,638 8.4%
2008 observed 106,371 29.7% 30,884 8.6%
2009 observed 106,115 29.2% 32,236 8.9%
2010 observed 105,377 28.7% 33,646 9.2%
2011 observed 104,145 28.0% 34,965 9.4%
2012 observed 102,986 27.4% 36,187 9.6%
2013 observed 101,925 26.9% 37,322 9.8%
2014 observed 100,887 26.4% 38,381 10.0%
2015 observed 99,751 25.9% 39,342 10.2%
2016 observed 98,481 25.4% 40,215 10.4%
2017 observed 97,197 24.9% 41,060 10.5%
2018 observed 95,997 24.4% 41,892 10.7%
2019 observed 94,849 24.0% 42,723 10.8%
2020 observed 93,672 23.7% 43,448 11.0%
2021 observed 92,547 23.3% 43,967 11.1%
2022 observed 91,483 23.0% 44,731 11.3%
2023 observed 90,369 22.6% 45,930 11.5%
2024 projected 89,215 22.2% 47,253 11.8%
2025 projected 87,979 21.8% 48,745 12.1%
2026 projected 86,644 21.4% 50,378 12.5%
2027 projected 85,249 21.0% 52,142 12.8%
2028 projected 84,009 20.6% 54,039 13.3%
2029 projected 82,994 20.3% 56,076 13.7%
2030 projected 82,010 20.0% 58,189 14.2%
2031 projected 81,044 19.7% 60,351 14.7%
2032 projected 80,108 19.4% 62,518 15.1%
2033 projected 79,357 19.2% 64,693 15.6%
2034 projected 78,852 19.0% 66,820 16.1%
2035 projected 78,522 18.9% 68,887 16.6%
2036 projected 78,288 18.8% 70,874 17.0%
2037 projected 78,054 18.7% 72,783 17.4%
2038 projected 77,830 18.6% 74,581 17.8%
2039 projected 77,590 18.5% 76,265 18.2%
2040 projected 77,326 18.4% 77,828 18.5%
2041 projected 77,061 18.3% 79,307 18.8%
2042 projected 76,776 18.2% 80,681 19.1%
2043 projected 76,479 18.1% 81,973 19.4%
2044 projected 76,196 18.0% 83,195 19.7%
2045 projected 75,910 17.9% 84,353 19.9%
2046 projected 75,633 17.9% 85,467 20.2%
2047 projected 75,335 17.8% 86,567 20.4%
2048 projected 75,011 17.7% 87,658 20.7%
2049 projected 74,681 17.6% 88,739 20.9%
2050 projected 74,325 17.5% 89,809 21.2%
2051 projected 73,966 17.4% 90,900 21.4%
2052 projected 73,587 17.4% 92,045 21.7%
2053 projected 73,213 17.3% 93,242 22.0%
2054 projected 72,843 17.2% 94,478 22.3%
2055 projected 72,466 17.1% 95,770 22.6%
2056 projected 72,095 17.0% 97,092 22.9%
2057 projected 71,745 17.0% 98,618 23.3%
2058 projected 71,414 16.9% 100,263 23.7%
2059 projected 71,083 16.8% 101,674 24.1%
2060 projected 70,753 16.8% 102,887 24.4%
2061 projected 70,458 16.7% 103,971 24.7%
2062 projected 70,175 16.7% 104,924 25.0%
2063 projected 69,918 16.7% 105,734 25.2%
2064 projected 69,666 16.6% 106,388 25.4%
2065 projected 69,429 16.6% 106,869 25.5%
2066 projected 69,212 16.6% 107,276 25.7%
2067 projected 69,012 16.5% 107,641 25.8%
2068 projected 68,824 16.5% 108,044 25.9%
2069 projected 68,655 16.5% 108,526 26.1%
2070 projected 68,509 16.5% 109,142 26.3%
2071 projected 68,367 16.5% 109,858 26.5%
2072 projected 68,207 16.5% 110,672 26.8%
2073 projected 68,049 16.5% 111,516 27.0%
2074 projected 67,915 16.5% 112,399 27.3%
2075 projected 67,794 16.5% 113,131 27.6%
2076 projected 67,659 16.5% 113,652 27.7%
2077 projected 67,514 16.5% 114,121 27.9%
2078 projected 67,377 16.5% 114,585 28.1%
2079 projected 67,240 16.5% 114,998 28.3%
2080 projected 67,081 16.5% 115,246 28.4%
2081 projected 66,929 16.5% 115,279 28.5%
2082 projected 66,763 16.5% 115,154 28.5%
2083 projected 66,578 16.5% 114,947 28.5%
2084 projected 66,386 16.5% 114,711 28.5%
2085 projected 66,190 16.5% 114,493 28.6%
2086 projected 65,996 16.5% 114,271 28.6%
2087 projected 65,782 16.5% 114,072 28.6%
2088 projected 65,583 16.5% 113,879 28.7%
2089 projected 65,381 16.5% 113,700 28.7%
2090 projected 65,194 16.5% 113,531 28.7%
2091 projected 65,002 16.5% 113,347 28.8%
2092 projected 64,816 16.5% 113,169 28.8%
2093 projected 64,632 16.5% 112,996 28.8%
2094 projected 64,462 16.5% 112,843 28.9%
2095 projected 64,285 16.5% 112,675 28.9%
2096 projected 64,131 16.5% 112,534 28.9%
2097 projected 63,991 16.5% 112,408 29.0%
2098 projected 63,858 16.5% 112,290 29.0%
2099 projected 63,731 16.5% 112,176 29.1%
2100 projected 63,599 16.5% 112,074 29.1%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Bahamas with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.