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Countries / Iceland

Population state · Growing

Iceland

Europe · Northern Europe · ISL · IS
SMALL POPULATION · Full population counts are shown; ratios with unstable small bases are suppressed.
Population state
Growing
current run since 2010 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.52
73 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
179
of 237
Regional population rank
40
of 50 in Europe
Population
393,396
Annual change
+5,311
Natural change
+1,764
Migrant share
25.1%
Peak population · projected 2049 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 4.26 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Adds to growth

Positive net migration adds to natural growth.

Iceland, 2024 projected: natural change +1,764 people, net migration +3,543, WPP adjustment +4, total population change +5,311. Positive net migration adds to natural growth.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +4-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

15 source years · since 2010 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 2010
15 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+5,311
1.35% of 2024 population
Series maximum
projected 2049
Projected from the WPP medium variant, not a forecast.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
2024393,396+5,3111.52
2050432,993−461.51
2080402,851−2,0511.53
2100362,582−1,8191.56

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2036 · projected
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Iceland annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 35.6% in 1950 to 21.8% in 2023 and 14.3% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 7.5% to 15.3% and 35.6%. First annual crossover: 2036 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Iceland, 1950 to 2100 Iceland annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 35.6% in 1950 to 21.8% in 2023 and 14.3% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 7.5% to 15.3% and 35.6%. First annual crossover: 2036 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 14.3% 65+ · 35.6%
1950
Under 18 · 35.6%65+ · 7.5%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 21.8%65+ · 15.3%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 14.3%65+ · 35.6%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Iceland under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 50,730 35.6% 10,738 7.5%
1951 observed 52,232 35.9% 11,008 7.6%
1952 observed 53,758 36.4% 11,233 7.6%
1953 observed 55,479 36.8% 11,461 7.6%
1954 observed 57,336 37.2% 11,716 7.6%
1955 observed 59,307 37.6% 11,999 7.6%
1956 observed 61,473 38.2% 12,366 7.7%
1957 observed 63,792 38.7% 12,807 7.8%
1958 observed 66,062 39.2% 13,261 7.9%
1959 observed 68,267 39.7% 13,707 8.0%
1960 observed 70,322 40.1% 14,145 8.1%
1961 observed 72,032 40.2% 14,602 8.2%
1962 observed 73,568 40.3% 15,023 8.2%
1963 observed 75,005 40.4% 15,420 8.3%
1964 observed 76,336 40.4% 15,822 8.4%
1965 observed 77,477 40.3% 16,230 8.4%
1966 observed 78,424 40.1% 16,587 8.5%
1967 observed 79,238 39.9% 16,878 8.5%
1968 observed 79,615 39.5% 17,230 8.6%
1969 observed 79,503 39.1% 17,627 8.7%
1970 observed 79,089 38.7% 17,993 8.8%
1971 observed 78,825 38.2% 18,363 8.9%
1972 observed 79,135 37.8% 18,761 9.0%
1973 observed 79,506 37.4% 19,137 9.0%
1974 observed 79,509 36.9% 19,537 9.1%
1975 observed 79,203 36.3% 19,980 9.2%
1976 observed 78,675 35.7% 20,483 9.3%
1977 observed 77,854 35.1% 21,018 9.5%
1978 observed 76,965 34.4% 21,552 9.6%
1979 observed 76,583 33.9% 22,066 9.8%
1980 observed 76,489 33.5% 22,506 9.9%
1981 observed 76,295 33.1% 22,853 9.9%
1982 observed 76,199 32.6% 23,229 9.9%
1983 observed 76,183 32.2% 23,654 10.0%
1984 observed 75,935 31.7% 24,050 10.0%
1985 observed 75,418 31.2% 24,484 10.1%
1986 observed 75,020 30.8% 25,077 10.3%
1987 observed 75,072 30.5% 25,651 10.4%
1988 observed 75,793 30.3% 26,133 10.5%
1989 observed 76,419 30.2% 26,599 10.5%
1990 observed 76,463 30.0% 27,093 10.6%
1991 observed 76,608 29.7% 27,638 10.7%
1992 observed 77,162 29.6% 28,209 10.8%
1993 observed 77,769 29.5% 28,782 10.9%
1994 observed 78,059 29.3% 29,385 11.0%
1995 observed 78,085 29.2% 30,039 11.2%
1996 observed 78,099 29.0% 30,647 11.4%
1997 observed 77,987 28.8% 31,206 11.5%
1998 observed 77,771 28.4% 31,697 11.6%
1999 observed 77,788 28.0% 32,099 11.6%
2000 observed 78,039 27.7% 32,546 11.6%
2001 observed 78,202 27.4% 33,059 11.6%
2002 observed 78,205 27.2% 33,561 11.7%
2003 observed 78,391 27.1% 33,958 11.7%
2004 observed 78,786 27.0% 34,352 11.8%
2005 observed 79,244 26.7% 34,796 11.7%
2006 observed 79,515 26.2% 35,303 11.6%
2007 observed 79,888 25.6% 35,971 11.5%
2008 observed 80,542 25.4% 36,765 11.6%
2009 observed 80,783 25.4% 37,603 11.8%
2010 observed 80,602 25.3% 38,606 12.1%
2011 observed 80,195 25.1% 39,741 12.5%
2012 observed 79,864 24.9% 40,978 12.8%
2013 observed 79,959 24.7% 42,335 13.1%
2014 observed 80,079 24.5% 43,759 13.4%
2015 observed 79,844 24.1% 45,270 13.7%
2016 observed 79,738 23.8% 46,719 13.9%
2017 observed 80,151 23.3% 48,171 14.0%
2018 observed 80,613 22.8% 49,823 14.1%
2019 observed 81,100 22.5% 51,579 14.3%
2020 observed 81,966 22.4% 53,394 14.6%
2021 observed 83,092 22.3% 55,403 14.9%
2022 observed 84,051 22.1% 57,474 15.1%
2023 observed 84,586 21.8% 59,484 15.3%
2024 projected 84,954 21.6% 61,548 15.6%
2025 projected 85,180 21.4% 63,634 16.0%
2026 projected 85,080 21.1% 65,542 16.3%
2027 projected 84,687 20.9% 67,414 16.6%
2028 projected 84,158 20.6% 69,389 17.0%
2029 projected 83,727 20.3% 71,353 17.3%
2030 projected 83,353 20.1% 73,248 17.7%
2031 projected 82,981 19.9% 75,122 18.0%
2032 projected 82,612 19.7% 76,871 18.4%
2033 projected 82,255 19.6% 78,389 18.6%
2034 projected 81,981 19.4% 79,829 18.9%
2035 projected 81,695 19.3% 81,178 19.2%
2036 projected 81,308 19.1% 82,527 19.4%
2037 projected 80,696 18.9% 84,116 19.7%
2038 projected 79,904 18.7% 85,856 20.1%
2039 projected 78,891 18.4% 87,365 20.4%
2040 projected 77,932 18.1% 88,743 20.7%
2041 projected 77,202 17.9% 90,157 21.0%
2042 projected 76,466 17.7% 91,454 21.2%
2043 projected 75,772 17.6% 92,701 21.5%
2044 projected 75,113 17.4% 94,182 21.8%
2045 projected 74,463 17.2% 95,877 22.2%
2046 projected 73,841 17.1% 97,496 22.5%
2047 projected 73,252 16.9% 99,071 22.9%
2048 projected 72,696 16.8% 100,681 23.3%
2049 projected 72,187 16.7% 102,232 23.6%
2050 projected 71,710 16.6% 103,673 23.9%
2051 projected 71,267 16.5% 105,070 24.3%
2052 projected 70,828 16.4% 106,566 24.6%
2053 projected 70,393 16.3% 108,403 25.1%
2054 projected 69,973 16.2% 110,538 25.6%
2055 projected 69,547 16.1% 112,866 26.1%
2056 projected 69,108 16.0% 115,246 26.7%
2057 projected 68,661 15.9% 117,576 27.3%
2058 projected 68,198 15.8% 119,979 27.9%
2059 projected 67,762 15.8% 122,260 28.4%
2060 projected 67,316 15.7% 124,210 28.9%
2061 projected 66,866 15.6% 125,948 29.4%
2062 projected 66,412 15.5% 127,524 29.8%
2063 projected 65,956 15.5% 128,850 30.2%
2064 projected 65,505 15.4% 129,929 30.5%
2065 projected 65,046 15.3% 130,920 30.8%
2066 projected 64,582 15.2% 131,749 31.1%
2067 projected 64,109 15.2% 132,319 31.3%
2068 projected 63,630 15.1% 132,814 31.5%
2069 projected 63,159 15.0% 133,368 31.7%
2070 projected 62,682 14.9% 133,907 31.9%
2071 projected 62,206 14.9% 134,395 32.1%
2072 projected 61,728 14.8% 134,879 32.4%
2073 projected 61,262 14.8% 135,374 32.6%
2074 projected 60,832 14.7% 135,934 32.9%
2075 projected 60,403 14.7% 136,437 33.1%
2076 projected 59,984 14.6% 136,669 33.3%
2077 projected 59,562 14.6% 136,688 33.4%
2078 projected 59,142 14.5% 136,562 33.6%
2079 projected 58,757 14.5% 136,327 33.7%
2080 projected 58,368 14.5% 135,955 33.7%
2081 projected 58,000 14.5% 135,423 33.8%
2082 projected 57,664 14.5% 134,831 33.8%
2083 projected 57,338 14.5% 134,280 33.8%
2084 projected 57,016 14.4% 133,896 33.9%
2085 projected 56,712 14.4% 133,652 34.0%
2086 projected 56,404 14.4% 133,594 34.2%
2087 projected 56,097 14.4% 133,479 34.4%
2088 projected 55,777 14.4% 133,126 34.5%
2089 projected 55,470 14.4% 132,785 34.6%
2090 projected 55,174 14.4% 132,460 34.7%
2091 projected 54,863 14.4% 132,118 34.8%
2092 projected 54,525 14.4% 131,773 34.9%
2093 projected 54,193 14.4% 131,434 35.0%
2094 projected 53,870 14.4% 131,107 35.1%
2095 projected 53,542 14.4% 130,773 35.2%
2096 projected 53,203 14.4% 130,451 35.3%
2097 projected 52,868 14.4% 130,123 35.4%
2098 projected 52,530 14.3% 129,797 35.4%
2099 projected 52,194 14.3% 129,465 35.5%
2100 projected 51,856 14.3% 129,118 35.6%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Iceland with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.