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Countries / Guadeloupe

Population state · Sustained decline

Guadeloupe

Latin America and the Caribbean · Caribbean · GLP · GP

Guadeloupe's population reached its series maximum in 1999. The current run began in 2018.

SMALL POPULATION · Full population counts are shown; ratios with unstable small bases are suppressed.
Population state
Sustained decline
current run since 2018 · projected 2024
Fertility
2.07
128 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
180
of 237
Regional population rank
28
of 50 in Latin America and the Caribbean
Population
375,106
Annual change
−1,300
39th-largest annual loss in the recordsmall absolute movement
Natural change
+461
Migrant share
23.9%
Peak population · 1999 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · 1998 Support ratio · 2.50 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reverses growth

Negative net migration is large enough to reverse natural growth.

Guadeloupe, 2024 projected: natural change +461 people, net migration −1,765, WPP adjustment +4, total population change −1,300. Negative net migration is large enough to reverse natural growth.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +4-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
SUSTAINED DECLINE · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Decline over time

7 source years · since 2018 Tied rank 26 of 29 by streak duration Duration, not severity
CARD 01 · ANNUAL TOTAL POPULATION CHANGE

Annual change through the streak

Each bar is one year’s total population change. View the same evidence as a share of that year’s population or as a count of people.

Births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments are included.
−0.35%
2018–2024 · 7 source years Loss rate has eased since the start
Annual change bar chart
Observed through 2023 2024 projected

One discrete bar for each source year from 2018 through 2024. The chart includes total population change from births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments; observed and projected rows are distinguished.

Annual total population change for Guadeloupe, 2018 to 2024
YearEvidencePercent of populationPeople
2018observed−1.58%−6,542
2019observed−0.81%−3,305
2020observed−0.59%−2,420
2021observed−3.52%−14,066
2022observed−3.86%−14,841
2023observed−0.40%−1,521
2024projected−0.35%−1,300
First year−1.58%
Least negative−0.35% · 2024
Most negative−3.86% · 2022
2024−0.35%
CARD 02 · LITERAL SERIES MAXIMUM

Population below peak

Peak population minus the 2024 population, shown in people and as a share of the peak.

10.9%
45,826 people below peak
Population from peak line chart
Observed through 2023 2024 projected Focused scale · peak = 100

Annual total population from the literal series maximum in 1999 through 2024, indexed so the peak equals 100. The focused scale shows the stock path while exact annual populations remain in the table.

Annual total population from the literal peak through 2024
YearEvidencePopulation
1999observed420,932
2000observed419,567
2001observed417,834
2002observed415,757
2003observed413,418
2004observed410,854
2005observed408,077
2006observed407,219
2007observed408,296
2008observed408,979
2009observed408,992
2010observed408,812
2011observed409,053
2012observed409,152
2013observed408,361
2014observed406,640
2015observed403,950
2016observed404,634
2017observed412,692
2018observed415,180
2019observed410,257
2020observed407,394
2021observed399,151
2022observed384,697
2023observed376,517
2024projected375,106
Peak population · 1999
420,932
2024 population
375,106

From 420,932 people in 1999 to 375,106 in 2024. The endpoint is projected; the peak year is the literal maximum in the WPP series.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaannual-total-change-rate-v1 · population-below-peak-v1 · population-from-peak-v1 · sustained-decline-streak-rank-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/sustained-decline-profile.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship; streak rank compares the 29 canonical sustained-decline members only.
Reference timeAnnual source rows from 2018 through 2024; estimates through 2023, then medium-variant projection.
UnitWhole people and annual total change as a percentage of same-year population; the population-path chart indexes the literal peak to 100 while retaining exact annual counts.
Evidence statusprojected 2024 endpoint; observed/projected status is retained for every chart row.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
2024375,106−1,3002.07
2050326,318−2,5521.89
2080268,152−1,1341.81
2100244,457−1,3111.78

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2022 · observed
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Guadeloupe annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 45.4% in 1950 to 20.4% in 2023 and 16.4% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 5.5% to 23.1% and 33.3%. First annual crossover: 2022 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Guadeloupe, 1950 to 2100 Guadeloupe annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 45.4% in 1950 to 20.4% in 2023 and 16.4% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 5.5% to 23.1% and 33.3%. First annual crossover: 2022 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 16.4% 65+ · 33.3%
1950
Under 18 · 45.4%65+ · 5.5%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 20.4%65+ · 23.1%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 16.4%65+ · 33.3%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Guadeloupe under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 97,772 45.4% 11,869 5.5%
1951 observed 101,130 46.1% 11,400 5.2%
1952 observed 105,428 46.7% 11,086 4.9%
1953 observed 109,822 47.3% 10,882 4.7%
1954 observed 114,171 47.9% 10,789 4.5%
1955 observed 118,018 48.2% 10,897 4.5%
1956 observed 121,563 48.4% 11,161 4.4%
1957 observed 125,421 48.6% 11,462 4.4%
1958 observed 129,588 48.9% 11,823 4.5%
1959 observed 133,926 49.2% 12,252 4.5%
1960 observed 138,292 49.5% 12,773 4.6%
1961 observed 142,487 49.8% 13,108 4.6%
1962 observed 145,915 50.0% 13,312 4.6%
1963 observed 148,375 50.0% 13,611 4.6%
1964 observed 150,271 50.0% 13,914 4.6%
1965 observed 151,892 49.9% 14,239 4.7%
1966 observed 153,316 49.7% 14,579 4.7%
1967 observed 154,358 49.4% 14,937 4.8%
1968 observed 154,667 49.1% 15,313 4.9%
1969 observed 154,317 48.7% 15,759 5.0%
1970 observed 153,514 48.3% 16,240 5.1%
1971 observed 152,283 47.7% 16,778 5.3%
1972 observed 150,719 47.1% 17,330 5.4%
1973 observed 148,940 46.5% 17,900 5.6%
1974 observed 147,239 45.9% 18,487 5.8%
1975 observed 146,138 45.3% 19,107 5.9%
1976 observed 145,295 44.7% 19,757 6.1%
1977 observed 143,813 43.9% 20,435 6.2%
1978 observed 141,444 43.0% 21,143 6.4%
1979 observed 138,635 42.0% 21,848 6.6%
1980 observed 135,634 41.0% 22,467 6.8%
1981 observed 132,947 40.0% 23,013 6.9%
1982 observed 131,635 39.2% 23,549 7.0%
1983 observed 131,203 38.4% 24,165 7.1%
1984 observed 130,739 37.6% 24,935 7.2%
1985 observed 130,328 36.7% 25,785 7.3%
1986 observed 130,003 35.9% 26,684 7.4%
1987 observed 129,709 35.2% 27,609 7.5%
1988 observed 129,449 34.4% 28,582 7.6%
1989 observed 129,191 33.7% 29,569 7.7%
1990 observed 128,800 33.1% 30,559 7.9%
1991 observed 128,023 32.5% 31,552 8.0%
1992 observed 126,920 31.9% 32,575 8.2%
1993 observed 125,762 31.3% 33,596 8.4%
1994 observed 124,884 30.7% 34,617 8.5%
1995 observed 124,563 30.4% 35,647 8.7%
1996 observed 124,840 30.2% 36,709 8.9%
1997 observed 125,470 30.0% 37,822 9.1%
1998 observed 125,606 29.9% 39,077 9.3%
1999 observed 124,125 29.5% 40,730 9.7%
2000 observed 122,710 29.2% 42,264 10.1%
2001 observed 122,275 29.3% 43,416 10.4%
2002 observed 121,730 29.3% 44,515 10.7%
2003 observed 121,218 29.3% 45,566 11.0%
2004 observed 120,571 29.3% 46,611 11.3%
2005 observed 119,623 29.3% 47,653 11.7%
2006 observed 118,795 29.2% 48,668 12.0%
2007 observed 118,362 29.0% 49,749 12.2%
2008 observed 117,400 28.7% 51,048 12.5%
2009 observed 115,439 28.2% 52,723 12.9%
2010 observed 113,354 27.7% 54,542 13.3%
2011 observed 111,921 27.4% 56,386 13.8%
2012 observed 110,653 27.0% 58,424 14.3%
2013 observed 108,915 26.7% 60,608 14.8%
2014 observed 106,669 26.2% 62,904 15.5%
2015 observed 103,882 25.7% 65,257 16.2%
2016 observed 101,216 25.0% 68,076 16.8%
2017 observed 98,855 24.0% 72,026 17.5%
2018 observed 94,867 22.8% 75,872 18.3%
2019 observed 90,818 22.1% 78,781 19.2%
2020 observed 88,836 21.8% 81,158 19.9%
2021 observed 85,654 21.5% 83,036 20.8%
2022 observed 80,406 20.9% 84,795 22.0%
2023 observed 76,965 20.4% 87,056 23.1%
2024 projected 75,614 20.2% 89,693 23.9%
2025 projected 74,193 19.8% 92,390 24.7%
2026 projected 72,902 19.6% 95,045 25.5%
2027 projected 71,674 19.3% 97,846 26.4%
2028 projected 70,390 19.0% 100,776 27.3%
2029 projected 69,151 18.8% 103,319 28.1%
2030 projected 67,935 18.5% 105,668 28.8%
2031 projected 66,860 18.3% 108,000 29.6%
2032 projected 65,928 18.2% 109,970 30.3%
2033 projected 65,225 18.1% 111,668 30.9%
2034 projected 64,659 18.0% 113,142 31.5%
2035 projected 64,224 17.9% 114,322 31.9%
2036 projected 64,158 18.0% 115,574 32.4%
2037 projected 63,952 18.0% 116,696 32.9%
2038 projected 63,503 18.0% 117,536 33.3%
2039 projected 63,331 18.0% 118,162 33.7%
2040 projected 63,518 18.2% 118,477 33.9%
2041 projected 63,455 18.3% 118,242 34.1%
2042 projected 63,057 18.3% 117,517 34.1%
2043 projected 62,773 18.3% 116,532 34.0%
2044 projected 62,563 18.4% 115,355 33.9%
2045 projected 62,394 18.4% 114,186 33.7%
2046 projected 62,262 18.5% 113,140 33.7%
2047 projected 62,146 18.6% 112,096 33.6%
2048 projected 62,017 18.7% 110,881 33.5%
2049 projected 61,841 18.8% 109,446 33.3%
2050 projected 61,590 18.9% 107,929 33.1%
2051 projected 61,283 18.9% 106,240 32.8%
2052 projected 60,911 19.0% 104,470 32.5%
2053 projected 60,463 19.0% 102,897 32.3%
2054 projected 59,916 19.0% 101,398 32.1%
2055 projected 59,306 18.9% 99,873 31.9%
2056 projected 58,654 18.9% 98,362 31.6%
2057 projected 57,961 18.8% 96,654 31.3%
2058 projected 57,245 18.7% 94,757 31.0%
2059 projected 56,514 18.6% 92,788 30.6%
2060 projected 55,766 18.5% 90,754 30.1%
2061 projected 54,995 18.4% 88,750 29.7%
2062 projected 54,256 18.3% 86,865 29.3%
2063 projected 53,568 18.2% 85,034 28.9%
2064 projected 52,940 18.1% 83,265 28.5%
2065 projected 52,338 18.1% 81,811 28.2%
2066 projected 51,793 18.0% 80,793 28.1%
2067 projected 51,326 17.9% 80,005 28.0%
2068 projected 50,935 17.9% 79,486 28.0%
2069 projected 50,589 17.9% 79,351 28.1%
2070 projected 50,274 17.9% 79,587 28.3%
2071 projected 50,018 17.9% 80,029 28.6%
2072 projected 49,795 17.9% 80,477 29.0%
2073 projected 49,606 17.9% 80,839 29.2%
2074 projected 49,426 18.0% 81,160 29.5%
2075 projected 49,261 18.0% 81,539 29.8%
2076 projected 49,095 18.0% 81,903 30.0%
2077 projected 48,922 18.0% 82,297 30.3%
2078 projected 48,741 18.0% 82,598 30.5%
2079 projected 48,535 18.0% 82,840 30.8%
2080 projected 48,301 18.0% 82,952 30.9%
2081 projected 48,055 18.0% 83,004 31.1%
2082 projected 47,781 18.0% 83,001 31.2%
2083 projected 47,470 17.9% 82,773 31.3%
2084 projected 47,139 17.9% 82,740 31.4%
2085 projected 46,772 17.8% 82,953 31.6%
2086 projected 46,367 17.7% 82,936 31.7%
2087 projected 45,949 17.6% 82,617 31.7%
2088 projected 45,506 17.6% 82,550 31.8%
2089 projected 45,039 17.5% 82,799 32.1%
2090 projected 44,553 17.3% 82,954 32.3%
2091 projected 44,065 17.2% 83,009 32.5%
2092 projected 43,558 17.1% 82,986 32.6%
2093 projected 43,046 17.0% 82,895 32.7%
2094 projected 42,542 16.9% 82,734 32.8%
2095 projected 42,068 16.8% 82,537 32.9%
2096 projected 41,607 16.7% 82,309 33.0%
2097 projected 41,161 16.6% 82,071 33.0%
2098 projected 40,735 16.5% 81,835 33.1%
2099 projected 40,346 16.4% 81,611 33.2%
2100 projected 40,000 16.4% 81,422 33.3%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Guadeloupe with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.