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Population state · Growing

United Kingdom

Europe · Northern Europe · GBR · GB
Population state
Growing
current run since 1983 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.55
81 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
21
of 237
Regional population rank
3
of 50 in Europe
Peak population · projected 2072 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 3.25 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Adds to growth

Positive net migration adds to natural growth.

United Kingdom, 2024 projected: natural change +13,180 people, net migration +417,114, WPP adjustment +3, total population change +430,297. Positive net migration adds to natural growth.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +3-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

42 source years · since 1983 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1983
42 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+430,297
0.62% of 2024 population
Series maximum
projected 2072
Projected from the WPP medium variant, not a forecast.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
202469.14m+430,2971.55
205075.50m+117,7281.55
208075.96m−32,0241.58
210074.31m−136,5181.59

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2027 · projected
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

United Kingdom annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 26.2% in 1950 to 21.0% in 2023 and 16.2% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 10.8% to 19.2% and 31.3%. First annual crossover: 2027 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in United Kingdom, 1950 to 2100 United Kingdom annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 26.2% in 1950 to 21.0% in 2023 and 16.2% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 10.8% to 19.2% and 31.3%. First annual crossover: 2027 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 16.2% 65+ · 31.3%
1950
Under 18 · 26.2%65+ · 10.8%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 21.0%65+ · 19.2%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 16.2%65+ · 31.3%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
United Kingdom under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 13,136,880 26.2% 5,425,553 10.8%
1951 observed 13,285,467 26.4% 5,492,898 10.9%
1952 observed 13,415,057 26.6% 5,563,847 11.0%
1953 observed 13,542,104 26.7% 5,645,398 11.1%
1954 observed 13,660,578 26.8% 5,717,402 11.2%
1955 observed 13,762,054 26.9% 5,780,300 11.3%
1956 observed 13,871,297 27.0% 5,844,391 11.4%
1957 observed 14,010,638 27.1% 5,920,788 11.5%
1958 observed 14,184,691 27.3% 5,998,234 11.5%
1959 observed 14,375,700 27.5% 6,068,819 11.6%
1960 observed 14,553,550 27.7% 6,144,637 11.7%
1961 observed 14,713,920 27.8% 6,218,790 11.8%
1962 observed 14,882,939 27.9% 6,288,357 11.8%
1963 observed 15,062,626 28.1% 6,384,609 11.9%
1964 observed 15,190,800 28.1% 6,511,628 12.1%
1965 observed 15,237,896 28.0% 6,641,878 12.2%
1966 observed 15,275,584 27.9% 6,765,638 12.4%
1967 observed 15,364,847 27.9% 6,895,791 12.5%
1968 observed 15,489,130 28.0% 7,029,302 12.7%
1969 observed 15,613,079 28.2% 7,158,103 12.9%
1970 observed 15,713,448 28.2% 7,295,522 13.1%
1971 observed 15,784,283 28.2% 7,439,405 13.3%
1972 observed 15,828,150 28.2% 7,572,269 13.5%
1973 observed 15,830,177 28.2% 7,695,236 13.7%
1974 observed 15,764,547 28.0% 7,818,568 13.9%
1975 observed 15,638,200 27.8% 7,934,849 14.1%
1976 observed 15,466,524 27.5% 8,036,695 14.3%
1977 observed 15,259,556 27.2% 8,138,304 14.5%
1978 observed 15,047,151 26.8% 8,247,967 14.7%
1979 observed 14,848,593 26.4% 8,351,972 14.9%
1980 observed 14,651,885 26.0% 8,439,041 15.0%
1981 observed 14,431,003 25.6% 8,486,284 15.1%
1982 observed 14,178,074 25.2% 8,479,168 15.1%
1983 observed 13,920,382 24.7% 8,433,962 15.0%
1984 observed 13,712,316 24.3% 8,441,825 15.0%
1985 observed 13,568,263 24.0% 8,555,917 15.1%
1986 observed 13,448,593 23.7% 8,690,132 15.3%
1987 observed 13,322,611 23.4% 8,792,409 15.5%
1988 observed 13,291,727 23.3% 8,924,881 15.7%
1989 observed 13,298,427 23.3% 9,041,813 15.8%
1990 observed 13,255,165 23.1% 9,105,624 15.9%
1991 observed 13,254,585 23.0% 9,165,995 15.9%
1992 observed 13,295,897 23.0% 9,214,382 16.0%
1993 observed 13,349,116 23.1% 9,244,092 16.0%
1994 observed 13,413,255 23.1% 9,270,074 16.0%
1995 observed 13,482,593 23.2% 9,301,318 16.0%
1996 observed 13,534,200 23.2% 9,324,076 16.0%
1997 observed 13,553,296 23.2% 9,338,669 16.0%
1998 observed 13,534,164 23.1% 9,348,482 15.9%
1999 observed 13,498,093 22.9% 9,358,076 15.9%
2000 observed 13,445,312 22.8% 9,384,067 15.9%
2001 observed 13,389,003 22.6% 9,432,221 15.9%
2002 observed 13,347,279 22.4% 9,485,712 15.9%
2003 observed 13,298,226 22.2% 9,537,791 15.9%
2004 observed 13,258,901 22.0% 9,603,581 16.0%
2005 observed 13,256,721 21.9% 9,669,828 16.0%
2006 observed 13,323,356 21.8% 9,726,160 15.9%
2007 observed 13,411,632 21.8% 9,814,082 15.9%
2008 observed 13,464,989 21.7% 9,947,136 16.0%
2009 observed 13,507,019 21.6% 10,113,632 16.2%
2010 observed 13,544,810 21.5% 10,294,244 16.3%
2011 observed 13,603,519 21.4% 10,534,582 16.6%
2012 observed 13,684,527 21.4% 10,856,234 17.0%
2013 observed 13,770,737 21.4% 11,157,334 17.3%
2014 observed 13,857,337 21.4% 11,406,080 17.6%
2015 observed 13,949,734 21.3% 11,618,384 17.8%
2016 observed 14,051,765 21.3% 11,805,587 17.9%
2017 observed 14,149,529 21.3% 11,992,519 18.1%
2018 observed 14,232,139 21.3% 12,186,165 18.3%
2019 observed 14,301,209 21.3% 12,387,313 18.5%
2020 observed 14,343,525 21.3% 12,531,348 18.6%
2021 observed 14,368,183 21.2% 12,666,687 18.7%
2022 observed 14,393,021 21.1% 12,906,559 18.9%
2023 observed 14,403,543 21.0% 13,213,315 19.2%
2024 projected 14,391,764 20.8% 13,481,786 19.5%
2025 projected 14,352,572 20.6% 13,703,486 19.7%
2026 projected 14,277,763 20.4% 13,942,798 19.9%
2027 projected 14,186,511 20.2% 14,196,008 20.2%
2028 projected 14,088,651 19.9% 14,449,072 20.5%
2029 projected 13,972,452 19.7% 14,704,824 20.7%
2030 projected 13,839,623 19.4% 14,975,087 21.0%
2031 projected 13,708,559 19.1% 15,244,468 21.3%
2032 projected 13,593,505 18.9% 15,512,790 21.6%
2033 projected 13,489,246 18.7% 15,784,431 21.9%
2034 projected 13,387,437 18.5% 16,055,935 22.2%
2035 projected 13,297,353 18.3% 16,302,753 22.4%
2036 projected 13,231,030 18.1% 16,535,406 22.7%
2037 projected 13,190,134 18.0% 16,779,009 22.9%
2038 projected 13,178,728 18.0% 16,988,397 23.2%
2039 projected 13,187,428 17.9% 17,151,795 23.3%
2040 projected 13,206,307 17.9% 17,286,991 23.4%
2041 projected 13,232,220 17.9% 17,399,063 23.5%
2042 projected 13,262,585 17.9% 17,493,848 23.6%
2043 projected 13,300,823 17.9% 17,584,248 23.6%
2044 projected 13,345,783 17.9% 17,696,591 23.7%
2045 projected 13,393,439 17.9% 17,850,752 23.9%
2046 projected 13,442,580 17.9% 18,017,283 24.0%
2047 projected 13,491,367 18.0% 18,177,815 24.2%
2048 projected 13,537,236 18.0% 18,330,833 24.4%
2049 projected 13,577,978 18.0% 18,472,004 24.5%
2050 projected 13,612,423 18.0% 18,632,477 24.7%
2051 projected 13,639,285 18.0% 18,802,317 24.9%
2052 projected 13,656,994 18.0% 18,940,983 25.0%
2053 projected 13,663,761 18.0% 19,033,140 25.1%
2054 projected 13,659,864 18.0% 19,134,543 25.2%
2055 projected 13,643,256 18.0% 19,277,604 25.4%
2056 projected 13,613,459 17.9% 19,434,897 25.6%
2057 projected 13,573,019 17.9% 19,597,583 25.8%
2058 projected 13,523,158 17.8% 19,736,045 26.0%
2059 projected 13,463,153 17.7% 19,854,807 26.1%
2060 projected 13,394,218 17.6% 19,962,860 26.3%
2061 projected 13,320,278 17.5% 20,064,937 26.4%
2062 projected 13,244,296 17.4% 20,170,914 26.5%
2063 projected 13,167,534 17.3% 20,266,922 26.7%
2064 projected 13,090,925 17.2% 20,349,669 26.8%
2065 projected 13,016,683 17.1% 20,421,510 26.9%
2066 projected 12,947,271 17.0% 20,479,860 26.9%
2067 projected 12,884,100 16.9% 20,527,269 27.0%
2068 projected 12,826,438 16.9% 20,580,988 27.1%
2069 projected 12,776,338 16.8% 20,663,043 27.2%
2070 projected 12,735,751 16.7% 20,772,840 27.3%
2071 projected 12,703,803 16.7% 20,910,399 27.5%
2072 projected 12,680,109 16.7% 21,072,326 27.7%
2073 projected 12,662,923 16.6% 21,252,376 27.9%
2074 projected 12,651,148 16.6% 21,436,755 28.2%
2075 projected 12,644,979 16.6% 21,618,110 28.4%
2076 projected 12,645,317 16.6% 21,806,489 28.7%
2077 projected 12,649,603 16.6% 22,003,003 28.9%
2078 projected 12,655,007 16.6% 22,190,710 29.2%
2079 projected 12,661,848 16.7% 22,356,079 29.4%
2080 projected 12,668,746 16.7% 22,507,743 29.6%
2081 projected 12,676,041 16.7% 22,654,400 29.8%
2082 projected 12,681,281 16.7% 22,788,201 30.0%
2083 projected 12,681,759 16.7% 22,898,981 30.2%
2084 projected 12,678,246 16.7% 22,985,462 30.3%
2085 projected 12,670,569 16.7% 23,045,945 30.4%
2086 projected 12,657,337 16.7% 23,089,953 30.5%
2087 projected 12,638,532 16.7% 23,126,409 30.6%
2088 projected 12,614,933 16.7% 23,159,332 30.7%
2089 projected 12,585,256 16.7% 23,191,625 30.7%
2090 projected 12,549,002 16.6% 23,219,300 30.8%
2091 projected 12,507,511 16.6% 23,240,593 30.9%
2092 projected 12,461,713 16.6% 23,257,485 30.9%
2093 projected 12,412,415 16.5% 23,270,889 31.0%
2094 projected 12,360,928 16.5% 23,281,188 31.0%
2095 projected 12,307,077 16.4% 23,288,148 31.1%
2096 projected 12,251,293 16.4% 23,291,563 31.1%
2097 projected 12,195,662 16.3% 23,292,403 31.2%
2098 projected 12,141,376 16.3% 23,290,474 31.2%
2099 projected 12,088,330 16.2% 23,285,814 31.3%
2100 projected 12,037,019 16.2% 23,279,710 31.3%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.