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Population state · Declining

Germany

Europe · Western Europe · DEU · DE
Population state
Declining
current run since 2024 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.45
54 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
19
of 237
Regional population rank
2
of 50 in Europe
Annual change
−286,642
5th-largest annual loss in the record
Natural change
−323,591
Peak population · 2024 Deaths exceed births · since 1972 Working-age peak · 1997 Support ratio · 2.71 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces decline

Positive net migration slows natural decline without reversing it.

Germany, 2024 projected: natural change −323,591 people, net migration +36,954, WPP adjustment −5, total population change −286,642. Positive net migration slows natural decline without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −5-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
202484.55m−286,6421.45
205078.29m−244,8381.54
208072.11m−127,4111.58
210070.90m−34,5841.60

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2004 · observed
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Germany annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 28.8% in 1950 to 16.6% in 2023 and 16.5% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 9.0% to 22.8% and 31.2%. First annual crossover: 2004 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Germany, 1950 to 2100 Germany annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 28.8% in 1950 to 16.6% in 2023 and 16.5% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 9.0% to 22.8% and 31.2%. First annual crossover: 2004 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 16.5% 65+ · 31.2%
1950
Under 18 · 28.8%65+ · 9.0%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 16.6%65+ · 22.8%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 16.5%65+ · 31.2%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Germany under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 20,146,615 28.8% 6,273,021 9.0%
1951 observed 19,996,487 28.7% 6,474,481 9.3%
1952 observed 19,808,654 28.4% 6,674,234 9.6%
1953 observed 19,521,726 27.9% 6,871,943 9.8%
1954 observed 19,246,107 27.5% 7,066,245 10.1%
1955 observed 19,013,641 27.0% 7,250,817 10.3%
1956 observed 18,790,646 26.6% 7,427,407 10.5%
1957 observed 18,582,972 26.1% 7,700,045 10.8%
1958 observed 18,406,193 25.7% 7,982,460 11.1%
1959 observed 18,302,340 25.3% 8,175,375 11.3%
1960 observed 18,390,890 25.3% 8,355,484 11.5%
1961 observed 18,568,403 25.3% 8,573,733 11.7%
1962 observed 18,785,708 25.4% 8,807,940 11.9%
1963 observed 19,235,786 25.8% 9,025,951 12.1%
1964 observed 19,796,515 26.3% 9,258,476 12.3%
1965 observed 20,264,306 26.7% 9,501,238 12.5%
1966 observed 20,653,669 27.0% 9,763,490 12.7%
1967 observed 20,932,291 27.2% 10,041,253 13.0%
1968 observed 21,118,068 27.3% 10,278,221 13.3%
1969 observed 21,274,433 27.3% 10,481,924 13.4%
1970 observed 21,296,339 27.2% 10,685,030 13.7%
1971 observed 21,268,975 27.1% 10,888,665 13.9%
1972 observed 21,229,792 27.0% 11,102,724 14.1%
1973 observed 21,065,276 26.7% 11,310,056 14.3%
1974 observed 20,823,279 26.4% 11,511,375 14.6%
1975 observed 20,482,041 26.0% 11,678,000 14.8%
1976 observed 20,084,852 25.6% 11,804,117 15.1%
1977 observed 19,679,370 25.2% 11,952,799 15.3%
1978 observed 19,260,863 24.7% 12,104,896 15.5%
1979 observed 18,853,268 24.1% 12,216,362 15.6%
1980 observed 18,484,199 23.6% 12,214,523 15.6%
1981 observed 18,092,858 23.1% 12,028,535 15.3%
1982 observed 17,599,946 22.5% 11,739,941 15.0%
1983 observed 17,054,289 21.8% 11,439,747 14.6%
1984 observed 16,491,902 21.1% 11,268,451 14.4%
1985 observed 15,983,202 20.5% 11,314,797 14.5%
1986 observed 15,601,299 20.0% 11,455,283 14.7%
1987 observed 15,286,600 19.6% 11,588,245 14.8%
1988 observed 15,117,125 19.3% 11,686,364 14.9%
1989 observed 15,141,783 19.2% 11,757,339 14.9%
1990 observed 15,285,823 19.2% 11,850,425 14.9%
1991 observed 15,479,874 19.3% 11,966,824 14.9%
1992 observed 15,669,398 19.4% 12,097,968 14.9%
1993 observed 15,834,296 19.4% 12,261,494 15.0%
1994 observed 15,918,711 19.5% 12,444,436 15.2%
1995 observed 15,956,650 19.5% 12,629,253 15.4%
1996 observed 15,991,991 19.4% 12,784,409 15.5%
1997 observed 16,026,971 19.5% 12,893,399 15.6%
1998 observed 15,843,879 19.3% 12,981,969 15.8%
1999 observed 15,606,080 19.1% 13,160,229 16.1%
2000 observed 15,507,642 19.0% 13,464,430 16.5%
2001 observed 15,395,968 18.8% 13,810,530 16.9%
2002 observed 15,286,142 18.6% 14,169,132 17.3%
2003 observed 15,151,589 18.5% 14,548,747 17.7%
2004 observed 14,973,319 18.2% 14,994,899 18.3%
2005 observed 14,755,443 18.0% 15,472,939 18.9%
2006 observed 14,416,955 17.6% 15,928,308 19.5%
2007 observed 14,062,737 17.3% 16,252,544 20.0%
2008 observed 13,798,530 17.0% 16,455,200 20.3%
2009 observed 13,608,232 16.8% 16,609,215 20.5%
2010 observed 13,493,030 16.7% 16,623,242 20.6%
2011 observed 13,376,627 16.5% 16,593,248 20.5%
2012 observed 13,242,189 16.4% 16,699,239 20.6%
2013 observed 13,156,856 16.2% 16,867,165 20.8%
2014 observed 13,166,943 16.2% 17,055,345 21.0%
2015 observed 13,291,089 16.2% 17,280,076 21.1%
2016 observed 13,477,901 16.3% 17,491,340 21.1%
2017 observed 13,594,952 16.4% 17,695,864 21.3%
2018 observed 13,660,250 16.4% 17,882,343 21.4%
2019 observed 13,729,002 16.4% 18,072,509 21.6%
2020 observed 13,800,816 16.5% 18,268,468 21.8%
2021 observed 13,871,073 16.6% 18,525,962 22.1%
2022 observed 13,969,985 16.6% 18,884,850 22.5%
2023 observed 14,058,695 16.6% 19,268,580 22.8%
2024 projected 14,074,111 16.6% 19,612,389 23.2%
2025 projected 13,988,088 16.6% 19,928,480 23.7%
2026 projected 13,890,753 16.6% 20,276,970 24.2%
2027 projected 13,845,476 16.6% 20,657,000 24.8%
2028 projected 13,792,603 16.6% 21,063,207 25.3%
2029 projected 13,732,858 16.5% 21,492,587 25.9%
2030 projected 13,666,233 16.5% 21,913,752 26.5%
2031 projected 13,582,768 16.5% 22,319,552 27.0%
2032 projected 13,478,167 16.4% 22,706,872 27.6%
2033 projected 13,349,323 16.3% 23,061,128 28.1%
2034 projected 13,199,503 16.1% 23,370,882 28.5%
2035 projected 13,037,830 16.0% 23,613,052 28.9%
2036 projected 12,877,583 15.8% 23,792,925 29.2%
2037 projected 12,727,973 15.7% 23,903,546 29.4%
2038 projected 12,593,783 15.5% 23,927,882 29.5%
2039 projected 12,457,823 15.4% 23,906,915 29.6%
2040 projected 12,348,511 15.3% 23,872,863 29.6%
2041 projected 12,288,087 15.3% 23,840,543 29.7%
2042 projected 12,246,856 15.3% 23,821,244 29.7%
2043 projected 12,214,889 15.3% 23,804,566 29.8%
2044 projected 12,191,961 15.3% 23,786,387 29.8%
2045 projected 12,182,022 15.3% 23,787,376 29.9%
2046 projected 12,187,267 15.4% 23,799,607 30.0%
2047 projected 12,205,700 15.4% 23,801,403 30.1%
2048 projected 12,234,150 15.5% 23,785,951 30.2%
2049 projected 12,271,778 15.6% 23,750,949 30.2%
2050 projected 12,318,333 15.7% 23,710,549 30.3%
2051 projected 12,370,888 15.9% 23,681,026 30.3%
2052 projected 12,426,350 16.0% 23,669,200 30.4%
2053 projected 12,478,849 16.1% 23,672,190 30.5%
2054 projected 12,523,598 16.2% 23,671,030 30.6%
2055 projected 12,561,240 16.3% 23,663,758 30.7%
2056 projected 12,593,682 16.4% 23,621,034 30.8%
2057 projected 12,618,643 16.5% 23,521,322 30.8%
2058 projected 12,633,170 16.6% 23,401,877 30.7%
2059 projected 12,639,431 16.7% 23,267,294 30.7%
2060 projected 12,636,242 16.7% 23,120,625 30.6%
2061 projected 12,623,470 16.8% 22,985,784 30.5%
2062 projected 12,600,691 16.8% 22,873,366 30.4%
2063 projected 12,566,736 16.8% 22,758,386 30.4%
2064 projected 12,523,433 16.8% 22,630,624 30.3%
2065 projected 12,471,274 16.7% 22,505,444 30.2%
2066 projected 12,410,514 16.7% 22,373,259 30.1%
2067 projected 12,342,978 16.7% 22,230,988 30.0%
2068 projected 12,273,887 16.6% 22,097,697 29.9%
2069 projected 12,204,822 16.5% 21,987,482 29.8%
2070 projected 12,137,166 16.5% 21,897,243 29.7%
2071 projected 12,070,919 16.4% 21,816,708 29.7%
2072 projected 12,007,937 16.4% 21,753,922 29.7%
2073 projected 11,950,735 16.3% 21,710,311 29.7%
2074 projected 11,898,722 16.3% 21,665,821 29.7%
2075 projected 11,856,275 16.3% 21,621,145 29.7%
2076 projected 11,821,597 16.3% 21,575,298 29.7%
2077 projected 11,791,720 16.3% 21,530,069 29.7%
2078 projected 11,770,270 16.3% 21,495,945 29.7%
2079 projected 11,757,570 16.3% 21,479,911 29.7%
2080 projected 11,752,794 16.3% 21,487,456 29.8%
2081 projected 11,755,989 16.3% 21,518,362 29.9%
2082 projected 11,765,306 16.4% 21,565,889 30.0%
2083 projected 11,777,619 16.4% 21,615,749 30.1%
2084 projected 11,792,271 16.5% 21,664,415 30.2%
2085 projected 11,808,382 16.5% 21,709,440 30.3%
2086 projected 11,822,788 16.5% 21,768,484 30.5%
2087 projected 11,836,392 16.6% 21,817,229 30.6%
2088 projected 11,851,554 16.6% 21,837,294 30.6%
2089 projected 11,866,010 16.7% 21,858,042 30.7%
2090 projected 11,874,952 16.7% 21,883,021 30.7%
2091 projected 11,879,128 16.7% 21,910,913 30.8%
2092 projected 11,881,669 16.7% 21,941,429 30.9%
2093 projected 11,880,913 16.7% 21,971,939 30.9%
2094 projected 11,874,401 16.7% 22,001,057 31.0%
2095 projected 11,861,832 16.7% 22,027,386 31.0%
2096 projected 11,842,859 16.7% 22,050,362 31.0%
2097 projected 11,816,814 16.6% 22,070,081 31.1%
2098 projected 11,788,555 16.6% 22,087,202 31.1%
2099 projected 11,759,546 16.6% 22,101,978 31.2%
2100 projected 11,727,259 16.5% 22,114,294 31.2%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.