Population state · Sustained decline
Montserrat
Latin America and the Caribbean · Caribbean · MSR · MS
Montserrat's population reached its series maximum in 1950. The current run began in 2011.
SMALL POPULATION · Full population counts are shown; ratios with unstable small bases are suppressed.
- Fertility
- 1.45 53 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
- World population rank
- 233 of 237
- Regional population rank
- 49 of 50 in Latin America and the Caribbean
- Population
- 4,389
- Annual change
- −32 60th-largest annual loss in the recordsmall absolute movement
- Migrant share
- 31.9%
Peak population · 1950 Deaths exceed births · since 2021 Working-age peak · 1986 Support ratio · suppressed
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED
What drives population change?
Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.
Migration contribution Deepens decline
Negative net migration adds to natural decline.
Montserrat, 2024 projected: natural change −22 people, net migration −7, WPP adjustment −3, total population change −32. Negative net migration adds to natural decline.
Natural change −22 births minus deaths
+ Net migration −7 net balance
≈ Total change −32 people per year
Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −3-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
SUSTAINED DECLINE · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE
Decline over time
14 source years · since 2011 Tied rank 12 of 29 by streak duration Duration, not severity
CARD 01 · ANNUAL TOTAL POPULATION CHANGE
Annual change through the streak
Each bar is one year’s total population change. View the same evidence as a share of that year’s population or as a count of people.
Births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments are included. 2011–2024 · 14 source years Loss rate is steeper than at the start
Observed through 2023 2024 projected
One discrete bar for each source year from 2011 through 2024. The chart includes total population change from births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments; observed and projected rows are distinguished.
| Year | Evidence | Percent of population | People |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | observed | −0.15% | −7 |
| 2012 | observed | −0.96% | −46 |
| 2013 | observed | −0.86% | −41 |
| 2014 | observed | −0.89% | −42 |
| 2015 | observed | −0.75% | −35 |
| 2016 | observed | −0.75% | −35 |
| 2017 | observed | −0.76% | −35 |
| 2018 | observed | −0.70% | −32 |
| 2019 | observed | −0.59% | −27 |
| 2020 | observed | −0.82% | −37 |
| 2021 | observed | −0.42% | −19 |
| 2022 | observed | −0.76% | −34 |
| 2023 | observed | −0.70% | −31 |
| 2024 | projected | −0.73% | −32 |
First year−0.15%
Least negative−0.15% · 2011
Most negative−0.96% · 2012
2024−0.73%
CARD 02 · LITERAL SERIES MAXIMUM
Population below peak
Peak population minus the 2024 population, shown in people and as a share of the peak.
66.1%
8,555 people below peak
Observed through 2023 2024 projected Focused scale · peak = 100
Annual total population from the literal series maximum in 1950 through 2024, indexed so the peak equals 100. The focused scale shows the stock path while exact annual populations remain in the table.
| Year | Evidence | Population |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | observed | 12,944 |
| 1951 | observed | 12,845 |
| 1952 | observed | 12,755 |
| 1953 | observed | 12,656 |
| 1954 | observed | 12,561 |
| 1955 | observed | 12,482 |
| 1956 | observed | 12,389 |
| 1957 | observed | 12,299 |
| 1958 | observed | 12,207 |
| 1959 | observed | 12,111 |
| 1960 | observed | 12,034 |
| 1961 | observed | 11,963 |
| 1962 | observed | 11,883 |
| 1963 | observed | 11,804 |
| 1964 | observed | 11,725 |
| 1965 | observed | 11,646 |
| 1966 | observed | 11,572 |
| 1967 | observed | 11,502 |
| 1968 | observed | 11,439 |
| 1969 | observed | 11,372 |
| 1970 | observed | 11,332 |
| 1971 | observed | 11,338 |
| 1972 | observed | 11,350 |
| 1973 | observed | 11,366 |
| 1974 | observed | 11,389 |
| 1975 | observed | 11,409 |
| 1976 | observed | 11,422 |
| 1977 | observed | 11,434 |
| 1978 | observed | 11,437 |
| 1979 | observed | 11,409 |
| 1980 | observed | 11,339 |
| 1981 | observed | 11,253 |
| 1982 | observed | 11,181 |
| 1983 | observed | 11,120 |
| 1984 | observed | 11,056 |
| 1985 | observed | 10,995 |
| 1986 | observed | 10,944 |
| 1987 | observed | 10,895 |
| 1988 | observed | 10,846 |
| 1989 | observed | 10,777 |
| 1990 | observed | 10,677 |
| 1991 | observed | 10,437 |
| 1992 | observed | 9,987 |
| 1993 | observed | 9,431 |
| 1994 | observed | 8,844 |
| 1995 | observed | 8,235 |
| 1996 | observed | 7,604 |
| 1997 | observed | 6,958 |
| 1998 | observed | 6,301 |
| 1999 | observed | 5,659 |
| 2000 | observed | 5,029 |
| 2001 | observed | 4,590 |
| 2002 | observed | 4,476 |
| 2003 | observed | 4,490 |
| 2004 | observed | 4,515 |
| 2005 | observed | 4,547 |
| 2006 | observed | 4,582 |
| 2007 | observed | 4,623 |
| 2008 | observed | 4,677 |
| 2009 | observed | 4,735 |
| 2010 | observed | 4,794 |
| 2011 | observed | 4,822 |
| 2012 | observed | 4,796 |
| 2013 | observed | 4,753 |
| 2014 | observed | 4,711 |
| 2015 | observed | 4,673 |
| 2016 | observed | 4,638 |
| 2017 | observed | 4,603 |
| 2018 | observed | 4,569 |
| 2019 | observed | 4,540 |
| 2020 | observed | 4,508 |
| 2021 | observed | 4,479 |
| 2022 | observed | 4,453 |
| 2023 | observed | 4,420 |
| 2024 | projected | 4,389 |
- Peak population · 1950
- 12,944
- 2024 population
- 4,389
From 12,944 people in 1950 to 4,389 in 2024. The endpoint is projected; the peak year is the literal maximum in the WPP series.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaannual-total-change-rate-v1 · population-below-peak-v1 · population-from-peak-v1 · sustained-decline-streak-rank-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/sustained-decline-profile.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship; streak rank compares the 29 canonical sustained-decline members only.
Reference timeAnnual source rows from 2011 through 2024; estimates through 2023, then medium-variant projection.
UnitWhole people and annual total change as a percentage of same-year population; the population-path chart indexes the literal peak to 100 while retaining exact annual counts.
Evidence statusprojected 2024 endpoint; observed/projected status is retained for every chart row.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
Montserrat observed 2023 population pyramid. Mirrored bars compare male and female population from oldest to youngest across 85+, 80–84, 75–79, 70–74, 65–69, 60–64, 55–59, 50–54, 45–49, 40–44, 35–39, 30–34, 25–29, 20–24, 15–19, 10–14, 5–9, 0–4 age bands.
MALEFEMALE
85+
80–84
75–79
70–74
65–69
60–64
55–59
50–54
45–49
40–44
35–39
30–34
25–29
20–24
15–19
10–14
5–9
0–4
0–14 · 74315–64 · 2.8k65+ · 849
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
| Year | Population | Annual change | Fertility |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4,389 | −32 | 1.45 |
| 2050 | 3,692 | −26 | 1.50 |
| 2080 | 3,080 | −24 | 1.54 |
| 2100 | 2,783 | −19 | 1.56 |
Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.
AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100
Youth and older population
Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.
- First annual crossover
- 2026 · projected
- Rule
- 65+ strictly exceeds under 18
Montserrat annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 48.8% in 1950 to 20.3% in 2023 and 15.0% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 8.0% to 19.2% and 31.8%. First annual crossover: 2026 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.
- 1950
- Under 18 · 48.8%65+ · 8.0%
- 2023 observed
- Under 18 · 20.3%65+ · 19.2%
- 2100 projected
- Under 18 · 15.0%65+ · 31.8%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
| Year | Evidence | Under 18 | Share | 65+ | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | observed | 6,313 | 48.8% | 1,030 | 8.0% |
| 1951 | observed | 6,234 | 48.5% | 1,003 | 7.8% |
| 1952 | observed | 6,162 | 48.3% | 988 | 7.7% |
| 1953 | observed | 6,099 | 48.2% | 970 | 7.7% |
| 1954 | observed | 6,051 | 48.2% | 956 | 7.6% |
| 1955 | observed | 6,022 | 48.2% | 960 | 7.7% |
| 1956 | observed | 6,002 | 48.5% | 952 | 7.7% |
| 1957 | observed | 5,993 | 48.7% | 961 | 7.8% |
| 1958 | observed | 5,975 | 49.0% | 967 | 7.9% |
| 1959 | observed | 5,961 | 49.2% | 995 | 8.2% |
| 1960 | observed | 5,912 | 49.1% | 1,007 | 8.4% |
| 1961 | observed | 5,787 | 48.4% | 1,016 | 8.5% |
| 1962 | observed | 5,655 | 47.6% | 1,021 | 8.6% |
| 1963 | observed | 5,527 | 46.8% | 1,019 | 8.6% |
| 1964 | observed | 5,416 | 46.2% | 1,029 | 8.8% |
| 1965 | observed | 5,330 | 45.8% | 1,045 | 9.0% |
| 1966 | observed | 5,254 | 45.4% | 1,068 | 9.2% |
| 1967 | observed | 5,217 | 45.3% | 1,102 | 9.6% |
| 1968 | observed | 5,184 | 45.3% | 1,139 | 10.0% |
| 1969 | observed | 5,186 | 45.6% | 1,182 | 10.4% |
| 1970 | observed | 5,170 | 45.6% | 1,213 | 10.7% |
| 1971 | observed | 5,119 | 45.1% | 1,235 | 10.9% |
| 1972 | observed | 5,048 | 44.5% | 1,246 | 11.0% |
| 1973 | observed | 4,971 | 43.7% | 1,271 | 11.2% |
| 1974 | observed | 4,891 | 43.0% | 1,298 | 11.4% |
| 1975 | observed | 4,809 | 42.1% | 1,329 | 11.6% |
| 1976 | observed | 4,720 | 41.3% | 1,354 | 11.9% |
| 1977 | observed | 4,634 | 40.5% | 1,385 | 12.1% |
| 1978 | observed | 4,551 | 39.8% | 1,415 | 12.4% |
| 1979 | observed | 4,451 | 39.0% | 1,435 | 12.6% |
| 1980 | observed | 4,322 | 38.1% | 1,441 | 12.7% |
| 1981 | observed | 4,172 | 37.1% | 1,424 | 12.7% |
| 1982 | observed | 4,036 | 36.1% | 1,392 | 12.5% |
| 1983 | observed | 3,900 | 35.1% | 1,364 | 12.3% |
| 1984 | observed | 3,780 | 34.2% | 1,341 | 12.1% |
| 1985 | observed | 3,670 | 33.4% | 1,328 | 12.1% |
| 1986 | observed | 3,586 | 32.8% | 1,314 | 12.0% |
| 1987 | observed | 3,520 | 32.3% | 1,322 | 12.1% |
| 1988 | observed | 3,460 | 31.9% | 1,337 | 12.3% |
| 1989 | observed | 3,405 | 31.6% | 1,355 | 12.6% |
| 1990 | observed | 3,346 | 31.3% | 1,369 | 12.8% |
| 1991 | observed | 3,229 | 30.9% | 1,365 | 13.1% |
| 1992 | observed | 3,023 | 30.3% | 1,330 | 13.3% |
| 1993 | observed | 2,774 | 29.4% | 1,275 | 13.5% |
| 1994 | observed | 2,529 | 28.6% | 1,203 | 13.6% |
| 1995 | observed | 2,278 | 27.7% | 1,135 | 13.8% |
| 1996 | observed | 2,032 | 26.7% | 1,059 | 13.9% |
| 1997 | observed | 1,808 | 26.0% | 982 | 14.1% |
| 1998 | observed | 1,582 | 25.1% | 899 | 14.2% |
| 1999 | observed | 1,371 | 24.2% | 819 | 14.5% |
| 2000 | observed | 1,200 | 23.9% | 738 | 14.7% |
| 2001 | observed | 1,088 | 23.7% | 680 | 14.8% |
| 2002 | observed | 1,055 | 23.6% | 642 | 14.4% |
| 2003 | observed | 1,049 | 23.4% | 627 | 14.0% |
| 2004 | observed | 1,051 | 23.3% | 613 | 13.6% |
| 2005 | observed | 1,061 | 23.4% | 609 | 13.4% |
| 2006 | observed | 1,071 | 23.4% | 606 | 13.2% |
| 2007 | observed | 1,083 | 23.4% | 612 | 13.2% |
| 2008 | observed | 1,101 | 23.6% | 610 | 13.1% |
| 2009 | observed | 1,129 | 23.8% | 616 | 13.0% |
| 2010 | observed | 1,158 | 24.2% | 630 | 13.1% |
| 2011 | observed | 1,163 | 24.1% | 647 | 13.4% |
| 2012 | observed | 1,131 | 23.6% | 657 | 13.7% |
| 2013 | observed | 1,084 | 22.8% | 664 | 14.0% |
| 2014 | observed | 1,045 | 22.2% | 666 | 14.1% |
| 2015 | observed | 1,005 | 21.5% | 672 | 14.4% |
| 2016 | observed | 980 | 21.1% | 693 | 14.9% |
| 2017 | observed | 957 | 20.8% | 716 | 15.6% |
| 2018 | observed | 950 | 20.8% | 737 | 16.1% |
| 2019 | observed | 938 | 20.6% | 768 | 16.9% |
| 2020 | observed | 929 | 20.6% | 792 | 17.6% |
| 2021 | observed | 924 | 20.6% | 820 | 18.3% |
| 2022 | observed | 914 | 20.5% | 843 | 18.9% |
| 2023 | observed | 899 | 20.3% | 849 | 19.2% |
| 2024 | projected | 882 | 20.1% | 847 | 19.3% |
| 2025 | projected | 868 | 19.9% | 857 | 19.7% |
| 2026 | projected | 850 | 19.6% | 868 | 20.0% |
| 2027 | projected | 823 | 19.2% | 877 | 20.4% |
| 2028 | projected | 793 | 18.6% | 897 | 21.0% |
| 2029 | projected | 773 | 18.3% | 906 | 21.4% |
| 2030 | projected | 757 | 18.0% | 908 | 21.6% |
| 2031 | projected | 740 | 17.8% | 916 | 22.0% |
| 2032 | projected | 726 | 17.6% | 933 | 22.6% |
| 2033 | projected | 719 | 17.5% | 949 | 23.1% |
| 2034 | projected | 707 | 17.4% | 952 | 23.4% |
| 2035 | projected | 694 | 17.2% | 949 | 23.5% |
| 2036 | projected | 681 | 17.0% | 957 | 23.9% |
| 2037 | projected | 665 | 16.7% | 960 | 24.1% |
| 2038 | projected | 649 | 16.4% | 967 | 24.4% |
| 2039 | projected | 631 | 16.1% | 962 | 24.5% |
| 2040 | projected | 619 | 15.9% | 958 | 24.6% |
| 2041 | projected | 613 | 15.9% | 952 | 24.7% |
| 2042 | projected | 612 | 15.9% | 953 | 24.8% |
| 2043 | projected | 613 | 16.0% | 960 | 25.1% |
| 2044 | projected | 615 | 16.1% | 969 | 25.4% |
| 2045 | projected | 618 | 16.3% | 952 | 25.2% |
| 2046 | projected | 622 | 16.5% | 950 | 25.2% |
| 2047 | projected | 625 | 16.7% | 934 | 25.0% |
| 2048 | projected | 628 | 16.9% | 932 | 25.0% |
| 2049 | projected | 630 | 17.0% | 945 | 25.5% |
| 2050 | projected | 632 | 17.1% | 950 | 25.8% |
| 2051 | projected | 634 | 17.3% | 956 | 26.1% |
| 2052 | projected | 634 | 17.4% | 968 | 26.5% |
| 2053 | projected | 633 | 17.4% | 982 | 27.0% |
| 2054 | projected | 632 | 17.5% | 985 | 27.3% |
| 2055 | projected | 630 | 17.6% | 992 | 27.7% |
| 2056 | projected | 625 | 17.5% | 986 | 27.7% |
| 2057 | projected | 619 | 17.5% | 981 | 27.7% |
| 2058 | projected | 612 | 17.4% | 978 | 27.8% |
| 2059 | projected | 604 | 17.3% | 983 | 28.1% |
| 2060 | projected | 595 | 17.1% | 988 | 28.4% |
| 2061 | projected | 586 | 17.0% | 986 | 28.5% |
| 2062 | projected | 576 | 16.8% | 977 | 28.5% |
| 2063 | projected | 566 | 16.6% | 967 | 28.3% |
| 2064 | projected | 555 | 16.4% | 962 | 28.4% |
| 2065 | projected | 545 | 16.2% | 946 | 28.1% |
| 2066 | projected | 535 | 16.0% | 930 | 27.8% |
| 2067 | projected | 526 | 15.8% | 923 | 27.8% |
| 2068 | projected | 517 | 15.7% | 913 | 27.7% |
| 2069 | projected | 508 | 15.5% | 901 | 27.5% |
| 2070 | projected | 502 | 15.4% | 906 | 27.8% |
| 2071 | projected | 496 | 15.3% | 905 | 28.0% |
| 2072 | projected | 491 | 15.2% | 910 | 28.2% |
| 2073 | projected | 488 | 15.2% | 910 | 28.4% |
| 2074 | projected | 484 | 15.2% | 927 | 29.1% |
| 2075 | projected | 484 | 15.3% | 941 | 29.7% |
| 2076 | projected | 483 | 15.3% | 943 | 29.9% |
| 2077 | projected | 482 | 15.4% | 935 | 29.9% |
| 2078 | projected | 482 | 15.5% | 935 | 30.0% |
| 2079 | projected | 482 | 15.5% | 937 | 30.2% |
| 2080 | projected | 482 | 15.6% | 924 | 30.0% |
| 2081 | projected | 481 | 15.7% | 921 | 30.1% |
| 2082 | projected | 482 | 15.8% | 919 | 30.2% |
| 2083 | projected | 481 | 15.8% | 926 | 30.5% |
| 2084 | projected | 481 | 15.9% | 931 | 30.8% |
| 2085 | projected | 479 | 16.0% | 936 | 31.2% |
| 2086 | projected | 476 | 16.0% | 941 | 31.6% |
| 2087 | projected | 473 | 15.9% | 951 | 32.0% |
| 2088 | projected | 471 | 15.9% | 948 | 32.1% |
| 2089 | projected | 467 | 15.9% | 942 | 32.1% |
| 2090 | projected | 463 | 15.8% | 942 | 32.2% |
| 2091 | projected | 460 | 15.9% | 927 | 32.0% |
| 2092 | projected | 455 | 15.7% | 933 | 32.2% |
| 2093 | projected | 452 | 15.7% | 922 | 32.0% |
| 2094 | projected | 447 | 15.6% | 916 | 32.0% |
| 2095 | projected | 442 | 15.5% | 912 | 32.0% |
| 2096 | projected | 438 | 15.5% | 905 | 32.0% |
| 2097 | projected | 433 | 15.4% | 901 | 32.0% |
| 2098 | projected | 428 | 15.2% | 899 | 32.0% |
| 2099 | projected | 423 | 15.1% | 889 | 31.8% |
| 2100 | projected | 419 | 15.0% | 887 | 31.8% |
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.