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Population state · Growing

United Republic of Tanzania

Africa · Eastern Africa · TZA · TZ
Population state
Growing
current run since 1950 · projected 2024
Fertility
4.54
225 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
22
of 237
Regional population rank
5
of 58 in Africa
Annual change
+1,963,896
Natural change
+1,993,764
Peak population · projected 2100 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 17.87 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces growth

Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

United Republic of Tanzania, 2024 projected: natural change +1,993,764 people, net migration −29,865, WPP adjustment −3, total population change +1,963,896. Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −3-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

75 source years · since 1950 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1950
75 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+1.96m
2.86% of 2024 population
Series maximum
not established in this series
Still rising at the 2100 horizon of this release.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
202468.56m+1,963,8964.54
2050129.62m+2,655,0533.23
2080212.54m+2,700,3152.53
2100262.83m+2,280,8522.26

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
Not reached by 2100
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

United Republic of Tanzania annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 52.1% in 1950 to 49.5% in 2023 and 27.9% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 2.2% to 3.0% and 13.1%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in United Republic of Tanzania, 1950 to 2100 United Republic of Tanzania annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 52.1% in 1950 to 49.5% in 2023 and 27.9% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 2.2% to 3.0% and 13.1%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 27.9% 65+ · 13.1%
1950
Under 18 · 52.1%65+ · 2.2%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 49.5%65+ · 3.0%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 27.9%65+ · 13.1%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
United Republic of Tanzania under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 3,973,525 52.1% 167,913 2.2%
1951 observed 4,060,073 52.0% 173,973 2.2%
1952 observed 4,152,262 51.8% 180,256 2.3%
1953 observed 4,249,891 51.7% 186,754 2.3%
1954 observed 4,352,204 51.7% 193,459 2.3%
1955 observed 4,459,310 51.6% 200,350 2.3%
1956 observed 4,572,845 51.5% 207,453 2.3%
1957 observed 4,694,918 51.5% 214,767 2.4%
1958 observed 4,825,232 51.5% 222,279 2.4%
1959 observed 4,961,819 51.5% 229,999 2.4%
1960 observed 5,104,372 51.6% 237,906 2.4%
1961 observed 5,252,391 51.6% 246,135 2.4%
1962 observed 5,406,266 51.5% 254,788 2.4%
1963 observed 5,566,834 51.5% 263,823 2.4%
1964 observed 5,733,377 51.5% 273,357 2.5%
1965 observed 5,907,308 51.5% 283,426 2.5%
1966 observed 6,096,353 51.5% 293,938 2.5%
1967 observed 6,306,719 51.7% 304,836 2.5%
1968 observed 6,532,644 51.8% 316,653 2.5%
1969 observed 6,768,944 51.9% 329,941 2.5%
1970 observed 7,016,778 52.0% 344,659 2.6%
1971 observed 7,277,316 52.1% 360,846 2.6%
1972 observed 7,549,479 52.1% 378,673 2.6%
1973 observed 7,833,812 52.2% 398,107 2.7%
1974 observed 8,134,555 52.3% 418,860 2.7%
1975 observed 8,449,108 52.4% 440,890 2.7%
1976 observed 8,774,017 52.4% 464,166 2.8%
1977 observed 9,111,689 52.5% 488,537 2.8%
1978 observed 9,463,734 52.6% 513,344 2.9%
1979 observed 9,829,069 52.9% 537,703 2.9%
1980 observed 10,198,314 53.1% 561,846 2.9%
1981 observed 10,567,598 53.4% 586,396 3.0%
1982 observed 10,941,958 53.6% 611,284 3.0%
1983 observed 11,332,558 53.8% 635,411 3.0%
1984 observed 11,721,739 53.8% 658,497 3.0%
1985 observed 12,107,024 53.8% 680,306 3.0%
1986 observed 12,490,802 53.7% 700,680 3.0%
1987 observed 12,867,824 53.5% 719,758 3.0%
1988 observed 13,232,973 53.4% 737,941 3.0%
1989 observed 13,575,633 53.4% 756,232 3.0%
1990 observed 13,908,800 53.3% 774,594 3.0%
1991 observed 14,234,871 53.2% 793,015 3.0%
1992 observed 14,555,308 53.0% 811,225 3.0%
1993 observed 14,898,359 52.6% 829,452 2.9%
1994 observed 15,277,557 51.9% 848,061 2.9%
1995 observed 15,646,520 51.5% 866,727 2.9%
1996 observed 15,982,199 51.6% 884,806 2.9%
1997 observed 16,342,966 51.8% 902,458 2.9%
1998 observed 16,747,581 51.7% 920,222 2.8%
1999 observed 17,173,156 51.6% 938,229 2.8%
2000 observed 17,621,474 51.4% 956,732 2.8%
2001 observed 18,080,371 51.4% 976,200 2.8%
2002 observed 18,554,559 51.4% 997,064 2.8%
2003 observed 19,060,100 51.4% 1,019,559 2.7%
2004 observed 19,605,297 51.4% 1,043,710 2.7%
2005 observed 20,186,274 51.5% 1,069,904 2.7%
2006 observed 20,786,585 51.6% 1,099,050 2.7%
2007 observed 21,393,566 51.6% 1,131,911 2.7%
2008 observed 22,004,084 51.7% 1,168,971 2.7%
2009 observed 22,611,697 51.8% 1,210,571 2.8%
2010 observed 23,236,122 51.9% 1,257,085 2.8%
2011 observed 23,884,469 51.9% 1,308,666 2.8%
2012 observed 24,546,426 51.8% 1,364,921 2.9%
2013 observed 25,235,721 51.7% 1,422,543 2.9%
2014 observed 25,948,056 51.5% 1,478,188 2.9%
2015 observed 26,681,836 51.3% 1,533,405 2.9%
2016 observed 27,438,833 51.0% 1,590,802 3.0%
2017 observed 28,218,873 50.7% 1,650,915 3.0%
2018 observed 29,009,947 50.5% 1,713,155 3.0%
2019 observed 29,798,650 50.4% 1,776,634 3.0%
2020 observed 30,594,652 50.2% 1,840,764 3.0%
2021 observed 31,393,447 50.0% 1,902,374 3.0%
2022 observed 32,182,157 49.7% 1,964,033 3.0%
2023 observed 32,961,772 49.5% 2,027,310 3.0%
2024 projected 33,741,678 49.2% 2,087,660 3.0%
2025 projected 34,532,855 49.0% 2,145,838 3.0%
2026 projected 35,338,153 48.7% 2,202,965 3.0%
2027 projected 36,151,010 48.5% 2,260,061 3.0%
2028 projected 36,966,568 48.2% 2,319,086 3.0%
2029 projected 37,792,086 48.0% 2,382,226 3.0%
2030 projected 38,618,653 47.7% 2,451,550 3.0%
2031 projected 39,423,925 47.4% 2,529,281 3.0%
2032 projected 40,202,092 47.1% 2,616,960 3.1%
2033 projected 40,970,881 46.8% 2,714,613 3.1%
2034 projected 41,736,606 46.5% 2,823,271 3.1%
2035 projected 42,480,462 46.1% 2,943,330 3.2%
2036 projected 43,205,100 45.8% 3,074,727 3.3%
2037 projected 43,919,313 45.4% 3,216,872 3.3%
2038 projected 44,631,142 45.0% 3,368,814 3.4%
2039 projected 45,343,847 44.6% 3,531,059 3.5%
2040 projected 46,050,719 44.3% 3,701,850 3.6%
2041 projected 46,747,571 43.9% 3,878,678 3.6%
2042 projected 47,441,953 43.6% 4,061,926 3.7%
2043 projected 48,141,113 43.2% 4,251,960 3.8%
2044 projected 48,842,428 42.9% 4,448,326 3.9%
2045 projected 49,539,778 42.5% 4,651,249 4.0%
2046 projected 50,239,830 42.2% 4,860,386 4.1%
2047 projected 50,946,890 41.9% 5,076,602 4.2%
2048 projected 51,646,971 41.5% 5,301,474 4.3%
2049 projected 52,326,386 41.2% 5,533,530 4.4%
2050 projected 52,997,134 40.9% 5,771,790 4.5%
2051 projected 53,668,808 40.6% 6,016,778 4.5%
2052 projected 54,328,169 40.3% 6,269,792 4.6%
2053 projected 54,971,720 39.9% 6,534,328 4.7%
2054 projected 55,605,504 39.6% 6,809,873 4.9%
2055 projected 56,239,542 39.3% 7,093,624 5.0%
2056 projected 56,867,429 39.0% 7,386,843 5.1%
2057 projected 57,481,653 38.7% 7,689,614 5.2%
2058 projected 58,087,204 38.4% 8,000,977 5.3%
2059 projected 58,688,240 38.1% 8,325,863 5.4%
2060 projected 59,279,076 37.8% 8,671,618 5.5%
2061 projected 59,858,490 37.5% 9,038,565 5.7%
2062 projected 60,428,708 37.2% 9,419,293 5.8%
2063 projected 60,991,552 36.9% 9,813,460 5.9%
2064 projected 61,537,653 36.6% 10,221,878 6.1%
2065 projected 62,066,198 36.3% 10,642,498 6.2%
2066 projected 62,585,199 36.0% 11,076,448 6.4%
2067 projected 63,099,684 35.8% 11,522,950 6.5%
2068 projected 63,608,680 35.5% 11,987,174 6.7%
2069 projected 64,103,863 35.2% 12,475,512 6.9%
2070 projected 64,586,466 34.9% 12,986,399 7.0%
2071 projected 65,058,520 34.7% 13,511,824 7.2%
2072 projected 65,520,221 34.4% 14,041,223 7.4%
2073 projected 65,968,676 34.1% 14,572,407 7.5%
2074 projected 66,407,331 33.9% 15,109,441 7.7%
2075 projected 66,831,024 33.6% 15,654,799 7.9%
2076 projected 67,235,972 33.4% 16,206,371 8.0%
2077 projected 67,624,825 33.1% 16,771,540 8.2%
2078 projected 67,998,559 32.8% 17,367,644 8.4%
2079 projected 68,356,997 32.6% 17,995,478 8.6%
2080 projected 68,698,156 32.3% 18,637,854 8.8%
2081 projected 69,026,236 32.1% 19,297,786 9.0%
2082 projected 69,346,927 31.8% 19,989,407 9.2%
2083 projected 69,659,094 31.6% 20,706,588 9.4%
2084 projected 69,963,252 31.3% 21,438,729 9.6%
2085 projected 70,261,414 31.1% 22,181,583 9.8%
2086 projected 70,548,183 30.9% 22,935,525 10.0%
2087 projected 70,820,514 30.6% 23,700,706 10.3%
2088 projected 71,081,744 30.4% 24,477,011 10.5%
2089 projected 71,330,806 30.2% 25,262,446 10.7%
2090 projected 71,565,153 30.0% 26,053,812 10.9%
2091 projected 71,790,264 29.7% 26,852,421 11.1%
2092 projected 72,005,984 29.5% 27,658,708 11.3%
2093 projected 72,206,967 29.3% 28,469,928 11.6%
2094 projected 72,392,135 29.1% 29,287,140 11.8%
2095 projected 72,564,991 28.9% 30,111,751 12.0%
2096 projected 72,730,004 28.7% 30,945,736 12.2%
2097 projected 72,889,571 28.5% 31,785,382 12.4%
2098 projected 73,040,314 28.3% 32,627,901 12.6%
2099 projected 73,179,918 28.1% 33,479,782 12.8%
2100 projected 73,305,822 27.9% 34,342,876 13.1%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.