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Population state · Sustained decline

Serbia

Europe · Southern Europe · SRB · RS

Serbia's population reached its series maximum in 1987. The current run began in 1989.

Population state
Sustained decline
current run since 1989 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.50
67 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
111
of 237
Regional population rank
21
of 50 in Europe
Annual change
−44,236
13th-largest annual loss in the record
Peak population · 1987 Deaths exceed births · since 1992 Working-age peak · 1985 Support ratio · 2.78 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Deepens decline

Negative net migration adds to natural decline.

Serbia, 2024 projected: natural change −36,104 people, net migration −8,132, WPP adjustment 0, total population change −44,236. Negative net migration adds to natural decline.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a 0-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
SUSTAINED DECLINE · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Decline over time

36 source years · since 1989 Tied rank 1 of 29 by streak duration Duration, not severity
CARD 01 · ANNUAL TOTAL POPULATION CHANGE

Annual change through the streak

Each bar is one year’s total population change. View the same evidence as a share of that year’s population or as a count of people.

Births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments are included.
−0.66%
1989–2024 · 36 source years Loss rate is steeper than at the start
Annual change bar chart
Observed through 2023 2024 projected

One discrete bar for each source year from 1989 through 2024. The chart includes total population change from births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments; observed and projected rows are distinguished.

Annual total population change for Serbia, 1989 to 2024
YearEvidencePercent of populationPeople
1989observed−0.06%−4.5k
1990observed−0.11%−8.9k
1991observed−0.08%−6.2k
1992observed−0.11%−8.3k
1993observed−0.15%−11.8k
1994observed−0.17%−13.3k
1995observed−0.18%−14.5k
1996observed−0.21%−16.7k
1997observed−0.26%−20.4k
1998observed−0.34%−26.1k
1999observed−0.48%−37.0k
2000observed−0.55%−42.5k
2001observed−0.56%−42.8k
2002observed−0.36%−27.5k
2003observed−0.32%−24.1k
2004observed−0.35%−26.1k
2005observed−0.36%−27.3k
2006observed−0.38%−28.2k
2007observed−0.38%−28.6k
2008observed−0.39%−28.8k
2009observed−0.39%−29.1k
2010observed−0.40%−29.9k
2011observed−0.44%−32.1k
2012observed−0.66%−48.3k
2013observed−0.67%−48.5k
2014observed−0.68%−49.4k
2015observed−0.70%−50.5k
2016observed−0.73%−51.9k
2017observed−0.75%−53.3k
2018observed−0.76%−53.7k
2019observed−0.78%−54.1k
2020observed−0.91%−62.6k
2021observed−1.20%−82.1k
2022observed−0.09%−6.3k
2023observed−0.44%−29.7k
2024projected−0.66%−44.2k
First year−0.06%
Least negative−0.06% · 1989
Most negative−1.20% · 2021
2024−0.66%
CARD 02 · LITERAL SERIES MAXIMUM

Population below peak

Peak population minus the 2024 population, shown in people and as a share of the peak.

14.6%
1.15m people below peak
Population from peak line chart
Observed through 2023 2024 projected Focused scale · peak = 100

Annual total population from the literal series maximum in 1987 through 2024, indexed so the peak equals 100. The focused scale shows the stock path while exact annual populations remain in the table.

Annual total population from the literal peak through 2024
YearEvidencePopulation
1987observed7,885,359
1988observed7,884,456
1989observed7,881,274
1990observed7,874,594
1991observed7,867,067
1992observed7,859,809
1993observed7,849,725
1994observed7,837,158
1995observed7,823,284
1996observed7,807,721
1997observed7,789,182
1998observed7,765,922
1999observed7,734,365
2000observed7,694,605
2001observed7,651,927
2002observed7,616,743
2003observed7,590,935
2004observed7,565,841
2005observed7,539,133
2006observed7,511,394
2007observed7,482,989
2008observed7,454,279
2009observed7,425,347
2010observed7,395,864
2011observed7,364,859
2012observed7,324,623
2013observed7,276,180
2014observed7,227,203
2015observed7,177,253
2016observed7,126,083
2017observed7,073,507
2018observed7,020,019
2019observed6,966,153
2020observed6,907,812
2021observed6,835,430
2022observed6,791,213
2023observed6,773,201
2024projected6,736,216
Peak population · 1987
7.89m
2024 population
6.74m

From 7,885,359 people in 1987 to 6,736,216 in 2024. The endpoint is projected; the peak year is the literal maximum in the WPP series.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaannual-total-change-rate-v1 · population-below-peak-v1 · population-from-peak-v1 · sustained-decline-streak-rank-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/sustained-decline-profile.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship; streak rank compares the 29 canonical sustained-decline members only.
Reference timeAnnual source rows from 1989 through 2024; estimates through 2023, then medium-variant projection.
UnitWhole people and annual total change as a percentage of same-year population; the population-path chart indexes the literal peak to 100 while retaining exact annual counts.
Evidence statusprojected 2024 endpoint; observed/projected status is retained for every chart row.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
20246.74m−44,2361.50
20505.53m−42,8761.56
20804.33m−35,3951.58
21003.70m−28,8241.60

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2012 · observed
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Serbia annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 34.1% in 1950 to 17.3% in 2023 and 14.6% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 6.1% to 22.3% and 35.0%. First annual crossover: 2012 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Serbia, 1950 to 2100 Serbia annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 34.1% in 1950 to 17.3% in 2023 and 14.6% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 6.1% to 22.3% and 35.0%. First annual crossover: 2012 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 14.6% 65+ · 35.0%
1950
Under 18 · 34.1%65+ · 6.1%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 17.3%65+ · 22.3%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 14.6%65+ · 35.0%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Serbia under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 2,050,790 34.1% 368,751 6.1%
1951 observed 2,045,374 33.7% 368,815 6.1%
1952 observed 2,042,665 33.3% 371,203 6.1%
1953 observed 2,044,237 33.0% 376,046 6.1%
1954 observed 2,051,359 32.7% 383,661 6.1%
1955 observed 2,062,078 32.5% 392,182 6.2%
1956 observed 2,073,259 32.3% 400,043 6.2%
1957 observed 2,083,986 32.1% 408,034 6.3%
1958 observed 2,093,290 31.9% 416,860 6.3%
1959 observed 2,101,460 31.7% 427,202 6.4%
1960 observed 2,112,171 31.5% 439,198 6.6%
1961 observed 2,129,468 31.4% 451,810 6.7%
1962 observed 2,150,769 31.5% 464,707 6.8%
1963 observed 2,169,797 31.4% 479,881 7.0%
1964 observed 2,183,078 31.3% 499,190 7.2%
1965 observed 2,188,288 31.1% 522,108 7.4%
1966 observed 2,183,295 30.8% 547,128 7.7%
1967 observed 2,168,433 30.3% 572,446 8.0%
1968 observed 2,146,389 29.8% 596,126 8.3%
1969 observed 2,119,331 29.1% 618,191 8.5%
1970 observed 2,088,663 28.5% 639,149 8.7%
1971 observed 2,057,378 27.9% 659,675 8.9%
1972 observed 2,027,854 27.3% 680,468 9.2%
1973 observed 2,001,850 26.8% 701,805 9.4%
1974 observed 1,982,653 26.4% 724,724 9.6%
1975 observed 1,970,702 26.0% 749,648 9.9%
1976 observed 1,962,513 25.7% 774,728 10.2%
1977 observed 1,954,006 25.5% 796,446 10.4%
1978 observed 1,943,717 25.2% 811,484 10.5%
1979 observed 1,933,972 24.9% 817,697 10.5%
1980 observed 1,927,873 24.7% 812,688 10.4%
1981 observed 1,926,306 24.6% 797,011 10.2%
1982 observed 1,925,954 24.5% 776,267 9.9%
1983 observed 1,923,914 24.5% 758,654 9.6%
1984 observed 1,920,220 24.4% 752,950 9.6%
1985 observed 1,913,950 24.3% 761,571 9.7%
1986 observed 1,904,172 24.2% 779,991 9.9%
1987 observed 1,891,566 24.0% 803,575 10.2%
1988 observed 1,876,986 23.8% 829,971 10.5%
1989 observed 1,860,173 23.6% 858,415 10.9%
1990 observed 1,840,720 23.4% 888,919 11.3%
1991 observed 1,820,976 23.1% 922,351 11.7%
1992 observed 1,801,140 22.9% 958,556 12.2%
1993 observed 1,778,818 22.7% 995,972 12.7%
1994 observed 1,754,623 22.4% 1,034,040 13.2%
1995 observed 1,728,936 22.1% 1,072,596 13.7%
1996 observed 1,701,286 21.8% 1,110,940 14.2%
1997 observed 1,671,535 21.5% 1,147,916 14.7%
1998 observed 1,639,644 21.1% 1,182,304 15.2%
1999 observed 1,605,489 20.8% 1,212,194 15.7%
2000 observed 1,569,556 20.4% 1,236,383 16.1%
2001 observed 1,533,534 20.0% 1,255,629 16.4%
2002 observed 1,500,394 19.7% 1,273,160 16.7%
2003 observed 1,471,238 19.4% 1,289,156 17.0%
2004 observed 1,444,982 19.1% 1,300,305 17.2%
2005 observed 1,420,798 18.8% 1,306,441 17.3%
2006 observed 1,397,596 18.6% 1,308,222 17.4%
2007 observed 1,375,562 18.4% 1,305,977 17.5%
2008 observed 1,355,011 18.2% 1,300,047 17.4%
2009 observed 1,335,508 18.0% 1,292,627 17.4%
2010 observed 1,317,632 17.8% 1,285,101 17.4%
2011 observed 1,301,375 17.7% 1,281,172 17.4%
2012 observed 1,285,038 17.5% 1,288,338 17.6%
2013 observed 1,268,086 17.4% 1,306,071 17.9%
2014 observed 1,252,254 17.3% 1,329,102 18.4%
2015 observed 1,239,618 17.3% 1,355,353 18.9%
2016 observed 1,230,097 17.3% 1,381,414 19.4%
2017 observed 1,222,256 17.3% 1,408,152 19.9%
2018 observed 1,215,375 17.3% 1,438,148 20.5%
2019 observed 1,206,762 17.3% 1,467,373 21.1%
2020 observed 1,196,059 17.3% 1,490,075 21.6%
2021 observed 1,185,235 17.3% 1,496,175 21.9%
2022 observed 1,178,925 17.4% 1,499,338 22.1%
2023 observed 1,173,714 17.3% 1,513,022 22.3%
2024 projected 1,163,825 17.3% 1,528,181 22.7%
2025 projected 1,152,351 17.2% 1,541,855 23.1%
2026 projected 1,141,011 17.2% 1,552,837 23.4%
2027 projected 1,129,805 17.1% 1,561,328 23.7%
2028 projected 1,118,166 17.1% 1,567,024 23.9%
2029 projected 1,106,439 17.0% 1,569,639 24.1%
2030 projected 1,094,524 16.9% 1,570,844 24.3%
2031 projected 1,082,159 16.9% 1,571,572 24.5%
2032 projected 1,069,074 16.8% 1,571,354 24.7%
2033 projected 1,055,342 16.7% 1,570,356 24.8%
2034 projected 1,041,421 16.6% 1,568,876 25.0%
2035 projected 1,027,426 16.5% 1,567,069 25.2%
2036 projected 1,013,099 16.4% 1,565,703 25.3%
2037 projected 998,629 16.3% 1,565,564 25.5%
2038 projected 984,710 16.2% 1,565,356 25.7%
2039 projected 971,791 16.1% 1,565,668 25.9%
2040 projected 959,774 16.0% 1,568,381 26.2%
2041 projected 948,917 16.0% 1,572,436 26.5%
2042 projected 939,214 15.9% 1,576,589 26.8%
2043 projected 930,192 15.9% 1,580,689 27.0%
2044 projected 921,713 15.9% 1,584,693 27.3%
2045 projected 913,700 15.9% 1,588,452 27.6%
2046 projected 906,102 15.9% 1,591,795 27.9%
2047 projected 898,857 15.9% 1,595,098 28.2%
2048 projected 891,887 15.9% 1,599,661 28.5%
2049 projected 885,111 15.9% 1,605,228 28.8%
2050 projected 878,448 15.9% 1,609,225 29.1%
2051 projected 871,779 15.9% 1,610,650 29.3%
2052 projected 865,106 15.9% 1,611,221 29.6%
2053 projected 858,424 15.9% 1,611,843 29.8%
2054 projected 851,599 15.9% 1,610,923 30.0%
2055 projected 844,575 15.9% 1,608,202 30.2%
2056 projected 837,294 15.9% 1,605,391 30.4%
2057 projected 829,742 15.8% 1,602,123 30.6%
2058 projected 822,026 15.8% 1,598,500 30.8%
2059 projected 814,178 15.8% 1,595,181 30.9%
2060 projected 806,068 15.8% 1,591,931 31.1%
2061 projected 797,721 15.7% 1,587,768 31.3%
2062 projected 789,180 15.7% 1,580,869 31.4%
2063 projected 780,469 15.6% 1,571,335 31.5%
2064 projected 771,673 15.6% 1,560,495 31.5%
2065 projected 762,826 15.5% 1,549,022 31.6%
2066 projected 754,013 15.5% 1,539,184 31.6%
2067 projected 745,258 15.4% 1,530,958 31.7%
2068 projected 736,579 15.4% 1,522,306 31.8%
2069 projected 728,062 15.3% 1,513,038 31.9%
2070 projected 719,779 15.3% 1,503,078 31.9%
2071 projected 711,766 15.3% 1,492,477 32.0%
2072 projected 704,078 15.2% 1,481,313 32.0%
2073 projected 696,715 15.2% 1,470,235 32.0%
2074 projected 689,661 15.2% 1,459,833 32.1%
2075 projected 682,957 15.1% 1,449,964 32.1%
2076 projected 676,583 15.1% 1,440,400 32.2%
2077 projected 670,436 15.1% 1,431,250 32.3%
2078 projected 664,495 15.1% 1,422,761 32.3%
2079 projected 658,749 15.1% 1,415,275 32.4%
2080 projected 653,185 15.1% 1,408,782 32.5%
2081 projected 647,789 15.1% 1,402,895 32.7%
2082 projected 642,491 15.1% 1,397,577 32.8%
2083 projected 637,246 15.1% 1,393,079 33.0%
2084 projected 632,059 15.1% 1,389,173 33.1%
2085 projected 626,874 15.1% 1,385,214 33.3%
2086 projected 621,657 15.1% 1,380,777 33.5%
2087 projected 616,384 15.1% 1,375,896 33.6%
2088 projected 611,071 15.0% 1,370,371 33.7%
2089 projected 605,664 15.0% 1,364,233 33.9%
2090 projected 600,152 15.0% 1,357,989 34.0%
2091 projected 594,547 15.0% 1,351,741 34.1%
2092 projected 588,848 15.0% 1,345,472 34.2%
2093 projected 583,076 14.9% 1,339,180 34.3%
2094 projected 577,280 14.9% 1,332,870 34.4%
2095 projected 571,445 14.9% 1,326,509 34.5%
2096 projected 565,570 14.8% 1,320,128 34.6%
2097 projected 559,682 14.8% 1,313,741 34.7%
2098 projected 553,820 14.7% 1,307,386 34.8%
2099 projected 547,991 14.7% 1,301,014 34.9%
2100 projected 542,192 14.6% 1,294,666 35.0%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.