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Countries / Portugal

Population state · Declining

Portugal

Europe · Southern Europe · PRT · PT

Portugal's population reached its series maximum in 2010. The current run began in 2024.

Population state
Declining
current run since 2024 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.51
70 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
93
of 237
Regional population rank
14
of 50 in Europe
Population
10.43m
Annual change
−10,717
30th-largest annual loss in the record
Natural change
−31,366
Migrant share
10.8%
Peak population · 2010 Deaths exceed births · since 2009 Working-age peak · 2008 Support ratio · 2.56 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces decline

Positive net migration slows natural decline without reversing it.

Portugal, 2024 projected: natural change −31,366 people, net migration +20,648, WPP adjustment +1, total population change −10,717. Positive net migration slows natural decline without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +1-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
202410.43m−10,7171.51
20509.77m−35,5251.57
20808.87m−10,7571.60
21008.75m−4,3021.61

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2010 · observed
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Portugal annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 35.4% in 1950 to 15.8% in 2023 and 16.7% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 7.0% to 24.1% and 31.1%. First annual crossover: 2010 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Portugal, 1950 to 2100 Portugal annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 35.4% in 1950 to 15.8% in 2023 and 16.7% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 7.0% to 24.1% and 31.1%. First annual crossover: 2010 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 16.7% 65+ · 31.1%
1950
Under 18 · 35.4%65+ · 7.0%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 15.8%65+ · 24.1%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 16.7%65+ · 31.1%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Portugal under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 2,983,239 35.4% 591,471 7.0%
1951 observed 2,970,418 35.1% 603,040 7.1%
1952 observed 2,968,237 34.8% 613,805 7.2%
1953 observed 2,967,951 34.6% 627,147 7.3%
1954 observed 2,965,003 34.4% 635,048 7.4%
1955 observed 2,970,377 34.3% 647,820 7.5%
1956 observed 2,980,410 34.2% 658,586 7.6%
1957 observed 2,995,250 34.3% 663,330 7.6%
1958 observed 3,019,526 34.3% 675,800 7.7%
1959 observed 3,047,012 34.5% 687,963 7.8%
1960 observed 3,063,929 34.5% 699,266 7.9%
1961 observed 3,059,887 34.4% 710,954 8.0%
1962 observed 3,052,240 34.3% 722,264 8.1%
1963 observed 3,044,625 34.2% 732,063 8.2%
1964 observed 3,040,671 34.2% 737,431 8.3%
1965 observed 3,044,237 34.2% 753,978 8.5%
1966 observed 3,040,981 34.3% 772,890 8.7%
1967 observed 3,034,227 34.3% 783,623 8.9%
1968 observed 3,021,100 34.3% 798,075 9.1%
1969 observed 2,996,418 34.2% 809,817 9.3%
1970 observed 2,940,833 33.9% 825,563 9.5%
1971 observed 2,915,340 33.6% 846,583 9.7%
1972 observed 2,942,104 33.4% 869,763 9.9%
1973 observed 2,960,427 33.1% 895,132 10.0%
1974 observed 2,978,070 32.9% 916,763 10.1%
1975 observed 2,999,550 32.7% 947,168 10.3%
1976 observed 3,025,535 32.5% 980,114 10.5%
1977 observed 3,050,992 32.3% 1,007,515 10.7%
1978 observed 3,062,620 32.0% 1,037,243 10.9%
1979 observed 3,058,657 31.7% 1,067,603 11.0%
1980 observed 3,046,299 31.2% 1,099,365 11.3%
1981 observed 3,018,404 30.7% 1,125,921 11.4%
1982 observed 2,978,739 30.1% 1,146,073 11.6%
1983 observed 2,937,167 29.6% 1,160,696 11.7%
1984 observed 2,895,780 29.1% 1,173,548 11.8%
1985 observed 2,851,760 28.6% 1,195,173 12.0%
1986 observed 2,802,457 28.0% 1,223,937 12.2%
1987 observed 2,749,893 27.5% 1,253,281 12.5%
1988 observed 2,692,545 26.9% 1,283,089 12.8%
1989 observed 2,628,697 26.3% 1,315,704 13.2%
1990 observed 2,557,181 25.6% 1,348,633 13.5%
1991 observed 2,481,000 24.9% 1,380,135 13.8%
1992 observed 2,410,363 24.2% 1,410,786 14.2%
1993 observed 2,348,235 23.5% 1,439,755 14.4%
1994 observed 2,289,705 22.9% 1,469,698 14.7%
1995 observed 2,236,313 22.3% 1,501,489 15.0%
1996 observed 2,193,816 21.8% 1,532,690 15.2%
1997 observed 2,161,489 21.4% 1,564,452 15.5%
1998 observed 2,133,162 21.0% 1,596,334 15.7%
1999 observed 2,110,517 20.7% 1,625,072 15.9%
2000 observed 2,089,032 20.3% 1,658,772 16.1%
2001 observed 2,068,172 20.0% 1,696,834 16.4%
2002 observed 2,052,709 19.7% 1,729,198 16.6%
2003 observed 2,040,482 19.5% 1,756,969 16.8%
2004 observed 2,029,731 19.4% 1,786,173 17.0%
2005 observed 2,020,067 19.2% 1,813,671 17.3%
2006 observed 2,010,280 19.1% 1,837,952 17.5%
2007 observed 1,998,387 18.9% 1,862,841 17.7%
2008 observed 1,985,002 18.8% 1,890,197 17.9%
2009 observed 1,967,762 18.6% 1,922,330 18.2%
2010 observed 1,943,597 18.4% 1,958,925 18.5%
2011 observed 1,920,374 18.2% 1,991,650 18.9%
2012 observed 1,900,581 18.1% 2,018,568 19.2%
2013 observed 1,875,808 17.9% 2,052,721 19.6%
2014 observed 1,847,602 17.8% 2,093,113 20.1%
2015 observed 1,821,023 17.6% 2,133,598 20.6%
2016 observed 1,796,796 17.4% 2,175,534 21.0%
2017 observed 1,771,355 17.1% 2,219,919 21.5%
2018 observed 1,743,418 16.9% 2,264,594 21.9%
2019 observed 1,720,190 16.6% 2,315,857 22.4%
2020 observed 1,701,135 16.4% 2,370,984 22.9%
2021 observed 1,680,791 16.2% 2,420,153 23.3%
2022 observed 1,665,812 16.0% 2,467,598 23.7%
2023 observed 1,653,030 15.8% 2,515,011 24.1%
2024 projected 1,639,480 15.7% 2,557,393 24.5%
2025 projected 1,628,336 15.6% 2,596,979 24.9%
2026 projected 1,615,883 15.5% 2,637,756 25.4%
2027 projected 1,603,788 15.5% 2,676,691 25.8%
2028 projected 1,591,257 15.4% 2,713,961 26.2%
2029 projected 1,578,521 15.3% 2,751,825 26.6%
2030 projected 1,571,480 15.2% 2,789,682 27.0%
2031 projected 1,571,365 15.3% 2,825,180 27.4%
2032 projected 1,574,559 15.3% 2,857,968 27.8%
2033 projected 1,576,441 15.4% 2,888,334 28.2%
2034 projected 1,576,083 15.4% 2,917,384 28.5%
2035 projected 1,575,579 15.4% 2,946,668 28.9%
2036 projected 1,575,539 15.5% 2,978,116 29.2%
2037 projected 1,575,550 15.5% 3,010,975 29.6%
2038 projected 1,576,964 15.6% 3,042,784 30.0%
2039 projected 1,581,928 15.6% 3,075,064 30.4%
2040 projected 1,586,871 15.7% 3,109,589 30.8%
2041 projected 1,588,528 15.8% 3,144,447 31.3%
2042 projected 1,589,376 15.8% 3,176,782 31.7%
2043 projected 1,590,059 15.9% 3,201,021 32.0%
2044 projected 1,590,702 16.0% 3,216,741 32.3%
2045 projected 1,591,308 16.0% 3,229,662 32.5%
2046 projected 1,591,589 16.1% 3,238,864 32.7%
2047 projected 1,591,418 16.1% 3,243,447 32.9%
2048 projected 1,590,852 16.2% 3,243,590 33.0%
2049 projected 1,589,437 16.2% 3,238,814 33.0%
2050 projected 1,587,096 16.2% 3,228,181 33.0%
2051 projected 1,584,258 16.3% 3,211,368 33.0%
2052 projected 1,580,659 16.3% 3,191,162 32.9%
2053 projected 1,576,136 16.3% 3,169,079 32.8%
2054 projected 1,571,111 16.3% 3,145,327 32.7%
2055 projected 1,565,590 16.3% 3,120,849 32.6%
2056 projected 1,559,746 16.3% 3,096,684 32.4%
2057 projected 1,554,016 16.3% 3,071,551 32.3%
2058 projected 1,548,007 16.3% 3,045,021 32.1%
2059 projected 1,541,952 16.3% 3,016,071 32.0%
2060 projected 1,536,301 16.4% 2,985,475 31.8%
2061 projected 1,531,210 16.4% 2,955,916 31.6%
2062 projected 1,526,596 16.4% 2,927,920 31.4%
2063 projected 1,522,335 16.4% 2,901,440 31.2%
2064 projected 1,518,624 16.4% 2,877,983 31.1%
2065 projected 1,515,741 16.4% 2,859,033 31.0%
2066 projected 1,513,712 16.5% 2,839,358 30.9%
2067 projected 1,512,309 16.5% 2,818,563 30.8%
2068 projected 1,511,288 16.6% 2,800,908 30.7%
2069 projected 1,510,732 16.6% 2,785,010 30.6%
2070 projected 1,510,821 16.7% 2,772,103 30.6%
2071 projected 1,511,327 16.7% 2,761,378 30.6%
2072 projected 1,512,291 16.8% 2,750,444 30.5%
2073 projected 1,513,318 16.8% 2,741,770 30.5%
2074 projected 1,514,066 16.9% 2,734,304 30.5%
2075 projected 1,514,867 16.9% 2,728,728 30.5%
2076 projected 1,515,580 17.0% 2,725,246 30.5%
2077 projected 1,516,190 17.0% 2,718,982 30.5%
2078 projected 1,516,695 17.1% 2,708,546 30.5%
2079 projected 1,516,789 17.1% 2,696,894 30.4%
2080 projected 1,516,504 17.1% 2,688,572 30.3%
2081 projected 1,515,701 17.1% 2,684,424 30.3%
2082 projected 1,514,480 17.1% 2,682,333 30.3%
2083 projected 1,513,167 17.1% 2,681,652 30.3%
2084 projected 1,511,497 17.1% 2,682,468 30.4%
2085 projected 1,509,450 17.1% 2,683,175 30.4%
2086 projected 1,507,201 17.1% 2,681,363 30.4%
2087 projected 1,504,403 17.1% 2,680,168 30.4%
2088 projected 1,501,227 17.0% 2,682,875 30.4%
2089 projected 1,497,909 17.0% 2,686,903 30.5%
2090 projected 1,494,346 17.0% 2,690,792 30.6%
2091 projected 1,490,673 16.9% 2,694,347 30.6%
2092 projected 1,486,806 16.9% 2,697,694 30.7%
2093 projected 1,482,827 16.9% 2,700,850 30.7%
2094 projected 1,479,006 16.8% 2,703,826 30.8%
2095 projected 1,474,987 16.8% 2,706,743 30.8%
2096 projected 1,471,005 16.8% 2,709,767 30.9%
2097 projected 1,467,542 16.7% 2,712,960 30.9%
2098 projected 1,464,626 16.7% 2,716,504 31.0%
2099 projected 1,462,080 16.7% 2,720,375 31.1%
2100 projected 1,459,742 16.7% 2,724,612 31.1%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Portugal with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.