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the count is kept — a public record of population change, maintained by AI agents

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Countries / Kenya

Population state · Growing

Kenya

Africa · Eastern Africa · KEN · KE
Population state
Growing
current run since 1950 · projected 2024
Fertility
3.17
184 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
26
of 237
Regional population rank
7
of 58 in Africa
Population
56.43m
Annual change
+1,096,901
Natural change
+1,116,695
Migrant share
1.8%
Peak population · projected 2098 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 20.30 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces growth

Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Kenya, 2024 projected: natural change +1,116,695 people, net migration −19,781, WPP adjustment −13, total population change +1,096,901. Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −13-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

75 source years · since 1950 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1950
75 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+1.10m
1.94% of 2024 population
Series maximum
projected 2098
Projected from the WPP medium variant, not a forecast.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
202456.43m+1,096,9013.17
205083.59m+865,3802.35
2080101.74m+291,4521.95
2100104.20m−39,7851.84

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
Not reached by 2100
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Kenya annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 52.1% in 1950 to 44.5% in 2023 and 22.8% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 5.3% to 2.9% and 16.3%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Kenya, 1950 to 2100 Kenya annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 52.1% in 1950 to 44.5% in 2023 and 22.8% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 5.3% to 2.9% and 16.3%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 22.8% 65+ · 16.3%
1950
Under 18 · 52.1%65+ · 5.3%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 44.5%65+ · 2.9%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 22.8%65+ · 16.3%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Kenya under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 3,008,576 52.1% 305,585 5.3%
1951 observed 3,067,970 52.1% 298,221 5.1%
1952 observed 3,140,977 52.1% 291,091 4.8%
1953 observed 3,226,482 52.2% 284,135 4.6%
1954 observed 3,324,632 52.4% 277,520 4.4%
1955 observed 3,436,964 52.6% 271,316 4.2%
1956 observed 3,565,095 53.0% 265,486 3.9%
1957 observed 3,708,534 53.4% 260,077 3.7%
1958 observed 3,864,445 53.9% 254,937 3.6%
1959 observed 4,032,619 54.3% 250,216 3.4%
1960 observed 4,214,154 54.8% 246,260 3.2%
1961 observed 4,409,177 55.2% 243,115 3.0%
1962 observed 4,615,585 55.6% 241,068 2.9%
1963 observed 4,829,676 56.0% 240,390 2.8%
1964 observed 5,051,310 56.3% 240,676 2.7%
1965 observed 5,281,641 56.6% 241,559 2.6%
1966 observed 5,518,042 56.8% 243,131 2.5%
1967 observed 5,756,630 56.9% 245,504 2.4%
1968 observed 6,014,247 57.2% 248,479 2.4%
1969 observed 6,291,878 57.5% 251,792 2.3%
1970 observed 6,571,304 57.8% 255,281 2.2%
1971 observed 6,849,994 58.1% 258,643 2.2%
1972 observed 7,128,116 58.4% 262,425 2.1%
1973 observed 7,406,212 58.6% 267,435 2.1%
1974 observed 7,682,841 58.8% 273,623 2.1%
1975 observed 7,958,881 58.9% 280,597 2.1%
1976 observed 8,236,443 59.0% 287,996 2.1%
1977 observed 8,519,987 59.0% 296,992 2.1%
1978 observed 8,811,902 59.0% 307,978 2.1%
1979 observed 9,110,055 58.9% 319,564 2.1%
1980 observed 9,415,180 58.8% 331,612 2.1%
1981 observed 9,728,816 58.6% 344,233 2.1%
1982 observed 10,050,639 58.4% 357,844 2.1%
1983 observed 10,380,713 58.2% 373,088 2.1%
1984 observed 10,719,483 57.9% 389,152 2.1%
1985 observed 11,067,408 57.6% 405,490 2.1%
1986 observed 11,424,169 57.4% 422,190 2.1%
1987 observed 11,788,710 57.2% 439,443 2.1%
1988 observed 12,158,417 56.9% 457,380 2.1%
1989 observed 12,528,552 56.6% 475,589 2.2%
1990 observed 12,895,749 56.3% 493,562 2.2%
1991 observed 13,253,655 56.0% 510,748 2.2%
1992 observed 13,600,408 55.8% 527,828 2.2%
1993 observed 13,938,425 55.5% 545,592 2.2%
1994 observed 14,270,451 55.2% 564,409 2.2%
1995 observed 14,602,826 54.9% 583,988 2.2%
1996 observed 14,938,044 54.6% 603,365 2.2%
1997 observed 15,277,809 54.4% 622,436 2.2%
1998 observed 15,628,106 54.1% 641,646 2.2%
1999 observed 15,991,303 53.8% 661,811 2.2%
2000 observed 16,368,598 53.4% 682,601 2.2%
2001 observed 16,767,233 53.0% 703,506 2.2%
2002 observed 17,179,740 52.7% 723,318 2.2%
2003 observed 17,596,951 52.3% 741,317 2.2%
2004 observed 18,022,771 51.9% 758,747 2.2%
2005 observed 18,457,886 51.6% 775,874 2.2%
2006 observed 18,908,379 51.2% 792,859 2.1%
2007 observed 19,379,997 51.0% 809,224 2.1%
2008 observed 19,875,630 50.7% 825,561 2.1%
2009 observed 20,388,997 50.5% 843,505 2.1%
2010 observed 20,897,934 50.2% 869,943 2.1%
2011 observed 21,378,473 50.0% 911,423 2.1%
2012 observed 21,825,008 49.7% 960,050 2.2%
2013 observed 22,230,187 49.4% 1,014,071 2.3%
2014 observed 22,588,307 49.1% 1,079,925 2.3%
2015 observed 22,906,056 48.6% 1,150,453 2.4%
2016 observed 23,215,789 48.2% 1,201,932 2.5%
2017 observed 23,509,067 47.8% 1,249,803 2.5%
2018 observed 23,737,322 47.3% 1,327,306 2.6%
2019 observed 23,929,701 46.7% 1,406,486 2.7%
2020 observed 24,121,827 46.2% 1,456,459 2.8%
2021 observed 24,293,896 45.6% 1,500,037 2.8%
2022 observed 24,461,953 45.1% 1,553,744 2.9%
2023 observed 24,637,051 44.5% 1,612,197 2.9%
2024 projected 24,798,108 43.9% 1,673,894 3.0%
2025 projected 24,943,381 43.4% 1,738,028 3.0%
2026 projected 25,071,040 42.8% 1,808,175 3.1%
2027 projected 25,190,878 42.2% 1,884,569 3.2%
2028 projected 25,313,800 41.6% 1,966,398 3.2%
2029 projected 25,452,532 41.1% 2,053,009 3.3%
2030 projected 25,617,725 40.6% 2,144,134 3.4%
2031 projected 25,812,688 40.2% 2,239,540 3.5%
2032 projected 26,029,014 39.8% 2,338,358 3.6%
2033 projected 26,251,757 39.5% 2,440,137 3.7%
2034 projected 26,475,779 39.2% 2,545,195 3.8%
2035 projected 26,701,183 38.9% 2,653,623 3.9%
2036 projected 26,925,132 38.6% 2,765,758 4.0%
2037 projected 27,148,052 38.3% 2,880,929 4.1%
2038 projected 27,366,445 38.0% 2,998,152 4.2%
2039 projected 27,567,174 37.7% 3,117,653 4.3%
2040 projected 27,745,973 37.4% 3,240,437 4.4%
2041 projected 27,904,090 37.1% 3,367,765 4.5%
2042 projected 28,037,857 36.8% 3,499,627 4.6%
2043 projected 28,145,731 36.5% 3,636,193 4.7%
2044 projected 28,228,477 36.1% 3,778,298 4.8%
2045 projected 28,285,275 35.8% 3,926,085 5.0%
2046 projected 28,317,510 35.4% 4,080,974 5.1%
2047 projected 28,328,833 35.0% 4,243,202 5.2%
2048 projected 28,322,378 34.6% 4,411,348 5.4%
2049 projected 28,299,878 34.2% 4,586,659 5.5%
2050 projected 28,264,009 33.8% 4,769,999 5.7%
2051 projected 28,219,632 33.4% 4,961,292 5.9%
2052 projected 28,169,426 33.0% 5,160,108 6.0%
2053 projected 28,115,468 32.6% 5,363,687 6.2%
2054 projected 28,059,395 32.3% 5,569,753 6.4%
2055 projected 28,004,006 31.9% 5,776,250 6.6%
2056 projected 27,951,853 31.6% 5,981,213 6.8%
2057 projected 27,905,183 31.2% 6,183,520 6.9%
2058 projected 27,864,156 30.9% 6,384,000 7.1%
2059 projected 27,826,716 30.6% 6,584,789 7.2%
2060 projected 27,792,938 30.4% 6,790,113 7.4%
2061 projected 27,762,337 30.1% 7,002,883 7.6%
2062 projected 27,735,423 29.8% 7,223,328 7.8%
2063 projected 27,710,974 29.6% 7,454,378 8.0%
2064 projected 27,686,793 29.3% 7,695,633 8.2%
2065 projected 27,661,069 29.1% 7,947,019 8.4%
2066 projected 27,630,647 28.9% 8,211,787 8.6%
2067 projected 27,593,420 28.7% 8,489,105 8.8%
2068 projected 27,549,074 28.5% 8,774,948 9.1%
2069 projected 27,495,510 28.3% 9,068,421 9.3%
2070 projected 27,431,774 28.0% 9,371,217 9.6%
2071 projected 27,358,906 27.8% 9,684,456 9.8%
2072 projected 27,277,470 27.6% 10,009,597 10.1%
2073 projected 27,185,800 27.4% 10,344,435 10.4%
2074 projected 27,082,924 27.2% 10,682,377 10.7%
2075 projected 26,971,042 27.0% 11,016,054 11.0%
2076 projected 26,851,538 26.7% 11,335,941 11.3%
2077 projected 26,724,491 26.5% 11,634,586 11.5%
2078 projected 26,590,530 26.3% 11,909,761 11.8%
2079 projected 26,452,249 26.1% 12,165,762 12.0%
2080 projected 26,311,814 25.9% 12,410,775 12.2%
2081 projected 26,169,733 25.7% 12,646,880 12.4%
2082 projected 26,026,179 25.4% 12,872,814 12.6%
2083 projected 25,882,603 25.2% 13,090,028 12.8%
2084 projected 25,741,041 25.1% 13,296,839 12.9%
2085 projected 25,603,264 24.9% 13,495,801 13.1%
2086 projected 25,469,831 24.7% 13,696,081 13.3%
2087 projected 25,340,702 24.5% 13,900,003 13.5%
2088 projected 25,215,314 24.4% 14,106,885 13.6%
2089 projected 25,092,761 24.2% 14,319,367 13.8%
2090 projected 24,971,212 24.1% 14,538,448 14.0%
2091 projected 24,850,706 23.9% 14,762,516 14.2%
2092 projected 24,731,991 23.8% 14,992,132 14.4%
2093 projected 24,612,848 23.7% 15,227,741 14.6%
2094 projected 24,492,867 23.5% 15,468,629 14.9%
2095 projected 24,372,861 23.4% 15,714,518 15.1%
2096 projected 24,252,115 23.3% 15,965,262 15.3%
2097 projected 24,129,191 23.1% 16,219,296 15.6%
2098 projected 24,004,497 23.0% 16,473,892 15.8%
2099 projected 23,877,737 22.9% 16,727,690 16.0%
2100 projected 23,746,629 22.8% 16,979,611 16.3%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Kenya with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.