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Countries / Croatia

Population state · Sustained decline

Croatia

Europe · Southern Europe · HRV · HR

Croatia's population reached its series maximum in 1990. The current run began in 2009.

Population state
Sustained decline
current run since 2009 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.47
61 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
130
of 237
Regional population rank
27
of 50 in Europe
Population
3.88m
Annual change
−28,020
20th-largest annual loss in the record
Natural change
−22,828
Migrant share
13.6%
Peak population · 1990 Deaths exceed births · since 1991 Working-age peak · 1990 Support ratio · 2.71 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Deepens decline

Negative net migration adds to natural decline.

Croatia, 2024 projected: natural change −22,828 people, net migration −5,186, WPP adjustment −6, total population change −28,020. Negative net migration adds to natural decline.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −6-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
SUSTAINED DECLINE · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Decline over time

16 source years · since 2009 Rank 11 of 29 by streak duration Duration, not severity
CARD 01 · ANNUAL TOTAL POPULATION CHANGE

Annual change through the streak

Each bar is one year’s total population change. View the same evidence as a share of that year’s population or as a count of people.

Births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments are included.
−0.72%
2009–2024 · 16 source years Loss rate is steeper than at the start
Annual change bar chart
Observed through 2023 2024 projected

One discrete bar for each source year from 2009 through 2024. The chart includes total population change from births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments; observed and projected rows are distinguished.

Annual total population change for Croatia, 2009 to 2024
YearEvidencePercent of populationPeople
2009observed−0.14%−6.2k
2010observed−0.29%−12.5k
2011observed−0.66%−28.1k
2012observed−0.35%−15.1k
2013observed−0.44%−18.6k
2014observed−0.65%−27.2k
2015observed−1.06%−44.3k
2016observed−1.22%−50.3k
2017observed−1.57%−64.2k
2018observed−1.10%−44.5k
2019observed−0.82%−32.6k
2020observed−0.81%−32.2k
2021observed−0.68%−26.5k
2022observed−0.22%−8.6k
2023observed−0.34%−13.4k
2024projected−0.72%−28.0k
First year−0.14%
Least negative−0.14% · 2009
Most negative−1.57% · 2017
2024−0.72%
CARD 02 · LITERAL SERIES MAXIMUM

Population below peak

Peak population minus the 2024 population, shown in people and as a share of the peak.

19.8%
959.7k people below peak
Population from peak line chart
Observed through 2023 2024 projected Focused scale · peak = 100

Annual total population from the literal series maximum in 1990 through 2024, indexed so the peak equals 100. The focused scale shows the stock path while exact annual populations remain in the table.

Annual total population from the literal peak through 2024
YearEvidencePopulation
1990observed4,835,065
1991observed4,825,157
1992observed4,782,233
1993observed4,729,743
1994observed4,675,514
1995observed4,619,360
1996observed4,562,299
1997observed4,504,621
1998observed4,445,667
1999observed4,385,822
2000observed4,326,105
2001observed4,301,074
2002observed4,305,782
2003observed4,306,686
2004observed4,310,056
2005observed4,313,946
2006observed4,315,800
2007observed4,315,954
2008observed4,314,631
2009observed4,310,530
2010observed4,301,145
2011observed4,280,824
2012observed4,259,236
2013observed4,242,398
2014observed4,219,479
2015observed4,183,729
2016observed4,136,444
2017observed4,079,200
2018observed4,024,868
2019observed3,986,334
2020observed3,953,958
2021observed3,924,610
2022observed3,907,027
2023observed3,896,023
2024projected3,875,325
Peak population · 1990
4.84m
2024 population
3.88m

From 4,835,065 people in 1990 to 3,875,325 in 2024. The endpoint is projected; the peak year is the literal maximum in the WPP series.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaannual-total-change-rate-v1 · population-below-peak-v1 · population-from-peak-v1 · sustained-decline-streak-rank-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/sustained-decline-profile.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship; streak rank compares the 29 canonical sustained-decline members only.
Reference timeAnnual source rows from 2009 through 2024; estimates through 2023, then medium-variant projection.
UnitWhole people and annual total change as a percentage of same-year population; the population-path chart indexes the literal peak to 100 while retaining exact annual counts.
Evidence statusprojected 2024 endpoint; observed/projected status is retained for every chart row.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
20243.88m−28,0201.47
20503.23m−26,0511.52
20802.52m−20,3711.55
21002.14m−17,6351.56

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2013 · observed
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Croatia annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 34.1% in 1950 to 17.3% in 2023 and 14.2% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 6.6% to 22.8% and 35.9%. First annual crossover: 2013 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Croatia, 1950 to 2100 Croatia annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 34.1% in 1950 to 17.3% in 2023 and 14.2% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 6.6% to 22.8% and 35.9%. First annual crossover: 2013 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 14.2% 65+ · 35.9%
1950
Under 18 · 34.1%65+ · 6.6%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 17.3%65+ · 22.8%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 14.2%65+ · 35.9%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Croatia under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 1,318,448 34.1% 255,229 6.6%
1951 observed 1,317,621 33.7% 262,339 6.7%
1952 observed 1,316,986 33.3% 269,381 6.8%
1953 observed 1,320,224 33.0% 275,515 6.9%
1954 observed 1,322,767 32.7% 280,540 6.9%
1955 observed 1,323,053 32.4% 284,518 7.0%
1956 observed 1,322,896 32.2% 287,769 7.0%
1957 observed 1,322,287 32.0% 291,043 7.0%
1958 observed 1,321,205 31.8% 294,940 7.1%
1959 observed 1,319,715 31.6% 299,657 7.2%
1960 observed 1,317,604 31.4% 305,077 7.3%
1961 observed 1,320,153 31.3% 311,597 7.4%
1962 observed 1,329,276 31.2% 319,446 7.5%
1963 observed 1,338,506 31.2% 328,736 7.7%
1964 observed 1,343,922 31.1% 340,008 7.9%
1965 observed 1,343,545 30.9% 353,067 8.1%
1966 observed 1,336,902 30.6% 367,234 8.4%
1967 observed 1,325,707 30.1% 381,476 8.7%
1968 observed 1,311,427 29.6% 394,862 8.9%
1969 observed 1,294,289 29.1% 407,627 9.2%
1970 observed 1,275,091 28.6% 420,576 9.4%
1971 observed 1,257,397 28.1% 433,879 9.7%
1972 observed 1,243,002 27.6% 447,419 9.9%
1973 observed 1,230,358 27.2% 461,268 10.2%
1974 observed 1,219,430 26.9% 475,403 10.5%
1975 observed 1,210,584 26.6% 489,441 10.8%
1976 observed 1,203,175 26.3% 502,857 11.0%
1977 observed 1,196,593 26.1% 515,189 11.2%
1978 observed 1,190,729 25.8% 526,072 11.4%
1979 observed 1,186,366 25.6% 533,751 11.5%
1980 observed 1,183,762 25.5% 534,423 11.5%
1981 observed 1,184,330 25.4% 526,554 11.3%
1982 observed 1,187,183 25.3% 513,638 11.0%
1983 observed 1,187,774 25.2% 501,888 10.6%
1984 observed 1,185,643 25.0% 498,724 10.5%
1985 observed 1,182,822 24.9% 504,802 10.6%
1986 observed 1,179,955 24.7% 514,517 10.8%
1987 observed 1,176,956 24.6% 525,022 11.0%
1988 observed 1,173,255 24.4% 536,029 11.2%
1989 observed 1,167,011 24.2% 547,825 11.4%
1990 observed 1,158,029 24.0% 560,811 11.6%
1991 observed 1,140,660 23.6% 574,967 11.9%
1992 observed 1,112,823 23.3% 588,983 12.3%
1993 observed 1,082,392 22.9% 602,700 12.7%
1994 observed 1,052,758 22.5% 616,683 13.2%
1995 observed 1,023,868 22.2% 631,634 13.7%
1996 observed 996,494 21.8% 646,279 14.2%
1997 observed 970,733 21.5% 658,541 14.6%
1998 observed 945,881 21.3% 669,144 15.1%
1999 observed 922,443 21.0% 678,971 15.5%
2000 observed 900,447 20.8% 688,576 15.9%
2001 observed 884,667 20.6% 701,664 16.3%
2002 observed 872,447 20.3% 717,472 16.7%
2003 observed 858,588 19.9% 731,120 17.0%
2004 observed 846,656 19.6% 743,061 17.2%
2005 observed 837,695 19.4% 753,737 17.5%
2006 observed 829,250 19.2% 761,726 17.6%
2007 observed 820,765 19.0% 768,635 17.8%
2008 observed 814,045 18.9% 773,608 17.9%
2009 observed 808,036 18.7% 773,503 17.9%
2010 observed 802,861 18.7% 768,941 17.9%
2011 observed 794,483 18.6% 768,334 17.9%
2012 observed 784,545 18.4% 775,200 18.2%
2013 observed 775,870 18.3% 783,849 18.5%
2014 observed 764,192 18.1% 793,777 18.8%
2015 observed 749,025 17.9% 804,576 19.2%
2016 observed 732,973 17.7% 813,142 19.7%
2017 observed 717,583 17.6% 821,364 20.1%
2018 observed 704,468 17.5% 831,868 20.7%
2019 observed 695,476 17.4% 844,398 21.2%
2020 observed 688,529 17.4% 856,674 21.7%
2021 observed 683,612 17.4% 867,360 22.1%
2022 observed 679,861 17.4% 878,482 22.5%
2023 observed 673,555 17.3% 888,898 22.8%
2024 projected 663,999 17.1% 898,605 23.2%
2025 projected 653,389 17.0% 908,538 23.6%
2026 projected 641,962 16.8% 918,159 24.0%
2027 projected 629,267 16.6% 927,005 24.4%
2028 projected 616,762 16.3% 934,517 24.8%
2029 projected 605,665 16.2% 940,947 25.1%
2030 projected 595,301 16.0% 948,025 25.4%
2031 projected 585,725 15.8% 955,802 25.8%
2032 projected 577,335 15.7% 962,082 26.2%
2033 projected 570,346 15.6% 966,354 26.4%
2034 projected 564,469 15.5% 969,081 26.7%
2035 projected 559,167 15.5% 970,014 26.9%
2036 projected 554,154 15.5% 970,818 27.1%
2037 projected 549,118 15.4% 972,570 27.3%
2038 projected 544,471 15.4% 974,172 27.5%
2039 projected 538,716 15.3% 975,464 27.8%
2040 projected 532,918 15.3% 976,611 28.0%
2041 projected 529,125 15.3% 977,981 28.2%
2042 projected 526,133 15.3% 979,660 28.5%
2043 projected 523,196 15.3% 981,652 28.8%
2044 projected 520,206 15.4% 984,119 29.0%
2045 projected 517,124 15.4% 986,889 29.3%
2046 projected 513,997 15.4% 989,124 29.6%
2047 projected 510,685 15.4% 990,640 29.9%
2048 projected 507,089 15.4% 991,736 30.2%
2049 projected 503,237 15.4% 992,770 30.5%
2050 projected 499,129 15.4% 993,026 30.7%
2051 projected 494,821 15.4% 991,359 30.9%
2052 projected 490,374 15.4% 988,242 31.1%
2053 projected 485,660 15.4% 984,758 31.2%
2054 projected 480,660 15.3% 980,483 31.3%
2055 projected 475,442 15.3% 975,301 31.4%
2056 projected 469,952 15.3% 970,259 31.5%
2057 projected 464,277 15.2% 963,917 31.6%
2058 projected 458,491 15.1% 956,843 31.6%
2059 projected 452,591 15.1% 950,624 31.6%
2060 projected 446,619 15.0% 945,055 31.7%
2061 projected 440,638 14.9% 941,259 31.9%
2062 projected 434,768 14.9% 938,813 32.1%
2063 projected 429,082 14.8% 935,805 32.2%
2064 projected 423,687 14.7% 931,540 32.4%
2065 projected 418,539 14.7% 926,421 32.5%
2066 projected 413,613 14.6% 920,428 32.5%
2067 projected 408,984 14.6% 913,759 32.6%
2068 projected 404,654 14.5% 907,169 32.6%
2069 projected 400,641 14.5% 901,153 32.7%
2070 projected 397,009 14.5% 896,786 32.8%
2071 projected 393,648 14.5% 893,181 32.9%
2072 projected 390,457 14.5% 889,408 33.1%
2073 projected 387,477 14.5% 886,814 33.2%
2074 projected 384,685 14.5% 885,753 33.5%
2075 projected 381,985 14.6% 884,929 33.7%
2076 projected 379,341 14.6% 883,112 33.9%
2077 projected 376,735 14.6% 880,891 34.1%
2078 projected 374,163 14.6% 878,179 34.3%
2079 projected 371,604 14.6% 874,679 34.5%
2080 projected 369,020 14.7% 870,307 34.6%
2081 projected 366,407 14.7% 865,279 34.6%
2082 projected 363,704 14.7% 860,204 34.7%
2083 projected 360,875 14.7% 855,285 34.8%
2084 projected 357,949 14.7% 850,568 34.9%
2085 projected 354,946 14.7% 845,703 35.0%
2086 projected 351,857 14.7% 842,206 35.1%
2087 projected 348,668 14.6% 838,949 35.2%
2088 projected 345,336 14.6% 833,899 35.3%
2089 projected 341,884 14.6% 828,169 35.3%
2090 projected 338,395 14.6% 822,480 35.4%
2091 projected 334,853 14.5% 816,756 35.4%
2092 projected 331,214 14.5% 811,046 35.5%
2093 projected 327,565 14.4% 805,353 35.5%
2094 projected 323,900 14.4% 799,724 35.5%
2095 projected 320,245 14.3% 794,196 35.6%
2096 projected 316,630 14.3% 788,772 35.6%
2097 projected 313,122 14.3% 783,453 35.7%
2098 projected 309,729 14.2% 778,194 35.7%
2099 projected 306,407 14.2% 773,028 35.8%
2100 projected 303,200 14.2% 768,039 35.9%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Croatia with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.