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Population state · Sustained decline

North Macedonia

Europe · Southern Europe · MKD · MK

North Macedonia's population reached its series maximum in 2005. The current run began in 2006.

Population state
Sustained decline
current run since 2006 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.47
60 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
152
of 237
Regional population rank
34
of 50 in Europe
Annual change
−9,006
32nd-largest annual loss in the record
Peak population · 2005 Deaths exceed births · since 2020 Working-age peak · 2006 Support ratio · 3.62 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Deepens decline

Negative net migration adds to natural decline.

North Macedonia, 2024 projected: natural change −3,284 people, net migration −5,728, WPP adjustment +6, total population change −9,006. Negative net migration adds to natural decline.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +6-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
SUSTAINED DECLINE · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Decline over time

19 source years · since 2006 Rank 9 of 29 by streak duration Duration, not severity
CARD 01 · ANNUAL TOTAL POPULATION CHANGE

Annual change through the streak

Each bar is one year’s total population change. View the same evidence as a share of that year’s population or as a count of people.

Births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments are included.
−0.49%
2006–2024 · 19 source years Loss rate is steeper than at the start
Annual change bar chart
Observed through 2023 2024 projected

One discrete bar for each source year from 2006 through 2024. The chart includes total population change from births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments; observed and projected rows are distinguished.

Annual total population change for North Macedonia, 2006 to 2024
YearEvidencePercent of populationPeople
2006observed−0.19%−3.9k
2007observed−0.51%−10.6k
2008observed−0.56%−11.7k
2009observed−0.43%−8.8k
2010observed−0.46%−9.4k
2011observed−0.62%−12.7k
2012observed−0.67%−13.6k
2013observed−0.72%−14.4k
2014observed−0.82%−16.5k
2015observed−0.93%−18.5k
2016observed−1.01%−19.7k
2017observed−1.08%−21.0k
2018observed−1.11%−21.3k
2019observed−1.21%−22.9k
2020observed−1.51%−28.4k
2021observed−0.73%−13.5k
2022observed−0.45%−8.3k
2023observed−0.47%−8.6k
2024projected−0.49%−9.0k
First year−0.19%
Least negative−0.19% · 2006
Most negative−1.51% · 2020
2024−0.49%
CARD 02 · LITERAL SERIES MAXIMUM

Population below peak

Peak population minus the 2024 population, shown in people and as a share of the peak.

12.8%
266.8k people below peak
Population from peak line chart
Observed through 2023 2024 projected Focused scale · peak = 100

Annual total population from the literal series maximum in 2005 through 2024, indexed so the peak equals 100. The focused scale shows the stock path while exact annual populations remain in the table.

Annual total population from the literal peak through 2024
YearEvidencePopulation
2005observed2,089,807
2006observed2,089,233
2007observed2,081,972
2008observed2,070,834
2009observed2,060,599
2010observed2,051,505
2011observed2,040,446
2012observed2,027,289
2013observed2,013,280
2014observed1,997,833
2015observed1,980,366
2016observed1,961,259
2017observed1,940,879
2018observed1,919,728
2019observed1,897,641
2020observed1,872,015
2021observed1,851,108
2022observed1,840,233
2023observed1,831,802
2024projected1,823,009
Peak population · 2005
2.09m
2024 population
1.82m

From 2,089,807 people in 2005 to 1,823,009 in 2024. The endpoint is projected; the peak year is the literal maximum in the WPP series.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaannual-total-change-rate-v1 · population-below-peak-v1 · population-from-peak-v1 · sustained-decline-streak-rank-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/sustained-decline-profile.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship; streak rank compares the 29 canonical sustained-decline members only.
Reference timeAnnual source rows from 2006 through 2024; estimates through 2023, then medium-variant projection.
UnitWhole people and annual total change as a percentage of same-year population; the population-path chart indexes the literal peak to 100 while retaining exact annual counts.
Evidence statusprojected 2024 endpoint; observed/projected status is retained for every chart row.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
20241.82m−9,0061.47
20501.51m−13,1261.51
20801.09m−12,3251.55
2100862,997−10,7721.55

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2028 · projected
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

North Macedonia annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 42.8% in 1950 to 20.4% in 2023 and 13.1% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 6.5% to 17.5% and 37.8%. First annual crossover: 2028 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in North Macedonia, 1950 to 2100 North Macedonia annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 42.8% in 1950 to 20.4% in 2023 and 13.1% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 6.5% to 17.5% and 37.8%. First annual crossover: 2028 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 13.1% 65+ · 37.8%
1950
Under 18 · 42.8%65+ · 6.5%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 20.4%65+ · 17.5%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 13.1%65+ · 37.8%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
North Macedonia under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 534,406 42.8% 81,531 6.5%
1951 observed 542,566 42.7% 79,068 6.2%
1952 observed 550,785 42.5% 77,132 6.0%
1953 observed 559,548 42.4% 75,666 5.7%
1954 observed 568,516 42.4% 74,476 5.6%
1955 observed 577,321 42.6% 73,497 5.4%
1956 observed 585,784 42.7% 72,684 5.3%
1957 observed 593,665 42.9% 71,888 5.2%
1958 observed 601,685 43.0% 71,238 5.1%
1959 observed 611,126 43.1% 70,775 5.0%
1960 observed 620,922 43.3% 70,502 4.9%
1961 observed 630,525 43.3% 70,484 4.8%
1962 observed 638,685 43.4% 70,798 4.8%
1963 observed 647,108 43.5% 71,582 4.8%
1964 observed 655,323 43.4% 72,826 4.8%
1965 observed 660,939 43.1% 74,476 4.9%
1966 observed 663,635 42.6% 76,552 4.9%
1967 observed 665,218 42.0% 79,010 5.0%
1968 observed 667,255 41.5% 81,675 5.1%
1969 observed 668,388 40.8% 84,296 5.2%
1970 observed 668,739 40.2% 86,981 5.2%
1971 observed 669,244 39.6% 89,837 5.3%
1972 observed 669,829 39.0% 92,872 5.4%
1973 observed 670,368 38.4% 96,271 5.5%
1974 observed 671,683 37.9% 99,978 5.6%
1975 observed 674,068 37.5% 103,952 5.8%
1976 observed 676,584 37.1% 108,096 5.9%
1977 observed 677,551 36.6% 112,123 6.1%
1978 observed 677,333 36.0% 115,637 6.2%
1979 observed 678,067 35.6% 118,332 6.2%
1980 observed 680,143 35.2% 120,099 6.2%
1981 observed 681,329 34.8% 121,145 6.2%
1982 observed 680,815 34.4% 121,939 6.2%
1983 observed 679,237 34.1% 122,837 6.2%
1984 observed 677,078 33.8% 124,223 6.2%
1985 observed 675,060 33.5% 126,486 6.3%
1986 observed 673,220 33.2% 129,625 6.4%
1987 observed 671,981 33.0% 133,397 6.6%
1988 observed 671,157 32.8% 137,532 6.7%
1989 observed 669,402 32.6% 142,090 6.9%
1990 observed 666,614 32.3% 147,085 7.1%
1991 observed 655,800 31.9% 152,361 7.4%
1992 observed 637,119 31.3% 157,626 7.8%
1993 observed 618,715 30.8% 162,762 8.1%
1994 observed 608,492 30.5% 168,023 8.4%
1995 observed 606,866 30.4% 173,654 8.7%
1996 observed 605,743 30.1% 178,781 8.9%
1997 observed 602,954 29.8% 183,526 9.1%
1998 observed 598,584 29.4% 189,068 9.3%
1999 observed 591,866 28.9% 195,071 9.5%
2000 observed 583,048 28.3% 200,789 9.8%
2001 observed 574,148 27.8% 206,289 10.0%
2002 observed 566,567 27.3% 211,059 10.2%
2003 observed 560,343 26.9% 214,811 10.3%
2004 observed 552,488 26.5% 218,562 10.5%
2005 observed 542,477 26.0% 222,389 10.6%
2006 observed 531,855 25.5% 226,068 10.8%
2007 observed 521,236 25.0% 229,407 11.0%
2008 observed 510,727 24.7% 232,478 11.2%
2009 observed 500,702 24.3% 235,516 11.4%
2010 observed 491,843 24.0% 238,261 11.6%
2011 observed 482,533 23.6% 240,954 11.8%
2012 observed 472,418 23.3% 244,740 12.1%
2013 observed 462,636 23.0% 250,822 12.5%
2014 observed 450,700 22.6% 258,256 12.9%
2015 observed 437,341 22.1% 265,454 13.4%
2016 observed 425,377 21.7% 272,694 13.9%
2017 observed 414,587 21.4% 280,614 14.5%
2018 observed 404,489 21.1% 289,590 15.1%
2019 observed 395,098 20.8% 299,045 15.8%
2020 observed 386,515 20.6% 306,008 16.3%
2021 observed 380,897 20.6% 309,587 16.7%
2022 observed 377,927 20.5% 313,721 17.0%
2023 observed 374,176 20.4% 320,600 17.5%
2024 projected 369,289 20.3% 328,596 18.0%
2025 projected 363,851 20.1% 335,978 18.5%
2026 projected 357,818 19.8% 342,482 19.0%
2027 projected 350,802 19.6% 348,516 19.4%
2028 projected 343,312 19.2% 354,366 19.9%
2029 projected 335,968 18.9% 360,485 20.3%
2030 projected 328,421 18.6% 366,312 20.8%
2031 projected 320,292 18.3% 371,246 21.2%
2032 projected 311,767 17.9% 375,749 21.6%
2033 projected 303,421 17.6% 379,741 22.0%
2034 projected 295,567 17.2% 383,093 22.3%
2035 projected 288,201 16.9% 385,905 22.6%
2036 projected 281,415 16.6% 388,490 23.0%
2037 projected 275,240 16.4% 390,979 23.3%
2038 projected 269,667 16.2% 393,214 23.6%
2039 projected 264,526 16.0% 395,383 23.9%
2040 projected 259,851 15.8% 397,762 24.2%
2041 projected 256,410 15.7% 400,084 24.6%
2042 projected 253,973 15.7% 402,038 24.9%
2043 projected 251,731 15.7% 403,913 25.2%
2044 projected 249,685 15.7% 405,947 25.5%
2045 projected 247,777 15.7% 408,154 25.9%
2046 projected 245,901 15.7% 410,356 26.2%
2047 projected 244,088 15.7% 412,425 26.6%
2048 projected 242,315 15.7% 414,501 26.9%
2049 projected 240,438 15.8% 416,282 27.3%
2050 projected 238,432 15.8% 417,527 27.6%
2051 projected 236,239 15.8% 418,711 27.9%
2052 projected 233,836 15.7% 420,094 28.3%
2053 projected 231,196 15.7% 421,409 28.6%
2054 projected 228,251 15.7% 422,311 29.0%
2055 projected 225,093 15.6% 423,094 29.3%
2056 projected 221,729 15.5% 423,924 29.7%
2057 projected 218,185 15.4% 424,343 30.0%
2058 projected 214,495 15.3% 424,457 30.3%
2059 projected 210,669 15.2% 424,403 30.6%
2060 projected 206,685 15.1% 424,039 30.9%
2061 projected 202,539 14.9% 423,202 31.2%
2062 projected 198,328 14.8% 421,563 31.4%
2063 projected 194,127 14.6% 419,207 31.6%
2064 projected 190,032 14.5% 416,675 31.7%
2065 projected 186,048 14.3% 414,450 31.9%
2066 projected 182,214 14.2% 412,096 32.1%
2067 projected 178,572 14.1% 409,545 32.2%
2068 projected 175,103 13.9% 406,726 32.4%
2069 projected 171,858 13.8% 403,369 32.5%
2070 projected 168,860 13.8% 399,782 32.6%
2071 projected 166,184 13.7% 396,275 32.7%
2072 projected 163,813 13.7% 393,006 32.8%
2073 projected 161,642 13.6% 390,261 32.9%
2074 projected 159,650 13.6% 388,479 33.1%
2075 projected 157,845 13.6% 387,223 33.4%
2076 projected 156,185 13.6% 385,879 33.7%
2077 projected 154,628 13.7% 384,706 34.0%
2078 projected 153,187 13.7% 384,170 34.3%
2079 projected 151,829 13.7% 384,152 34.7%
2080 projected 150,509 13.8% 384,146 35.1%
2081 projected 149,154 13.8% 383,827 35.5%
2082 projected 147,743 13.8% 383,214 35.8%
2083 projected 146,271 13.8% 382,231 36.2%
2084 projected 144,715 13.9% 380,871 36.5%
2085 projected 143,086 13.9% 379,194 36.7%
2086 projected 141,371 13.9% 377,357 37.0%
2087 projected 139,561 13.8% 375,275 37.2%
2088 projected 137,680 13.8% 372,241 37.3%
2089 projected 135,700 13.8% 368,418 37.4%
2090 projected 133,644 13.7% 364,556 37.4%
2091 projected 131,520 13.7% 360,690 37.5%
2092 projected 129,336 13.6% 356,807 37.5%
2093 projected 127,120 13.5% 352,932 37.5%
2094 projected 124,914 13.5% 349,048 37.6%
2095 projected 122,762 13.4% 345,165 37.6%
2096 projected 120,638 13.3% 341,280 37.6%
2097 projected 118,527 13.2% 337,416 37.7%
2098 projected 116,480 13.2% 333,567 37.7%
2099 projected 114,509 13.1% 329,751 37.7%
2100 projected 112,638 13.1% 325,989 37.8%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.