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Countries / Vanuatu

Population state · Growing

Vanuatu

Oceania · Melanesia · VUT · VU
SMALL POPULATION · Full population counts are shown; ratios with unstable small bases are suppressed.
Population state
Growing
current run since 1950 · projected 2024
Fertility
3.57
195 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
182
of 237
Regional population rank
6
of 23 in Oceania
Population
327,777
Annual change
+7,385
Natural change
+7,418
Migrant share
1.0%
Peak population · projected 2100 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 13.36 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces growth

Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Vanuatu, 2024 projected: natural change +7,418 people, net migration −43, WPP adjustment +10, total population change +7,385. Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +10-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

75 source years · since 1950 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1950
75 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+7,385
2.25% of 2024 population
Series maximum
not established in this series
Still rising at the 2100 horizon of this release.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
2024327,777+7,3853.57
2050534,388+8,2482.81
2080763,058+6,6062.32
2100875,479+4,4152.12

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
Not reached by 2100
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Vanuatu annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 48.7% in 1950 to 44.5% in 2023 and 24.7% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 5.6% to 4.2% and 17.1%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Vanuatu, 1950 to 2100 Vanuatu annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 48.7% in 1950 to 44.5% in 2023 and 24.7% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 5.6% to 4.2% and 17.1%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 24.7% 65+ · 17.1%
1950
Under 18 · 48.7%65+ · 5.6%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 44.5%65+ · 4.2%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 24.7%65+ · 17.1%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Vanuatu under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 25,090 48.7% 2,903 5.6%
1951 observed 25,588 48.9% 2,844 5.4%
1952 observed 26,137 49.1% 2,784 5.2%
1953 observed 26,766 49.3% 2,736 5.0%
1954 observed 27,451 49.5% 2,684 4.8%
1955 observed 28,178 49.8% 2,641 4.7%
1956 observed 28,943 50.0% 2,598 4.5%
1957 observed 29,798 50.2% 2,555 4.3%
1958 observed 30,739 50.4% 2,510 4.1%
1959 observed 31,720 50.6% 2,482 4.0%
1960 observed 32,752 50.8% 2,446 3.8%
1961 observed 33,833 51.1% 2,409 3.6%
1962 observed 34,959 51.3% 2,376 3.5%
1963 observed 36,120 51.5% 2,347 3.3%
1964 observed 37,329 51.7% 2,315 3.2%
1965 observed 38,568 51.9% 2,286 3.1%
1966 observed 39,832 52.0% 2,263 3.0%
1967 observed 41,137 52.1% 2,265 2.9%
1968 observed 42,474 52.2% 2,378 2.9%
1969 observed 43,808 52.3% 2,583 3.1%
1970 observed 45,164 52.4% 2,727 3.2%
1971 observed 46,545 52.4% 2,830 3.2%
1972 observed 47,957 52.4% 2,894 3.2%
1973 observed 49,397 52.4% 2,916 3.1%
1974 observed 50,870 52.3% 2,919 3.0%
1975 observed 52,368 52.2% 2,904 2.9%
1976 observed 53,897 52.1% 2,889 2.8%
1977 observed 55,450 52.0% 2,897 2.7%
1978 observed 57,040 51.9% 2,923 2.7%
1979 observed 58,161 51.5% 4,363 3.9%
1980 observed 59,026 51.0% 5,724 4.9%
1981 observed 60,189 50.9% 5,616 4.7%
1982 observed 61,484 50.8% 5,532 4.6%
1983 observed 62,892 50.7% 5,472 4.4%
1984 observed 64,418 50.7% 5,435 4.3%
1985 observed 66,097 50.7% 5,410 4.2%
1986 observed 67,868 50.8% 5,412 4.0%
1987 observed 69,654 50.8% 5,412 3.9%
1988 observed 71,444 50.8% 5,431 3.9%
1989 observed 73,194 50.7% 5,467 3.8%
1990 observed 74,910 50.6% 5,457 3.7%
1991 observed 76,619 50.5% 5,402 3.6%
1992 observed 78,332 50.3% 5,354 3.4%
1993 observed 80,042 50.2% 5,313 3.3%
1994 observed 81,742 50.0% 5,272 3.2%
1995 observed 83,849 50.2% 5,234 3.1%
1996 observed 86,642 50.7% 5,203 3.0%
1997 observed 88,878 50.9% 5,175 3.0%
1998 observed 90,194 50.6% 5,158 2.9%
1999 observed 91,408 50.2% 5,139 2.8%
2000 observed 92,691 49.8% 5,204 2.8%
2001 observed 94,083 49.2% 5,345 2.8%
2002 observed 95,442 48.7% 5,493 2.8%
2003 observed 96,735 48.2% 5,662 2.8%
2004 observed 97,994 47.6% 5,856 2.8%
2005 observed 99,238 47.1% 6,071 2.9%
2006 observed 100,502 46.5% 6,317 2.9%
2007 observed 101,884 46.0% 6,579 3.0%
2008 observed 103,454 45.6% 6,870 3.0%
2009 observed 105,139 45.2% 7,226 3.1%
2010 observed 106,780 44.8% 7,637 3.2%
2011 observed 108,445 44.5% 8,082 3.3%
2012 observed 110,329 44.3% 8,530 3.4%
2013 observed 112,464 44.2% 9,000 3.5%
2014 observed 114,859 44.1% 9,478 3.6%
2015 observed 117,474 44.1% 9,946 3.7%
2016 observed 120,303 44.2% 10,404 3.8%
2017 observed 123,482 44.3% 10,822 3.9%
2018 observed 126,862 44.5% 11,231 3.9%
2019 observed 130,121 44.6% 11,692 4.0%
2020 observed 133,377 44.6% 12,134 4.1%
2021 observed 136,626 44.7% 12,531 4.1%
2022 observed 139,735 44.6% 12,989 4.1%
2023 observed 142,703 44.5% 13,513 4.2%
2024 projected 145,489 44.4% 14,083 4.3%
2025 projected 148,066 44.2% 14,676 4.4%
2026 projected 150,381 43.9% 15,295 4.5%
2027 projected 152,441 43.6% 15,945 4.6%
2028 projected 154,300 43.2% 16,623 4.7%
2029 projected 156,009 42.8% 17,325 4.7%
2030 projected 157,615 42.3% 18,050 4.8%
2031 projected 159,104 41.9% 18,772 4.9%
2032 projected 160,499 41.4% 19,453 5.0%
2033 projected 161,877 40.9% 20,149 5.1%
2034 projected 163,260 40.5% 20,891 5.2%
2035 projected 164,664 40.1% 21,690 5.3%
2036 projected 166,144 39.7% 22,561 5.4%
2037 projected 167,722 39.3% 23,495 5.5%
2038 projected 169,426 38.9% 24,474 5.6%
2039 projected 171,244 38.6% 25,488 5.7%
2040 projected 173,159 38.4% 26,493 5.9%
2041 projected 175,170 38.1% 27,469 6.0%
2042 projected 177,241 37.9% 28,059 6.0%
2043 projected 179,326 37.6% 28,049 5.9%
2044 projected 181,421 37.4% 28,445 5.9%
2045 projected 183,515 37.2% 29,504 6.0%
2046 projected 185,578 37.0% 30,679 6.1%
2047 projected 187,595 36.8% 31,957 6.3%
2048 projected 189,540 36.6% 33,328 6.4%
2049 projected 191,393 36.4% 34,799 6.6%
2050 projected 193,150 36.1% 36,360 6.8%
2051 projected 194,799 35.9% 38,021 7.0%
2052 projected 196,345 35.7% 39,736 7.2%
2053 projected 197,787 35.4% 41,488 7.4%
2054 projected 199,115 35.1% 43,267 7.6%
2055 projected 200,332 34.8% 45,095 7.8%
2056 projected 201,446 34.6% 46,977 8.1%
2057 projected 202,457 34.3% 48,907 8.3%
2058 projected 203,387 34.0% 50,866 8.5%
2059 projected 204,236 33.7% 52,777 8.7%
2060 projected 205,037 33.4% 54,601 8.9%
2061 projected 205,792 33.1% 56,303 9.0%
2062 projected 206,541 32.8% 57,865 9.2%
2063 projected 207,289 32.5% 59,323 9.3%
2064 projected 208,025 32.2% 60,718 9.4%
2065 projected 208,762 31.9% 62,092 9.5%
2066 projected 209,497 31.7% 63,502 9.6%
2067 projected 210,242 31.4% 64,933 9.7%
2068 projected 210,995 31.2% 66,410 9.8%
2069 projected 211,759 30.9% 67,971 9.9%
2070 projected 212,518 30.7% 69,633 10.1%
2071 projected 213,271 30.5% 71,401 10.2%
2072 projected 214,014 30.3% 73,320 10.4%
2073 projected 214,726 30.1% 75,426 10.6%
2074 projected 215,381 29.8% 77,734 10.8%
2075 projected 215,980 29.6% 80,194 11.0%
2076 projected 216,549 29.4% 82,788 11.3%
2077 projected 217,067 29.2% 85,497 11.5%
2078 projected 217,526 29.0% 88,327 11.8%
2079 projected 217,921 28.8% 91,252 12.1%
2080 projected 218,243 28.6% 94,240 12.4%
2081 projected 218,503 28.4% 97,275 12.6%
2082 projected 218,708 28.2% 100,329 12.9%
2083 projected 218,855 28.0% 103,384 13.2%
2084 projected 218,956 27.8% 106,390 13.5%
2085 projected 219,018 27.5% 109,340 13.8%
2086 projected 219,019 27.3% 112,221 14.0%
2087 projected 218,961 27.1% 115,054 14.3%
2088 projected 218,857 26.9% 117,804 14.5%
2089 projected 218,699 26.7% 120,514 14.7%
2090 projected 218,495 26.5% 123,190 14.9%
2091 projected 218,276 26.3% 125,835 15.2%
2092 projected 218,048 26.1% 128,452 15.4%
2093 projected 217,835 25.9% 131,052 15.6%
2094 projected 217,605 25.7% 133,641 15.8%
2095 projected 217,352 25.5% 136,236 16.0%
2096 projected 217,075 25.3% 138,829 16.2%
2097 projected 216,803 25.2% 141,437 16.4%
2098 projected 216,524 25.0% 144,062 16.6%
2099 projected 216,227 24.8% 146,709 16.8%
2100 projected 215,908 24.7% 149,383 17.1%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Vanuatu with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.