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Population state · Growing

Eswatini

Africa · Southern Africa · SWZ · SZ
Population state
Growing
current run since 1995 · projected 2024
Fertility
2.72
171 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
160
of 237
Regional population rank
49
of 58 in Africa
Peak population · projected 2063 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 14.64 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces growth

Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Eswatini, 2024 projected: natural change +19,781 people, net migration −6,754, WPP adjustment +4, total population change +13,031. Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +4-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

30 source years · since 1995 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1995
30 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+13,031
1.05% of 2024 population
Series maximum
projected 2063
Projected from the WPP medium variant, not a forecast.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
20241.24m+13,0312.72
20501.51m+5,4062.08
20801.49m−5,3171.85
21001.34m−8,8701.78

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
Not reached by 2100
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Eswatini annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 49.4% in 1950 to 40.1% in 2023 and 20.8% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 2.7% to 4.1% and 18.5%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Eswatini, 1950 to 2100 Eswatini annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 49.4% in 1950 to 40.1% in 2023 and 20.8% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 2.7% to 4.1% and 18.5%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 20.8% 65+ · 18.5%
1950
Under 18 · 49.4%65+ · 2.7%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 40.1%65+ · 4.1%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 20.8%65+ · 18.5%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Eswatini under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 134,234 49.4% 7,283 2.7%
1951 observed 138,750 49.8% 7,569 2.7%
1952 observed 143,325 50.2% 7,851 2.7%
1953 observed 147,974 50.5% 8,140 2.8%
1954 observed 152,687 50.9% 8,407 2.8%
1955 observed 157,470 51.3% 8,683 2.8%
1956 observed 162,347 51.6% 8,956 2.8%
1957 observed 167,373 52.0% 9,226 2.9%
1958 observed 172,565 52.3% 9,495 2.9%
1959 observed 177,897 52.7% 9,764 2.9%
1960 observed 183,342 53.1% 10,023 2.9%
1961 observed 188,890 53.5% 10,280 2.9%
1962 observed 194,541 53.8% 10,542 2.9%
1963 observed 200,285 54.2% 10,805 2.9%
1964 observed 206,100 54.4% 11,065 2.9%
1965 observed 212,050 54.6% 11,329 2.9%
1966 observed 218,284 54.7% 11,618 2.9%
1967 observed 223,604 54.7% 11,928 2.9%
1968 observed 228,016 54.4% 12,269 2.9%
1969 observed 232,897 54.2% 12,634 2.9%
1970 observed 238,363 54.0% 13,025 3.0%
1971 observed 244,440 53.9% 13,426 3.0%
1972 observed 251,128 53.9% 13,848 3.0%
1973 observed 258,429 53.9% 14,269 3.0%
1974 observed 266,349 54.0% 14,710 3.0%
1975 observed 274,892 54.1% 15,156 3.0%
1976 observed 284,187 54.3% 15,620 3.0%
1977 observed 294,573 54.5% 16,090 3.0%
1978 observed 305,783 54.8% 16,561 3.0%
1979 observed 317,343 55.0% 17,043 3.0%
1980 observed 329,239 55.2% 17,528 2.9%
1981 observed 341,494 55.4% 18,024 2.9%
1982 observed 354,111 55.5% 18,519 2.9%
1983 observed 366,967 55.7% 18,972 2.9%
1984 observed 380,166 55.8% 19,421 2.9%
1985 observed 395,295 56.0% 19,868 2.8%
1986 observed 411,470 56.0% 20,290 2.8%
1987 observed 426,872 55.9% 20,699 2.7%
1988 observed 442,888 55.4% 21,088 2.6%
1989 observed 458,932 54.8% 21,475 2.6%
1990 observed 474,187 54.4% 21,837 2.5%
1991 observed 489,287 53.9% 22,201 2.4%
1992 observed 503,931 53.4% 22,547 2.4%
1993 observed 516,777 53.2% 22,874 2.4%
1994 observed 524,051 54.0% 23,137 2.4%
1995 observed 529,408 54.6% 23,359 2.4%
1996 observed 536,269 54.2% 23,578 2.4%
1997 observed 540,017 53.6% 23,829 2.4%
1998 observed 539,724 52.9% 24,125 2.4%
1999 observed 537,749 52.2% 24,465 2.4%
2000 observed 535,722 51.4% 24,854 2.4%
2001 observed 533,382 50.7% 25,320 2.4%
2002 observed 530,576 50.1% 25,884 2.4%
2003 observed 527,928 49.5% 26,590 2.5%
2004 observed 526,164 49.0% 27,414 2.6%
2005 observed 525,431 48.7% 28,324 2.6%
2006 observed 525,333 48.4% 29,269 2.7%
2007 observed 524,280 48.1% 30,099 2.8%
2008 observed 521,199 47.5% 30,882 2.8%
2009 observed 517,045 46.8% 31,749 2.9%
2010 observed 512,830 46.1% 32,842 3.0%
2011 observed 508,896 45.5% 34,106 3.1%
2012 observed 505,407 45.0% 35,337 3.1%
2013 observed 502,516 44.5% 36,481 3.2%
2014 observed 500,289 44.0% 37,667 3.3%
2015 observed 498,766 43.6% 38,816 3.4%
2016 observed 497,440 43.3% 39,946 3.5%
2017 observed 495,471 42.8% 41,417 3.6%
2018 observed 493,025 42.2% 43,090 3.7%
2019 observed 490,885 41.6% 44,785 3.8%
2020 observed 490,401 41.1% 46,215 3.9%
2021 observed 491,086 40.7% 47,332 3.9%
2022 observed 491,986 40.4% 48,943 4.0%
2023 observed 492,954 40.1% 51,024 4.1%
2024 projected 493,280 39.7% 52,967 4.3%
2025 projected 493,131 39.3% 54,593 4.3%
2026 projected 492,913 38.8% 55,864 4.4%
2027 projected 492,728 38.4% 57,176 4.5%
2028 projected 492,391 38.0% 58,635 4.5%
2029 projected 491,644 37.6% 60,113 4.6%
2030 projected 490,523 37.1% 61,479 4.7%
2031 projected 489,134 36.7% 62,626 4.7%
2032 projected 487,618 36.3% 64,050 4.8%
2033 projected 486,139 35.8% 66,231 4.9%
2034 projected 484,688 35.4% 68,350 5.0%
2035 projected 482,913 35.0% 69,681 5.1%
2036 projected 480,800 34.6% 70,649 5.1%
2037 projected 478,552 34.2% 71,795 5.1%
2038 projected 476,223 33.8% 73,191 5.2%
2039 projected 473,848 33.4% 74,898 5.3%
2040 projected 471,343 33.0% 76,795 5.4%
2041 projected 469,011 32.6% 78,907 5.5%
2042 projected 466,804 32.2% 81,306 5.6%
2043 projected 464,497 31.9% 83,935 5.8%
2044 projected 462,116 31.6% 87,041 5.9%
2045 projected 459,726 31.2% 90,439 6.1%
2046 projected 457,274 30.9% 94,031 6.4%
2047 projected 454,674 30.6% 98,142 6.6%
2048 projected 451,972 30.3% 102,463 6.9%
2049 projected 449,232 30.0% 106,888 7.1%
2050 projected 446,372 29.7% 111,374 7.4%
2051 projected 443,436 29.4% 116,045 7.7%
2052 projected 440,430 29.1% 120,800 8.0%
2053 projected 437,265 28.8% 125,295 8.2%
2054 projected 433,953 28.5% 129,925 8.5%
2055 projected 430,507 28.2% 134,538 8.8%
2056 projected 427,008 27.9% 138,905 9.1%
2057 projected 423,500 27.6% 143,092 9.3%
2058 projected 420,016 27.3% 147,128 9.6%
2059 projected 416,493 27.1% 151,140 9.8%
2060 projected 412,830 26.8% 155,004 10.1%
2061 projected 409,133 26.6% 158,584 10.3%
2062 projected 405,488 26.3% 161,800 10.5%
2063 projected 401,819 26.1% 164,959 10.7%
2064 projected 398,167 25.8% 168,552 10.9%
2065 projected 394,560 25.6% 172,371 11.2%
2066 projected 391,014 25.4% 175,832 11.4%
2067 projected 387,491 25.2% 178,828 11.6%
2068 projected 383,936 25.0% 181,666 11.8%
2069 projected 380,393 24.8% 184,548 12.0%
2070 projected 376,945 24.6% 187,511 12.2%
2071 projected 373,562 24.4% 190,600 12.5%
2072 projected 370,179 24.3% 193,793 12.7%
2073 projected 366,815 24.1% 196,906 12.9%
2074 projected 363,394 23.9% 199,746 13.2%
2075 projected 359,958 23.8% 202,426 13.4%
2076 projected 356,527 23.6% 205,184 13.6%
2077 projected 353,111 23.5% 208,111 13.8%
2078 projected 349,803 23.3% 211,057 14.1%
2079 projected 346,552 23.2% 213,877 14.3%
2080 projected 343,255 23.0% 216,536 14.5%
2081 projected 339,979 22.9% 219,001 14.8%
2082 projected 336,646 22.8% 221,490 15.0%
2083 projected 333,250 22.6% 224,038 15.2%
2084 projected 329,832 22.5% 226,490 15.5%
2085 projected 326,375 22.4% 228,843 15.7%
2086 projected 322,967 22.3% 231,109 15.9%
2087 projected 319,659 22.1% 233,264 16.2%
2088 projected 316,390 22.0% 235,216 16.4%
2089 projected 313,093 21.9% 236,924 16.6%
2090 projected 309,802 21.8% 238,476 16.8%
2091 projected 306,510 21.7% 239,923 17.0%
2092 projected 303,248 21.6% 241,248 17.1%
2093 projected 300,054 21.4% 242,482 17.3%
2094 projected 296,873 21.3% 243,609 17.5%
2095 projected 293,715 21.2% 244,654 17.7%
2096 projected 290,618 21.1% 245,627 17.9%
2097 projected 287,598 21.0% 246,520 18.0%
2098 projected 284,623 21.0% 247,314 18.2%
2099 projected 281,597 20.9% 248,012 18.4%
2100 projected 278,562 20.8% 248,662 18.5%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.