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Countries / Botswana

Population state · Growing

Botswana

Africa · Southern Africa · BWA · BW
Population state
Growing
current run since 1950 · projected 2024
Fertility
2.70
170 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
146
of 237
Regional population rank
44
of 58 in Africa
Population
2.52m
Annual change
+41,174
Natural change
+46,953
Migrant share
4.6%
Peak population · projected 2088 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 15.82 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces growth

Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Botswana, 2024 projected: natural change +46,953 people, net migration −5,778, WPP adjustment −1, total population change +41,174. Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −1-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

75 source years · since 1950 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1950
75 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+41,174
1.63% of 2024 population
Series maximum
projected 2088
Projected from the WPP medium variant, not a forecast.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
20242.52m+41,1742.70
20503.44m+28,1862.08
20803.88m+1,7431.84
21003.84m−6,1331.78

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2098 · projected
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Botswana annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 48.1% in 1950 to 38.2% in 2023 and 20.3% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 4.3% to 4.0% and 21.2%. First annual crossover: 2098 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Botswana, 1950 to 2100 Botswana annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 48.1% in 1950 to 38.2% in 2023 and 20.3% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 4.3% to 4.0% and 21.2%. First annual crossover: 2098 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 20.3% 65+ · 21.2%
1950
Under 18 · 48.1%65+ · 4.3%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 38.2%65+ · 4.0%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 20.3%65+ · 21.2%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Botswana under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 198,910 48.1% 17,915 4.3%
1951 observed 204,013 48.2% 18,453 4.4%
1952 observed 209,309 48.3% 18,984 4.4%
1953 observed 214,833 48.4% 19,522 4.4%
1954 observed 220,438 48.6% 20,027 4.4%
1955 observed 226,165 48.8% 20,487 4.4%
1956 observed 232,156 49.0% 20,935 4.4%
1957 observed 238,611 49.3% 21,356 4.4%
1958 observed 245,615 49.7% 21,727 4.4%
1959 observed 253,202 50.2% 22,011 4.4%
1960 observed 261,317 50.6% 22,218 4.3%
1961 observed 269,876 51.1% 22,335 4.2%
1962 observed 278,808 51.6% 22,344 4.1%
1963 observed 288,191 52.1% 22,320 4.0%
1964 observed 298,070 52.6% 22,371 4.0%
1965 observed 305,913 53.2% 22,531 3.9%
1966 observed 311,536 53.9% 22,810 3.9%
1967 observed 316,388 54.5% 23,214 4.0%
1968 observed 320,301 54.8% 23,660 4.1%
1969 observed 324,133 55.2% 24,045 4.1%
1970 observed 328,108 55.6% 24,328 4.1%
1971 observed 335,294 55.8% 24,532 4.1%
1972 observed 347,270 55.8% 24,673 4.0%
1973 observed 361,831 55.5% 24,819 3.8%
1974 observed 377,471 55.1% 25,009 3.6%
1975 observed 393,918 54.7% 25,250 3.5%
1976 observed 411,561 54.3% 25,567 3.4%
1977 observed 430,341 53.8% 25,954 3.2%
1978 observed 451,766 53.2% 26,525 3.1%
1979 observed 474,503 52.6% 27,297 3.0%
1980 observed 493,473 52.6% 28,138 3.0%
1981 observed 511,826 52.8% 29,004 3.0%
1982 observed 532,017 52.7% 29,967 3.0%
1983 observed 551,529 52.7% 31,074 3.0%
1984 observed 571,020 52.7% 32,338 3.0%
1985 observed 590,644 52.6% 33,784 3.0%
1986 observed 610,195 52.6% 35,412 3.1%
1987 observed 629,114 52.5% 37,218 3.1%
1988 observed 646,164 52.3% 39,015 3.2%
1989 observed 661,895 52.1% 40,660 3.2%
1990 observed 677,426 51.9% 42,132 3.2%
1991 observed 692,421 51.6% 43,469 3.2%
1992 observed 706,784 51.2% 44,667 3.2%
1993 observed 720,427 50.7% 45,833 3.2%
1994 observed 733,189 50.2% 47,048 3.2%
1995 observed 744,481 49.7% 48,372 3.2%
1996 observed 753,153 49.0% 49,800 3.2%
1997 observed 758,853 48.3% 51,351 3.3%
1998 observed 763,008 47.5% 52,933 3.3%
1999 observed 766,921 46.7% 54,515 3.3%
2000 observed 771,056 46.0% 56,060 3.3%
2001 observed 775,278 45.3% 57,556 3.4%
2002 observed 778,154 44.6% 59,000 3.4%
2003 observed 779,669 43.9% 60,383 3.4%
2004 observed 781,032 43.2% 61,687 3.4%
2005 observed 783,337 42.6% 62,914 3.4%
2006 observed 787,564 42.0% 64,086 3.4%
2007 observed 793,869 41.5% 65,256 3.4%
2008 observed 801,989 41.1% 66,468 3.4%
2009 observed 811,545 40.8% 67,730 3.4%
2010 observed 822,257 40.4% 69,097 3.4%
2011 observed 833,166 40.2% 70,460 3.4%
2012 observed 846,897 40.2% 71,870 3.4%
2013 observed 862,939 40.3% 73,493 3.4%
2014 observed 877,353 40.4% 75,701 3.5%
2015 observed 890,408 40.4% 78,460 3.6%
2016 observed 901,633 40.3% 81,339 3.6%
2017 observed 910,590 40.2% 84,204 3.7%
2018 observed 917,476 39.9% 87,001 3.8%
2019 observed 922,504 39.6% 89,679 3.8%
2020 observed 926,440 39.2% 92,049 3.9%
2021 observed 932,701 38.8% 92,911 3.9%
2022 observed 940,825 38.6% 94,675 3.9%
2023 observed 948,182 38.2% 98,457 4.0%
2024 projected 955,754 37.9% 101,747 4.0%
2025 projected 963,950 37.6% 104,615 4.1%
2026 projected 972,879 37.4% 106,973 4.1%
2027 projected 981,776 37.1% 110,217 4.2%
2028 projected 990,105 36.9% 114,867 4.3%
2029 projected 997,790 36.6% 119,400 4.4%
2030 projected 1,004,858 36.3% 124,093 4.5%
2031 projected 1,011,379 36.1% 129,115 4.6%
2032 projected 1,017,040 35.8% 134,310 4.7%
2033 projected 1,021,211 35.4% 140,017 4.9%
2034 projected 1,023,736 35.1% 146,220 5.0%
2035 projected 1,025,010 34.7% 152,244 5.2%
2036 projected 1,025,359 34.3% 157,618 5.3%
2037 projected 1,024,720 33.9% 163,694 5.4%
2038 projected 1,022,637 33.4% 170,506 5.6%
2039 projected 1,016,456 32.9% 177,095 5.7%
2040 projected 1,009,167 32.3% 183,232 5.9%
2041 projected 1,004,233 31.8% 189,632 6.0%
2042 projected 999,359 31.3% 195,938 6.1%
2043 projected 994,596 30.9% 202,380 6.3%
2044 projected 990,143 30.4% 210,343 6.5%
2045 projected 986,092 30.0% 218,775 6.7%
2046 projected 982,615 29.6% 226,722 6.8%
2047 projected 979,607 29.3% 235,144 7.0%
2048 projected 976,976 28.9% 244,320 7.2%
2049 projected 974,695 28.6% 253,758 7.4%
2050 projected 972,706 28.3% 264,840 7.7%
2051 projected 971,082 28.0% 278,221 8.0%
2052 projected 969,906 27.8% 292,134 8.4%
2053 projected 968,992 27.5% 304,681 8.7%
2054 projected 968,126 27.3% 318,278 9.0%
2055 projected 967,363 27.1% 333,965 9.4%
2056 projected 966,636 26.9% 351,255 9.8%
2057 projected 965,883 26.7% 370,646 10.2%
2058 projected 965,066 26.5% 390,682 10.7%
2059 projected 963,729 26.3% 410,338 11.2%
2060 projected 961,839 26.1% 429,209 11.7%
2061 projected 959,594 25.9% 447,115 12.1%
2062 projected 956,787 25.7% 463,076 12.4%
2063 projected 953,292 25.5% 477,663 12.8%
2064 projected 949,371 25.3% 491,834 13.1%
2065 projected 945,204 25.1% 505,207 13.4%
2066 projected 940,609 24.9% 518,074 13.7%
2067 projected 935,689 24.7% 530,433 14.0%
2068 projected 930,521 24.5% 541,931 14.2%
2069 projected 925,097 24.2% 552,704 14.5%
2070 projected 919,403 24.0% 563,013 14.7%
2071 projected 913,455 23.8% 572,408 14.9%
2072 projected 907,649 23.6% 580,647 15.1%
2073 projected 901,865 23.5% 587,835 15.3%
2074 projected 896,069 23.3% 594,496 15.4%
2075 projected 890,532 23.1% 601,013 15.6%
2076 projected 885,310 22.9% 607,388 15.7%
2077 projected 880,266 22.8% 613,561 15.9%
2078 projected 875,438 22.6% 619,447 16.0%
2079 projected 870,742 22.5% 625,336 16.1%
2080 projected 866,065 22.3% 631,813 16.3%
2081 projected 861,491 22.2% 639,004 16.5%
2082 projected 857,184 22.1% 646,715 16.7%
2083 projected 853,151 22.0% 654,709 16.9%
2084 projected 849,271 21.9% 663,099 17.1%
2085 projected 845,504 21.8% 672,322 17.3%
2086 projected 841,807 21.7% 684,728 17.6%
2087 projected 838,245 21.6% 697,833 18.0%
2088 projected 834,711 21.5% 708,787 18.2%
2089 projected 831,136 21.4% 719,574 18.5%
2090 projected 827,312 21.3% 730,232 18.8%
2091 projected 823,045 21.2% 740,594 19.1%
2092 projected 818,596 21.1% 750,625 19.4%
2093 projected 814,128 21.0% 760,286 19.6%
2094 projected 809,576 20.9% 769,491 19.9%
2095 projected 804,967 20.8% 778,162 20.1%
2096 projected 800,265 20.7% 786,297 20.4%
2097 projected 795,418 20.6% 793,886 20.6%
2098 projected 790,449 20.5% 800,894 20.8%
2099 projected 785,521 20.4% 807,334 21.0%
2100 projected 780,596 20.3% 813,241 21.2%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Botswana with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.