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Population state · Growing

Norway

Europe · Northern Europe · NOR · NO
Population state
Growing
current run since 1950 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.41
47 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
119
of 237
Regional population rank
24
of 50 in Europe
Peak population · projected 2050 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 3.46 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Adds to growth

Positive net migration adds to natural growth.

Norway, 2024 projected: natural change +9,421 people, net migration +44,356, WPP adjustment −15, total population change +53,762. Positive net migration adds to natural growth.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −15-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

75 source years · since 1950 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1950
75 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+53,762
0.96% of 2024 population
Series maximum
projected 2050
Projected from the WPP medium variant, not a forecast.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
20245.58m+53,7621.41
20505.90m+3801.50
20805.67m−11,7241.54
21005.41m−12,5281.55

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2026 · projected
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Norway annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 27.9% in 1950 to 20.1% in 2023 and 15.5% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 9.6% to 18.5% and 33.1%. First annual crossover: 2026 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Norway, 1950 to 2100 Norway annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 27.9% in 1950 to 20.1% in 2023 and 15.5% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 9.6% to 18.5% and 33.1%. First annual crossover: 2026 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 15.5% 65+ · 33.1%
1950
Under 18 · 27.9%65+ · 9.6%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 20.1%65+ · 18.5%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 15.5%65+ · 33.1%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Norway under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 911,777 27.9% 312,338 9.6%
1951 observed 929,224 28.2% 318,688 9.7%
1952 observed 948,385 28.5% 326,297 9.8%
1953 observed 969,350 28.8% 334,049 9.9%
1954 observed 990,147 29.2% 341,298 10.1%
1955 observed 1,009,524 29.4% 348,554 10.2%
1956 observed 1,029,033 29.7% 357,110 10.3%
1957 observed 1,048,045 30.0% 366,086 10.5%
1958 observed 1,064,879 30.2% 375,154 10.6%
1959 observed 1,082,114 30.5% 384,766 10.8%
1960 observed 1,096,834 30.6% 394,957 11.0%
1961 observed 1,106,296 30.6% 405,603 11.2%
1962 observed 1,110,891 30.5% 415,883 11.4%
1963 observed 1,111,520 30.3% 425,503 11.6%
1964 observed 1,109,420 30.0% 435,122 11.8%
1965 observed 1,107,219 29.7% 445,759 12.0%
1966 observed 1,108,312 29.5% 457,323 12.2%
1967 observed 1,112,037 29.4% 468,928 12.4%
1968 observed 1,118,036 29.3% 479,699 12.6%
1969 observed 1,125,858 29.3% 489,358 12.7%
1970 observed 1,132,029 29.2% 498,412 12.9%
1971 observed 1,136,038 29.1% 507,580 13.0%
1972 observed 1,140,404 29.0% 517,036 13.1%
1973 observed 1,142,494 28.8% 526,746 13.3%
1974 observed 1,141,243 28.6% 537,486 13.5%
1975 observed 1,137,828 28.4% 548,573 13.7%
1976 observed 1,132,106 28.1% 559,430 13.9%
1977 observed 1,123,842 27.8% 571,025 14.1%
1978 observed 1,114,883 27.5% 582,461 14.4%
1979 observed 1,106,075 27.2% 592,986 14.6%
1980 observed 1,096,798 26.8% 602,961 14.8%
1981 observed 1,086,982 26.5% 612,463 14.9%
1982 observed 1,075,481 26.1% 622,842 15.1%
1983 observed 1,061,793 25.7% 633,707 15.4%
1984 observed 1,046,717 25.3% 642,446 15.5%
1985 observed 1,032,116 24.9% 652,868 15.7%
1986 observed 1,018,352 24.4% 664,829 16.0%
1987 observed 1,005,756 24.0% 674,117 16.1%
1988 observed 997,224 23.7% 681,867 16.2%
1989 observed 991,563 23.5% 688,211 16.3%
1990 observed 987,252 23.3% 691,923 16.3%
1991 observed 986,174 23.1% 694,329 16.3%
1992 observed 987,633 23.0% 696,121 16.2%
1993 observed 992,231 23.0% 695,755 16.1%
1994 observed 999,457 23.0% 695,006 16.0%
1995 observed 1,008,058 23.1% 694,604 15.9%
1996 observed 1,017,600 23.2% 693,812 15.8%
1997 observed 1,026,906 23.3% 692,534 15.7%
1998 observed 1,035,894 23.4% 689,744 15.6%
1999 observed 1,046,546 23.5% 685,406 15.4%
2000 observed 1,056,837 23.5% 680,867 15.2%
2001 observed 1,064,156 23.6% 677,267 15.0%
2002 observed 1,071,581 23.6% 674,591 14.9%
2003 observed 1,079,003 23.6% 673,821 14.8%
2004 observed 1,085,163 23.6% 675,911 14.7%
2005 observed 1,090,369 23.6% 679,964 14.7%
2006 observed 1,094,354 23.5% 683,892 14.7%
2007 observed 1,097,634 23.3% 689,352 14.6%
2008 observed 1,101,375 23.1% 698,986 14.7%
2009 observed 1,106,317 22.9% 713,680 14.8%
2010 observed 1,111,759 22.7% 732,411 15.0%
2011 observed 1,116,292 22.5% 755,055 15.2%
2012 observed 1,120,565 22.3% 779,240 15.5%
2013 observed 1,124,028 22.1% 801,589 15.8%
2014 observed 1,125,379 21.9% 823,437 16.0%
2015 observed 1,126,496 21.7% 844,617 16.3%
2016 observed 1,129,215 21.6% 864,836 16.5%
2017 observed 1,130,015 21.4% 885,516 16.8%
2018 observed 1,125,734 21.2% 907,539 17.1%
2019 observed 1,120,537 21.0% 930,228 17.4%
2020 observed 1,115,117 20.7% 953,649 17.7%
2021 observed 1,110,072 20.5% 977,456 18.1%
2022 observed 1,110,316 20.3% 1,000,246 18.3%
2023 observed 1,109,942 20.1% 1,022,914 18.5%
2024 projected 1,106,037 19.8% 1,047,590 18.8%
2025 projected 1,100,971 19.6% 1,072,895 19.1%
2026 projected 1,091,200 19.3% 1,097,440 19.4%
2027 projected 1,078,089 19.0% 1,121,850 19.8%
2028 projected 1,065,145 18.7% 1,146,735 20.1%
2029 projected 1,053,489 18.4% 1,172,840 20.5%
2030 projected 1,042,863 18.2% 1,199,963 20.9%
2031 projected 1,033,337 18.0% 1,227,319 21.4%
2032 projected 1,024,762 17.8% 1,254,548 21.8%
2033 projected 1,016,370 17.6% 1,281,982 22.2%
2034 projected 1,008,179 17.4% 1,309,734 22.6%
2035 projected 1,001,317 17.3% 1,336,106 23.0%
2036 projected 996,610 17.1% 1,361,196 23.4%
2037 projected 993,112 17.1% 1,385,755 23.8%
2038 projected 990,695 17.0% 1,408,282 24.1%
2039 projected 987,566 16.9% 1,428,869 24.4%
2040 projected 985,467 16.8% 1,447,309 24.7%
2041 projected 985,953 16.8% 1,462,747 25.0%
2042 projected 986,199 16.8% 1,475,954 25.1%
2043 projected 986,070 16.8% 1,488,726 25.3%
2044 projected 986,009 16.8% 1,502,054 25.5%
2045 projected 986,090 16.8% 1,515,714 25.8%
2046 projected 986,116 16.7% 1,529,034 26.0%
2047 projected 985,964 16.7% 1,542,241 26.2%
2048 projected 985,707 16.7% 1,555,662 26.4%
2049 projected 985,195 16.7% 1,568,627 26.6%
2050 projected 984,228 16.7% 1,581,816 26.8%
2051 projected 982,812 16.7% 1,595,633 27.0%
2052 projected 980,892 16.6% 1,609,744 27.3%
2053 projected 978,361 16.6% 1,624,842 27.6%
2054 projected 975,135 16.5% 1,641,015 27.8%
2055 projected 971,244 16.5% 1,657,404 28.1%
2056 projected 966,756 16.4% 1,673,172 28.4%
2057 projected 961,828 16.4% 1,687,236 28.7%
2058 projected 956,699 16.3% 1,699,310 28.9%
2059 projected 951,429 16.2% 1,709,561 29.1%
2060 projected 945,927 16.1% 1,718,666 29.3%
2061 projected 940,374 16.1% 1,727,038 29.5%
2062 projected 934,890 16.0% 1,733,951 29.7%
2063 projected 929,525 15.9% 1,738,680 29.8%
2064 projected 924,421 15.9% 1,742,556 29.9%
2065 projected 919,670 15.8% 1,746,648 30.0%
2066 projected 915,274 15.8% 1,749,754 30.2%
2067 projected 911,257 15.7% 1,751,669 30.2%
2068 projected 907,759 15.7% 1,754,453 30.3%
2069 projected 904,832 15.7% 1,759,153 30.5%
2070 projected 902,339 15.7% 1,764,958 30.6%
2071 projected 900,247 15.6% 1,771,958 30.8%
2072 projected 898,506 15.6% 1,779,744 31.0%
2073 projected 896,992 15.6% 1,788,059 31.2%
2074 projected 895,735 15.6% 1,797,301 31.4%
2075 projected 894,754 15.6% 1,806,105 31.6%
2076 projected 894,027 15.7% 1,813,277 31.8%
2077 projected 893,423 15.7% 1,819,130 31.9%
2078 projected 892,816 15.7% 1,823,622 32.1%
2079 projected 892,129 15.7% 1,826,919 32.2%
2080 projected 891,325 15.7% 1,829,844 32.3%
2081 projected 890,363 15.7% 1,832,489 32.4%
2082 projected 889,166 15.8% 1,833,937 32.5%
2083 projected 887,669 15.8% 1,833,510 32.6%
2084 projected 885,869 15.8% 1,832,162 32.6%
2085 projected 883,826 15.8% 1,830,035 32.7%
2086 projected 881,533 15.8% 1,828,954 32.7%
2087 projected 878,874 15.8% 1,827,146 32.8%
2088 projected 875,972 15.8% 1,823,143 32.8%
2089 projected 872,976 15.7% 1,819,739 32.8%
2090 projected 869,817 15.7% 1,816,848 32.8%
2091 projected 866,579 15.7% 1,814,031 32.8%
2092 projected 863,338 15.7% 1,811,351 32.9%
2093 projected 859,964 15.6% 1,808,766 32.9%
2094 projected 856,528 15.6% 1,806,238 32.9%
2095 projected 853,097 15.6% 1,803,820 33.0%
2096 projected 849,817 15.6% 1,801,453 33.0%
2097 projected 846,811 15.5% 1,799,120 33.0%
2098 projected 843,908 15.5% 1,796,871 33.0%
2099 projected 841,040 15.5% 1,794,694 33.1%
2100 projected 838,321 15.5% 1,792,608 33.1%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.