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Countries / Lithuania

Population state · Declining

Lithuania

Europe · Northern Europe · LTU · LT

Lithuania's population reached its series maximum in 1991. The current run began in 2024.

Population state
Declining
current run since 2024 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.21
19 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
141
of 237
Regional population rank
30
of 50 in Europe
Population
2.86m
Annual change
−15,407
27th-largest annual loss in the record
Natural change
−18,021
Migrant share
6.1%
Peak population · 1991 Deaths exceed births · since 1994 Working-age peak · 1990 Support ratio · 3.23 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces decline

Positive net migration slows natural decline without reversing it.

Lithuania, 2024 projected: natural change −18,021 people, net migration +2,617, WPP adjustment −3, total population change −15,407. Positive net migration slows natural decline without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −3-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
20242.86m−15,4071.21
20502.26m−23,3861.35
20801.58m−21,2051.43
21001.21m−15,7001.45

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2013 · observed
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Lithuania annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 34.8% in 1950 to 17.8% in 2023 and 12.4% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 7.5% to 19.9% and 39.2%. First annual crossover: 2013 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Lithuania, 1950 to 2100 Lithuania annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 34.8% in 1950 to 17.8% in 2023 and 12.4% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 7.5% to 19.9% and 39.2%. First annual crossover: 2013 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 12.4% 65+ · 39.2%
1950
Under 18 · 34.8%65+ · 7.5%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 17.8%65+ · 19.9%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 12.4%65+ · 39.2%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Lithuania under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 846,747 34.8% 182,140 7.5%
1951 observed 848,540 34.5% 179,068 7.3%
1952 observed 851,333 34.2% 177,660 7.1%
1953 observed 854,798 34.0% 177,629 7.1%
1954 observed 859,115 33.8% 178,838 7.0%
1955 observed 864,657 33.6% 181,279 7.0%
1956 observed 871,402 33.4% 184,820 7.1%
1957 observed 879,727 33.3% 189,495 7.2%
1958 observed 889,739 33.2% 195,685 7.3%
1959 observed 888,844 32.6% 206,310 7.6%
1960 observed 886,268 32.0% 218,756 7.9%
1961 observed 897,244 31.9% 228,599 8.1%
1962 observed 912,293 32.0% 235,330 8.2%
1963 observed 925,351 32.0% 243,616 8.4%
1964 observed 936,855 32.0% 253,334 8.6%
1965 observed 948,830 32.0% 264,424 8.9%
1966 observed 959,536 32.0% 275,934 9.2%
1967 observed 968,590 31.9% 285,771 9.4%
1968 observed 977,397 31.8% 296,437 9.7%
1969 observed 986,194 31.8% 306,705 9.9%
1970 observed 994,043 31.7% 316,978 10.1%
1971 observed 1,002,259 31.6% 328,432 10.4%
1972 observed 1,008,581 31.5% 341,650 10.7%
1973 observed 1,010,072 31.2% 355,016 11.0%
1974 observed 1,009,564 30.9% 365,604 11.2%
1975 observed 1,007,286 30.6% 372,140 11.3%
1976 observed 1,001,440 30.1% 377,213 11.3%
1977 observed 993,731 29.6% 382,407 11.4%
1978 observed 984,933 29.1% 386,509 11.4%
1979 observed 976,511 28.7% 388,540 11.4%
1980 observed 970,028 28.3% 387,711 11.3%
1981 observed 965,403 28.0% 384,584 11.1%
1982 observed 962,809 27.7% 380,528 10.9%
1983 observed 964,582 27.5% 375,823 10.7%
1984 observed 969,500 27.4% 372,429 10.5%
1985 observed 975,250 27.4% 371,640 10.4%
1986 observed 983,172 27.4% 374,139 10.4%
1987 observed 991,877 27.3% 379,384 10.5%
1988 observed 998,096 27.2% 399,825 10.9%
1989 observed 998,393 27.0% 406,837 11.0%
1990 observed 994,435 26.9% 401,075 10.9%
1991 observed 990,494 26.8% 410,227 11.1%
1992 observed 985,079 26.6% 419,940 11.4%
1993 observed 974,786 26.5% 429,882 11.7%
1994 observed 959,313 26.2% 438,051 12.0%
1995 observed 942,355 26.0% 445,774 12.3%
1996 observed 926,257 25.7% 454,075 12.6%
1997 observed 910,294 25.5% 462,693 12.9%
1998 observed 894,582 25.2% 471,455 13.3%
1999 observed 879,052 25.0% 478,422 13.6%
2000 observed 861,537 24.6% 484,492 13.8%
2001 observed 836,775 24.1% 494,695 14.2%
2002 observed 806,180 23.4% 507,258 14.7%
2003 observed 774,784 22.7% 518,215 15.2%
2004 observed 742,693 22.0% 527,233 15.6%
2005 observed 709,084 21.3% 533,243 16.1%
2006 observed 679,703 20.8% 538,385 16.5%
2007 observed 656,530 20.3% 543,557 16.8%
2008 observed 635,137 19.9% 547,059 17.1%
2009 observed 613,722 19.4% 546,627 17.3%
2010 observed 588,799 19.0% 545,502 17.6%
2011 observed 565,623 18.7% 544,812 18.0%
2012 observed 550,037 18.4% 543,277 18.2%
2013 observed 538,231 18.2% 543,088 18.4%
2014 observed 528,594 18.0% 545,667 18.6%
2015 observed 521,373 17.9% 548,618 18.9%
2016 observed 514,336 17.9% 550,173 19.2%
2017 observed 506,742 17.9% 551,843 19.5%
2018 observed 501,333 17.9% 552,953 19.7%
2019 observed 499,241 17.9% 555,018 19.9%
2020 observed 498,612 17.8% 557,314 19.9%
2021 observed 498,618 17.8% 557,421 19.9%
2022 observed 502,604 17.8% 559,464 19.9%
2023 observed 507,070 17.8% 566,717 19.9%
2024 projected 505,235 17.7% 576,579 20.2%
2025 projected 496,909 17.6% 586,462 20.7%
2026 projected 487,067 17.4% 596,453 21.3%
2027 projected 478,137 17.2% 605,831 21.8%
2028 projected 468,531 17.0% 613,379 22.3%
2029 projected 459,028 16.8% 619,739 22.7%
2030 projected 449,279 16.6% 625,115 23.1%
2031 projected 439,310 16.4% 629,835 23.5%
2032 projected 428,904 16.1% 634,458 23.8%
2033 projected 417,150 15.8% 638,924 24.2%
2034 projected 404,472 15.4% 643,320 24.6%
2035 projected 392,326 15.1% 647,742 24.9%
2036 projected 380,923 14.8% 652,399 25.3%
2037 projected 369,883 14.5% 656,355 25.7%
2038 projected 360,104 14.2% 658,677 26.0%
2039 projected 352,250 14.0% 659,804 26.3%
2040 projected 346,137 13.9% 660,190 26.6%
2041 projected 341,472 13.9% 660,022 26.8%
2042 projected 337,396 13.8% 659,280 27.0%
2043 projected 333,407 13.8% 657,692 27.2%
2044 projected 329,656 13.8% 655,451 27.4%
2045 projected 326,153 13.7% 652,741 27.5%
2046 projected 322,845 13.7% 649,876 27.7%
2047 projected 319,635 13.7% 647,214 27.8%
2048 projected 316,570 13.7% 645,889 28.0%
2049 projected 313,714 13.7% 645,920 28.3%
2050 projected 310,863 13.8% 646,448 28.6%
2051 projected 307,915 13.8% 648,035 29.0%
2052 projected 304,903 13.8% 650,560 29.4%
2053 projected 301,824 13.8% 652,784 29.8%
2054 projected 298,578 13.8% 654,628 30.3%
2055 projected 295,042 13.8% 657,485 30.7%
2056 projected 291,265 13.8% 661,702 31.3%
2057 projected 287,272 13.7% 666,516 31.9%
2058 projected 283,011 13.7% 670,221 32.4%
2059 projected 278,503 13.6% 671,525 32.9%
2060 projected 273,757 13.6% 671,712 33.3%
2061 projected 268,846 13.5% 671,707 33.7%
2062 projected 263,782 13.4% 671,170 34.0%
2063 projected 258,651 13.3% 670,267 34.4%
2064 projected 253,507 13.2% 669,281 34.7%
2065 projected 248,272 13.0% 667,575 35.1%
2066 projected 243,078 12.9% 664,161 35.3%
2067 projected 238,042 12.8% 659,291 35.5%
2068 projected 233,210 12.7% 653,954 35.6%
2069 projected 228,595 12.6% 648,331 35.7%
2070 projected 224,266 12.5% 642,208 35.8%
2071 projected 220,311 12.4% 635,744 35.9%
2072 projected 216,720 12.4% 629,059 35.9%
2073 projected 213,482 12.3% 622,902 36.0%
2074 projected 210,479 12.3% 617,955 36.2%
2075 projected 207,720 12.3% 613,516 36.4%
2076 projected 205,211 12.3% 608,911 36.6%
2077 projected 202,899 12.3% 604,450 36.8%
2078 projected 200,756 12.4% 600,080 37.0%
2079 projected 198,750 12.4% 596,012 37.2%
2080 projected 196,815 12.5% 593,033 37.5%
2081 projected 194,893 12.5% 590,781 37.9%
2082 projected 192,985 12.6% 588,036 38.2%
2083 projected 191,095 12.6% 584,741 38.6%
2084 projected 189,182 12.6% 581,179 38.8%
2085 projected 187,183 12.7% 576,648 39.1%
2086 projected 185,143 12.7% 570,655 39.2%
2087 projected 183,033 12.7% 563,530 39.3%
2088 projected 180,765 12.8% 555,616 39.2%
2089 projected 178,399 12.8% 547,602 39.2%
2090 projected 175,952 12.8% 539,926 39.2%
2091 projected 173,426 12.8% 532,575 39.2%
2092 projected 170,818 12.7% 525,550 39.2%
2093 projected 168,174 12.7% 518,775 39.2%
2094 projected 165,533 12.7% 512,162 39.2%
2095 projected 162,848 12.6% 505,662 39.2%
2096 projected 160,135 12.6% 499,273 39.2%
2097 projected 157,479 12.5% 492,964 39.2%
2098 projected 154,877 12.5% 486,706 39.2%
2099 projected 152,309 12.4% 480,505 39.2%
2100 projected 149,795 12.4% 474,328 39.2%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Lithuania with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.