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Countries / Eritrea

Population state · Growing

Eritrea

Africa · Eastern Africa · ERI · ER
Population state
Growing
current run since 2015 · projected 2024
Fertility
3.68
201 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
132
of 237
Regional population rank
40
of 58 in Africa
Population
3.54m
Annual change
+67,646
Natural change
+80,343
Migrant share
0.4%
Peak population · projected 2100 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 13.72 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces growth

Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Eritrea, 2024 projected: natural change +80,343 people, net migration −12,696, WPP adjustment −1, total population change +67,646. Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −1-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

10 source years · since 2015 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 2015
10 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+67,646
1.91% of 2024 population
Series maximum
not established in this series
Still rising at the 2100 horizon of this release.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
20243.54m+67,6463.68
20505.70m+79,2702.60
20807.77m+55,4512.09
21008.44m+22,3091.95

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
Not reached by 2100
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Eritrea annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 51.0% in 1950 to 46.1% in 2023 and 22.8% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 3.2% to 4.2% and 18.9%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Eritrea, 1950 to 2100 Eritrea annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 51.0% in 1950 to 46.1% in 2023 and 22.8% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 3.2% to 4.2% and 18.9%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 22.8% 65+ · 18.9%
1950
Under 18 · 51.0%65+ · 3.2%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 46.1%65+ · 4.2%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 22.8%65+ · 18.9%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Eritrea under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 415,304 51.0% 26,343 3.2%
1951 observed 418,664 50.6% 26,478 3.2%
1952 observed 422,854 50.3% 26,641 3.2%
1953 observed 427,761 50.0% 26,826 3.1%
1954 observed 433,221 49.8% 27,003 3.1%
1955 observed 439,119 49.5% 27,158 3.1%
1956 observed 445,513 49.3% 27,311 3.0%
1957 observed 450,510 49.0% 27,256 3.0%
1958 observed 454,226 48.7% 27,024 2.9%
1959 observed 460,846 48.5% 27,044 2.8%
1960 observed 470,111 48.3% 27,314 2.8%
1961 observed 479,794 48.2% 27,624 2.8%
1962 observed 490,050 48.1% 27,985 2.7%
1963 observed 501,424 48.0% 28,375 2.7%
1964 observed 513,896 48.0% 28,795 2.7%
1965 observed 527,041 48.0% 29,234 2.7%
1966 observed 540,575 48.1% 29,629 2.6%
1967 observed 555,097 48.2% 30,043 2.6%
1968 observed 572,091 48.4% 30,568 2.6%
1969 observed 590,690 48.7% 31,137 2.6%
1970 observed 609,730 49.0% 31,747 2.6%
1971 observed 629,188 49.3% 32,420 2.5%
1972 observed 648,449 49.5% 33,110 2.5%
1973 observed 667,728 49.7% 33,828 2.5%
1974 observed 686,882 49.9% 34,528 2.5%
1975 observed 705,874 50.1% 35,214 2.5%
1976 observed 726,563 50.3% 36,093 2.5%
1977 observed 748,312 50.5% 37,166 2.5%
1978 observed 769,910 50.6% 38,324 2.5%
1979 observed 791,857 50.7% 39,548 2.5%
1980 observed 814,202 50.7% 40,855 2.5%
1981 observed 837,140 50.7% 42,247 2.6%
1982 observed 860,925 50.8% 43,702 2.6%
1983 observed 880,967 50.7% 44,849 2.6%
1984 observed 897,095 50.6% 45,709 2.6%
1985 observed 913,803 50.5% 46,675 2.6%
1986 observed 931,188 50.5% 47,790 2.6%
1987 observed 953,471 50.5% 49,350 2.6%
1988 observed 980,719 50.6% 51,367 2.7%
1989 observed 1,008,240 50.7% 53,411 2.7%
1990 observed 1,035,767 51.0% 55,494 2.7%
1991 observed 980,656 51.1% 53,319 2.8%
1992 observed 922,845 51.3% 50,975 2.8%
1993 observed 949,144 51.1% 53,485 2.9%
1994 observed 975,910 51.0% 56,017 2.9%
1995 observed 1,011,990 50.0% 59,901 3.0%
1996 observed 1,049,574 49.3% 63,510 3.0%
1997 observed 1,076,481 50.0% 65,220 3.0%
1998 observed 1,103,255 50.6% 67,238 3.1%
1999 observed 1,129,683 51.1% 69,129 3.1%
2000 observed 1,155,513 51.4% 71,171 3.2%
2001 observed 1,186,241 51.3% 74,419 3.2%
2002 observed 1,219,666 51.0% 78,115 3.3%
2003 observed 1,255,824 50.4% 82,320 3.3%
2004 observed 1,292,116 49.7% 86,566 3.3%
2005 observed 1,321,190 49.6% 89,806 3.4%
2006 observed 1,346,141 49.8% 92,745 3.4%
2007 observed 1,370,061 49.9% 95,846 3.5%
2008 observed 1,398,429 49.7% 99,927 3.5%
2009 observed 1,426,705 49.4% 104,114 3.6%
2010 observed 1,452,254 49.3% 107,805 3.7%
2011 observed 1,476,257 49.2% 111,311 3.7%
2012 observed 1,495,766 49.3% 114,616 3.8%
2013 observed 1,512,830 49.2% 117,624 3.8%
2014 observed 1,522,752 49.2% 120,191 3.9%
2015 observed 1,527,239 49.2% 122,129 3.9%
2016 observed 1,533,912 49.1% 123,855 4.0%
2017 observed 1,542,065 48.9% 126,050 4.0%
2018 observed 1,552,629 48.6% 128,797 4.0%
2019 observed 1,563,832 48.3% 131,794 4.1%
2020 observed 1,574,340 47.8% 134,643 4.1%
2021 observed 1,584,475 47.3% 137,375 4.1%
2022 observed 1,592,598 46.7% 140,338 4.1%
2023 observed 1,599,092 46.1% 144,054 4.2%
2024 projected 1,606,428 45.4% 148,597 4.2%
2025 projected 1,616,202 44.8% 153,590 4.3%
2026 projected 1,628,740 44.2% 158,838 4.3%
2027 projected 1,642,053 43.7% 164,377 4.4%
2028 projected 1,656,335 43.1% 170,197 4.4%
2029 projected 1,672,021 42.6% 176,175 4.5%
2030 projected 1,689,487 42.2% 182,373 4.6%
2031 projected 1,708,659 41.8% 188,759 4.6%
2032 projected 1,728,918 41.5% 195,432 4.7%
2033 projected 1,751,092 41.2% 202,439 4.8%
2034 projected 1,775,317 41.0% 209,632 4.8%
2035 projected 1,800,505 40.7% 217,041 4.9%
2036 projected 1,826,547 40.5% 224,643 5.0%
2037 projected 1,852,876 40.3% 232,288 5.0%
2038 projected 1,877,981 40.0% 239,807 5.1%
2039 projected 1,901,451 39.8% 247,326 5.2%
2040 projected 1,923,645 39.5% 255,158 5.2%
2041 projected 1,944,012 39.2% 263,336 5.3%
2042 projected 1,962,154 38.9% 271,594 5.4%
2043 projected 1,978,064 38.6% 279,737 5.5%
2044 projected 1,991,628 38.2% 287,777 5.5%
2045 projected 2,003,566 37.9% 295,824 5.6%
2046 projected 2,013,400 37.5% 303,608 5.6%
2047 projected 2,020,989 37.0% 310,821 5.7%
2048 projected 2,027,282 36.6% 317,520 5.7%
2049 projected 2,032,132 36.2% 324,360 5.8%
2050 projected 2,035,770 35.7% 332,047 5.8%
2051 projected 2,038,959 35.3% 341,020 5.9%
2052 projected 2,042,423 34.9% 351,526 6.0%
2053 projected 2,045,928 34.4% 362,957 6.1%
2054 projected 2,048,215 34.0% 374,650 6.2%
2055 projected 2,050,316 33.6% 386,784 6.3%
2056 projected 2,052,186 33.3% 399,413 6.5%
2057 projected 2,054,036 32.9% 413,029 6.6%
2058 projected 2,057,157 32.5% 427,962 6.8%
2059 projected 2,060,781 32.2% 445,132 7.0%
2060 projected 2,064,950 31.9% 464,535 7.2%
2061 projected 2,069,618 31.6% 488,166 7.4%
2062 projected 2,073,941 31.3% 515,075 7.8%
2063 projected 2,078,861 31.0% 541,661 8.1%
2064 projected 2,083,447 30.7% 568,233 8.4%
2065 projected 2,086,533 30.5% 595,294 8.7%
2066 projected 2,089,962 30.2% 623,285 9.0%
2067 projected 2,093,119 29.9% 653,103 9.3%
2068 projected 2,095,525 29.7% 684,999 9.7%
2069 projected 2,097,266 29.4% 719,200 10.1%
2070 projected 2,097,860 29.2% 755,280 10.5%
2071 projected 2,097,480 28.9% 791,573 10.9%
2072 projected 2,096,238 28.6% 827,280 11.3%
2073 projected 2,094,700 28.4% 862,112 11.7%
2074 projected 2,091,893 28.1% 897,068 12.1%
2075 projected 2,088,535 27.9% 931,918 12.4%
2076 projected 2,084,931 27.6% 965,914 12.8%
2077 projected 2,080,196 27.3% 998,735 13.1%
2078 projected 2,075,038 27.1% 1,030,005 13.4%
2079 projected 2,069,056 26.8% 1,059,806 13.7%
2080 projected 2,063,247 26.6% 1,087,907 14.0%
2081 projected 2,056,287 26.3% 1,113,916 14.3%
2082 projected 2,048,047 26.1% 1,138,341 14.5%
2083 projected 2,040,356 25.8% 1,161,788 14.7%
2084 projected 2,033,339 25.6% 1,184,875 14.9%
2085 projected 2,027,178 25.4% 1,207,788 15.1%
2086 projected 2,021,097 25.1% 1,230,569 15.3%
2087 projected 2,014,442 24.9% 1,253,278 15.5%
2088 projected 2,007,671 24.7% 1,275,939 15.7%
2089 projected 2,001,090 24.6% 1,299,225 15.9%
2090 projected 1,994,588 24.4% 1,323,394 16.2%
2091 projected 1,987,929 24.2% 1,348,265 16.4%
2092 projected 1,981,651 24.0% 1,373,956 16.7%
2093 projected 1,975,152 23.9% 1,400,250 16.9%
2094 projected 1,967,866 23.7% 1,427,029 17.2%
2095 projected 1,960,993 23.5% 1,454,391 17.5%
2096 projected 1,953,894 23.4% 1,482,170 17.7%
2097 projected 1,946,448 23.2% 1,510,284 18.0%
2098 projected 1,939,186 23.1% 1,538,694 18.3%
2099 projected 1,932,316 22.9% 1,567,235 18.6%
2100 projected 1,925,499 22.8% 1,595,700 18.9%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Eritrea with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.