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Population states / Cohorts CANONICAL REGISTER · 2024 PROJECTED

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Open one mutually exclusive population state, one independent demographic milestone, or a separately defined age-structure comparison. States partition the Register; the other groups can overlap.

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Population states

Growing

Annual population change is above the 0.05% near-stationary threshold.

173 countries and areas72.4%

Near stationary

Annual change is within 0.05% of population, with a half-person source-precision floor.

7 countries and areas0.7%

Declining

Annual population change is below the threshold for fewer than five consecutive years.

28 countries and areas23.7%

Sustained decline

Total population change—including net migration—has remained below the threshold for at least five consecutive years.

29 countries and areas3.2%
INDEPENDENT · OVERLAPPING

Milestones

Below replacement reference

Total fertility rate is below the approximate 2.1 low-mortality reference; actual replacement fertility varies.

131 countries and areas67.6%

Working-age peak passed

The highest 15–64 population in the source series occurs before the display year.

74 countries and areas29.0%

Natural decrease

Deaths exceed births in the display-year series.

55 countries and areas27.8%

Migration offset

Natural change is negative while total population change remains non-negative.

10 countries and areas0.7%

Migration-led decline

Natural change is non-negative while total population change is negative.

17 countries and areas0.5%

Total population peak passed

The highest total population in the source series occurs before the display year.

60 countries and areas26.7%
OBSERVED COMPARISON · INDEPENDENT

Age structure

65+ outnumber under-18s

People aged 65 and older are greater in number than people aged 0 through 17 at the 2023 observed anchor.