Homo sapiens; growth slowing toward a projected peak
Oceania · Melanesia
Vanuatu is recorded at 327.8k people in 2024, with total annual change of +7,385 under the WPP medium variant.
Vanuatu observed 2023 population pyramid, grouped into five broad age bands from WPP single-age male and female arrays.
Population identity: births minus deaths plus net migration equals total change within the Record tolerance.
| Births | 9,063 |
|---|---|
| Deaths | -1,645 |
| Natural change | +7,418 |
| Net migration | -43 |
| Total change | +7,385 |
Change from 2024 to the WPP medium-variant 2100 endpoint.
| This year | +7,385 |
|---|---|
| Since peak | -547,702 since 2100 |
| Projected 2100 | 875.5k |
Current-rate extrapolation, not a forecast; WPP medium-variant projections remain the page baseline.
foreign-born; working-age share is not published in IMS 2024.
No reviewed Layer 2 dispatch is attached to this country record.
WPP single-age population by sex, rendered as 5-year pyramid bands from the 101-bin canonical arrays.
Vanuatu 2023 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 123.7k, ages 15-64 183.2k, ages 65+ 13.5k.
Vanuatu 2050 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 163.8k, ages 15-64 334.3k, ages 65+ 36.4k.
Vanuatu 2100 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 179.8k, ages 15-64 546.3k, ages 65+ 149.4k.
Stage since 2024.
First year deaths exceed births, if reached in the series.
Potential support ratio: ages 15-64 per person aged 65+. Working-age peak: 2100.
Generated 2026-06-26. Last observed year: 2023.
| Year | Population | Change | Births | Deaths | TFR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 327.8k | 7,385 | 9.1k | 1.6k | 3.57 |
| 2030 | 372.4k | 7,573 | 9.6k | 1.8k | 3.35 |
| 2050 | 534.4k | 8,248 | 11.6k | 2.8k | 2.81 |
| 2080 | 763.1k | 6,606 | 12.3k | 4.9k | 2.32 |
| 2100 | 875.5k | 4,415 | 12.0k | 6.8k | 2.12 |