Homo sapiens; growth slowing toward a projected peak
Oceania · Melanesia
Papua New Guinea is recorded at 10.58m people in 2024, with total annual change of +186,881 under the WPP medium variant.
Papua New Guinea observed 2023 population pyramid, grouped into five broad age bands from WPP single-age male and female arrays.
Population identity: births minus deaths plus net migration equals total change within the Record tolerance.
| Births | 256,911 |
|---|---|
| Deaths | -69,320 |
| Natural change | +187,591 |
| Net migration | -707 |
| Total change | +186,881 |
Change from 2024 to the WPP medium-variant 2100 endpoint.
| This year | +186,881 |
|---|---|
| Since peak | -8,064,039 since 2100 |
| Projected 2100 | 18.64m |
Current-rate extrapolation, not a forecast; WPP medium-variant projections remain the page baseline.
foreign citizens; working-age share is not published in IMS 2024.
No reviewed Layer 2 dispatch is attached to this country record.
WPP single-age population by sex, rendered as 5-year pyramid bands from the 101-bin canonical arrays.
Papua New Guinea 2023 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 3.51m, ages 15-64 6.53m, ages 65+ 347.9k.
Papua New Guinea 2050 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 3.89m, ages 15-64 9.92m, ages 65+ 1.10m.
Papua New Guinea 2100 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 3.53m, ages 15-64 12.20m, ages 65+ 2.91m.
Stage since 2024.
First year deaths exceed births, if reached in the series.
Potential support ratio: ages 15-64 per person aged 65+. Working-age peak: 2097.
Generated 2026-06-26. Last observed year: 2023.
| Year | Population | Change | Births | Deaths | TFR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10.58m | 186,881 | 256.9k | 69.3k | 3.07 |
| 2030 | 11.67m | 178,129 | 259.3k | 80.0k | 2.84 |
| 2050 | 14.91m | 140,606 | 269.1k | 126.7k | 2.37 |
| 2080 | 17.91m | 64,700 | 250.9k | 193.0k | 2.01 |
| 2100 | 18.64m | 9,031 | 229.4k | 219.0k | 1.88 |