Homo sapiens; growth slowing toward a projected peak
Oceania · Polynesia
French Polynesia is recorded at 281.8k people in 2024, with total annual change of +681 under the WPP medium variant.
French Polynesia observed 2023 population pyramid, grouped into five broad age bands from WPP single-age male and female arrays.
Population identity: births minus deaths plus net migration equals total change within the Record tolerance.
| Births | 3,012 |
|---|---|
| Deaths | -1,073 |
| Natural change | +1,939 |
| Net migration | -1,261 |
| Total change | +681 |
Change from 2024 to the WPP medium-variant 2100 endpoint.
| This year | +681 |
|---|---|
| Since peak | -7,362 since 2040 |
| Projected 2100 | 186.9k |
Current-rate extrapolation, not a forecast; WPP medium-variant projections remain the page baseline.
foreign-born; working-age share is not published in IMS 2024.
No reviewed Layer 2 dispatch is attached to this country record.
WPP single-age population by sex, rendered as 5-year pyramid bands from the 101-bin canonical arrays.
French Polynesia 2023 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 55.5k, ages 15-64 195.5k, ages 65+ 30.2k.
French Polynesia 2050 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 36.8k, ages 15-64 166.8k, ages 65+ 81.2k.
French Polynesia 2100 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 18.9k, ages 15-64 89.4k, ages 65+ 78.6k.
Stage since 2011.
First year deaths exceed births, if reached in the series.
Potential support ratio: ages 15-64 per person aged 65+. Working-age peak: 2027.
Generated 2026-06-26. Last observed year: 2023.
| Year | Population | Change | Births | Deaths | TFR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 281.8k | 681 | 3.0k | 1.1k | 1.49 |
| 2030 | 285.5k | 651 | 2.8k | 1.4k | 1.46 |
| 2050 | 284.8k | -913 | 2.2k | 2.7k | 1.50 |
| 2080 | 230.1k | -2,200 | 1.5k | 3.5k | 1.53 |
| 2100 | 186.9k | -2,115 | 1.2k | 3.2k | 1.54 |