Homo sapiens; growth slowing toward a projected peak
Africa · Western Africa
Nigeria is recorded at 232.68m people in 2024, with total annual change of +4,816,673 under the WPP medium variant.
Nigeria observed 2023 population pyramid, grouped into five broad age bands from WPP single-age male and female arrays.
Population identity: births minus deaths plus net migration equals total change within the Record tolerance.
| Births | 7,560,407 |
|---|---|
| Deaths | -2,708,530 |
| Natural change | +4,851,877 |
| Net migration | -35,202 |
| Total change | +4,816,673 |
Change from 2024 to the WPP medium-variant 2100 endpoint.
| This year | +4,816,673 |
|---|---|
| Since peak | -244,068,303 since 2100 |
| Projected 2100 | 476.75m |
Current-rate extrapolation, not a forecast; WPP medium-variant projections remain the page baseline.
foreign citizens; working-age share is not published in IMS 2024.
No reviewed Layer 2 dispatch is attached to this country record.
WPP single-age population by sex, rendered as 5-year pyramid bands from the 101-bin canonical arrays.
Nigeria 2023 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 94.55m, ages 15-64 126.43m, ages 65+ 6.90m.
Nigeria 2050 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 110.96m, ages 15-64 231.92m, ages 65+ 16.31m.
Nigeria 2100 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 96.83m, ages 15-64 321.35m, ages 65+ 58.57m.
Stage since 2024.
First year deaths exceed births, if reached in the series.
Potential support ratio: ages 15-64 per person aged 65+. Working-age peak: 2096.
Generated 2026-06-26. Last observed year: 2023.
| Year | Population | Change | Births | Deaths | TFR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 232.68m | 4,816,673 | 7.56m | 2.71m | 4.38 |
| 2030 | 262.38m | 5,030,677 | 7.94m | 2.94m | 3.82 |
| 2050 | 359.19m | 4,369,077 | 8.08m | 3.77m | 2.66 |
| 2080 | 457.92m | 1,917,792 | 7.32m | 5.46m | 2.07 |
| 2100 | 476.75m | 110,400 | 6.62m | 6.57m | 1.91 |