Homo sapiens; growth slowing toward a projected peak
Europe · Northern Europe
Guernsey is recorded at 64.3k people in 2024, with total annual change of +222 under the WPP medium variant.
Guernsey observed 2023 population pyramid, grouped into five broad age bands from WPP single-age male and female arrays.
Population identity: births minus deaths plus net migration equals total change within the Record tolerance.
| Births | 525 |
|---|---|
| Deaths | -605 |
| Natural change | -80 |
| Net migration | +297 |
| Total change | +222 |
Change from 2024 to the WPP medium-variant 2100 endpoint.
| This year | +222 |
|---|---|
| Since peak | -546 since 2031 |
| Projected 2100 | 52.9k |
Current-rate extrapolation, not a forecast; WPP medium-variant projections remain the page baseline.
No separate IMS 2024 match for this WPP entity.
No reviewed Layer 2 dispatch is attached to this country record.
WPP single-age population by sex, rendered as 5-year pyramid bands from the 101-bin canonical arrays.
Guernsey 2023 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 9.1k, ages 15-64 41.3k, ages 65+ 13.6k.
Guernsey 2050 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 7.9k, ages 15-64 35.6k, ages 65+ 19.3k.
Guernsey 2100 pyramid: male and female single-age arrays cover 101 age bins; ages 0-14 6.6k, ages 15-64 28.4k, ages 65+ 17.9k.
Stage since 1981.
First year deaths exceed births, if reached in the series.
Potential support ratio: ages 15-64 per person aged 65+. Working-age peak: 2010.
Generated 2026-06-26. Last observed year: 2023.
| Year | Population | Change | Births | Deaths | TFR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 64.3k | 222 | 525 | 605 | 1.37 |
| 2030 | 64.8k | 7 | 519 | 652 | 1.39 |
| 2050 | 62.8k | -214 | 493 | 811 | 1.45 |
| 2080 | 56.4k | -185 | 448 | 730 | 1.50 |
| 2100 | 52.9k | -163 | 421 | 666 | 1.53 |