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Countries / Rwanda

Population state · Growing

Rwanda

Africa · Eastern Africa · RWA · RW
Population state
Growing
current run since 1995 · projected 2024
Fertility
3.65
199 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
77
of 237
Regional population rank
29
of 58 in Africa
Population
14.26m
Annual change
+300,439
Natural change
+316,024
Migrant share
3.6%
Peak population · projected 2100 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 14.96 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces growth

Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Rwanda, 2024 projected: natural change +316,024 people, net migration −15,582, WPP adjustment −3, total population change +300,439. Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −3-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

30 source years · since 1995 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1995
30 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+300,439
2.11% of 2024 population
Series maximum
not established in this series
Still rising at the 2100 horizon of this release.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
202414.26m+300,4393.65
205022.71m+295,8062.61
208030.14m+188,5142.06
210032.78m+71,0361.89

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
Not reached by 2100
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Rwanda annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 49.6% in 1950 to 44.6% in 2023 and 22.5% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 2.8% to 3.8% and 18.1%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Rwanda, 1950 to 2100 Rwanda annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 49.6% in 1950 to 44.6% in 2023 and 22.5% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 2.8% to 3.8% and 18.1%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 22.5% 65+ · 18.1%
1950
Under 18 · 49.6%65+ · 2.8%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 44.6%65+ · 3.8%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 22.5%65+ · 18.1%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Rwanda under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 1,070,232 49.6% 59,582 2.8%
1951 observed 1,114,904 49.9% 63,514 2.8%
1952 observed 1,162,279 50.2% 67,659 2.9%
1953 observed 1,212,995 50.6% 71,828 3.0%
1954 observed 1,266,996 51.0% 75,736 3.1%
1955 observed 1,324,030 51.6% 79,302 3.1%
1956 observed 1,384,115 52.1% 82,544 3.1%
1957 observed 1,447,354 52.7% 85,442 3.1%
1958 observed 1,513,065 53.3% 88,099 3.1%
1959 observed 1,580,423 53.9% 90,724 3.1%
1960 observed 1,648,290 54.5% 93,346 3.1%
1961 observed 1,715,327 55.2% 95,899 3.1%
1962 observed 1,780,373 55.9% 98,425 3.1%
1963 observed 1,840,727 56.5% 100,693 3.1%
1964 observed 1,898,287 56.9% 102,800 3.1%
1965 observed 1,955,630 57.1% 104,972 3.1%
1966 observed 2,013,009 57.2% 107,036 3.0%
1967 observed 2,068,371 57.0% 108,951 3.0%
1968 observed 2,118,502 56.6% 110,778 3.0%
1969 observed 2,166,899 56.1% 112,583 2.9%
1970 observed 2,216,461 55.7% 114,420 2.9%
1971 observed 2,266,640 55.3% 116,251 2.8%
1972 observed 2,317,812 54.9% 118,127 2.8%
1973 observed 2,371,389 54.6% 120,281 2.8%
1974 observed 2,427,775 54.3% 122,544 2.7%
1975 observed 2,486,812 54.0% 124,594 2.7%
1976 observed 2,549,483 53.7% 126,550 2.7%
1977 observed 2,616,769 53.5% 128,513 2.6%
1978 observed 2,689,703 53.4% 130,419 2.6%
1979 observed 2,770,574 53.4% 132,146 2.5%
1980 observed 2,860,996 53.4% 133,801 2.5%
1981 observed 2,961,760 53.6% 135,376 2.4%
1982 observed 3,072,616 53.8% 136,807 2.4%
1983 observed 3,191,948 54.1% 138,389 2.3%
1984 observed 3,318,017 54.3% 140,655 2.3%
1985 observed 3,448,713 54.6% 143,832 2.3%
1986 observed 3,581,153 54.8% 147,785 2.3%
1987 observed 3,712,924 55.0% 152,412 2.3%
1988 observed 3,842,266 55.1% 157,652 2.3%
1989 observed 3,967,682 55.2% 163,305 2.3%
1990 observed 4,083,514 55.4% 168,639 2.3%
1991 observed 4,173,253 55.4% 173,441 2.3%
1992 observed 4,253,587 55.4% 178,039 2.3%
1993 observed 4,409,265 55.2% 185,077 2.3%
1994 observed 3,887,766 57.2% 144,815 2.1%
1995 observed 3,407,914 60.1% 104,614 1.8%
1996 observed 3,989,498 59.5% 123,073 1.8%
1997 observed 4,561,338 58.8% 141,572 1.8%
1998 observed 4,666,663 57.7% 152,018 1.9%
1999 observed 4,589,736 56.3% 163,548 2.0%
2000 observed 4,512,373 54.9% 176,139 2.1%
2001 observed 4,444,284 53.6% 190,135 2.3%
2002 observed 4,414,019 52.5% 204,449 2.4%
2003 observed 4,442,670 51.7% 215,976 2.5%
2004 observed 4,503,706 51.1% 225,440 2.6%
2005 observed 4,573,217 50.5% 235,136 2.6%
2006 observed 4,653,195 50.0% 244,663 2.6%
2007 observed 4,744,246 49.7% 254,114 2.7%
2008 observed 4,844,034 49.4% 263,573 2.7%
2009 observed 4,948,478 49.2% 272,912 2.7%
2010 observed 5,053,093 49.0% 282,213 2.7%
2011 observed 5,152,919 48.7% 291,851 2.8%
2012 observed 5,244,538 48.4% 302,584 2.8%
2013 observed 5,333,482 48.1% 314,587 2.8%
2014 observed 5,427,700 47.8% 328,364 2.9%
2015 observed 5,528,797 47.5% 344,676 3.0%
2016 observed 5,634,393 47.3% 363,144 3.0%
2017 observed 5,740,543 47.0% 383,483 3.1%
2018 observed 5,843,886 46.8% 405,451 3.2%
2019 observed 5,940,842 46.5% 428,898 3.4%
2020 observed 6,028,714 46.1% 454,128 3.5%
2021 observed 6,103,843 45.7% 481,545 3.6%
2022 observed 6,168,604 45.2% 508,011 3.7%
2023 observed 6,228,081 44.6% 533,324 3.8%
2024 projected 6,284,786 44.1% 559,723 3.9%
2025 projected 6,347,158 43.6% 586,294 4.0%
2026 projected 6,417,977 43.1% 611,643 4.1%
2027 projected 6,496,402 42.7% 634,412 4.2%
2028 projected 6,578,140 42.3% 653,786 4.2%
2029 projected 6,657,217 42.0% 669,910 4.2%
2030 projected 6,734,419 41.7% 684,564 4.2%
2031 projected 6,809,284 41.3% 699,191 4.2%
2032 projected 6,874,967 41.0% 713,961 4.3%
2033 projected 6,937,661 40.6% 730,404 4.3%
2034 projected 7,004,322 40.2% 749,355 4.3%
2035 projected 7,073,782 39.9% 769,818 4.3%
2036 projected 7,140,203 39.5% 790,123 4.4%
2037 projected 7,204,136 39.2% 809,786 4.4%
2038 projected 7,271,211 38.8% 829,766 4.4%
2039 projected 7,339,780 38.5% 851,145 4.5%
2040 projected 7,411,266 38.1% 875,895 4.5%
2041 projected 7,484,065 37.8% 905,372 4.6%
2042 projected 7,551,570 37.5% 940,745 4.7%
2043 projected 7,615,456 37.1% 983,690 4.8%
2044 projected 7,673,577 36.8% 1,033,553 5.0%
2045 projected 7,723,126 36.5% 1,088,666 5.1%
2046 projected 7,767,226 36.2% 1,147,869 5.3%
2047 projected 7,808,282 35.9% 1,209,997 5.6%
2048 projected 7,850,657 35.5% 1,274,520 5.8%
2049 projected 7,889,510 35.2% 1,340,192 6.0%
2050 projected 7,921,950 34.9% 1,406,371 6.2%
2051 projected 7,950,341 34.6% 1,473,180 6.4%
2052 projected 7,973,747 34.2% 1,540,350 6.6%
2053 projected 7,990,768 33.9% 1,607,544 6.8%
2054 projected 8,004,448 33.5% 1,674,920 7.0%
2055 projected 8,016,763 33.2% 1,742,265 7.2%
2056 projected 8,025,158 32.8% 1,808,692 7.4%
2057 projected 8,028,696 32.5% 1,873,704 7.6%
2058 projected 8,038,232 32.1% 1,938,772 7.8%
2059 projected 8,046,923 31.8% 2,003,295 7.9%
2060 projected 8,048,158 31.5% 2,066,621 8.1%
2061 projected 8,054,274 31.1% 2,130,726 8.2%
2062 projected 8,057,555 30.8% 2,194,998 8.4%
2063 projected 8,057,375 30.5% 2,260,230 8.6%
2064 projected 8,059,712 30.2% 2,328,966 8.7%
2065 projected 8,061,856 29.9% 2,402,931 8.9%
2066 projected 8,061,593 29.7% 2,483,987 9.1%
2067 projected 8,061,100 29.4% 2,574,184 9.4%
2068 projected 8,062,994 29.1% 2,674,456 9.7%
2069 projected 8,059,980 28.9% 2,782,092 10.0%
2070 projected 8,057,430 28.6% 2,894,236 10.3%
2071 projected 8,056,579 28.4% 3,007,339 10.6%
2072 projected 8,054,135 28.2% 3,117,513 10.9%
2073 projected 8,051,326 27.9% 3,222,743 11.2%
2074 projected 8,044,149 27.7% 3,322,777 11.5%
2075 projected 8,034,019 27.5% 3,419,813 11.7%
2076 projected 8,019,991 27.3% 3,515,854 12.0%
2077 projected 8,003,909 27.1% 3,613,251 12.2%
2078 projected 7,987,442 26.8% 3,713,840 12.5%
2079 projected 7,969,584 26.6% 3,817,620 12.7%
2080 projected 7,952,586 26.4% 3,923,816 13.0%
2081 projected 7,933,516 26.2% 4,030,822 13.3%
2082 projected 7,913,317 25.9% 4,137,711 13.6%
2083 projected 7,892,419 25.7% 4,243,643 13.8%
2084 projected 7,865,724 25.5% 4,347,445 14.1%
2085 projected 7,834,537 25.3% 4,449,371 14.4%
2086 projected 7,804,078 25.1% 4,550,915 14.6%
2087 projected 7,779,544 24.9% 4,652,430 14.9%
2088 projected 7,754,756 24.6% 4,751,857 15.1%
2089 projected 7,731,371 24.4% 4,850,357 15.3%
2090 projected 7,704,487 24.2% 4,948,473 15.6%
2091 projected 7,668,072 24.1% 5,045,620 15.8%
2092 projected 7,635,476 23.9% 5,143,869 16.1%
2093 projected 7,607,610 23.7% 5,243,160 16.3%
2094 projected 7,576,384 23.5% 5,341,951 16.6%
2095 projected 7,546,554 23.3% 5,440,670 16.8%
2096 projected 7,517,858 23.2% 5,539,501 17.1%
2097 projected 7,483,109 23.0% 5,637,823 17.3%
2098 projected 7,448,552 22.8% 5,736,280 17.6%
2099 projected 7,418,283 22.7% 5,835,537 17.9%
2100 projected 7,387,716 22.5% 5,935,575 18.1%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Rwanda with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.