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Population state · Growing

Nauru

Oceania · Micronesia · NRU · NR
SMALL POPULATION · Full population counts are shown; ratios with unstable small bases are suppressed.
Population state
Growing
current run since 2009 · projected 2024
Fertility
3.29
189 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
227
of 237
Regional population rank
19
of 23 in Oceania
Annual change
+83
small absolute movement
Peak population · projected 2100 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · suppressed
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces growth

Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Nauru, 2024 projected: natural change +203 people, net migration −121, WPP adjustment +1, total population change +83. Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +1-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

16 source years · since 2009 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 2009
16 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+83
0.69% of 2024 population
Series maximum
not established in this series
Still rising at the 2100 horizon of this release.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
202411,947+833.29
205015,758+1502.53
208019,500+862.12
210020,663+371.97

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
Not reached by 2100
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Nauru annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 47.1% in 1950 to 44.5% in 2023 and 24.9% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 8.9% to 2.7% and 12.2%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Nauru, 1950 to 2100 Nauru annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 47.1% in 1950 to 44.5% in 2023 and 24.9% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 8.9% to 2.7% and 12.2%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 24.9% 65+ · 12.2%
1950
Under 18 · 47.1%65+ · 8.9%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 44.5%65+ · 2.7%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 24.9%65+ · 12.2%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Nauru under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 1,606 47.1% 302 8.9%
1951 observed 1,631 46.5% 275 7.8%
1952 observed 1,642 45.5% 259 7.2%
1953 observed 1,652 44.8% 248 6.7%
1954 observed 1,654 43.8% 233 6.2%
1955 observed 1,660 42.8% 219 5.6%
1956 observed 1,672 41.6% 209 5.2%
1957 observed 1,696 40.8% 198 4.8%
1958 observed 1,736 40.4% 194 4.5%
1959 observed 1,779 39.9% 190 4.3%
1960 observed 1,823 39.6% 180 3.9%
1961 observed 1,890 39.6% 168 3.5%
1962 observed 1,985 39.9% 162 3.3%
1963 observed 2,117 40.5% 161 3.1%
1964 observed 2,284 41.3% 162 2.9%
1965 observed 2,475 42.4% 157 2.7%
1966 observed 2,622 43.3% 154 2.5%
1967 observed 2,690 43.8% 144 2.3%
1968 observed 2,929 46.3% 108 1.7%
1969 observed 3,237 49.2% 66 1.0%
1970 observed 3,322 49.5% 62 0.9%
1971 observed 3,282 48.5% 67 1.0%
1972 observed 3,222 47.2% 74 1.1%
1973 observed 3,157 46.0% 79 1.1%
1974 observed 3,086 44.6% 82 1.2%
1975 observed 3,018 43.2% 85 1.2%
1976 observed 2,958 41.9% 85 1.2%
1977 observed 2,881 40.2% 107 1.5%
1978 observed 2,821 38.7% 147 2.0%
1979 observed 2,807 37.6% 204 2.7%
1980 observed 2,845 37.2% 262 3.4%
1981 observed 2,929 37.3% 320 4.1%
1982 observed 3,051 38.0% 370 4.6%
1983 observed 3,204 39.0% 408 5.0%
1984 observed 3,370 40.2% 408 4.9%
1985 observed 3,536 41.4% 400 4.7%
1986 observed 3,716 42.5% 385 4.4%
1987 observed 3,895 43.6% 362 4.0%
1988 observed 4,081 44.5% 332 3.6%
1989 observed 4,265 45.4% 296 3.2%
1990 observed 4,465 46.4% 257 2.7%
1991 observed 4,654 47.3% 201 2.0%
1992 observed 4,791 47.8% 173 1.7%
1993 observed 4,852 48.0% 169 1.7%
1994 observed 4,864 48.0% 176 1.7%
1995 observed 4,858 47.8% 183 1.8%
1996 observed 4,842 47.6% 185 1.8%
1997 observed 4,813 47.2% 188 1.8%
1998 observed 4,762 46.7% 178 1.7%
1999 observed 4,704 46.2% 164 1.6%
2000 observed 4,639 45.6% 164 1.6%
2001 observed 4,564 45.1% 152 1.5%
2002 observed 4,493 44.6% 144 1.4%
2003 observed 4,447 44.2% 145 1.4%
2004 observed 4,408 43.8% 149 1.5%
2005 observed 4,367 43.5% 146 1.5%
2006 observed 4,310 43.0% 148 1.5%
2007 observed 4,254 42.5% 149 1.5%
2008 observed 4,209 42.1% 147 1.5%
2009 observed 4,196 41.9% 142 1.4%
2010 observed 4,218 42.0% 130 1.3%
2011 observed 4,290 42.5% 122 1.2%
2012 observed 4,429 43.2% 127 1.2%
2013 observed 4,584 43.6% 137 1.3%
2014 observed 4,705 43.8% 147 1.4%
2015 observed 4,797 43.8% 162 1.5%
2016 observed 4,869 43.7% 184 1.7%
2017 observed 4,926 43.5% 200 1.8%
2018 observed 4,960 43.2% 221 1.9%
2019 observed 4,999 43.2% 234 2.0%
2020 observed 5,061 43.5% 246 2.1%
2021 observed 5,132 43.8% 261 2.2%
2022 observed 5,211 44.2% 284 2.4%
2023 observed 5,276 44.5% 315 2.7%
2024 projected 5,310 44.5% 339 2.8%
2025 projected 5,312 44.2% 360 3.0%
2026 projected 5,295 43.8% 379 3.1%
2027 projected 5,266 43.2% 397 3.3%
2028 projected 5,222 42.5% 422 3.4%
2029 projected 5,177 41.8% 442 3.6%
2030 projected 5,134 41.0% 472 3.8%
2031 projected 5,094 40.3% 499 3.9%
2032 projected 5,069 39.7% 522 4.1%
2033 projected 5,055 39.1% 536 4.1%
2034 projected 5,041 38.6% 549 4.2%
2035 projected 5,047 38.1% 560 4.2%
2036 projected 5,063 37.8% 576 4.3%
2037 projected 5,090 37.6% 586 4.3%
2038 projected 5,116 37.3% 599 4.4%
2039 projected 5,138 37.1% 614 4.4%
2040 projected 5,166 36.8% 631 4.5%
2041 projected 5,198 36.6% 647 4.6%
2042 projected 5,243 36.4% 670 4.7%
2043 projected 5,296 36.3% 695 4.8%
2044 projected 5,353 36.3% 722 4.9%
2045 projected 5,413 36.2% 760 5.1%
2046 projected 5,462 36.2% 792 5.2%
2047 projected 5,506 36.0% 838 5.5%
2048 projected 5,547 35.9% 892 5.8%
2049 projected 5,577 35.8% 922 5.9%
2050 projected 5,609 35.6% 977 6.2%
2051 projected 5,628 35.4% 1,018 6.4%
2052 projected 5,638 35.1% 1,060 6.6%
2053 projected 5,652 34.9% 1,103 6.8%
2054 projected 5,652 34.6% 1,139 7.0%
2055 projected 5,653 34.3% 1,171 7.1%
2056 projected 5,648 34.0% 1,198 7.2%
2057 projected 5,640 33.7% 1,221 7.3%
2058 projected 5,629 33.3% 1,242 7.4%
2059 projected 5,613 33.0% 1,247 7.3%
2060 projected 5,596 32.6% 1,256 7.3%
2061 projected 5,579 32.3% 1,256 7.3%
2062 projected 5,564 32.0% 1,262 7.3%
2063 projected 5,550 31.7% 1,270 7.2%
2064 projected 5,539 31.4% 1,263 7.2%
2065 projected 5,530 31.1% 1,255 7.1%
2066 projected 5,524 30.9% 1,251 7.0%
2067 projected 5,524 30.6% 1,243 6.9%
2068 projected 5,523 30.4% 1,238 6.8%
2069 projected 5,524 30.2% 1,239 6.8%
2070 projected 5,524 30.0% 1,249 6.8%
2071 projected 5,524 29.8% 1,270 6.9%
2072 projected 5,526 29.7% 1,308 7.0%
2073 projected 5,533 29.5% 1,355 7.2%
2074 projected 5,533 29.3% 1,416 7.5%
2075 projected 5,538 29.2% 1,478 7.8%
2076 projected 5,540 29.0% 1,552 8.1%
2077 projected 5,538 28.9% 1,631 8.5%
2078 projected 5,539 28.7% 1,703 8.8%
2079 projected 5,540 28.5% 1,771 9.1%
2080 projected 5,532 28.4% 1,842 9.4%
2081 projected 5,525 28.2% 1,902 9.7%
2082 projected 5,516 28.0% 1,955 9.9%
2083 projected 5,504 27.8% 2,003 10.1%
2084 projected 5,489 27.6% 2,045 10.3%
2085 projected 5,471 27.5% 2,091 10.5%
2086 projected 5,454 27.3% 2,133 10.7%
2087 projected 5,430 27.1% 2,178 10.9%
2088 projected 5,406 26.9% 2,219 11.0%
2089 projected 5,384 26.7% 2,244 11.1%
2090 projected 5,362 26.5% 2,271 11.2%
2091 projected 5,341 26.3% 2,289 11.3%
2092 projected 5,315 26.1% 2,308 11.3%
2093 projected 5,292 26.0% 2,328 11.4%
2094 projected 5,273 25.8% 2,346 11.5%
2095 projected 5,250 25.6% 2,372 11.6%
2096 projected 5,228 25.5% 2,392 11.7%
2097 projected 5,209 25.3% 2,418 11.8%
2098 projected 5,191 25.2% 2,446 11.9%
2099 projected 5,172 25.1% 2,483 12.0%
2100 projected 5,155 24.9% 2,512 12.2%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.