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Population state · Sustained decline

Saint Martin (French part)

Latin America and the Caribbean · Caribbean · MAF · MF
SMALL POPULATION · Full population counts are shown; ratios with unstable small bases are suppressed.
Population state
Sustained decline
current run since 2014 · projected 2024
Fertility
2.67
168 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
223
of 237
Regional population rank
46
of 50 in Latin America and the Caribbean
Annual change
−1,286
41st-largest annual loss in the recordsmall absolute movement
Migrant share
—
no IMS 2024 entity match
Peak population · 2014 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · 2014 Support ratio · suppressed
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reverses growth

Negative net migration is large enough to reverse natural growth.

Saint Martin (French part), 2024 projected: natural change +141 people, net migration −1,424, WPP adjustment −3, total population change −1,286. Negative net migration is large enough to reverse natural growth.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −3-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
SUSTAINED DECLINE · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Decline over time

11 source years · since 2014 Tied rank 18 of 29 by streak duration Duration, not severity
CARD 01 · ANNUAL TOTAL POPULATION CHANGE

Annual change through the streak

Each bar is one year’s total population change. View the same evidence as a share of that year’s population or as a count of people.

Births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments are included.
−4.92%
2014–2024 · 11 source years Loss rate is steeper than at the start
Annual change bar chart
Observed through 2023 2024 projected

One discrete bar for each source year from 2014 through 2024. The chart includes total population change from births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments; observed and projected rows are distinguished.

Annual total population change for Saint Martin (French part), 2014 to 2024
YearEvidencePercent of populationPeople
2014observed−0.07%−25
2015observed−0.37%−138
2016observed−0.67%−250
2017observed−1.15%−425
2018observed−3.40%−1,226
2019observed−6.61%−2,265
2020observed−8.48%−2,696
2021observed−3.18%−954
2022observed−4.25%−1,227
2023observed−5.40%−1,485
2024projected−4.92%−1,286
First year−0.07%
Least negative−0.07% · 2014
Most negative−8.48% · 2020
2024−4.92%
CARD 02 · LITERAL SERIES MAXIMUM

Population below peak

Peak population minus the 2024 population, shown in people and as a share of the peak.

30.2%
11,321 people below peak
Population from peak line chart
Observed through 2023 2024 projected Focused scale · peak = 100

Annual total population from the literal series maximum in 2014 through 2024, indexed so the peak equals 100. The focused scale shows the stock path while exact annual populations remain in the table.

Annual total population from the literal peak through 2024
YearEvidencePopulation
2014observed37,450
2015observed37,369
2016observed37,175
2017observed36,837
2018observed36,012
2019observed34,267
2020observed31,786
2021observed29,961
2022observed28,870
2023observed27,515
2024projected26,129
Peak population · 2014
37,450
2024 population
26,129

From 37,450 people in 2014 to 26,129 in 2024. The endpoint is projected; the peak year is the literal maximum in the WPP series.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaannual-total-change-rate-v1 · population-below-peak-v1 · population-from-peak-v1 · sustained-decline-streak-rank-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/sustained-decline-profile.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship; streak rank compares the 29 canonical sustained-decline members only.
Reference timeAnnual source rows from 2014 through 2024; estimates through 2023, then medium-variant projection.
UnitWhole people and annual total change as a percentage of same-year population; the population-path chart indexes the literal peak to 100 while retaining exact annual counts.
Evidence statusprojected 2024 endpoint; observed/projected status is retained for every chart row.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
202426,129−1,2862.67
205018,795−62.05
208018,627+901.85
210020,004−121.80

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2029 · projected
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Saint Martin (French part) annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 45.2% in 1950 to 25.6% in 2023 and 18.1% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 4.4% to 17.2% and 27.6%. First annual crossover: 2029 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Saint Martin (French part), 1950 to 2100 Saint Martin (French part) annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 45.2% in 1950 to 25.6% in 2023 and 18.1% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 4.4% to 17.2% and 27.6%. First annual crossover: 2029 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 18.1% 65+ · 27.6%
1950
Under 18 · 45.2%65+ · 4.4%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 25.6%65+ · 17.2%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 18.1%65+ · 27.6%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Saint Martin (French part) under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 1,349 45.2% 131 4.4%
1951 observed 1,429 46.0% 136 4.4%
1952 observed 1,508 46.7% 136 4.2%
1953 observed 1,589 47.5% 135 4.0%
1954 observed 1,674 48.1% 141 4.1%
1955 observed 1,754 48.8% 149 4.1%
1956 observed 1,839 49.4% 154 4.1%
1957 observed 1,925 50.0% 156 4.1%
1958 observed 2,012 50.6% 156 3.9%
1959 observed 2,098 51.0% 167 4.1%
1960 observed 2,190 51.5% 173 4.1%
1961 observed 2,278 52.0% 166 3.8%
1962 observed 2,368 52.3% 171 3.8%
1963 observed 2,459 52.6% 180 3.9%
1964 observed 2,550 52.8% 182 3.8%
1965 observed 2,635 52.7% 192 3.8%
1966 observed 2,731 52.4% 203 3.9%
1967 observed 2,838 51.9% 209 3.8%
1968 observed 2,937 51.7% 213 3.7%
1969 observed 3,025 51.6% 221 3.8%
1970 observed 3,111 51.5% 230 3.8%
1971 observed 3,198 51.4% 240 3.9%
1972 observed 3,288 51.3% 250 3.9%
1973 observed 3,377 51.2% 262 4.0%
1974 observed 3,469 51.0% 279 4.1%
1975 observed 3,555 50.5% 282 4.0%
1976 observed 3,622 49.7% 280 3.8%
1977 observed 3,692 48.8% 284 3.8%
1978 observed 3,739 47.8% 284 3.6%
1979 observed 3,780 46.9% 274 3.4%
1980 observed 3,799 45.9% 262 3.2%
1981 observed 3,806 44.8% 239 2.8%
1982 observed 4,056 42.7% 241 2.5%
1983 observed 4,586 39.9% 265 2.3%
1984 observed 5,157 37.6% 283 2.1%
1985 observed 5,734 35.6% 321 2.0%
1986 observed 6,321 34.1% 357 1.9%
1987 observed 6,946 32.9% 405 1.9%
1988 observed 7,633 32.1% 467 2.0%
1989 observed 8,355 31.6% 534 2.0%
1990 observed 8,966 31.8% 591 2.1%
1991 observed 9,377 32.6% 653 2.3%
1992 observed 9,682 33.3% 713 2.5%
1993 observed 9,903 33.8% 766 2.6%
1994 observed 10,062 34.2% 821 2.8%
1995 observed 10,142 34.4% 881 3.0%
1996 observed 10,140 34.4% 935 3.2%
1997 observed 10,047 34.3% 999 3.4%
1998 observed 9,861 33.9% 1,063 3.7%
1999 observed 9,875 33.7% 1,105 3.8%
2000 observed 10,167 33.9% 1,144 3.8%
2001 observed 10,465 34.0% 1,186 3.9%
2002 observed 10,733 34.0% 1,231 3.9%
2003 observed 10,978 33.9% 1,278 3.9%
2004 observed 11,209 33.8% 1,354 4.1%
2005 observed 11,446 33.7% 1,427 4.2%
2006 observed 11,667 33.7% 1,522 4.4%
2007 observed 11,855 33.5% 1,619 4.6%
2008 observed 11,965 33.3% 1,740 4.8%
2009 observed 11,976 32.8% 1,860 5.1%
2010 observed 11,891 32.3% 1,991 5.4%
2011 observed 11,834 31.9% 2,115 5.7%
2012 observed 11,884 31.9% 2,234 6.0%
2013 observed 11,989 32.0% 2,362 6.3%
2014 observed 11,967 32.0% 2,485 6.6%
2015 observed 11,712 31.3% 2,629 7.0%
2016 observed 11,381 30.6% 2,806 7.5%
2017 observed 11,054 30.0% 2,993 8.1%
2018 observed 10,232 28.4% 3,704 10.3%
2019 observed 8,355 24.4% 5,552 16.2%
2020 observed 7,479 23.5% 5,769 18.1%
2021 observed 7,695 25.7% 4,756 15.9%
2022 observed 7,364 25.5% 4,719 16.3%
2023 observed 7,051 25.6% 4,731 17.2%
2024 projected 6,759 25.9% 4,810 18.4%
2025 projected 6,414 25.7% 4,900 19.7%
2026 projected 6,074 25.4% 5,019 21.0%
2027 projected 5,732 24.9% 5,141 22.4%
2028 projected 5,408 24.3% 5,278 23.7%
2029 projected 5,101 23.6% 5,422 25.1%
2030 projected 4,810 22.8% 5,562 26.4%
2031 projected 4,535 22.0% 5,699 27.7%
2032 projected 4,277 21.2% 5,822 28.8%
2033 projected 4,046 20.3% 5,932 29.8%
2034 projected 3,844 19.6% 6,025 30.8%
2035 projected 3,685 19.0% 6,127 31.6%
2036 projected 3,558 18.5% 6,207 32.2%
2037 projected 3,450 18.0% 6,296 32.9%
2038 projected 3,368 17.7% 6,356 33.4%
2039 projected 3,324 17.5% 6,401 33.7%
2040 projected 3,318 17.5% 6,427 34.0%
2041 projected 3,284 17.4% 6,433 34.1%
2042 projected 3,254 17.3% 6,414 34.1%
2043 projected 3,281 17.4% 6,388 33.9%
2044 projected 3,348 17.8% 6,366 33.8%
2045 projected 3,445 18.3% 6,341 33.7%
2046 projected 3,565 19.0% 6,320 33.6%
2047 projected 3,699 19.7% 6,285 33.5%
2048 projected 3,841 20.4% 6,244 33.2%
2049 projected 3,987 21.2% 6,194 32.9%
2050 projected 4,128 22.0% 6,132 32.6%
2051 projected 4,266 22.7% 6,063 32.3%
2052 projected 4,388 23.4% 5,966 31.8%
2053 projected 4,493 23.9% 5,865 31.3%
2054 projected 4,583 24.4% 5,768 30.7%
2055 projected 4,646 24.8% 5,662 30.2%
2056 projected 4,685 25.0% 5,527 29.5%
2057 projected 4,702 25.2% 5,381 28.8%
2058 projected 4,686 25.2% 5,211 28.0%
2059 projected 4,651 25.1% 5,011 27.0%
2060 projected 4,592 24.9% 4,788 25.9%
2061 projected 4,514 24.6% 4,541 24.7%
2062 projected 4,420 24.1% 4,301 23.5%
2063 projected 4,314 23.7% 4,061 22.3%
2064 projected 4,202 23.1% 3,824 21.0%
2065 projected 4,089 22.6% 3,604 19.9%
2066 projected 3,978 22.0% 3,400 18.8%
2067 projected 3,874 21.5% 3,224 17.9%
2068 projected 3,780 21.0% 3,084 17.1%
2069 projected 3,691 20.5% 2,983 16.6%
2070 projected 3,622 20.1% 2,928 16.3%
2071 projected 3,568 19.8% 2,925 16.3%
2072 projected 3,526 19.6% 2,954 16.4%
2073 projected 3,501 19.4% 3,017 16.7%
2074 projected 3,493 19.3% 3,112 17.2%
2075 projected 3,502 19.3% 3,223 17.7%
2076 projected 3,524 19.3% 3,358 18.4%
2077 projected 3,560 19.4% 3,498 19.1%
2078 projected 3,607 19.6% 3,656 19.8%
2079 projected 3,664 19.8% 3,803 20.5%
2080 projected 3,730 20.0% 3,955 21.2%
2081 projected 3,797 20.3% 4,111 22.0%
2082 projected 3,864 20.5% 4,262 22.6%
2083 projected 3,929 20.8% 4,400 23.2%
2084 projected 3,991 21.0% 4,547 23.9%
2085 projected 4,049 21.2% 4,685 24.5%
2086 projected 4,097 21.3% 4,813 25.0%
2087 projected 4,131 21.4% 4,916 25.4%
2088 projected 4,157 21.4% 5,062 26.1%
2089 projected 4,164 21.3% 5,224 26.8%
2090 projected 4,162 21.2% 5,341 27.3%
2091 projected 4,143 21.1% 5,419 27.6%
2092 projected 4,116 20.8% 5,488 27.8%
2093 projected 4,074 20.6% 5,530 27.9%
2094 projected 4,022 20.3% 5,556 28.0%
2095 projected 3,962 19.9% 5,561 27.9%
2096 projected 3,902 19.6% 5,562 27.9%
2097 projected 3,833 19.2% 5,553 27.8%
2098 projected 3,762 18.8% 5,537 27.7%
2099 projected 3,690 18.4% 5,526 27.6%
2100 projected 3,620 18.1% 5,513 27.6%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.