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Population state · Growing

Libya

Africa · Northern Africa · LBY · LY
Population state
Growing
current run since 2012 · projected 2024
Fertility
2.30
149 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
106
of 237
Regional population rank
35
of 58 in Africa
Peak population · projected 2086 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 13.46 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Adds to growth

Positive net migration adds to natural growth.

Libya, 2024 projected: natural change +73,518 people, net migration +3,448, WPP adjustment 0, total population change +76,966. Positive net migration adds to natural growth.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a 0-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

13 source years · since 2012 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 2012
13 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+76,966
1.04% of 2024 population
Series maximum
projected 2086
Projected from the WPP medium variant, not a forecast.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
20247.38m+76,9662.30
20509.26m+52,1271.81
20809.93m+9,9151.74
21009.78m−19,1671.72

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2069 · projected
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Libya annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 45.0% in 1950 to 33.5% in 2023 and 17.4% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 5.2% to 4.9% and 28.0%. First annual crossover: 2069 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Libya, 1950 to 2100 Libya annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 45.0% in 1950 to 33.5% in 2023 and 17.4% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 5.2% to 4.9% and 28.0%. First annual crossover: 2069 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 17.4% 65+ · 28.0%
1950
Under 18 · 45.0%65+ · 5.2%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 33.5%65+ · 4.9%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 17.4%65+ · 28.0%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Libya under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 509,377 45.0% 58,941 5.2%
1951 observed 519,711 45.4% 59,397 5.2%
1952 observed 530,922 45.7% 59,879 5.2%
1953 observed 543,308 45.9% 60,370 5.1%
1954 observed 557,131 46.1% 60,907 5.0%
1955 observed 576,504 46.4% 61,420 4.9%
1956 observed 602,081 46.9% 61,962 4.8%
1957 observed 630,525 47.4% 62,590 4.7%
1958 observed 662,048 48.0% 63,274 4.6%
1959 observed 696,709 48.6% 63,965 4.5%
1960 observed 734,392 49.2% 64,641 4.3%
1961 observed 774,860 49.8% 65,303 4.2%
1962 observed 817,874 50.4% 65,960 4.1%
1963 observed 862,596 51.0% 66,585 3.9%
1964 observed 904,469 51.6% 67,156 3.8%
1965 observed 947,951 52.5% 67,671 3.8%
1966 observed 996,764 53.9% 68,111 3.7%
1967 observed 1,044,702 55.0% 68,481 3.6%
1968 observed 1,090,546 55.8% 68,812 3.5%
1969 observed 1,135,033 56.3% 69,190 3.4%
1970 observed 1,179,532 56.6% 69,640 3.3%
1971 observed 1,226,851 57.0% 70,195 3.3%
1972 observed 1,276,964 57.4% 70,905 3.2%
1973 observed 1,320,387 57.1% 71,702 3.1%
1974 observed 1,373,479 56.5% 72,587 3.0%
1975 observed 1,444,598 56.2% 73,624 2.9%
1976 observed 1,518,952 55.8% 74,866 2.8%
1977 observed 1,597,985 55.5% 76,324 2.6%
1978 observed 1,682,683 55.1% 78,039 2.6%
1979 observed 1,772,613 54.8% 80,041 2.5%
1980 observed 1,866,754 54.5% 82,382 2.4%
1981 observed 1,965,184 54.3% 85,036 2.3%
1982 observed 2,009,709 54.0% 87,857 2.4%
1983 observed 1,986,937 53.4% 90,788 2.4%
1984 observed 1,993,174 52.8% 94,109 2.5%
1985 observed 2,037,511 52.3% 98,047 2.5%
1986 observed 2,077,378 51.7% 102,457 2.6%
1987 observed 2,111,843 51.1% 107,264 2.6%
1988 observed 2,140,153 50.5% 112,442 2.7%
1989 observed 2,161,754 49.8% 118,046 2.7%
1990 observed 2,176,834 49.0% 124,088 2.8%
1991 observed 2,185,649 48.1% 130,435 2.9%
1992 observed 2,187,745 47.1% 137,056 3.0%
1993 observed 2,183,329 46.1% 143,904 3.0%
1994 observed 2,173,331 45.1% 150,839 3.1%
1995 observed 2,158,292 44.0% 157,869 3.2%
1996 observed 2,138,803 42.9% 165,182 3.3%
1997 observed 2,116,170 41.8% 172,804 3.4%
1998 observed 2,092,329 40.7% 180,558 3.5%
1999 observed 2,070,015 39.7% 188,186 3.6%
2000 observed 2,066,485 39.0% 195,702 3.7%
2001 observed 2,085,519 38.6% 203,399 3.8%
2002 observed 2,110,984 38.3% 210,616 3.8%
2003 observed 2,139,196 38.1% 216,771 3.9%
2004 observed 2,171,550 37.9% 223,212 3.9%
2005 observed 2,207,186 37.7% 230,425 3.9%
2006 observed 2,230,801 37.3% 235,987 3.9%
2007 observed 2,243,644 36.8% 241,963 4.0%
2008 observed 2,260,259 36.2% 248,798 4.0%
2009 observed 2,279,940 35.8% 255,118 4.0%
2010 observed 2,304,664 35.5% 261,714 4.0%
2011 observed 2,288,548 36.1% 267,058 4.2%
2012 observed 2,273,649 36.8% 271,601 4.4%
2013 observed 2,306,734 36.6% 276,974 4.4%
2014 observed 2,340,360 36.4% 283,909 4.4%
2015 observed 2,369,960 36.3% 292,507 4.5%
2016 observed 2,395,607 36.1% 301,200 4.5%
2017 observed 2,418,644 35.9% 309,119 4.6%
2018 observed 2,438,325 35.6% 315,700 4.6%
2019 observed 2,452,623 35.3% 321,489 4.6%
2020 observed 2,461,540 34.9% 327,361 4.6%
2021 observed 2,465,221 34.6% 333,368 4.7%
2022 observed 2,462,632 34.1% 343,035 4.7%
2023 observed 2,451,035 33.5% 356,381 4.9%
2024 projected 2,434,615 33.0% 370,466 5.0%
2025 projected 2,417,394 32.4% 387,215 5.2%
2026 projected 2,398,316 31.8% 408,232 5.4%
2027 projected 2,379,404 31.2% 433,024 5.7%
2028 projected 2,358,409 30.6% 460,623 6.0%
2029 projected 2,332,647 29.9% 489,625 6.3%
2030 projected 2,309,277 29.3% 520,654 6.6%
2031 projected 2,289,250 28.7% 553,989 7.0%
2032 projected 2,266,138 28.2% 589,440 7.3%
2033 projected 2,243,060 27.6% 628,184 7.7%
2034 projected 2,223,252 27.1% 671,855 8.2%
2035 projected 2,205,815 26.6% 718,817 8.7%
2036 projected 2,190,671 26.2% 767,155 9.2%
2037 projected 2,178,750 25.8% 817,341 9.7%
2038 projected 2,169,634 25.5% 869,085 10.2%
2039 projected 2,162,774 25.2% 921,347 10.7%
2040 projected 2,158,670 25.0% 974,450 11.3%
2041 projected 2,156,980 24.7% 1,028,821 11.8%
2042 projected 2,157,738 24.6% 1,083,822 12.3%
2043 projected 2,160,551 24.4% 1,138,903 12.9%
2044 projected 2,163,908 24.3% 1,194,253 13.4%
2045 projected 2,167,586 24.1% 1,248,740 13.9%
2046 projected 2,170,645 24.0% 1,300,696 14.4%
2047 projected 2,172,429 23.9% 1,349,372 14.8%
2048 projected 2,174,170 23.8% 1,393,265 15.2%
2049 projected 2,175,155 23.6% 1,433,602 15.6%
2050 projected 2,174,775 23.5% 1,472,609 15.9%
2051 projected 2,172,894 23.3% 1,509,180 16.2%
2052 projected 2,169,463 23.2% 1,542,861 16.5%
2053 projected 2,164,574 23.0% 1,574,347 16.7%
2054 projected 2,157,908 22.8% 1,603,478 17.0%
2055 projected 2,148,524 22.6% 1,630,029 17.2%
2056 projected 2,135,815 22.4% 1,653,974 17.4%
2057 projected 2,122,125 22.2% 1,675,991 17.6%
2058 projected 2,107,985 22.0% 1,696,834 17.7%
2059 projected 2,093,023 21.8% 1,717,086 17.9%
2060 projected 2,076,697 21.6% 1,737,036 18.0%
2061 projected 2,059,310 21.3% 1,756,897 18.2%
2062 projected 2,042,609 21.1% 1,777,150 18.4%
2063 projected 2,025,272 20.9% 1,797,865 18.6%
2064 projected 2,008,785 20.7% 1,819,192 18.8%
2065 projected 1,994,365 20.5% 1,841,528 18.9%
2066 projected 1,980,451 20.3% 1,865,344 19.2%
2067 projected 1,966,893 20.2% 1,891,306 19.4%
2068 projected 1,954,912 20.0% 1,920,143 19.7%
2069 projected 1,945,054 19.9% 1,952,166 19.9%
2070 projected 1,936,324 19.7% 1,986,812 20.3%
2071 projected 1,928,188 19.6% 2,023,560 20.6%
2072 projected 1,921,873 19.5% 2,061,886 21.0%
2073 projected 1,917,224 19.4% 2,100,862 21.3%
2074 projected 1,912,330 19.4% 2,139,848 21.7%
2075 projected 1,907,801 19.3% 2,180,604 22.1%
2076 projected 1,904,157 19.2% 2,224,666 22.5%
2077 projected 1,900,328 19.2% 2,266,048 22.9%
2078 projected 1,895,867 19.1% 2,304,317 23.3%
2079 projected 1,892,534 19.1% 2,344,850 23.6%
2080 projected 1,889,954 19.0% 2,385,521 24.0%
2081 projected 1,887,157 19.0% 2,424,048 24.4%
2082 projected 1,883,862 18.9% 2,460,169 24.7%
2083 projected 1,879,132 18.9% 2,493,616 25.0%
2084 projected 1,873,762 18.8% 2,524,613 25.3%
2085 projected 1,868,244 18.7% 2,553,494 25.6%
2086 projected 1,861,450 18.7% 2,579,936 25.9%
2087 projected 1,852,950 18.6% 2,603,317 26.1%
2088 projected 1,842,765 18.5% 2,623,409 26.3%
2089 projected 1,831,455 18.4% 2,640,580 26.5%
2090 projected 1,819,155 18.3% 2,655,429 26.7%
2091 projected 1,806,890 18.2% 2,668,549 26.9%
2092 projected 1,794,797 18.1% 2,680,122 27.0%
2093 projected 1,782,092 18.0% 2,690,245 27.2%
2094 projected 1,770,020 17.9% 2,699,379 27.3%
2095 projected 1,758,753 17.8% 2,707,685 27.4%
2096 projected 1,747,365 17.7% 2,715,165 27.5%
2097 projected 1,735,502 17.6% 2,722,018 27.7%
2098 projected 1,723,747 17.6% 2,728,571 27.8%
2099 projected 1,712,970 17.5% 2,735,141 27.9%
2100 projected 1,703,139 17.4% 2,741,808 28.0%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.