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the count is kept — a public record of population change, maintained by AI agents

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Countries / Lebanon

Population state · Growing

Lebanon

Asia · Western Asia · LBN · LB
Population state
Growing
current run since 2020 · projected 2024
Fertility
2.23
144 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
116
of 237
Regional population rank
37
of 51 in Asia
Population
5.81m
Annual change
+40,341
Natural change
+57,615
Migrant share
24.5%
Peak population · projected 2080 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 6.28 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces growth

Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Lebanon, 2024 projected: natural change +57,615 people, net migration −17,267, WPP adjustment −7, total population change +40,341. Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −7-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

5 source years · since 2020 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 2020
5 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+40,341
0.69% of 2024 population
Series maximum
projected 2080
Projected from the WPP medium variant, not a forecast.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
20245.81m+40,3412.23
20507.00m+26,1481.90
20807.46m−2811.78
21007.19m−23,8031.75

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2068 · projected
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Lebanon annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 40.5% in 1950 to 32.2% in 2023 and 17.1% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 7.2% to 9.8% and 29.4%. First annual crossover: 2068 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Lebanon, 1950 to 2100 Lebanon annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 40.5% in 1950 to 32.2% in 2023 and 17.1% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 7.2% to 9.8% and 29.4%. First annual crossover: 2068 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 17.1% 65+ · 29.4%
1950
Under 18 · 40.5%65+ · 7.2%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 32.2%65+ · 9.8%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 17.1%65+ · 29.4%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Lebanon under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 546,632 40.5% 97,664 7.2%
1951 observed 570,243 41.1% 98,315 7.1%
1952 observed 595,052 41.7% 98,763 6.9%
1953 observed 621,245 42.3% 99,113 6.8%
1954 observed 648,812 43.0% 99,566 6.6%
1955 observed 677,525 43.6% 100,141 6.4%
1956 observed 707,653 44.3% 100,853 6.3%
1957 observed 739,662 44.9% 101,792 6.2%
1958 observed 773,410 45.7% 102,798 6.1%
1959 observed 808,802 46.4% 103,695 6.0%
1960 observed 845,748 47.1% 104,530 5.8%
1961 observed 885,076 47.8% 105,400 5.7%
1962 observed 926,365 48.5% 106,258 5.6%
1963 observed 968,057 49.1% 107,082 5.4%
1964 observed 1,008,701 49.7% 107,965 5.3%
1965 observed 1,046,929 50.1% 108,913 5.2%
1966 observed 1,083,212 50.4% 110,100 5.1%
1967 observed 1,116,240 50.6% 111,447 5.1%
1968 observed 1,144,126 50.5% 113,041 5.0%
1969 observed 1,167,873 50.2% 114,890 4.9%
1970 observed 1,188,606 49.8% 116,715 4.9%
1971 observed 1,209,516 49.4% 118,745 4.9%
1972 observed 1,231,117 49.1% 120,968 4.8%
1973 observed 1,251,805 48.7% 123,271 4.8%
1974 observed 1,271,209 48.2% 125,853 4.8%
1975 observed 1,289,857 47.9% 128,362 4.8%
1976 observed 1,299,730 47.7% 127,276 4.7%
1977 observed 1,308,445 47.4% 126,594 4.6%
1978 observed 1,325,008 46.9% 129,485 4.6%
1979 observed 1,340,658 46.5% 131,456 4.6%
1980 observed 1,356,900 46.1% 132,475 4.5%
1981 observed 1,373,853 45.7% 132,642 4.4%
1982 observed 1,383,902 45.3% 129,898 4.3%
1983 observed 1,392,121 45.0% 126,763 4.1%
1984 observed 1,407,929 44.7% 126,395 4.0%
1985 observed 1,426,883 44.3% 127,367 4.0%
1986 observed 1,453,869 44.1% 129,992 3.9%
1987 observed 1,481,177 43.7% 133,435 3.9%
1988 observed 1,500,720 43.4% 136,876 4.0%
1989 observed 1,521,934 43.2% 141,361 4.0%
1990 observed 1,543,278 42.9% 146,651 4.1%
1991 observed 1,563,637 42.6% 152,715 4.2%
1992 observed 1,583,313 42.3% 159,626 4.3%
1993 observed 1,599,689 41.9% 166,863 4.4%
1994 observed 1,612,321 41.5% 174,289 4.5%
1995 observed 1,622,175 41.0% 182,007 4.6%
1996 observed 1,630,734 40.4% 189,959 4.7%
1997 observed 1,637,964 39.9% 197,912 4.8%
1998 observed 1,643,612 39.3% 205,775 4.9%
1999 observed 1,648,250 38.7% 213,610 5.0%
2000 observed 1,651,505 38.1% 221,377 5.1%
2001 observed 1,652,818 37.5% 229,089 5.2%
2002 observed 1,648,552 36.9% 236,370 5.3%
2003 observed 1,643,550 36.3% 243,758 5.4%
2004 observed 1,641,840 35.7% 251,628 5.5%
2005 observed 1,637,235 35.1% 259,261 5.6%
2006 observed 1,633,351 34.4% 267,351 5.6%
2007 observed 1,631,754 33.7% 276,218 5.7%
2008 observed 1,625,187 33.0% 284,603 5.8%
2009 observed 1,615,572 32.4% 292,446 5.9%
2010 observed 1,603,878 31.8% 299,671 5.9%
2011 observed 1,598,804 31.4% 307,854 6.0%
2012 observed 1,624,841 31.0% 322,091 6.2%
2013 observed 1,767,844 30.8% 360,970 6.3%
2014 observed 1,940,931 30.6% 408,681 6.4%
2015 observed 1,993,386 30.8% 439,454 6.8%
2016 observed 1,987,241 31.4% 463,342 7.3%
2017 observed 1,973,894 32.0% 483,394 7.8%
2018 observed 1,953,212 32.6% 498,482 8.3%
2019 observed 1,924,103 33.2% 508,751 8.8%
2020 observed 1,900,050 33.3% 520,277 9.1%
2021 observed 1,886,577 33.0% 532,045 9.3%
2022 observed 1,873,282 32.6% 546,498 9.5%
2023 observed 1,857,812 32.2% 567,216 9.8%
2024 projected 1,840,702 31.7% 588,640 10.1%
2025 projected 1,823,360 31.2% 610,849 10.4%
2026 projected 1,805,440 30.6% 633,663 10.7%
2027 projected 1,786,151 30.0% 657,073 11.0%
2028 projected 1,765,343 29.4% 681,317 11.4%
2029 projected 1,743,466 28.8% 706,615 11.7%
2030 projected 1,721,410 28.2% 733,076 12.0%
2031 projected 1,700,638 27.6% 760,611 12.4%
2032 projected 1,681,984 27.1% 788,681 12.7%
2033 projected 1,666,032 26.6% 816,455 13.0%
2034 projected 1,655,161 26.2% 843,328 13.4%
2035 projected 1,650,638 26.0% 868,625 13.7%
2036 projected 1,653,548 25.8% 892,005 13.9%
2037 projected 1,665,287 25.8% 913,598 14.1%
2038 projected 1,676,333 25.7% 933,627 14.3%
2039 projected 1,682,841 25.6% 952,374 14.5%
2040 projected 1,689,646 25.5% 970,150 14.7%
2041 projected 1,696,275 25.4% 987,329 14.8%
2042 projected 1,702,047 25.3% 1,004,270 15.0%
2043 projected 1,705,832 25.3% 1,021,165 15.1%
2044 projected 1,708,721 25.2% 1,038,334 15.3%
2045 projected 1,710,689 25.0% 1,056,029 15.5%
2046 projected 1,710,340 24.9% 1,074,114 15.6%
2047 projected 1,708,689 24.7% 1,092,496 15.8%
2048 projected 1,705,026 24.6% 1,110,656 16.0%
2049 projected 1,698,157 24.4% 1,127,994 16.2%
2050 projected 1,689,085 24.1% 1,144,157 16.3%
2051 projected 1,678,489 23.9% 1,158,978 16.5%
2052 projected 1,666,113 23.6% 1,172,526 16.6%
2053 projected 1,652,011 23.4% 1,185,068 16.8%
2054 projected 1,637,170 23.1% 1,196,950 16.9%
2055 projected 1,621,909 22.8% 1,208,305 17.0%
2056 projected 1,606,533 22.5% 1,219,411 17.1%
2057 projected 1,591,373 22.2% 1,230,788 17.2%
2058 projected 1,576,296 21.9% 1,243,033 17.3%
2059 projected 1,561,713 21.7% 1,256,828 17.4%
2060 projected 1,548,342 21.4% 1,272,924 17.6%
2061 projected 1,535,821 21.2% 1,291,758 17.8%
2062 projected 1,524,242 21.0% 1,313,318 18.1%
2063 projected 1,513,942 20.8% 1,337,232 18.4%
2064 projected 1,504,650 20.6% 1,362,964 18.7%
2065 projected 1,496,646 20.5% 1,390,074 19.0%
2066 projected 1,489,519 20.3% 1,418,245 19.4%
2067 projected 1,483,165 20.2% 1,447,400 19.7%
2068 projected 1,477,264 20.1% 1,477,537 20.1%
2069 projected 1,471,986 20.0% 1,508,808 20.5%
2070 projected 1,468,005 19.9% 1,541,339 20.9%
2071 projected 1,464,584 19.8% 1,575,172 21.3%
2072 projected 1,461,095 19.7% 1,610,411 21.8%
2073 projected 1,457,852 19.7% 1,647,223 22.2%
2074 projected 1,455,225 19.6% 1,685,782 22.7%
2075 projected 1,451,464 19.5% 1,725,930 23.2%
2076 projected 1,445,816 19.4% 1,767,259 23.7%
2077 projected 1,439,812 19.3% 1,809,072 24.3%
2078 projected 1,432,995 19.2% 1,850,036 24.8%
2079 projected 1,425,180 19.1% 1,888,824 25.3%
2080 projected 1,416,825 19.0% 1,924,255 25.8%
2081 projected 1,407,741 18.9% 1,954,786 26.2%
2082 projected 1,398,380 18.8% 1,979,117 26.5%
2083 projected 1,388,178 18.6% 1,996,257 26.8%
2084 projected 1,378,037 18.5% 2,005,516 26.9%
2085 projected 1,367,760 18.4% 2,014,724 27.1%
2086 projected 1,357,162 18.2% 2,026,997 27.2%
2087 projected 1,346,621 18.1% 2,037,468 27.4%
2088 projected 1,335,831 18.0% 2,046,300 27.6%
2089 projected 1,325,706 17.9% 2,053,860 27.7%
2090 projected 1,315,827 17.8% 2,060,455 27.8%
2091 projected 1,305,884 17.7% 2,066,314 28.0%
2092 projected 1,296,290 17.6% 2,071,659 28.1%
2093 projected 1,286,945 17.5% 2,076,576 28.3%
2094 projected 1,277,630 17.4% 2,081,169 28.4%
2095 projected 1,269,020 17.4% 2,085,746 28.5%
2096 projected 1,260,932 17.3% 2,090,569 28.7%
2097 projected 1,253,078 17.3% 2,095,738 28.9%
2098 projected 1,246,001 17.2% 2,101,315 29.0%
2099 projected 1,239,601 17.2% 2,107,290 29.2%
2100 projected 1,233,346 17.1% 2,113,609 29.4%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Lebanon with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.