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Population state · Growing

Guinea

Africa · Western Africa · GIN · GN
Population state
Growing
current run since 1950 · projected 2024
Fertility
4.13
217 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
75
of 237
Regional population rank
27
of 58 in Africa
Peak population · projected 2100 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 16.11 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces growth

Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Guinea, 2024 projected: natural change +358,509 people, net migration −12,024, WPP adjustment +4, total population change +346,489. Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +4-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

75 source years · since 1950 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1950
75 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+346,489
2.35% of 2024 population
Series maximum
not established in this series
Still rising at the 2100 horizon of this release.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
202414.75m+346,4894.13
205023.40m+312,8592.70
208030.44m+139,7962.17
210032.01m+21,9291.99

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
Not reached by 2100
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Guinea annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 43.8% in 1950 to 47.9% in 2023 and 24.7% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 5.3% to 3.4% and 14.1%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Guinea, 1950 to 2100 Guinea annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 43.8% in 1950 to 47.9% in 2023 and 24.7% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 5.3% to 3.4% and 14.1%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 24.7% 65+ · 14.1%
1950
Under 18 · 43.8%65+ · 5.3%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 47.9%65+ · 3.4%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 24.7%65+ · 14.1%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Guinea under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 1,320,226 43.8% 160,681 5.3%
1951 observed 1,346,371 44.0% 161,396 5.3%
1952 observed 1,373,105 44.1% 161,438 5.2%
1953 observed 1,400,599 44.3% 161,044 5.1%
1954 observed 1,428,773 44.4% 160,481 5.0%
1955 observed 1,457,499 44.6% 159,763 4.9%
1956 observed 1,486,935 44.8% 158,936 4.8%
1957 observed 1,517,442 44.9% 158,208 4.7%
1958 observed 1,549,229 45.1% 157,643 4.6%
1959 observed 1,581,492 45.2% 157,195 4.5%
1960 observed 1,614,028 45.4% 156,901 4.4%
1961 observed 1,647,312 45.5% 156,818 4.3%
1962 observed 1,681,324 45.6% 156,980 4.3%
1963 observed 1,716,726 45.8% 157,409 4.2%
1964 observed 1,753,386 45.9% 158,164 4.1%
1965 observed 1,790,225 46.0% 159,250 4.1%
1966 observed 1,827,386 46.1% 160,705 4.1%
1967 observed 1,866,083 46.2% 162,545 4.0%
1968 observed 1,905,599 46.3% 164,728 4.0%
1969 observed 1,945,416 46.3% 167,156 4.0%
1970 observed 1,986,304 46.4% 169,759 4.0%
1971 observed 2,028,134 46.6% 172,498 4.0%
1972 observed 2,070,911 46.7% 175,358 4.0%
1973 observed 2,114,659 46.9% 178,368 4.0%
1974 observed 2,159,322 47.1% 181,620 4.0%
1975 observed 2,204,889 47.4% 185,180 4.0%
1976 observed 2,251,527 47.6% 189,071 4.0%
1977 observed 2,299,584 47.9% 193,276 4.0%
1978 observed 2,349,260 48.2% 197,791 4.1%
1979 observed 2,400,757 48.4% 202,571 4.1%
1980 observed 2,454,506 48.6% 207,594 4.1%
1981 observed 2,510,638 48.8% 212,864 4.1%
1982 observed 2,569,790 49.0% 218,369 4.2%
1983 observed 2,631,797 49.1% 224,061 4.2%
1984 observed 2,696,751 49.2% 229,952 4.2%
1985 observed 2,765,578 49.3% 236,044 4.2%
1986 observed 2,838,377 49.4% 242,285 4.2%
1987 observed 2,915,199 49.4% 248,603 4.2%
1988 observed 2,995,576 49.5% 254,901 4.2%
1989 observed 3,078,580 49.5% 261,094 4.2%
1990 observed 3,191,268 49.6% 269,493 4.2%
1991 observed 3,326,050 49.7% 279,404 4.2%
1992 observed 3,440,130 49.8% 287,106 4.2%
1993 observed 3,553,209 49.8% 294,371 4.1%
1994 observed 3,669,022 50.0% 301,484 4.1%
1995 observed 3,779,886 50.0% 307,977 4.1%
1996 observed 3,894,280 50.1% 314,551 4.0%
1997 observed 4,001,083 50.4% 319,399 4.0%
1998 observed 4,105,915 50.8% 323,918 4.0%
1999 observed 4,214,168 51.0% 329,174 4.0%
2000 observed 4,319,562 51.2% 333,698 4.0%
2001 observed 4,416,110 51.7% 336,794 3.9%
2002 observed 4,513,211 52.0% 340,437 3.9%
2003 observed 4,616,630 52.0% 345,480 3.9%
2004 observed 4,718,796 52.1% 349,989 3.9%
2005 observed 4,820,370 52.1% 353,828 3.8%
2006 observed 4,924,226 52.2% 358,025 3.8%
2007 observed 5,031,786 52.1% 363,071 3.8%
2008 observed 5,141,941 51.9% 368,449 3.7%
2009 observed 5,252,659 51.8% 374,050 3.7%
2010 observed 5,362,968 51.6% 379,505 3.7%
2011 observed 5,472,803 51.4% 384,990 3.6%
2012 observed 5,581,581 51.1% 391,166 3.6%
2013 observed 5,691,232 50.9% 398,071 3.6%
2014 observed 5,801,967 50.6% 405,131 3.5%
2015 observed 5,913,745 50.3% 412,835 3.5%
2016 observed 6,030,572 50.0% 421,586 3.5%
2017 observed 6,150,760 49.7% 430,738 3.5%
2018 observed 6,271,321 49.4% 440,324 3.5%
2019 observed 6,395,196 49.1% 450,589 3.5%
2020 observed 6,523,765 48.8% 460,549 3.4%
2021 observed 6,653,685 48.5% 470,447 3.4%
2022 observed 6,781,199 48.2% 482,233 3.4%
2023 observed 6,904,814 47.9% 495,696 3.4%
2024 projected 7,023,143 47.6% 509,792 3.5%
2025 projected 7,135,247 47.3% 524,423 3.5%
2026 projected 7,241,180 46.9% 539,648 3.5%
2027 projected 7,342,084 46.5% 555,522 3.5%
2028 projected 7,438,257 46.1% 572,032 3.5%
2029 projected 7,529,330 45.7% 589,052 3.6%
2030 projected 7,616,933 45.3% 606,601 3.6%
2031 projected 7,700,611 44.9% 624,572 3.6%
2032 projected 7,779,123 44.5% 642,779 3.7%
2033 projected 7,851,493 44.1% 661,196 3.7%
2034 projected 7,916,536 43.6% 679,729 3.7%
2035 projected 7,976,597 43.1% 698,455 3.8%
2036 projected 8,034,598 42.7% 717,480 3.8%
2037 projected 8,088,976 42.2% 736,671 3.8%
2038 projected 8,138,608 41.8% 756,035 3.9%
2039 projected 8,185,647 41.3% 775,715 3.9%
2040 projected 8,231,441 40.8% 795,853 3.9%
2041 projected 8,275,228 40.4% 816,570 4.0%
2042 projected 8,316,347 39.9% 838,150 4.0%
2043 projected 8,355,952 39.5% 860,929 4.1%
2044 projected 8,393,436 39.1% 885,070 4.1%
2045 projected 8,428,003 38.6% 911,012 4.2%
2046 projected 8,460,807 38.2% 939,165 4.2%
2047 projected 8,492,684 37.8% 970,068 4.3%
2048 projected 8,522,839 37.4% 1,004,001 4.4%
2049 projected 8,551,013 37.0% 1,041,122 4.5%
2050 projected 8,578,271 36.7% 1,082,028 4.6%
2051 projected 8,604,985 36.3% 1,126,941 4.8%
2052 projected 8,630,860 35.9% 1,175,961 4.9%
2053 projected 8,656,470 35.6% 1,228,906 5.1%
2054 projected 8,679,711 35.2% 1,285,218 5.2%
2055 projected 8,699,705 34.9% 1,344,568 5.4%
2056 projected 8,717,374 34.6% 1,407,508 5.6%
2057 projected 8,731,405 34.2% 1,473,979 5.8%
2058 projected 8,742,583 33.9% 1,543,068 6.0%
2059 projected 8,750,923 33.6% 1,614,027 6.2%
2060 projected 8,755,606 33.3% 1,685,700 6.4%
2061 projected 8,757,765 32.9% 1,758,666 6.6%
2062 projected 8,758,480 32.6% 1,833,252 6.8%
2063 projected 8,757,834 32.3% 1,906,574 7.0%
2064 projected 8,754,940 32.0% 1,978,206 7.2%
2065 projected 8,749,481 31.7% 2,049,135 7.4%
2066 projected 8,742,666 31.4% 2,118,161 7.6%
2067 projected 8,734,756 31.1% 2,184,426 7.8%
2068 projected 8,724,973 30.9% 2,249,107 8.0%
2069 projected 8,713,606 30.6% 2,314,150 8.1%
2070 projected 8,701,008 30.3% 2,380,539 8.3%
2071 projected 8,686,802 30.1% 2,448,219 8.5%
2072 projected 8,670,976 29.8% 2,516,944 8.6%
2073 projected 8,654,450 29.5% 2,587,004 8.8%
2074 projected 8,637,460 29.3% 2,658,581 9.0%
2075 projected 8,620,379 29.1% 2,731,424 9.2%
2076 projected 8,602,842 28.8% 2,804,533 9.4%
2077 projected 8,584,096 28.6% 2,877,241 9.6%
2078 projected 8,565,005 28.4% 2,950,259 9.8%
2079 projected 8,545,983 28.2% 3,024,347 10.0%
2080 projected 8,525,855 28.0% 3,099,755 10.2%
2081 projected 8,505,298 27.8% 3,176,699 10.4%
2082 projected 8,484,309 27.6% 3,254,291 10.6%
2083 projected 8,462,118 27.4% 3,331,531 10.8%
2084 projected 8,438,954 27.2% 3,409,104 11.0%
2085 projected 8,414,598 27.1% 3,487,499 11.2%
2086 projected 8,388,486 26.9% 3,565,852 11.4%
2087 projected 8,359,493 26.7% 3,643,069 11.6%
2088 projected 8,329,174 26.5% 3,719,099 11.9%
2089 projected 8,298,216 26.4% 3,794,070 12.1%
2090 projected 8,265,706 26.2% 3,867,457 12.3%
2091 projected 8,231,164 26.0% 3,938,867 12.5%
2092 projected 8,195,902 25.9% 4,009,053 12.7%
2093 projected 8,160,337 25.7% 4,077,728 12.8%
2094 projected 8,123,817 25.6% 4,143,933 13.0%
2095 projected 8,086,225 25.4% 4,207,888 13.2%
2096 projected 8,048,035 25.2% 4,269,877 13.4%
2097 projected 8,010,084 25.1% 4,330,235 13.6%
2098 projected 7,972,090 25.0% 4,388,564 13.7%
2099 projected 7,933,744 24.8% 4,444,581 13.9%
2100 projected 7,894,998 24.7% 4,498,575 14.1%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.