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Countries / Gambia

Population state · Growing

Gambia

Africa · Western Africa · GMB · GM
Population state
Growing
current run since 1950 · projected 2024
Fertility
3.91
209 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
144
of 237
Regional population rank
42
of 58 in Africa
Population
2.76m
Annual change
+62,165
Natural change
+65,158
Migrant share
8.6%
Peak population · projected 2100 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 18.41 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces growth

Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Gambia, 2024 projected: natural change +65,158 people, net migration −2,989, WPP adjustment −4, total population change +62,165. Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −4-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

75 source years · since 1950 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1950
75 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+62,165
2.25% of 2024 population
Series maximum
not established in this series
Still rising at the 2100 horizon of this release.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
20242.76m+62,1653.91
20504.30m+53,8632.38
20805.49m+22,2221.94
21005.70m+6591.82

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
Not reached by 2100
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Gambia annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 50.0% in 1950 to 47.5% in 2023 and 21.8% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 2.5% to 3.0% and 18.0%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Gambia, 1950 to 2100 Gambia annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 50.0% in 1950 to 47.5% in 2023 and 21.8% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 2.5% to 3.0% and 18.0%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 21.8% 65+ · 18.0%
1950
Under 18 · 50.0%65+ · 2.5%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 47.5%65+ · 3.0%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 21.8%65+ · 18.0%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Gambia under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 153,388 50.0% 7,657 2.5%
1951 observed 155,778 49.5% 7,960 2.5%
1952 observed 158,527 49.1% 8,256 2.6%
1953 observed 161,582 48.8% 8,562 2.6%
1954 observed 164,872 48.5% 8,857 2.6%
1955 observed 168,391 48.3% 9,147 2.6%
1956 observed 172,113 48.1% 9,448 2.6%
1957 observed 176,005 47.9% 9,746 2.7%
1958 observed 180,056 47.7% 10,045 2.7%
1959 observed 184,276 47.5% 10,370 2.7%
1960 observed 188,652 47.4% 10,679 2.7%
1961 observed 193,134 47.2% 11,013 2.7%
1962 observed 197,741 47.1% 11,353 2.7%
1963 observed 202,499 46.9% 11,706 2.7%
1964 observed 207,485 46.8% 12,072 2.7%
1965 observed 212,900 46.7% 12,449 2.7%
1966 observed 219,100 46.8% 12,837 2.7%
1967 observed 226,292 47.0% 13,242 2.7%
1968 observed 233,858 47.2% 13,666 2.8%
1969 observed 241,394 47.4% 14,112 2.8%
1970 observed 249,119 47.5% 14,574 2.8%
1971 observed 257,156 47.7% 15,044 2.8%
1972 observed 265,587 47.8% 15,542 2.8%
1973 observed 274,339 48.0% 16,054 2.8%
1974 observed 283,779 48.2% 17,122 2.9%
1975 observed 293,964 48.4% 18,766 3.1%
1976 observed 304,695 48.7% 20,543 3.3%
1977 observed 316,094 48.9% 22,475 3.5%
1978 observed 328,181 49.2% 24,543 3.7%
1979 observed 341,066 49.4% 26,700 3.9%
1980 observed 354,851 49.7% 28,888 4.0%
1981 observed 369,495 50.0% 31,032 4.2%
1982 observed 385,095 50.3% 33,143 4.3%
1983 observed 401,941 50.6% 35,423 4.5%
1984 observed 419,717 50.8% 36,896 4.5%
1985 observed 438,155 51.0% 37,467 4.4%
1986 observed 457,562 51.2% 38,167 4.3%
1987 observed 477,947 51.3% 39,019 4.2%
1988 observed 499,326 51.5% 40,006 4.1%
1989 observed 521,736 51.6% 41,066 4.1%
1990 observed 545,188 51.7% 42,174 4.0%
1991 observed 569,589 51.8% 43,317 3.9%
1992 observed 594,339 51.9% 44,318 3.9%
1993 observed 618,116 52.0% 44,628 3.8%
1994 observed 641,189 52.2% 44,397 3.6%
1995 observed 664,514 52.6% 44,154 3.5%
1996 observed 687,690 52.8% 43,975 3.4%
1997 observed 710,412 53.1% 43,882 3.3%
1998 observed 732,777 53.2% 43,865 3.2%
1999 observed 754,792 53.3% 43,903 3.1%
2000 observed 776,293 53.4% 43,990 3.0%
2001 observed 797,345 53.3% 44,138 3.0%
2002 observed 817,985 53.3% 44,337 2.9%
2003 observed 838,499 53.1% 44,624 2.8%
2004 observed 859,329 53.0% 45,049 2.8%
2005 observed 880,697 52.8% 45,624 2.7%
2006 observed 902,902 52.6% 46,367 2.7%
2007 observed 925,622 52.4% 47,285 2.7%
2008 observed 948,253 52.2% 48,400 2.7%
2009 observed 970,979 51.9% 49,710 2.7%
2010 observed 994,267 51.6% 51,182 2.7%
2011 observed 1,018,420 51.3% 52,782 2.7%
2012 observed 1,043,484 51.1% 54,395 2.7%
2013 observed 1,069,030 50.8% 55,810 2.7%
2014 observed 1,094,221 50.6% 56,916 2.6%
2015 observed 1,118,573 50.3% 58,168 2.6%
2016 observed 1,141,829 50.0% 59,830 2.6%
2017 observed 1,163,805 49.7% 61,804 2.6%
2018 observed 1,184,430 49.4% 64,082 2.7%
2019 observed 1,204,333 49.0% 66,705 2.7%
2020 observed 1,224,396 48.7% 69,587 2.8%
2021 observed 1,244,497 48.3% 72,677 2.8%
2022 observed 1,263,939 47.9% 76,194 2.9%
2023 observed 1,282,482 47.5% 80,335 3.0%
2024 projected 1,299,545 47.1% 84,958 3.1%
2025 projected 1,314,855 46.6% 89,880 3.2%
2026 projected 1,328,850 46.1% 95,110 3.3%
2027 projected 1,341,344 45.5% 100,603 3.4%
2028 projected 1,352,071 45.0% 106,335 3.5%
2029 projected 1,360,842 44.3% 112,232 3.7%
2030 projected 1,367,506 43.7% 118,227 3.8%
2031 projected 1,372,696 43.0% 124,239 3.9%
2032 projected 1,377,652 42.4% 130,229 4.0%
2033 projected 1,382,987 41.7% 136,135 4.1%
2034 projected 1,388,803 41.2% 141,865 4.2%
2035 projected 1,395,242 40.6% 147,371 4.3%
2036 projected 1,402,439 40.1% 152,670 4.4%
2037 projected 1,409,700 39.7% 157,759 4.4%
2038 projected 1,416,346 39.2% 162,617 4.5%
2039 projected 1,422,282 38.7% 167,229 4.6%
2040 projected 1,427,461 38.2% 171,617 4.6%
2041 projected 1,431,859 37.8% 175,865 4.6%
2042 projected 1,435,772 37.3% 180,121 4.7%
2043 projected 1,439,550 36.8% 184,630 4.7%
2044 projected 1,443,141 36.4% 189,561 4.8%
2045 projected 1,446,544 35.9% 195,019 4.8%
2046 projected 1,449,751 35.5% 201,069 4.9%
2047 projected 1,452,802 35.1% 207,759 5.0%
2048 projected 1,455,640 34.7% 215,122 5.1%
2049 projected 1,458,096 34.3% 223,253 5.3%
2050 projected 1,460,175 33.9% 232,082 5.4%
2051 projected 1,461,844 33.6% 241,580 5.5%
2052 projected 1,463,046 33.2% 251,759 5.7%
2053 projected 1,463,746 32.8% 262,601 5.9%
2054 projected 1,463,994 32.5% 274,192 6.1%
2055 projected 1,463,734 32.1% 286,574 6.3%
2056 projected 1,462,941 31.7% 299,666 6.5%
2057 projected 1,461,696 31.4% 313,338 6.7%
2058 projected 1,460,031 31.0% 327,493 7.0%
2059 projected 1,458,009 30.7% 342,164 7.2%
2060 projected 1,455,657 30.3% 357,207 7.4%
2061 projected 1,453,046 30.0% 372,263 7.7%
2062 projected 1,450,150 29.7% 387,257 7.9%
2063 projected 1,446,942 29.3% 402,228 8.2%
2064 projected 1,443,524 29.0% 417,242 8.4%
2065 projected 1,439,908 28.7% 432,220 8.6%
2066 projected 1,436,022 28.4% 447,237 8.8%
2067 projected 1,431,915 28.1% 462,368 9.1%
2068 projected 1,427,716 27.8% 477,721 9.3%
2069 projected 1,423,408 27.5% 493,544 9.5%
2070 projected 1,419,033 27.3% 510,052 9.8%
2071 projected 1,414,575 27.0% 527,432 10.1%
2072 projected 1,410,033 26.8% 545,556 10.4%
2073 projected 1,405,509 26.5% 564,142 10.6%
2074 projected 1,400,956 26.3% 583,277 10.9%
2075 projected 1,396,315 26.0% 603,171 11.3%
2076 projected 1,391,513 25.8% 623,940 11.6%
2077 projected 1,386,561 25.6% 645,688 11.9%
2078 projected 1,381,495 25.4% 667,931 12.3%
2079 projected 1,376,248 25.2% 689,742 12.6%
2080 projected 1,370,846 25.0% 710,691 13.0%
2081 projected 1,365,359 24.8% 730,693 13.3%
2082 projected 1,359,703 24.6% 749,632 13.6%
2083 projected 1,353,831 24.4% 767,411 13.8%
2084 projected 1,347,846 24.2% 784,617 14.1%
2085 projected 1,341,775 24.0% 801,871 14.4%
2086 projected 1,335,517 23.9% 819,195 14.6%
2087 projected 1,329,181 23.7% 836,529 14.9%
2088 projected 1,322,788 23.5% 853,883 15.2%
2089 projected 1,316,282 23.3% 871,087 15.4%
2090 projected 1,309,736 23.2% 887,825 15.7%
2091 projected 1,303,151 23.0% 904,021 16.0%
2092 projected 1,296,480 22.9% 919,668 16.2%
2093 projected 1,289,767 22.7% 934,806 16.5%
2094 projected 1,282,957 22.6% 949,427 16.7%
2095 projected 1,276,046 22.4% 963,561 16.9%
2096 projected 1,269,108 22.3% 977,268 17.2%
2097 projected 1,262,189 22.2% 990,614 17.4%
2098 projected 1,255,348 22.0% 1,003,632 17.6%
2099 projected 1,248,579 21.9% 1,016,387 17.8%
2100 projected 1,241,808 21.8% 1,028,893 18.0%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Gambia with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.