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Countries / Dominica

Population state · Sustained decline

Dominica

Latin America and the Caribbean · Caribbean · DMA · DM

Dominica's population reached its series maximum in 1980. The current run began in 2016.

SMALL POPULATION · Full population counts are shown; ratios with unstable small bases are suppressed.
Population state
Sustained decline
current run since 2016 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.48
63 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
206
of 237
Regional population rank
40
of 50 in Latin America and the Caribbean
Population
66,205
Annual change
−296
51st-largest annual loss in the recordsmall absolute movement
Natural change
−109
Migrant share
12.7%
Peak population · 1980 Deaths exceed births · since 2017 Working-age peak · 2015 Support ratio · 5.34 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Deepens decline

Negative net migration adds to natural decline.

Dominica, 2024 projected: natural change −109 people, net migration −200, WPP adjustment +13, total population change −296. Negative net migration adds to natural decline.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +13-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
SUSTAINED DECLINE · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Decline over time

9 source years · since 2016 Tied rank 20 of 29 by streak duration Duration, not severity
CARD 01 · ANNUAL TOTAL POPULATION CHANGE

Annual change through the streak

Each bar is one year’s total population change. View the same evidence as a share of that year’s population or as a count of people.

Births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments are included.
−0.45%
2016–2024 · 9 source years Loss rate has eased since the start
Annual change bar chart
Observed through 2023 2024 projected

One discrete bar for each source year from 2016 through 2024. The chart includes total population change from births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments; observed and projected rows are distinguished.

Annual total population change for Dominica, 2016 to 2024
YearEvidencePercent of populationPeople
2016observed−2.67%−1,857
2017observed−0.53%−363
2018observed−0.41%−281
2019observed−0.45%−307
2020observed−0.46%−308
2021observed−0.65%−434
2022observed−0.47%−317
2023observed−0.47%−315
2024projected−0.45%−296
First year−2.67%
Least negative−0.41% · 2018
Most negative−2.67% · 2016
2024−0.45%
CARD 02 · LITERAL SERIES MAXIMUM

Population below peak

Peak population minus the 2024 population, shown in people and as a share of the peak.

9.4%
6,878 people below peak
Population from peak line chart
Observed through 2023 2024 projected Focused scale · peak = 100

Annual total population from the literal series maximum in 1980 through 2024, indexed so the peak equals 100. The focused scale shows the stock path while exact annual populations remain in the table.

Annual total population from the literal peak through 2024
YearEvidencePopulation
1980observed73,083
1981observed72,986
1982observed72,688
1983observed72,365
1984observed72,056
1985observed71,744
1986observed71,406
1987observed71,023
1988observed70,608
1989observed70,153
1990observed69,627
1991observed69,296
1992observed69,325
1993observed69,433
1994observed69,477
1995observed69,469
1996observed69,410
1997observed69,299
1998observed69,124
1999observed68,870
2000observed68,511
2001observed68,288
2002observed68,367
2003observed68,531
2004observed68,649
2005observed68,734
2006observed68,806
2007observed68,847
2008observed68,854
2009observed68,864
2010observed68,859
2011observed69,053
2012observed69,118
2013observed69,715
2014observed70,373
2015observed70,410
2016observed69,606
2017observed68,496
2018observed68,174
2019observed67,880
2020observed67,573
2021observed67,202
2022observed66,826
2023observed66,510
2024projected66,205
Peak population · 1980
73,083
2024 population
66,205

From 73,083 people in 1980 to 66,205 in 2024. The endpoint is projected; the peak year is the literal maximum in the WPP series.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaannual-total-change-rate-v1 · population-below-peak-v1 · population-from-peak-v1 · sustained-decline-streak-rank-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/sustained-decline-profile.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship; streak rank compares the 29 canonical sustained-decline members only.
Reference timeAnnual source rows from 2016 through 2024; estimates through 2023, then medium-variant projection.
UnitWhole people and annual total change as a percentage of same-year population; the population-path chart indexes the literal peak to 100 while retaining exact annual counts.
Evidence statusprojected 2024 endpoint; observed/projected status is retained for every chart row.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
202466,205−2961.48
205063,192−1241.50
208055,841−3221.54
210049,110−3801.56

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2049 · projected
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Dominica annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 49.0% in 1950 to 22.0% in 2023 and 15.9% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 7.6% to 12.7% and 29.0%. First annual crossover: 2049 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Dominica, 1950 to 2100 Dominica annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 49.0% in 1950 to 22.0% in 2023 and 15.9% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 7.6% to 12.7% and 29.0%. First annual crossover: 2049 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 15.9% 65+ · 29.0%
1950
Under 18 · 49.0%65+ · 7.6%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 22.0%65+ · 12.7%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 15.9%65+ · 29.0%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Dominica under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 24,590 49.0% 3,836 7.6%
1951 observed 24,624 48.8% 3,661 7.3%
1952 observed 24,747 48.7% 3,517 6.9%
1953 observed 24,955 48.6% 3,404 6.6%
1954 observed 25,255 48.5% 3,313 6.4%
1955 observed 25,676 48.5% 3,250 6.1%
1956 observed 26,235 48.6% 3,208 5.9%
1957 observed 26,968 48.9% 3,178 5.8%
1958 observed 27,880 49.3% 3,177 5.6%
1959 observed 28,956 49.8% 3,194 5.5%
1960 observed 29,881 50.3% 3,230 5.4%
1961 observed 30,522 50.7% 3,279 5.4%
1962 observed 31,100 51.0% 3,322 5.5%
1963 observed 31,749 51.4% 3,390 5.5%
1964 observed 32,448 51.8% 3,458 5.5%
1965 observed 33,225 52.3% 3,533 5.6%
1966 observed 34,092 52.8% 3,626 5.6%
1967 observed 35,048 53.4% 3,718 5.7%
1968 observed 36,102 54.1% 3,823 5.7%
1969 observed 37,226 54.8% 3,940 5.8%
1970 observed 37,943 55.1% 4,032 5.9%
1971 observed 38,044 54.7% 4,095 5.9%
1972 observed 37,949 54.2% 4,155 5.9%
1973 observed 37,825 53.6% 4,238 6.0%
1974 observed 37,656 53.0% 4,328 6.1%
1975 observed 37,434 52.3% 4,429 6.2%
1976 observed 37,169 51.6% 4,559 6.3%
1977 observed 36,863 50.9% 4,686 6.5%
1978 observed 36,511 50.2% 4,817 6.6%
1979 observed 36,086 49.5% 4,972 6.8%
1980 observed 35,564 48.7% 5,140 7.0%
1981 observed 34,759 47.6% 5,289 7.2%
1982 observed 33,679 46.3% 5,415 7.4%
1983 observed 32,578 45.0% 5,526 7.6%
1984 observed 31,573 43.8% 5,637 7.8%
1985 observed 30,664 42.7% 5,747 8.0%
1986 observed 29,860 41.8% 5,869 8.2%
1987 observed 29,164 41.1% 5,962 8.4%
1988 observed 28,549 40.4% 6,040 8.6%
1989 observed 28,034 40.0% 6,131 8.7%
1990 observed 27,584 39.6% 6,241 9.0%
1991 observed 27,167 39.2% 6,317 9.1%
1992 observed 26,777 38.6% 6,300 9.1%
1993 observed 26,449 38.1% 6,263 9.0%
1994 observed 26,187 37.7% 6,256 9.0%
1995 observed 25,977 37.4% 6,281 9.0%
1996 observed 25,792 37.2% 6,332 9.1%
1997 observed 25,601 36.9% 6,394 9.2%
1998 observed 25,357 36.7% 6,484 9.4%
1999 observed 25,039 36.4% 6,613 9.6%
2000 observed 24,603 35.9% 6,758 9.9%
2001 observed 24,101 35.3% 6,880 10.1%
2002 observed 23,599 34.5% 6,946 10.2%
2003 observed 23,107 33.7% 6,995 10.2%
2004 observed 22,621 33.0% 7,039 10.3%
2005 observed 22,186 32.3% 7,092 10.3%
2006 observed 21,771 31.6% 7,175 10.4%
2007 observed 21,358 31.0% 7,277 10.6%
2008 observed 20,930 30.4% 7,383 10.7%
2009 observed 20,492 29.8% 7,509 10.9%
2010 observed 20,024 29.1% 7,650 11.1%
2011 observed 19,703 28.5% 7,551 10.9%
2012 observed 19,279 27.9% 7,465 10.8%
2013 observed 19,269 27.6% 7,074 10.1%
2014 observed 19,292 27.4% 6,714 9.5%
2015 observed 18,834 26.8% 6,787 9.6%
2016 observed 17,803 25.6% 7,356 10.6%
2017 observed 16,673 24.3% 7,980 11.7%
2018 observed 16,220 23.8% 8,033 11.8%
2019 observed 15,788 23.3% 8,123 12.0%
2020 observed 15,428 22.8% 8,233 12.2%
2021 observed 15,106 22.5% 8,342 12.4%
2022 observed 14,848 22.2% 8,408 12.6%
2023 observed 14,648 22.0% 8,479 12.7%
2024 projected 14,445 21.8% 8,580 13.0%
2025 projected 14,220 21.6% 8,692 13.2%
2026 projected 13,974 21.3% 8,814 13.5%
2027 projected 13,712 21.0% 8,952 13.7%
2028 projected 13,443 20.7% 9,107 14.1%
2029 projected 13,206 20.5% 9,279 14.4%
2030 projected 12,951 20.2% 9,473 14.8%
2031 projected 12,716 19.9% 9,697 15.2%
2032 projected 12,503 19.6% 9,928 15.6%
2033 projected 12,322 19.3% 10,157 15.9%
2034 projected 12,187 19.1% 10,380 16.3%
2035 projected 12,067 18.9% 10,604 16.6%
2036 projected 11,993 18.8% 10,812 17.0%
2037 projected 11,924 18.7% 10,985 17.2%
2038 projected 11,860 18.6% 11,117 17.4%
2039 projected 11,811 18.5% 11,178 17.5%
2040 projected 11,767 18.4% 11,216 17.6%
2041 projected 11,729 18.4% 11,203 17.6%
2042 projected 11,700 18.3% 11,165 17.5%
2043 projected 11,659 18.3% 11,134 17.5%
2044 projected 11,625 18.3% 11,120 17.5%
2045 projected 11,599 18.2% 11,145 17.5%
2046 projected 11,572 18.2% 11,211 17.6%
2047 projected 11,537 18.2% 11,305 17.8%
2048 projected 11,507 18.1% 11,425 18.0%
2049 projected 11,458 18.1% 11,584 18.3%
2050 projected 11,413 18.1% 11,735 18.6%
2051 projected 11,361 18.0% 11,887 18.9%
2052 projected 11,297 18.0% 12,049 19.2%
2053 projected 11,235 17.9% 12,201 19.4%
2054 projected 11,161 17.8% 12,378 19.8%
2055 projected 11,084 17.8% 12,576 20.1%
2056 projected 11,011 17.7% 12,814 20.6%
2057 projected 10,920 17.6% 13,074 21.1%
2058 projected 10,836 17.5% 13,333 21.6%
2059 projected 10,746 17.4% 13,557 22.0%
2060 projected 10,653 17.3% 13,741 22.4%
2061 projected 10,556 17.2% 13,874 22.7%
2062 projected 10,466 17.2% 13,947 22.9%
2063 projected 10,372 17.1% 13,988 23.0%
2064 projected 10,290 17.0% 14,036 23.2%
2065 projected 10,197 16.9% 14,098 23.4%
2066 projected 10,115 16.9% 14,156 23.6%
2067 projected 10,040 16.8% 14,180 23.7%
2068 projected 9,967 16.7% 14,170 23.8%
2069 projected 9,895 16.7% 14,176 23.9%
2070 projected 9,824 16.7% 14,200 24.1%
2071 projected 9,758 16.6% 14,232 24.3%
2072 projected 9,693 16.6% 14,267 24.4%
2073 projected 9,632 16.6% 14,317 24.7%
2074 projected 9,573 16.6% 14,394 24.9%
2075 projected 9,516 16.6% 14,469 25.2%
2076 projected 9,460 16.6% 14,524 25.4%
2077 projected 9,405 16.6% 14,596 25.7%
2078 projected 9,347 16.5% 14,676 26.0%
2079 projected 9,289 16.5% 14,758 26.3%
2080 projected 9,231 16.5% 14,816 26.5%
2081 projected 9,181 16.5% 14,856 26.8%
2082 projected 9,126 16.5% 14,885 27.0%
2083 projected 9,066 16.5% 14,877 27.1%
2084 projected 9,001 16.5% 14,870 27.2%
2085 projected 8,935 16.5% 14,843 27.4%
2086 projected 8,867 16.4% 14,834 27.5%
2087 projected 8,798 16.4% 14,807 27.6%
2088 projected 8,723 16.4% 14,775 27.7%
2089 projected 8,649 16.3% 14,743 27.9%
2090 projected 8,574 16.3% 14,710 28.0%
2091 projected 8,497 16.3% 14,671 28.1%
2092 projected 8,424 16.2% 14,623 28.2%
2093 projected 8,349 16.2% 14,580 28.3%
2094 projected 8,274 16.1% 14,534 28.4%
2095 projected 8,201 16.1% 14,490 28.5%
2096 projected 8,129 16.1% 14,439 28.5%
2097 projected 8,060 16.0% 14,388 28.6%
2098 projected 7,987 16.0% 14,343 28.8%
2099 projected 7,910 16.0% 14,296 28.9%
2100 projected 7,831 15.9% 14,249 29.0%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Dominica with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.