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Countries / Belarus

Population state · Sustained decline

Belarus

Europe · Eastern Europe · BLR · BY

Belarus's population reached its series maximum in 1993. The current run began in 2017.

Population state
Sustained decline
current run since 2017 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.22
21 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
100
of 237
Regional population rank
18
of 50 in Europe
Population
9.06m
Annual change
−58,404
11th-largest annual loss in the record
Natural change
−55,288
Migrant share
11.6%
Peak population · 1993 Deaths exceed births · since 1993 Working-age peak · 2001 Support ratio · 3.74 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Deepens decline

Negative net migration adds to natural decline.

Belarus, 2024 projected: natural change −55,288 people, net migration −3,119, WPP adjustment +3, total population change −58,404. Negative net migration adds to natural decline.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a +3-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
SUSTAINED DECLINE · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Decline over time

8 source years · since 2017 Tied rank 24 of 29 by streak duration Duration, not severity
CARD 01 · ANNUAL TOTAL POPULATION CHANGE

Annual change through the streak

Each bar is one year’s total population change. View the same evidence as a share of that year’s population or as a count of people.

Births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments are included.
−0.64%
2017–2024 · 8 source years Loss rate is steeper than at the start
Annual change bar chart
Observed through 2023 2024 projected

One discrete bar for each source year from 2017 through 2024. The chart includes total population change from births, deaths, net migration, and WPP adjustments; observed and projected rows are distinguished.

Annual total population change for Belarus, 2017 to 2024
YearEvidencePercent of populationPeople
2017observed−0.13%−12.8k
2018observed−0.20%−18.7k
2019observed−0.75%−70.5k
2020observed−1.05%−98.5k
2021observed−1.09%−100.7k
2022observed−0.61%−55.5k
2023observed−0.65%−59.6k
2024projected−0.64%−58.4k
First year−0.13%
Least negative−0.13% · 2017
Most negative−1.09% · 2021
2024−0.64%
CARD 02 · LITERAL SERIES MAXIMUM

Population below peak

Peak population minus the 2024 population, shown in people and as a share of the peak.

11.6%
1.18m people below peak
Population from peak line chart
Observed through 2023 2024 projected Focused scale · peak = 100

Annual total population from the literal series maximum in 1993 through 2024, indexed so the peak equals 100. The focused scale shows the stock path while exact annual populations remain in the table.

Annual total population from the literal peak through 2024
YearEvidencePopulation
1993observed10,241,320
1994observed10,230,187
1995observed10,197,463
1996observed10,164,028
1997observed10,122,364
1998observed10,080,578
1999observed10,039,223
2000observed9,991,313
2001observed9,938,065
2002observed9,873,450
2003observed9,803,176
2004observed9,735,091
2005observed9,667,838
2006observed9,608,036
2007observed9,563,133
2008observed9,529,358
2009observed9,507,337
2010observed9,490,752
2011observed9,472,735
2012observed9,463,076
2013observed9,464,453
2014observed9,472,708
2015observed9,487,293
2016observed9,499,064
2017observed9,495,790
2018observed9,480,031
2019observed9,435,419
2020observed9,350,944
2021observed9,251,365
2022observed9,173,237
2023observed9,115,680
2024projected9,056,696
Peak population · 1993
10.24m
2024 population
9.06m

From 10,241,320 people in 1993 to 9,056,696 in 2024. The endpoint is projected; the peak year is the literal maximum in the WPP series.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaannual-total-change-rate-v1 · population-below-peak-v1 · population-from-peak-v1 · sustained-decline-streak-rank-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/sustained-decline-profile.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship; streak rank compares the 29 canonical sustained-decline members only.
Reference timeAnnual source rows from 2017 through 2024; estimates through 2023, then medium-variant projection.
UnitWhole people and annual total change as a percentage of same-year population; the population-path chart indexes the literal peak to 100 while retaining exact annual counts.
Evidence statusprojected 2024 endpoint; observed/projected status is retained for every chart row.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
20249.06m−58,4041.22
20507.45m−64,3861.38
20805.41m−59,5981.46
21004.35m−50,3291.49

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2027 · projected
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Belarus annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 36.3% in 1950 to 19.9% in 2023 and 13.0% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 7.5% to 17.1% and 35.8%. First annual crossover: 2027 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Belarus, 1950 to 2100 Belarus annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 36.3% in 1950 to 19.9% in 2023 and 13.0% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 7.5% to 17.1% and 35.8%. First annual crossover: 2027 · projected. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 13.0% 65+ · 35.8%
1950
Under 18 · 36.3%65+ · 7.5%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 19.9%65+ · 17.1%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 13.0%65+ · 35.8%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Belarus under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 2,584,032 36.3% 535,926 7.5%
1951 observed 2,577,237 35.8% 525,095 7.3%
1952 observed 2,583,060 35.6% 517,378 7.1%
1953 observed 2,596,449 35.3% 519,043 7.1%
1954 observed 2,612,741 35.1% 524,275 7.0%
1955 observed 2,635,375 34.9% 528,565 7.0%
1956 observed 2,661,783 34.6% 536,959 7.0%
1957 observed 2,694,501 34.5% 545,302 7.0%
1958 observed 2,734,051 34.4% 560,286 7.1%
1959 observed 2,780,283 34.4% 578,679 7.2%
1960 observed 2,833,877 34.5% 594,583 7.2%
1961 observed 2,900,044 34.9% 610,441 7.3%
1962 observed 2,969,759 35.3% 619,959 7.4%
1963 observed 3,033,915 35.6% 634,271 7.4%
1964 observed 3,079,501 35.8% 652,392 7.6%
1965 observed 3,095,054 35.7% 678,236 7.8%
1966 observed 3,100,566 35.4% 704,694 8.1%
1967 observed 3,097,872 35.1% 723,260 8.2%
1968 observed 3,092,930 34.8% 747,918 8.4%
1969 observed 3,088,755 34.5% 773,123 8.6%
1970 observed 3,071,865 34.1% 799,241 8.9%
1971 observed 3,046,597 33.6% 824,817 9.1%
1972 observed 3,015,208 33.0% 849,949 9.3%
1973 observed 2,973,368 32.3% 874,296 9.5%
1974 observed 2,929,309 31.6% 898,609 9.7%
1975 observed 2,886,381 31.0% 927,668 9.9%
1976 observed 2,842,649 30.3% 953,508 10.2%
1977 observed 2,800,750 29.7% 977,040 10.4%
1978 observed 2,760,480 29.1% 999,300 10.5%
1979 observed 2,727,737 28.6% 1,010,211 10.6%
1980 observed 2,703,670 28.2% 1,010,592 10.5%
1981 observed 2,684,080 27.7% 1,002,179 10.4%
1982 observed 2,673,248 27.4% 987,474 10.1%
1983 observed 2,679,045 27.3% 980,892 10.0%
1984 observed 2,694,630 27.3% 979,304 9.9%
1985 observed 2,710,379 27.3% 978,418 9.8%
1986 observed 2,730,159 27.3% 981,875 9.8%
1987 observed 2,749,815 27.3% 996,613 9.9%
1988 observed 2,772,452 27.4% 1,023,242 10.1%
1989 observed 2,789,484 27.5% 1,052,503 10.4%
1990 observed 2,789,400 27.4% 1,083,715 10.6%
1991 observed 2,779,160 27.3% 1,116,098 10.9%
1992 observed 2,768,753 27.1% 1,153,431 11.3%
1993 observed 2,753,598 26.9% 1,194,455 11.7%
1994 observed 2,719,877 26.6% 1,232,856 12.1%
1995 observed 2,673,081 26.2% 1,270,901 12.5%
1996 observed 2,620,716 25.8% 1,300,474 12.8%
1997 observed 2,561,238 25.3% 1,322,955 13.1%
1998 observed 2,492,935 24.7% 1,340,999 13.3%
1999 observed 2,424,087 24.1% 1,344,805 13.4%
2000 observed 2,358,343 23.6% 1,350,710 13.5%
2001 observed 2,283,653 23.0% 1,366,747 13.8%
2002 observed 2,202,025 22.3% 1,385,065 14.0%
2003 observed 2,122,100 21.6% 1,401,526 14.3%
2004 observed 2,041,076 21.0% 1,415,335 14.5%
2005 observed 1,962,700 20.3% 1,421,500 14.7%
2006 observed 1,893,476 19.7% 1,420,798 14.8%
2007 observed 1,836,882 19.2% 1,410,621 14.8%
2008 observed 1,797,102 18.9% 1,383,947 14.5%
2009 observed 1,769,571 18.6% 1,353,058 14.2%
2010 observed 1,747,518 18.4% 1,323,529 13.9%
2011 observed 1,734,167 18.3% 1,301,812 13.7%
2012 observed 1,736,352 18.3% 1,300,207 13.7%
2013 observed 1,751,545 18.5% 1,310,252 13.8%
2014 observed 1,775,498 18.7% 1,331,606 14.1%
2015 observed 1,806,864 19.0% 1,357,985 14.3%
2016 observed 1,838,138 19.4% 1,381,188 14.5%
2017 observed 1,858,367 19.6% 1,405,158 14.8%
2018 observed 1,866,417 19.7% 1,426,854 15.1%
2019 observed 1,864,386 19.8% 1,450,409 15.4%
2020 observed 1,855,312 19.8% 1,471,256 15.7%
2021 observed 1,844,219 19.9% 1,486,669 16.1%
2022 observed 1,831,438 20.0% 1,514,207 16.5%
2023 observed 1,812,247 19.9% 1,555,312 17.1%
2024 projected 1,784,512 19.7% 1,600,012 17.7%
2025 projected 1,749,009 19.4% 1,645,168 18.3%
2026 projected 1,705,840 19.1% 1,688,415 18.9%
2027 projected 1,658,099 18.7% 1,726,729 19.5%
2028 projected 1,608,747 18.3% 1,759,409 20.0%
2029 projected 1,558,087 17.8% 1,786,761 20.4%
2030 projected 1,502,631 17.3% 1,808,176 20.8%
2031 projected 1,443,033 16.7% 1,824,575 21.2%
2032 projected 1,382,567 16.1% 1,837,570 21.5%
2033 projected 1,321,954 15.6% 1,848,445 21.8%
2034 projected 1,262,363 15.0% 1,857,712 22.0%
2035 projected 1,211,895 14.5% 1,867,077 22.3%
2036 projected 1,174,721 14.1% 1,877,751 22.6%
2037 projected 1,146,798 13.9% 1,888,174 22.9%
2038 projected 1,125,364 13.7% 1,896,664 23.2%
2039 projected 1,108,151 13.6% 1,903,829 23.4%
2040 projected 1,095,804 13.6% 1,911,450 23.7%
2041 projected 1,091,271 13.6% 1,918,867 24.0%
2042 projected 1,092,605 13.8% 1,925,831 24.2%
2043 projected 1,095,910 13.9% 1,933,514 24.5%
2044 projected 1,100,521 14.1% 1,942,601 24.8%
2045 projected 1,105,918 14.2% 1,953,394 25.2%
2046 projected 1,111,626 14.4% 1,965,607 25.5%
2047 projected 1,117,012 14.6% 1,979,582 25.9%
2048 projected 1,121,338 14.8% 2,000,028 26.4%
2049 projected 1,124,050 15.0% 2,024,736 26.9%
2050 projected 1,124,889 15.1% 2,048,026 27.5%
2051 projected 1,123,490 15.2% 2,072,714 28.1%
2052 projected 1,119,363 15.3% 2,097,441 28.6%
2053 projected 1,112,270 15.3% 2,121,119 29.2%
2054 projected 1,102,283 15.3% 2,143,304 29.8%
2055 projected 1,089,447 15.3% 2,159,653 30.4%
2056 projected 1,073,956 15.2% 2,170,289 30.8%
2057 projected 1,056,081 15.1% 2,176,937 31.2%
2058 projected 1,036,117 15.0% 2,176,169 31.5%
2059 projected 1,014,327 14.9% 2,166,976 31.7%
2060 projected 990,975 14.7% 2,151,891 31.9%
2061 projected 966,552 14.5% 2,130,792 31.9%
2062 projected 941,585 14.2% 2,105,105 31.9%
2063 projected 916,566 14.0% 2,079,031 31.8%
2064 projected 892,003 13.8% 2,054,478 31.8%
2065 projected 868,424 13.6% 2,030,361 31.8%
2066 projected 846,405 13.4% 2,005,329 31.7%
2067 projected 826,345 13.2% 1,978,779 31.7%
2068 projected 808,524 13.1% 1,951,711 31.6%
2069 projected 793,099 13.0% 1,924,909 31.5%
2070 projected 780,181 12.9% 1,900,108 31.4%
2071 projected 769,752 12.9% 1,878,916 31.4%
2072 projected 761,636 12.9% 1,863,664 31.5%
2073 projected 755,658 12.9% 1,854,683 31.7%
2074 projected 751,532 13.0% 1,849,563 32.0%
2075 projected 748,947 13.1% 1,846,063 32.3%
2076 projected 747,500 13.2% 1,844,094 32.6%
2077 projected 746,745 13.4% 1,847,044 33.0%
2078 projected 746,364 13.5% 1,854,846 33.6%
2079 projected 746,033 13.6% 1,864,832 34.1%
2080 projected 745,371 13.8% 1,876,554 34.7%
2081 projected 744,144 13.9% 1,889,409 35.3%
2082 projected 742,118 14.0% 1,896,515 35.8%
2083 projected 739,108 14.1% 1,894,335 36.2%
2084 projected 734,931 14.2% 1,886,512 36.4%
2085 projected 729,464 14.2% 1,875,344 36.6%
2086 projected 722,728 14.3% 1,862,732 36.8%
2087 projected 714,782 14.3% 1,848,092 36.9%
2088 projected 705,696 14.2% 1,828,644 36.9%
2089 projected 695,510 14.2% 1,806,001 36.8%
2090 projected 684,363 14.1% 1,783,378 36.7%
2091 projected 672,493 14.0% 1,760,754 36.6%
2092 projected 660,065 13.9% 1,738,036 36.5%
2093 projected 647,250 13.8% 1,715,249 36.5%
2094 projected 634,330 13.6% 1,692,401 36.4%
2095 projected 621,574 13.5% 1,669,545 36.3%
2096 projected 609,178 13.4% 1,646,801 36.2%
2097 projected 597,296 13.3% 1,624,255 36.1%
2098 projected 586,074 13.2% 1,601,994 36.0%
2099 projected 575,605 13.1% 1,580,225 35.9%
2100 projected 566,042 13.0% 1,559,129 35.8%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
Download image card Compare Belarus with…
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.