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Population state · Growing

Belgium

Europe · Western Europe · BEL · BE
Population state
Growing
current run since 1986 · projected 2024
Fertility
1.38
41 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
83
of 237
Regional population rank
11
of 50 in Europe
Peak population · projected 2044 Deaths exceed births · since 2022 Working-age peak · 2024 Support ratio · 3.09 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reverses decline

Positive net migration is large enough to reverse natural decline.

Belgium, 2024 projected: natural change −14,077 people, net migration +36,243, WPP adjustment −3, total population change +22,163. Positive net migration is large enough to reverse natural decline.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −3-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

39 source years · since 1986 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 1986
39 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+22,163
0.19% of 2024 population
Series maximum
projected 2044
Projected from the WPP medium variant, not a forecast.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
202411.74m+22,1631.38
205011.87m−10,5501.49
208011.36m−13,7891.54
210011.06m−18,3661.55

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
2023 · observed
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Belgium annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 25.2% in 1950 to 19.8% in 2023 and 15.6% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 11.0% to 20.1% and 32.5%. First annual crossover: 2023 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Belgium, 1950 to 2100 Belgium annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 25.2% in 1950 to 19.8% in 2023 and 15.6% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 11.0% to 20.1% and 32.5%. First annual crossover: 2023 · observed. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 15.6% 65+ · 32.5%
1950
Under 18 · 25.2%65+ · 11.0%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 19.8%65+ · 20.1%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 15.6%65+ · 32.5%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Belgium under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 2,168,632 25.2% 950,147 11.0%
1951 observed 2,181,798 25.2% 963,164 11.1%
1952 observed 2,200,745 25.3% 976,453 11.2%
1953 observed 2,225,447 25.5% 990,211 11.3%
1954 observed 2,254,214 25.6% 1,003,420 11.4%
1955 observed 2,284,607 25.9% 1,015,634 11.5%
1956 observed 2,314,022 26.1% 1,027,021 11.6%
1957 observed 2,346,064 26.3% 1,040,362 11.6%
1958 observed 2,388,890 26.6% 1,055,731 11.7%
1959 observed 2,446,219 27.0% 1,074,127 11.9%
1960 observed 2,505,705 27.5% 1,091,190 12.0%
1961 observed 2,555,216 27.9% 1,110,427 12.1%
1962 observed 2,595,125 28.2% 1,132,182 12.3%
1963 observed 2,632,118 28.4% 1,149,276 12.4%
1964 observed 2,661,038 28.5% 1,168,328 12.5%
1965 observed 2,678,127 28.5% 1,190,208 12.7%
1966 observed 2,690,762 28.5% 1,212,634 12.8%
1967 observed 2,700,264 28.4% 1,236,257 13.0%
1968 observed 2,706,789 28.3% 1,254,971 13.1%
1969 observed 2,711,462 28.3% 1,270,838 13.3%
1970 observed 2,714,310 28.2% 1,287,929 13.4%
1971 observed 2,713,584 28.1% 1,304,076 13.5%
1972 observed 2,707,631 27.9% 1,320,593 13.6%
1973 observed 2,693,034 27.7% 1,336,935 13.8%
1974 observed 2,670,307 27.4% 1,351,430 13.9%
1975 observed 2,640,401 27.1% 1,363,643 14.0%
1976 observed 2,606,396 26.7% 1,372,846 14.1%
1977 observed 2,570,918 26.3% 1,384,999 14.2%
1978 observed 2,535,824 25.9% 1,399,710 14.3%
1979 observed 2,502,342 25.5% 1,412,941 14.4%
1980 observed 2,469,962 25.1% 1,417,445 14.4%
1981 observed 2,435,624 24.7% 1,406,379 14.3%
1982 observed 2,396,548 24.3% 1,384,742 14.0%
1983 observed 2,356,760 23.9% 1,358,556 13.8%
1984 observed 2,319,989 23.5% 1,346,065 13.6%
1985 observed 2,286,866 23.1% 1,358,373 13.7%
1986 observed 2,259,158 22.8% 1,381,763 14.0%
1987 observed 2,235,683 22.6% 1,407,211 14.2%
1988 observed 2,214,396 22.3% 1,434,872 14.5%
1989 observed 2,196,708 22.1% 1,461,179 14.7%
1990 observed 2,185,598 21.9% 1,486,685 14.9%
1991 observed 2,183,691 21.8% 1,513,439 15.1%
1992 observed 2,188,379 21.8% 1,538,686 15.3%
1993 observed 2,194,201 21.8% 1,561,384 15.5%
1994 observed 2,196,782 21.7% 1,584,688 15.7%
1995 observed 2,193,427 21.6% 1,611,699 15.9%
1996 observed 2,188,492 21.5% 1,639,761 16.1%
1997 observed 2,183,885 21.4% 1,666,012 16.4%
1998 observed 2,176,907 21.3% 1,688,144 16.5%
1999 observed 2,169,515 21.2% 1,706,486 16.7%
2000 observed 2,163,777 21.1% 1,722,828 16.8%
2001 observed 2,162,628 21.0% 1,738,441 16.9%
2002 observed 2,164,364 20.9% 1,754,521 17.0%
2003 observed 2,166,175 20.9% 1,771,334 17.1%
2004 observed 2,168,656 20.8% 1,789,922 17.2%
2005 observed 2,174,694 20.8% 1,804,487 17.2%
2006 observed 2,183,620 20.7% 1,809,984 17.2%
2007 observed 2,192,201 20.6% 1,814,710 17.1%
2008 observed 2,201,115 20.6% 1,828,002 17.1%
2009 observed 2,213,559 20.5% 1,848,942 17.1%
2010 observed 2,232,898 20.4% 1,872,047 17.1%
2011 observed 2,250,085 20.4% 1,904,278 17.3%
2012 observed 2,261,739 20.4% 1,942,638 17.5%
2013 observed 2,271,720 20.4% 1,977,641 17.7%
2014 observed 2,280,169 20.3% 2,013,577 18.0%
2015 observed 2,291,402 20.3% 2,048,019 18.2%
2016 observed 2,301,501 20.3% 2,080,300 18.4%
2017 observed 2,306,970 20.3% 2,114,325 18.6%
2018 observed 2,311,365 20.2% 2,149,562 18.8%
2019 observed 2,316,884 20.2% 2,186,646 19.0%
2020 observed 2,320,737 20.1% 2,218,475 19.2%
2021 observed 2,319,976 20.1% 2,250,770 19.5%
2022 observed 2,322,534 19.9% 2,301,267 19.8%
2023 observed 2,315,117 19.8% 2,359,588 20.1%
2024 projected 2,291,638 19.5% 2,413,266 20.6%
2025 projected 2,265,434 19.3% 2,464,707 21.0%
2026 projected 2,235,407 19.0% 2,516,768 21.4%
2027 projected 2,203,079 18.7% 2,569,594 21.8%
2028 projected 2,169,789 18.4% 2,623,798 22.2%
2029 projected 2,136,679 18.1% 2,680,567 22.7%
2030 projected 2,105,017 17.8% 2,736,092 23.1%
2031 projected 2,075,336 17.5% 2,787,077 23.6%
2032 projected 2,047,548 17.3% 2,833,616 23.9%
2033 projected 2,022,161 17.1% 2,877,080 24.3%
2034 projected 1,999,614 16.9% 2,919,383 24.6%
2035 projected 1,979,702 16.7% 2,961,357 25.0%
2036 projected 1,962,815 16.5% 3,002,056 25.3%
2037 projected 1,948,484 16.4% 3,039,241 25.6%
2038 projected 1,937,686 16.3% 3,071,397 25.8%
2039 projected 1,927,731 16.2% 3,098,388 26.1%
2040 projected 1,918,758 16.1% 3,120,533 26.2%
2041 projected 1,918,865 16.1% 3,140,323 26.4%
2042 projected 1,925,829 16.2% 3,160,514 26.6%
2043 projected 1,933,099 16.2% 3,181,014 26.7%
2044 projected 1,940,804 16.3% 3,201,873 26.9%
2045 projected 1,948,635 16.4% 3,223,560 27.1%
2046 projected 1,956,322 16.4% 3,244,202 27.3%
2047 projected 1,963,668 16.5% 3,261,820 27.4%
2048 projected 1,970,290 16.6% 3,275,957 27.6%
2049 projected 1,975,834 16.6% 3,287,411 27.7%
2050 projected 1,980,065 16.7% 3,297,385 27.8%
2051 projected 1,982,612 16.7% 3,307,162 27.9%
2052 projected 1,982,996 16.7% 3,317,283 28.0%
2053 projected 1,981,130 16.8% 3,327,957 28.1%
2054 projected 1,977,226 16.7% 3,339,195 28.3%
2055 projected 1,971,285 16.7% 3,350,879 28.4%
2056 projected 1,963,059 16.7% 3,363,176 28.6%
2057 projected 1,952,691 16.6% 3,374,191 28.7%
2058 projected 1,941,060 16.6% 3,381,872 28.8%
2059 projected 1,928,415 16.5% 3,384,929 28.9%
2060 projected 1,914,692 16.4% 3,384,952 29.0%
2061 projected 1,900,201 16.3% 3,384,081 29.0%
2062 projected 1,885,510 16.2% 3,382,527 29.1%
2063 projected 1,871,296 16.1% 3,379,570 29.1%
2064 projected 1,857,712 16.0% 3,375,536 29.1%
2065 projected 1,844,995 15.9% 3,372,686 29.1%
2066 projected 1,833,436 15.9% 3,370,775 29.2%
2067 projected 1,823,241 15.8% 3,368,707 29.2%
2068 projected 1,814,338 15.7% 3,368,541 29.2%
2069 projected 1,806,866 15.7% 3,372,601 29.3%
2070 projected 1,801,069 15.7% 3,381,201 29.4%
2071 projected 1,797,008 15.7% 3,394,435 29.6%
2072 projected 1,794,609 15.7% 3,411,303 29.8%
2073 projected 1,793,633 15.7% 3,430,776 30.0%
2074 projected 1,793,958 15.7% 3,451,710 30.2%
2075 projected 1,795,384 15.7% 3,473,187 30.4%
2076 projected 1,797,681 15.8% 3,494,442 30.6%
2077 projected 1,800,373 15.8% 3,514,158 30.8%
2078 projected 1,802,993 15.8% 3,531,951 31.0%
2079 projected 1,805,663 15.9% 3,548,418 31.2%
2080 projected 1,808,243 15.9% 3,563,482 31.4%
2081 projected 1,810,477 16.0% 3,576,853 31.5%
2082 projected 1,812,086 16.0% 3,588,773 31.7%
2083 projected 1,812,842 16.0% 3,599,112 31.8%
2084 projected 1,812,677 16.0% 3,608,639 31.9%
2085 projected 1,811,481 16.0% 3,616,494 32.0%
2086 projected 1,809,313 16.0% 3,624,990 32.1%
2087 projected 1,806,032 16.0% 3,633,700 32.3%
2088 projected 1,801,681 16.0% 3,635,014 32.3%
2089 projected 1,796,598 16.0% 3,630,923 32.3%
2090 projected 1,790,776 16.0% 3,627,265 32.3%
2091 projected 1,784,172 15.9% 3,623,678 32.3%
2092 projected 1,776,886 15.9% 3,619,983 32.3%
2093 projected 1,769,240 15.8% 3,616,201 32.4%
2094 projected 1,761,513 15.8% 3,612,418 32.4%
2095 projected 1,753,832 15.7% 3,608,687 32.4%
2096 projected 1,746,546 15.7% 3,604,984 32.4%
2097 projected 1,739,640 15.7% 3,601,302 32.4%
2098 projected 1,732,944 15.6% 3,597,551 32.4%
2099 projected 1,726,659 15.6% 3,593,809 32.4%
2100 projected 1,720,973 15.6% 3,590,327 32.5%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.