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Population state · Growing

Afghanistan

Asia · Southern Asia · AFG · AF
Population state
Growing
current run since 2001 · projected 2024
Fertility
4.76
229 of 237 with a TFR, lowest first
World population rank
36
of 237
Regional population rank
15
of 51 in Asia
Annual change
+1,205,676
Natural change
+1,249,770
Peak population · projected 2100 Deaths exceed births · not in this year Working-age peak · not reached Support ratio · 22.79 people 15–64 per person 65+
ANNUAL COMPONENTS · 2024 PROJECTED

What drives population change?

Births and deaths set natural change. Net migration can reinforce, reduce, or reverse that direction.

Migration contribution Reduces growth

Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Afghanistan, 2024 projected: natural change +1,249,770 people, net migration −44,089, WPP adjustment −5, total population change +1,205,676. Negative net migration slows natural growth without reversing it.

Exact reconciliation: WPP includes a −5-person statistical adjustment. Figures are rounded to whole people.

SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1 · migration-contribution-v1
Transformsite/src/lib/migration-contribution.ts
Raw file SHA-25698e34d9b65b53858cd08a57a566e45050b08093ad85ba5714fe6fbd78055ae6d
Measurement universeOne canonical country or area; annual natural change, net migration, WPP adjustment, and total population change use the same source row.
Reference time2024 projected annual components; estimates run through 2023.
UnitPeople per year.
Evidence status2024 WPP medium-variant projection.
GROWING · STATE-SPECIFIC EVIDENCE

Growth in this series

24 source years · since 2001 Growing cohort
Current run
Since 2001
24 consecutive years · projected 2024
Latest annual gain
+1.21m
2.83% of 2024 population
Series maximum
not established in this series
Still rising at the 2100 horizon of this release.
AGE STRUCTURE · 2023
PROJECTED PATH · WPP 2024 MEDIUM VARIANT
YearPopulationAnnual changeFertility
202442.65m+1,205,6764.76
205076.89m+1,292,8353.09
2080114.67m+1,033,4842.31
2100130.22m+552,4312.06

Values after 2023 are medium-variant projections, not forecasts.

AGE BALANCE · 1950–2100

Youth and older population

Annual share of the population aged under 18 and aged 65+. The crossing shows when the older group first becomes larger in the annual source series.

First annual crossover
Not reached by 2100
Rule
65+ strictly exceeds under 18

Afghanistan annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 47.3% in 1950 to 50.1% in 2023 and 25.2% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 2.8% to 2.4% and 14.2%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024.

Youth and older population in Afghanistan, 1950 to 2100 Afghanistan annual age balance from 1950 to 2100. Under-18 population moves from 47.3% in 1950 to 50.1% in 2023 and 25.2% in the 2100 projection. Population aged 65 and older moves from 2.8% to 2.4% and 14.2%. First annual crossover: Not reached by 2100. Estimates run through 2023 and WPP Medium projections begin in 2024. 0% 20% 40% 60% 1950 1975 2000 2023 2050 2075 2100 ESTIMATES · THROUGH 2023 WPP MEDIUM PROJECTION UNDER 18 · 25.2% 65+ · 14.2%
1950
Under 18 · 47.3%65+ · 2.8%
2023 observed
Under 18 · 50.1%65+ · 2.4%
2100 projected
Under 18 · 25.2%65+ · 14.2%
Annual evidence · 151 source rows
Afghanistan under-18 and 65+ population history
YearEvidenceUnder 18Share65+Share
1950 observed 3,674,849 47.3% 221,575 2.8%
1951 observed 3,727,231 47.3% 225,321 2.9%
1952 observed 3,784,030 47.4% 228,854 2.9%
1953 observed 3,842,507 47.5% 232,104 2.9%
1954 observed 3,902,674 47.5% 235,141 2.9%
1955 observed 3,966,536 47.6% 238,210 2.9%
1956 observed 4,035,334 47.7% 241,410 2.9%
1957 observed 4,109,364 47.8% 244,781 2.9%
1958 observed 4,186,131 48.0% 248,071 2.8%
1959 observed 4,269,639 48.1% 251,434 2.8%
1960 observed 4,363,411 48.3% 255,095 2.8%
1961 observed 4,463,524 48.4% 258,855 2.8%
1962 observed 4,568,499 48.6% 262,653 2.8%
1963 observed 4,677,398 48.7% 266,527 2.8%
1964 observed 4,790,381 48.8% 270,656 2.8%
1965 observed 4,909,715 48.9% 275,153 2.7%
1966 observed 5,037,305 49.1% 279,943 2.7%
1967 observed 5,174,956 49.3% 285,051 2.7%
1968 observed 5,325,108 49.5% 290,472 2.7%
1969 observed 5,484,758 49.8% 295,970 2.7%
1970 observed 5,650,795 50.1% 301,601 2.7%
1971 observed 5,819,643 50.3% 307,202 2.7%
1972 observed 5,993,404 50.6% 312,827 2.6%
1973 observed 6,176,953 50.8% 318,852 2.6%
1974 observed 6,364,618 51.0% 325,129 2.6%
1975 observed 6,549,695 51.3% 331,361 2.6%
1976 observed 6,725,426 51.5% 337,226 2.6%
1977 observed 6,899,113 51.7% 343,087 2.6%
1978 observed 7,068,850 51.9% 348,338 2.6%
1979 observed 7,122,913 52.2% 346,851 2.5%
1980 observed 6,900,832 52.4% 331,462 2.5%
1981 observed 6,284,256 52.6% 297,655 2.5%
1982 observed 5,813,384 52.9% 270,476 2.5%
1983 observed 5,799,372 53.1% 264,586 2.4%
1984 observed 5,970,192 53.4% 265,718 2.4%
1985 observed 6,124,375 53.6% 264,661 2.3%
1986 observed 6,144,782 53.8% 260,032 2.3%
1987 observed 6,146,737 54.0% 256,893 2.3%
1988 observed 6,237,063 54.1% 258,600 2.2%
1989 observed 6,442,378 54.3% 266,317 2.2%
1990 observed 6,551,547 54.4% 270,149 2.2%
1991 observed 6,675,246 54.5% 274,402 2.2%
1992 observed 7,264,778 54.7% 297,732 2.2%
1993 observed 8,199,801 54.9% 335,785 2.2%
1994 observed 8,946,956 55.1% 366,328 2.3%
1995 observed 9,430,340 55.3% 385,590 2.3%
1996 observed 9,852,227 55.5% 402,002 2.3%
1997 observed 10,272,599 55.7% 417,917 2.3%
1998 observed 10,705,243 55.9% 433,793 2.3%
1999 observed 11,150,614 56.1% 450,029 2.3%
2000 observed 11,325,516 56.3% 455,340 2.3%
2001 observed 11,449,824 56.4% 458,824 2.3%
2002 observed 12,098,079 56.6% 483,995 2.3%
2003 observed 12,883,574 56.7% 515,301 2.3%
2004 observed 13,355,741 56.7% 534,509 2.3%
2005 observed 13,821,998 56.6% 553,925 2.3%
2006 observed 14,372,935 56.5% 577,582 2.3%
2007 observed 14,606,316 56.4% 589,764 2.3%
2008 observed 14,874,997 56.2% 604,746 2.3%
2009 observed 15,359,575 55.9% 629,949 2.3%
2010 observed 15,731,220 55.6% 652,403 2.3%
2011 observed 16,220,685 55.3% 681,498 2.3%
2012 observed 16,774,300 54.9% 714,465 2.3%
2013 observed 17,227,550 54.5% 743,061 2.3%
2014 observed 17,723,719 54.0% 772,772 2.4%
2015 observed 18,134,467 53.6% 797,312 2.4%
2016 observed 18,440,140 53.1% 817,365 2.4%
2017 observed 18,803,128 52.7% 842,163 2.4%
2018 observed 19,195,117 52.2% 869,752 2.4%
2019 observed 19,608,309 51.8% 899,517 2.4%
2020 observed 20,069,376 51.4% 926,226 2.4%
2021 observed 20,390,307 51.0% 941,032 2.4%
2022 observed 20,517,839 50.6% 955,692 2.4%
2023 observed 20,782,647 50.1% 985,602 2.4%
2024 projected 21,214,713 49.7% 1,023,956 2.4%
2025 projected 21,656,153 49.4% 1,063,471 2.4%
2026 projected 22,090,906 49.0% 1,104,802 2.5%
2027 projected 22,516,761 48.7% 1,148,209 2.5%
2028 projected 22,933,207 48.3% 1,193,682 2.5%
2029 projected 23,343,439 47.9% 1,243,196 2.6%
2030 projected 23,751,276 47.5% 1,297,565 2.6%
2031 projected 24,152,560 47.0% 1,355,785 2.6%
2032 projected 24,540,763 46.6% 1,417,138 2.7%
2033 projected 24,919,426 46.1% 1,482,093 2.7%
2034 projected 25,284,670 45.7% 1,549,768 2.8%
2035 projected 25,633,600 45.3% 1,619,651 2.9%
2036 projected 25,975,291 44.8% 1,693,646 2.9%
2037 projected 26,308,833 44.4% 1,771,893 3.0%
2038 projected 26,623,534 43.9% 1,853,535 3.1%
2039 projected 26,929,859 43.5% 1,940,083 3.1%
2040 projected 27,237,427 43.0% 2,031,784 3.2%
2041 projected 27,524,519 42.5% 2,125,833 3.3%
2042 projected 27,777,471 42.0% 2,220,455 3.4%
2043 projected 28,018,365 41.6% 2,317,285 3.4%
2044 projected 28,257,883 41.1% 2,416,887 3.5%
2045 projected 28,488,066 40.7% 2,519,332 3.6%
2046 projected 28,722,833 40.2% 2,625,459 3.7%
2047 projected 28,959,230 39.8% 2,732,992 3.8%
2048 projected 29,190,777 39.4% 2,842,440 3.8%
2049 projected 29,429,607 39.0% 2,958,217 3.9%
2050 projected 29,653,601 38.6% 3,080,611 4.0%
2051 projected 29,848,204 38.2% 3,210,109 4.1%
2052 projected 30,041,166 37.8% 3,350,751 4.2%
2053 projected 30,240,894 37.4% 3,503,444 4.3%
2054 projected 30,439,756 37.0% 3,667,135 4.5%
2055 projected 30,638,885 36.7% 3,841,933 4.6%
2056 projected 30,847,016 36.3% 4,030,332 4.7%
2057 projected 31,063,049 36.0% 4,234,169 4.9%
2058 projected 31,269,601 35.6% 4,452,434 5.1%
2059 projected 31,456,398 35.3% 4,683,004 5.3%
2060 projected 31,634,579 35.0% 4,925,639 5.5%
2061 projected 31,805,549 34.7% 5,179,579 5.7%
2062 projected 31,975,936 34.4% 5,445,162 5.9%
2063 projected 32,150,680 34.1% 5,721,849 6.1%
2064 projected 32,321,893 33.8% 6,008,300 6.3%
2065 projected 32,491,503 33.5% 6,304,220 6.5%
2066 projected 32,639,375 33.2% 6,604,437 6.7%
2067 projected 32,762,244 32.9% 6,907,257 6.9%
2068 projected 32,887,201 32.6% 7,213,154 7.2%
2069 projected 33,008,759 32.3% 7,518,536 7.4%
2070 projected 33,126,738 32.0% 7,823,342 7.6%
2071 projected 33,229,688 31.8% 8,125,468 7.8%
2072 projected 33,311,524 31.5% 8,423,527 8.0%
2073 projected 33,397,881 31.2% 8,726,670 8.2%
2074 projected 33,471,883 30.9% 9,035,688 8.3%
2075 projected 33,513,151 30.6% 9,346,421 8.5%
2076 projected 33,538,680 30.4% 9,663,425 8.8%
2077 projected 33,565,984 30.1% 9,988,551 9.0%
2078 projected 33,580,499 29.8% 10,318,829 9.2%
2079 projected 33,600,381 29.6% 10,656,563 9.4%
2080 projected 33,626,074 29.3% 10,999,874 9.6%
2081 projected 33,620,048 29.1% 11,343,653 9.8%
2082 projected 33,593,804 28.8% 11,690,286 10.0%
2083 projected 33,560,278 28.6% 12,040,744 10.3%
2084 projected 33,535,915 28.3% 12,397,589 10.5%
2085 projected 33,517,246 28.1% 12,760,317 10.7%
2086 projected 33,474,913 27.9% 13,122,308 10.9%
2087 projected 33,434,070 27.7% 13,489,582 11.2%
2088 projected 33,400,484 27.4% 13,867,214 11.4%
2089 projected 33,357,628 27.2% 14,251,580 11.6%
2090 projected 33,324,418 27.0% 14,640,459 11.9%
2091 projected 33,290,025 26.8% 15,028,418 12.1%
2092 projected 33,242,931 26.6% 15,416,008 12.3%
2093 projected 33,195,013 26.4% 15,805,838 12.6%
2094 projected 33,145,312 26.2% 16,192,743 12.8%
2095 projected 33,090,305 26.1% 16,575,561 13.1%
2096 projected 33,032,469 25.9% 16,957,887 13.3%
2097 projected 32,977,816 25.7% 17,340,583 13.5%
2098 projected 32,925,232 25.5% 17,722,789 13.7%
2099 projected 32,872,718 25.4% 18,106,731 14.0%
2100 projected 32,810,049 25.2% 18,490,442 14.2%
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 · SINGLE-AGE POPULATION CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulaunder18-vs-65plus-annual-history-v1
Transformpipeline.derive.age_structure_history
Raw file SHA-2566de949eb0d6bf3277959da88c7591c608ad5fd995a17b4f120c11245a351dfb1 · d9c962d7e0beb731d3450cfabba8499a1449411e3c8aec3aeced06a7a2955b6e
Measurement universeall 237 WPP country and area records in the canonical Register
Reference time1950–2023 estimates; 2024–2100 WPP Medium projection
UnitPeople and percentage of same-year single-age population.
Evidence statusAnnual estimates through 2023; WPP Medium projection thereafter. No interpolation.
SOURCE · UN WPP 2024 CHECKS PASSED · DETAILS⌄
Releasewpp2024
RevisionPOP/DB/WPP/Rev.2024/GEN/F01/Rev.1
Vintage2024 Revision, Online Edition
Retrieved2026-06-25T11:25:03+00:00
LicenceCC BY 3.0 IGO
Formulathousands-to-people-v1
Transformreproducible canonical pipeline
Measurement universeDe facto population: all residents in the country or area, regardless of legal status or citizenship.
Reference timePopulation is measured at 1 July 2024; annual flows cover the source year.
UnitPeople; the source workbook's thousands are converted to whole people for display.
Evidence status2024 medium-variant projection; estimates run through 2023.